Murray fired a 0.1-unit bullet on Victor Perez at 100-1 and three-quarters of a unit on a +450 top-20. Over his last 20 rounds Perez is 4th in strokes-gained approach and 25th in total strokes gained. The analyst highlighted Perez’s ability to roll the rock when hot and stressed that Sedgefield’s accuracy-centric layout removes the usual distance penalty, giving the Frenchman a realistic path to contention at triple-digit odds.

Despite a cut on the number last week, Murray returned to Andrew Putnam at 80-1 outright (0.15 units) and +300 for a top-20. Putnam ranks 9th in driving accuracy and 21st in approach in this field across the past 12 months. Murray argued that Sedgefield’s shorter setup amplifies those strengths and minimizes Putnam’s lack of pop, making him an ideal course-fit rebound candidate.

Murray invested a quarter unit on Si Woo Kim at 33-1 and +180 for a top-20. Kim grades 7th in driving accuracy and 6th in strokes-gained tee-to-green over the last year, mirroring Lucas Glover’s profile. Murray noted the Korean’s persistent ball-striking consistency and believes one hot putting week—similar to Kurt Kitayama’s spike last Sunday—could unlock a win on a course that hides his lack of length off the tee.

Murray wagered a quarter unit on Lucas Glover at 40-1 outright and +200 for a top-20. Glover captured this event in 2023 and again meets a venue that deemphasizes distance. In the last 12 months he sits 3rd in strokes-gained approach, 3rd in driving accuracy, and 4th in total strokes gained among entrants. Murray believes those ball-striking numbers keep the veteran in contention if the putter cooperates, making Sedgefield a perfect buy-low spot.

Kyle Murray backed Aaron Rai at 28-1 to win the Wyndham Championship and +320 for a top-10. Murray said Sedgefield’s short, par-70 design removes the bomber edge and spotlights elite fairway finders. Over the past year Rai ranks 1st in driving accuracy, 10th in strokes-gained approach, and 5th tee-to-green within this field. Because the Englishman already lifted the trophy here last season, Murray expects the same skill set to play again and is willing to stake an outright plus finishing ticket.

Matt Every followed up his 170-1 outright bomb on Ben Kohles by grabbing a 5-to-1 top-20 ticket for added exposure. Every called Kohles “probably the best putter I know right now other than Denny McCarthy” and pointed back to Kohles’ recent upward trend in approach play—exactly what Sedgefield’s 72% GIR environment rewards. With the Wyndham historically turning into a Bermuda putting contest and Kohles already proving he can gain strokes in every department, Every believes the former UNC star has both the floor and ceiling to land inside the top-20. The 5-1 number, in his view, underrates a player whose spike-week flatstick alone can cash this prop.

Pat Perry moved beyond his earlier outright stab on Adam Svensson and locked in a +450 top-20 ticket. Perry reiterated that Svensson pops 14th in David Barnett’s analytic model thanks to top-35 rankings in every approach bucket and a recent surge in driving accuracy. The Canadian has also picked up strokes putting in three straight visits to Sedgefield, gaining 6.9, 5.4 and 2.1 on the slick Bermuda surfaces that decide this event. Perry thinks the +450 price bakes in Svensson’s historically cold putter but ignores that he’s suddenly rolling it and already owns a Bermuda-green victory at the RSM. For bettors who want exposure without full outright volatility, Perry sees the placement market as the sweet spot.

Barnett flagged Emiliano Grillo at +320 for a top-20 as “way too long” given the Argentine’s current form. Earlier in the show he called Grillo’s outright price ‘stupid’ because the veteran is striking his irons as well as anyone in the mid-tier. With Sedgefield offering almost no driving advantage and turning into a wedge contest, Barnett wants to bet on the player who is already gaining strokes on approach almost every week. He argued that an elite ball-striker who’s been living on the first two pages of leaderboards all summer should be closer to +200 in this market, making the 3.2-to-1 ticket a clear value play.

David Barnett staked a nine-to-one ticket on Harry Higgs to finish inside the top-20 at Sedgefield. Barnett reminded listeners that Higgs has teed it up here four times and already logged a top-20 despite generally poor course form in prior seasons. What swings the value this year, according to Barnett, is trajectory: Higgs has rattled off three straight top-30 finishes (T25, T24, T28) and his iron play is finally perking up—exactly what the wedge-heavy Donald Ross layout demands. Barnett thinks the combination of renewed confidence, positive recent ball-striking and proven comfort on slick Bermuda greens justifies the long 9-1 number for a simple placement bet, especially for bettors who don’t want to chase the 300-1 outright ticket he recommended earlier in the show.

David Barnett admitted he “hates betting Brian Campbell,” yet could not ignore the ceiling at 200-to-250-1. Barnett dubbed Campbell “Jim Herman on steroids,” pointing out the American has already won twice on Tour—once on a course that didn’t even suit him. Sedgefield, by contrast, rewards Campbell’s strengths: extreme fairway accuracy (Barnett joked he’s hitting “120 percent of his fairways”) and a hot putter that has produced victories on Passpalum, Bent and Bermuda this season. Barnett added this is Campbell’s last realistic chance to grab a win before Ryder Cup selections, so motivation is sky-high. With the Wyndham often turning into a putting contest and longshots having a history of breaking through, Barnett is willing to fire an outright ticket and sprinkle top-10/20 props on Campbell as a pure ceiling play.

Pat Perry locked Chris Kirk onto his outright card at 100-1, arguing the number ignores both form and fit. Kirk is a multi-time PGA Tour winner who just finished runner-up at the Rocket Mortgage a few weeks ago, proving spike-week upside remains. Perry emphasized that Sedgefield rewards draw-biased, fairway-finding tee shots and reliable wedges—Kirk’s exact profile—while the slick Bermuda greens align with his preferred surface. Sitting 73rd in the FedEx standings, Kirk needs a strong showing to reach East Lake, giving him additional motivation. Perry admitted Kirk’s course record is oddly pedestrian (best of T-11 since 2016) but chalked that up to variance, saying the veteran’s current iron play and comfort on Bermuda make him an auto-bet at triple-digit odds and a rock-solid DFS pivot off the chalkier mid-range names.

Matt Every said Pierceson Coody’s game “looked absolutely flush” while finishing T-3 last week and sees the former Texas star as a live sleeper at Sedgefield. Every noted Coody gained 3.5 strokes putting and nearly nothing on approach because he kept knocking wedges inside 12 feet only to lip out. Stat-wise, Coody picked up nearly two strokes off the tee with a power/accuracy blend that should translate even on a shorter Donald Ross track. Every called the 24-year-old “a big talent that hasn’t hit yet” but believes the combination of trending ball-striking, confidence from a podium finish and still-lumpy outright odds makes him an intriguing bomb for outright cards and a cheap upside play in DFS tournaments.

Pat Perry could not believe the price on Adam Svensson, calling 150-to-170-1 “flat-out wrong.” Perry said Svensson pops 14th in David Barnett’s analytic model despite the triple-digit number because he’s top-35 in every approach bucket they weighted and 13th in driving-accuracy over the last 30 rounds. The Canadian’s ball-striking surge is paired with sneaky course history: he has gained 6.9, 5.4 and 2.1 strokes putting in three straight trips to Sedgefield and closed with a 60 last week. Perry reminded listeners Svensson’s lone PGA win came on fast Bermuda at the RSM, another short, dog-leg layout, and argued that if his baseline-cold putter merely holds serve he has real win equity on a course where wedges and a suddenly hot flatstick decide everything. He labeled Svensson a mandatory outright sprinkle and a leverage DFS dart in large-field GPPs.

Pat Perry named Nicolai Hojgaard his favorite 55-1 play, pointing out that the Dane sits 71st in the FedEx Cup standings—one spot outside playoff qualification—so he arrives highly motivated. Perry highlighted Hojgaard’s run of T24, T4 and T14 over his last three starts, including a fourth at the Scottish Open and 14th at the Open Championship, plus a prior T14 at Sedgefield. Even though Hojgaard’s raw stats are not elite, Perry believes the combination of recent high-end finishes and playoff urgency makes him a live outright and an intriguing DFS pivot.

Barnett called Emiliano Grillo’s 75-to-80-1 odds “stupid,” arguing the Argentine is “playing really good golf” and should be priced alongside the 40-to-50-1 names. While he did not rattle off individual metrics, Barnett emphasized Grillo’s recent form surge and reliable iron game—traits that traditionally thrive at Sedgefield’s wedge-heavy setup. Convinced the market is undervaluing him, Barnett is locking in outright and each-way exposure before books adjust.

Barnett admitted he “usually never” bets Christiaan Bezuidenhout but is taking the plunge at 70-1 because the South African pops in his stat-heavy model. He likened Bezuidenhout’s skill set to Aaron Rai—accurate off the tee, tidy wedges, dependable Bermuda putting—attributes that have repeatedly produced winners at Sedgefield. While Bezuidenhout is still hunting his first PGA Tour title, Barnett thinks the course fit and steady recent play make 70-1 a mis-price worth exploiting in outrights and each-way wagers.

David Barnett circled Lucas Glover at 40-1, saying the veteran "can win out of nowhere, especially on a course where he feels good." Barnett reminded listeners he cashed Glover’s outright ticket at Sedgefield before and that Glover is “hitting it well again” while historically thriving on Bermuda greens. Because the Wyndham rewards precise irons over power, Barnett believes course familiarity plus present ball-striking form create a realistic path to a second Wyndham trophy, making 40-1 a number worth building cards around.

Pat Perry grabbed David Lipsky at 171-1, noting the veteran is “kind of hot right now” after posting back-to-back third-place finishes at the John Deere and 3M. Perry argued that Sedgefield minimizes driving distance and rewards players arriving with confidence in their irons and putter. Although Lipsky has yet to claim a PGA Tour victory, Perry sees the recent podiums as proof of ceiling and thinks the triple-digit number is worth a sprinkle in outrights and a contrarian DFS slot.

David Barnett fired a 300-1 “nuclear bomb” on Harry Higgs, pointing to Higgs’ recent form line of T25 last week, T24 at Rocket Mortgage and T28 in Mexico, plus a 15th-place finish at Sedgefield two years ago. Barnett added that Higgs’ approach numbers are “looking good again,” giving him the kind of iron form necessary on a wedge-heavy Donald Ross layout. With demonstrated course comfort and a momentum spike, Barnett believes “Big Daddy” can shock the field and pay off lottery-ticket outright bets while providing ultra-low-owned DFS leverage.

Matt Every said he is betting Ben Kohles outright at 170-1 because the rookie’s approach numbers have been “decent lately” and he is “probably the best putter I know right now other than Denny McCarthy.” Every acknowledged Kohles has never won on Tour, but argued Sedgefield’s slick Bermuda greens turn the Wyndham into a putting contest where a hot flatstick can override lack of pedigree. With iron play trending up and a ceiling putter, Every thinks Kohles brings the exact upside needed for long-shot outright tickets and large-field DFS GPPs.

When his turn came in the season-long draft, Matt Every grabbed Si Woo Kim at 35-1, stating he wanted a player with true winning upside at Sedgefield. Every trusts Kim’s history on the property—he lifted the trophy here in 2016—and views him as the exact profile that thrives on the Donald Ross layout: an accurate driver, creative iron player and confident Bermuda putter. Every spent several minutes earlier in the show emphasizing the art required to judge flyers out of Bermuda rough and the importance of pure putting surfaces; Kim ranks well in both categories and has repeatedly flashed spike-week approach numbers in the 150-to-190-yard range that David Barnett highlighted as critical. With weather forecasts calling for softer conditions early and cooler temps over the weekend, Every thinks Kim’s combination of fairway-finding and hot-streak putting makes him live to win again.

Matt Every targeted Denny McCarthy as a priority outright and DFS play, explaining that Sedgefield’s greens are "the purest surfaces these guys will put on all year" and so slick they can get borderline "too fast." With the course yielding a 72% GIR rate and offering almost no advantage to bombers, Every believes the tournament turns into a Bermuda putting contest. McCarthy ranks near the top of every Tour metric on that surface and is, in Every’s words, "probably the best putter I know right now." Every also stressed that tight fairways and penal Bermuda rough reward players who can judge flyer lies—another McCarthy strength—so if the Maryland product simply hits his share of fairways he could "run the table" with the flatstick.

David Barnett said he is backing Aaron Rai outright and in DFS at Sedgefield. Barnett reminded listeners that Rai "went bananas" here last year, gaining a pile of strokes on approach on his way to the win. That specific skill is critical this week because Sedgefield offers very little room to separate off-the-tee – it is short, tight and ranks near the bottom in strokes gained driving. With 72% of greens typically hit, Barnett wants players who can stuff wedges and mid-irons from the 150-to-190-yard bucket and then catch a hot putter on slick Bermuda. Rai excels at both: he is one of the Tour’s most accurate drivers, giving him more fairway lies than the field, and he already proved he can handle the Donald Ross green complexes under tournament pressure. Barnett concluded that the Englishman’s course fit plus obvious comfort make him a strong bet to contend again despite the difficulty of repeating on Tour.

Andy Lack said he added Davis Thompson to his Wyndham Championship outright card at 70-1, calling it a "really sneaky good spot" for the former Georgia star. Lack admitted Thompson’s season has been disappointing and reminded listeners of the recent Sunday fade when he finally sniffed contention, but argued the underlying data still hints at a player who should be flirting with top-20 world status when the ball-striking cooperates. Because Thompson can flash elite tee-to-green weeks yet remains priced like a mid-tier grinder, Lack views the 70-1 number as pure ceiling value. He plans to sprinkle Thompson into his DFS pool for leverage and advised bettors to grab any 70-1 or longer tickets before the market remembers the upside.

Larry sprinkled on David Lipsky at 170-1 after noticing the putter finally cooperate over the past two weeks. Lipsky’s baseline accuracy and tidy wedge game already suit Sedgefield; when the flat stick cooperates he turns into a top-15 birdie maker on bermuda greens. Larry admits Lipsky’s PGA Tour record is spotty but points to his multiple wins at Korn Ferry and European Challenge Tour stops on similar par-70 tracks as proof he can seal the deal. Given the recent spike putting and a number hanging north of 150-1, Larry thinks Lipsky is the right kind of volatile dart for deep outright and T10 markets.

After scanning the favorites, Larry could not talk himself off Matt Fitzpatrick at 20-1 and added a half-unit outright despite usually living in triple-digit territory. Fitzpatrick is trending—he has gained strokes tee-to-green in six consecutive starts and flashed a top-10 iron week at the Open. Larry called him "clearly the most talented player" at Sedgefield and noted that his fairway wood accuracy and elite short game translate perfectly to the positional Wyndham setup. With no glaring weaknesses and momentum building, Larry believes Fitz is on the verge of another win and that 20-1 offers surprising value relative to his ceiling against an otherwise JAG-filled field.

Larry sees Andrew Putnam as the classic post-injury mis-price. Putnam withdrew from the John Deere with a minor issue and has since logged two quiet results on courses that don’t fit his game, allowing his outright number to drift to 90-1. Pre-WD, Putnam ranked top-25 on Tour in fairways gained and was gaining over a half-stroke per round with the putter—two traits that historically dominate Wyndham. Larry argues that if the WD never happened books would have him around 60-1, so bettors are being paid a 30-point premium for what appears to be a fully healed player. He expects the combination of elite bermuda putting and target-golf accuracy to put Putnam firmly in Sunday contention.

Larry fired two units on Austin Eckroat at 110-1, calling him "Morikawa 2020 light." Eckroat combines fairway-finding accuracy with the ability to lead an event in approach when he’s on—he gained 7.0 strokes on approach at the John Deere and 6.5 at the Travelers. The putter is volatile overall but shows true spike potential (+3 to +4 SG Putting rounds pop up several times a year). On a Sedgefield layout that rewards mid-iron precision, Larry believes Eckroat only needs a neutral driver and roughly +2.5 strokes with the flat stick to win. The recent approach surge, plus a solid T-15 here last season, makes this the exact timing spot Larry chases with triple-digit outrights.

Larry said he is lighting fifty dollars on fire by backing Poston this week and urged listeners not to follow him. Poston owns an ideal Wyndham profile—past champion, elite driving accuracy, and proven success on short bermuda tracks—but Larry stressed that none of it matters right now because the putter that once separated Poston is, in his words, "completely broken." Poston lost strokes putting in his last two starts, disappeared at both the John Deere and the Irish Open at Port Rush, and looks mentally fried after a heavy early-season schedule. Larry thinks Poston needs a multi-month reset or even a broom-stick experiment before he is rosterable again and said the number should be 90-1 or longer, not the mid-40s showing in most books. His bottom-line advice: cash-game fade in DFS and ignore outright tickets until the flat stick shows signs of life.

Brandon Gdula went back to Christiaan Bezuidenhout at $8,600, labeling him one of the safest value options on the slate. Bezuidenhout sits 22nd in the field in recent SG:Approach, 14th in fairway accuracy, and 6th in putting—exactly the balanced profile Gdula targets for a Donald Ross birdie-fest. While the South African lacks win equity, his cut-made percentage is elite: only one missed cut in his last 14 PGA starts on U.S. soil. Gdula expects Bezuidenhout to hover in the –12 to –15 range all week, giving DFS lineups a reliable top-25 finish and making +160 top-40 tickets attractive for risk-averse bettors.

Brandon Gdula called Emiliano Grillo a "pretty firm love" at $8,900. Grillo has gained strokes on approach in eight of his last nine measured events and ranks 9th in the field for fairway accuracy, traits that historically correlate with Wyndham success. Gdula also noted Grillo’s putter has stabilized—he is neutral or better in four straight tournaments—while around-the-green issues that flared at the 3M should be muted on Sedgefield’s less demanding complexes. With ball-striking on point and a salary that allows roster builds skipping the barren $9K tier, Gdula plans to make Grillo a core DFS piece and sprinkle top-20 bets at +230 or longer.

Brandon Gdula identified Ryan Gerard as his favorite $9.7K dart throw. DataGolf shows Gerard gaining +0.52 strokes per round with his irons over the past six months—a massive leap from the putter-dependent profile he carried last winter. Accuracy off the tee remains a strength, giving him the fairway-finding combo Gdula covets at Sedgefield. The lone red flag is the putter, where Gerard has cratered in three straight ShotLink events, but Gdula is willing to forgive that slump after Gerard won the non-ShotLink Barracuda, indicating at least one hot putting week in the recent sample. Because ownership is expected to be sub-5% and the price tag lands in a weak tier, Gdula views Gerard as the ideal leverage play for large-field GPPs and a live top-20 ticket at +320 or longer.

Jim Sannes cautioned listeners not to chase Harry Hall at $11,000. Hall’s recent top-25 finishes have been almost entirely putter-driven—he ranks top-5 in SG:Putting over the past 50 rounds but is still losing strokes on approach in four of his last six ShotLink starts. Sannes contrasted Hall with Denny McCarthy, noting McCarthy’s irons have been positive for six straight months whereas Hall has regressed in two consecutive events (both overseas) once the greens cooled off. Given Hall’s price tag and projected double-digit ownership, Sannes prefers saving the $1,000 for McCarthy or dropping to Lucas Glover, whose ball-striking is far more bankable. He called Hall a classic trap play that “needs another nuclear putting week just to pay off salary,” making him a fade in DFS and off the outright card entirely.

Brandon Gdula said Lucas Glover is his favorite target in the $10K–$10.5K salary band and a name he is "actually interested in betting outright." Gdula highlighted that Glover sits top-5 in this field in strokes-gained tee-to-green over the past three months and continues to pepper fairways—an important trait at Sedgefield. The concern has always been the flat stick, but Gdula noted encouraging signs: Glover is baseline inside 15 feet (47th percentile) and only 18th percentile from longer range, a profile that often produces sudden spike putting weeks. Because he rates Glover’s floor as McCarthy-like while carrying far lower ownership projections, Gdula prefers pairing him with a stud (Spieth or Matsuyama) instead of paying up for the pricier ball-strikers. He labeled any number longer than 65-to-1 in the outright market or a sub-10% DraftKings share as “actionable value.”

Brandon Gdula highlighted Lucas Glover as an overlooked option in both DFS builds and the outright/placing markets. Glover’s recent strokes-gained tee-to-green numbers pop—he ranks near the top of the Wyndham field over the last three months—while his putter is merely baseline inside 15 feet (47th percentile). Gdula sees that as latent upside: if Glover converts a few more mid-range looks, his elite ball-striking can carry him to the top of the board. The veteran’s balanced profile, solid fairway accuracy, and reasonable salary let Gdula pair him with higher-priced studs like Hideki or Spieth without dipping into the barren $9K range he’s trying to avoid.

Brandon Gdula cautioned against chasing Aaron Rai at 22-to-1 or prioritizing him over pricier studs in DFS. DataGolf pegs Rai as the tournament favorite only after layering course-history and course-fit adjustments, lifting his win probability to 4.5%. Strip those boosts out and his baseline number falls to 2.2%, a gap Gdula believes the betting market has over-corrected for. He added that Rai’s profile carries a lower ceiling than Jordan Spieth or Hideki Matsuyama, players he can still afford in DFS despite higher salaries. Gdula will keep Rai in the player pool for roster builds but refuses to burn outright units on a golfer whose edge hinges on a 0.46 strokes-gained per-round course history adjustment.

Brandon Gdula backed Jim Sannes on the Koivun top-10 play, noting that even with sparse ShotLink data the rookie keeps checking critical boxes. Koivun ranked 12th in strokes-gained approach at the ISCO and leaned on driver plus putter for his John Deere run, showing multiple avenues to score. Gdula emphasized that DataGolf’s raw finishes matter too—"overall success getting the ball in the hole"—and a +750 price for a legitimate talent in a watered-down field is hard to pass. He is not worried about Koivun getting steam-rolled by star power because, as Gdula put it, "there aren’t many great golfers at the top end this week." He’s comfortable slotting Koivun into betting cards and as a low-salary tournament dart in DFS line-ups.

Jim Sannes said Jackson Koivun is worth a swing in the top-10 market at +750. Koivun has already flashed on Tour with an 11th at the John Deere, a 6th at the ISCO Championship, and made cuts at the Arnold Palmer and Farmers despite still coming straight from the college ranks. In the limited ShotLink events we have, the Auburn star has been accurate off the tee and positive with the putter; the irons have lagged, but Sannes is fine embracing that variance in an upside-only bet. He prefers the wager to DFS exposure because the smaller stake lets him capture Koivun’s ceiling while acknowledging the projection risk that comes with a collegiate sample. In a Wyndham field light on elite talent, Sannes feels Koivun has a realistic path to hang around the first page of the leaderboard and reward the long number.

Gdula highlighted Carolina native Andrew Novak at +280 for a Top-20 finish. Novak is one of just 15 golfers in the field gaining strokes in all four categories over the past 50 rounds, a balanced profile Gdula loves on a course that doesn’t reward raw power. The all-around game gives Novak multiple paths to cash the ticket, and the regional familiarity is a bonus. With books still hanging nearly 3-to-1, Gdula thinks Novak is mispriced relative to similarly steady ball-strikers in the low-200s outright range.

Gdula recommended a Top-10 ticket on Denny McCarthy at +500 (would play to +475). McCarthy combines the two stats that matter most at Sedgefield—38th in SG:Approach and 3rd in SG:Putting over his last 50 rounds—while posting the 13th-best strokes-gained floor in the field. Since March he has missed only one domestic cut (the PGA Championship) and owns three career top-25s at the Wyndham. Gdula believes the steady irons plus an elite flat stick make McCarthy nearly bust-proof, giving bettors a live Top-10 sweat without needing a spike week off the tee.

Jim Sannes pounced on Jordan Spieth at the same 33-to-1 number as Hideki, arguing the market is overweighting a single mediocre finish after the neck injury. Spieth told Kay Adams he is now fully healthy, and Sannes pointed out the driver looked sharp at Royal Portrush while the irons were ‘bananas’ prior to the WD in June. Accuracy off the tee is better than Spieth’s reputation suggests, a trait Sannes prioritizes at Sedgefield. With health clarity, acceptable accuracy and top-end approach upside, Sannes views 33-to-1 as a clear discount and prefers Spieth to Matsuyama at equal odds.

Gdula grabbed Hideki Matsuyama at 33-to-1, noting he owns the third-highest statistical ceiling in the field over his last 50 rounds. Matsuyama sits 8th tee-to-green during that window, and while long remembered as a shaky putter he has quietly climbed to the 60th percentile from inside 15 feet this season. The recent event log looks vintage Hideki—strong iron gains and a T16 at The Open. Gdula expects those irons to pop again at Sedgefield, and he is willing to dismiss Matsuyama’s uninspiring course history because the current ball-striking profile is back to early-career levels. If the improved flat stick holds, Gdula believes Hideki can easily lead the field in SG:T2G and cash a 33-to-1 outright.

Brandon Gdula hammered Keegan Bradley at 25-to-1 as the best outright on the FanDuel board. DataGolf shows Bradley averaging +1.83 true strokes gained tee-to-green over his past 50 rounds— a Scotty-Scheffler-size gulf above the field, with Si Woo Kim a distant second at +1.26. Even after baking in a cold putter that is costing 0.13 strokes per round, Bradley still rates best in the field at +1.53 total SG across the last six months. Gdula likes that combination of elite ball-striking, above-average accuracy and recent win equity, and he trusts Bradley’s ‘dog in him’ to close if he’s in Sunday’s final pairing. He thinks the number should be closer to 20-to-1 and would still fire there, making 25-to-1 a clear value ticket for outright cards.

Brandon Gdula admitted Matt Fitzpatrick looks every bit the rightful favorite—DataGolf shows him at 2.03 true strokes gained over the past three months, trailing only world-beaters like Scheffler and Rahm in that window—but still passed on the 20-to-1 outright because his betting model shows no edge at that price. Gdula compared Fitzpatrick’s recent surge (top approach and short-game splits in both short and long-term samples) to peak 2023 form, yet pointed out that Keegan Bradley is right behind him at 1.94 strokes gained and available at a longer number. For DFS, Gdula said the $12K salary is totally defensible because Fitzpatrick brings the highest Sunday ceiling in the field, but in the betting market he prefers to wait for a drift or shop other tickets rather than eat the shortest odds in a tightly-clustered field.

Jim Sannes pushed Tom Kim as the clear value pivot in the $9K tier. Sannes noted Kim’s price is the lowest of the trio he and Brandon debated (Max Homa $9.3K, Sungjae Im $9.6K) yet Kim owns the best course résumé of the group—he won in his only Wyndham start back in 2022. Despite two straight missed cuts, Kim still gained at least 0.8 strokes per round on approach at both The Open and the 3M, which tells Sannes the irons are heating up again. Accuracy off the tee and solid mid-iron play are the two traits Sannes prioritizes at Sedgefield, and Kim grades out well in both. With an 80-to-1 outright tag on FanDuel Sportsbook and a low DFS salary that lets gamers jam a second stud, Sannes recommended plugging Kim into core builds and sprinkling top-20 and outright tickets in hopes the former champ rekindles his Sedgefield magic.

Brandon Gdula warned that Si Woo Kim is "all risk" at his $10,700 salary and 35-to-1 price despite looking like a perfect statistical fit on paper. Kim ranks near the top of the field in tee-to-green and still stripes it off the tee, but the putter has fallen into a deep slump—losing strokes on the greens in five of his past six starts. That flat-stick funk has translated into back-to-back missed cuts at Sedgefield and a recent miss at the 3M Open, erasing the shine of his earlier Wyndham win (2016) and two top-5s. Gdula added that Kim’s recent splits show he actually loses the most strokes on the Donald Ross green complexes this week, making him a pass for both outright tickets and DFS line-ups unless you’re comfortable betting on a sudden putting turnaround.

Brandon Gdula labeled Denny McCarthy a "standout" option in both DFS and the betting markets. McCarthy’s irons—long his weak spot—have been trending up for most of 2024, allowing him to pair above-average approach numbers with his trademark hot putter (top-10 in SG: Putting this season). Gdula dismissed McCarthy’s back-to-back missed cuts at the Scottish Open and The Open as a travel blip, pointing out that the 31-year-old hasn’t missed a cut on American soil since the PGA Championship in May and hasn’t whiffed in a regular U.S. Tour event since March. At Sedgefield specifically, McCarthy owns three top-25 finishes and has shown he can handle the birdie-fest scoring, making him attractive at $10,000 on FanDuel and 55-to-1 outright at the sportsbook. Gdula recommended slotting McCarthy into mid-tier DFS cores and grabbing some exposure in the top-20 and outright markets.

Brandon Gdula said Webb Simpson is a clear fade this week even with what he called “one of the best course résumés in golf.” Simpson has teed it up at Sedgefield 16 times since 2009, missed only two cuts, and owns nine top-10s including a win, yet Gdula can’t overlook the collapse in Simpson’s ball-striking. Over his last 50 measured rounds Simpson is merely neutral in strokes-gained approach, ranks outside the top-100 in putting, and has fallen to 146th in accuracy despite Sedgefield demanding fairways. Gdula noted that Simpson needed around-the-green magic just to tread water in recent starts, finishing T70 or worse in three of his last four PGA Tour events. With a DFS salary of $8,600 and 101-to-1 outright odds, Gdula prefers to allocate roster spots and betting units to players who are actually gaining on approach—historically the key stat for every recent Wyndham winner.

Brandon Gdula cautioned against chasing Sungjae Im this week despite his sparkling track record at Sedgefield. Im owns five straight top-25 finishes here, including a T6 in 2019, and no one in the field has gained more total strokes at the Wyndham over the past five years. However, Gdula pointed out that Im is languishing near the bottom of the field in strokes-gained approach over the last six months—an alarming weakness given that the past ten Wyndham winners all finished top-20 in approach for the week. Im’s driver is still accurate, but his irons have fallen off so sharply that Gdula compared his current game to “just scrambling to save par,” a profile ill-suited for a tournament where the winning score routinely pushes 20-under. At 60-to-1 on FanDuel Sportsbook and $9,600 in DFS, Gdula sees more attractive ball-striking options and recommends fading Im in both betting outrights and DFS cores unless you’re strictly playing a course-history narrative.