Danny Brasco confidently backs Virna Jandiroba to secure a submission against Yan Xiaonan at strong plus odds (+260). Citing Jandiroba's highly technical grappling, dangerous back-takes, and lethal arm bars (demonstrated recently when she submitted Amanda Lemos), Brasco predicts Jandiroba will control Xiaonan positions repeatedly. While usually wary of elite fighters risking position for submissions, Brasco fully endorses Jandiroba's aggressive submission attempts because of her unmatched grappling skill set. This makes the submission prop particularly attractive given the stylistic matchup and perceived grappling mismatch favoring Virna.

Sean Zerillo strongly supports Virna Jandiroba as excellent betting value against Yan Xiaonan at around -145, modeling the line closer to -200. Zerillo firmly praised Jandiroba as potentially the best pure grappler in the women's strawweight division, citing her standout fight against Mackenzie Dern and notable positional control skills. Zerillo underscored Yan's known vulnerabilities when dealing with grappling pressure, making Jandiroba's path to victory clearly defined on the ground. Although he simultaneously projects some value in Jandiroba's decision props, Zerillo emphasized a strong preference for her submission prop due to the positional dominance she should consistently achieve. He confidently identifies Virna's clear grappling advantage as the decisive factor in winning this matchup.

Kunath strongly recommended Virna Jandiroba as a secure DFS option at UFC 314, emphasizing her significant upside in grappling, takedowns, and ground control. Jandiroba has consistently accumulated substantial control time in past fights (6.5, 7.5, and even 12 minutes in recent appearances). Kunath specifically pointed out that Jandiroba doesn't always rely on early finishes, as longer fights allow her to compile more DraftKings points through extended control, strikes from dominant positions, and multiple takedowns. He stated explicitly that even without an early submission, a three-round decision win, coupled with her grappling dominance, could yield DFS scores in the 85 to 95+ range, making her a reliable choice.

Billy Ward strongly agrees with Sean Zerillo about betting on Virna Jandiroba at UFC 314 against Yan Xiaonan, signaling intent to bet as the moneyline softens toward -142. Ward further cited the intangible benefit of the event location in Miami favoring Jandiroba, noting Yan Xiaonan's significant travel from Asia as potentially impacting her negatively due to itinerary strain and disrupted body clock. Ward suggested waiting slightly longer for optimal pricing due to anticipated late Asian market money possibly further improving Jandiroba's odds. The combination of stylistic advantages, grappling superiority, and logistical edge makes this bet excellent value in Ward’s analysis.

Kunath strongly favors Virna Jandiroba due to her elite, dominant grappling ability against Yan Xiaonan, who has struggled consistently against opponents committed to wrestling. Virna possesses exceptional control on the mat, arguably the best in her division, and has a notably dangerous submission game including a nasty armbar attack. Despite Xiaonan's hand speed and decent striking power, Kunath points out that Jandiroba's proven ability to absorb damage while closing distance to secure takedowns nullifies Xiaonan's striking advantages. Jandiroba's grappling dominance has convinced Kunath that she should be facing championship-level opposition, further emphasizing the potential mismatch. Kunath predicts Jandiroba to either comfortably earn a 30-27 decision or secure an early submission via armbar, strongly recommending a bet on Jandiroba by submission.

Michael Bisping confidently picks Yan Xiaonan to defeat Virna Jandiroba, praising her crisp boxing accuracy and continuous improvement since training with Team Alpha Male and Urijah Faber. Although Yan previously struggled against ground specialists like Carla Esparza, Bisping observed notable improvements in her last fight in Macau. Due to her evolving skillset and her clear striking advantage in this matchup, Xiaonan is expected by Bisping to handle Jandiroba comfortably.

Matty Betss recommended betting Yan Xiaonan by decision (+200) against Virna Jandiroba. His reasoning revolved around Yan's superior striking skill, power advantage, and her impressive resume against elite fighters such as Jessica Andrade. Despite acknowledging Verna's dangerous grappling and takedown prowess, Matty noted Verna historically loses exclusively via decision (all three career losses). He expects Verna might score takedowns but struggle to land meaningful damage, allowing Yan's impactful striking to sway judges' scorecards. Matty plans including this pick in a multi-leg decision parlay for added value, particularly highlighting the underdog decision prop as best value given the expected fight dynamics.

Gumby Vreeland confidently picked Virna Jandiroba over Xiaonan Yan, pinpointing Jandiroba's suffocating top grappling control as the differentiating factor. Although Yan has previously shown adequate takedown defense, Vreeland noted she has repeatedly been taken down in UFC fights, referencing bouts against Weili Zhang, Mackenzie Dern, Carla Esparza, and Tabatha Ricci. He explained that, unlike other grapplers who allowed Yan to regain her footing, Jandiroba is adept at securing position and dominating from top control without allowing any escapes. Vreeland specifically described Jandiroba as a more problematic stylistic matchup for Yan than even expert BJJ artist Mackenzie Dern due to Jandiroba's strategic emphasis on positional control rather than seeking risky submissions. This assessment solidified his pick despite a closely contested betting line of -148.

Cody Saftic strongly advises against betting Virna Jandiroba as the favorite versus Yan Xiaonan, due primarily to Jandiroba's advancing age (36), declining athleticism, and consistent lack of significant striking volume. He points out that Jandiroba wears a knee brace and suggests these mounting physical concerns may diminish her effectiveness in wrestling and scrambles, which have historically compensated for poor striking metrics. In particular, Saftic emphasizes that Jandiroba routinely loses striking exchanges and isn't improving at this late stage. Because he views this fight as a coin flip scenario, he strongly prefers the plus-money side, attempting to exploit potential mispricing and maximize betting value on Yan Xiaonan.

Cody Saftic recommends betting Yan Xiaonan at plus-money odds against Virna Jandiroba, referencing Xiaonan's considerable striking advantages and notable knockout power as strong reasons for optimism. Cody points out Jandiroba's limited striking effectiveness, poor damage accumulation, and heavy reliance on wrestling and control time to secure victories. Conversely, Yan Xiaonan has demonstrated strength and power on her feet, hurting elite competitors such as Zhang Weili and securing an impressive knockout finish of Jessica Andrade. He also highlights Xiaonan training at Team Alpha Male alongside Jandiroba, suggesting familiarity with the latter’s grappling setups and submission entries could significantly reduce Jandiroba's key path to victory. Cody believes Yan's athletic edge, improved understanding of Jandiroba’s grappling attacks, and superior stand-up skills provide significant betting value as an underdog, particularly since she offers higher upside in the context of modern MMA scoring favoring damage impacts.

Cody Saftic cautions bettors against placing money on Virna Jandiroba at -140 odds versus Yan Xiaonan due to concerns over Jandiroba's inefficient striking and limited capacity for damage accumulation. Despite recognizing Virna's exceptional grappling efficiency, utilizing singles, doubles, and sweeps effectively, Cody highlights her glaring weakness on the feet and low striking output, often severely losing in significant strikes landed even in dominant grappling-based wins. Referencing fights against Marina Rodriguez, Angela Hill, and Lupita Godinez, Saftic emphasizes how despite considerable ground control, Jandiroba repeatedly loses striking exchanges, posing concerns under current MMA judging criteria prioritizing damage. Training at Team Alpha Male, Yan Xiaonan has potential insider insight about Jandiroba’s grappling tendencies, which could neutralize Virna's typically effective ground game. Additionally, considering Yan’s notable power, athleticism, and striking superiority, Saftic identifies clear underdog betting value, recommending strongly against backing Jandiroba as the favorite.