Lindquist called the Yankees team total OVER 2.5 runs (at plus-money) his favorite angle in the Strider matchup. Even though Strider has looked sharper of late, the right-hander is still yielding plenty of hard contact, and July weather in Atlanta is ideal for offense—projected 90 °F with 60 % humidity at first pitch. Lindquist expects even middling Yankee bats to turn that hard contact into extra-base damage in "hot-lanta," making the low 2.5 total a value spot to fade Strider.

Mark called the Yankees an enticing road value at –105 versus Spencer Strider and the Braves. Atlanta has won three of its last five and avoided travel thanks to hosting the All-Star festivities, but New York had ripped off five straight before dropping its final two pre-break games. With the Yankees yet to name a starter, Mark expects the market to over-credit Strider’s presence (3.70 ERA, but notorious early-inning volatility) and under-price a Yankee lineup that was red-hot before the layoff. He labeled the matchup a classic buy-low spot on New York and encouraged bettors looking for a Friday dog to consider the pinstripes.

Millz Young played Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases and sprinkled a home-run prop versus Spencer Strider. Judge avoided the Home Run Derby grind, took only a few All-Star Game swings, and Young expects the big bat to remain lively out of the break. Facing a hard-thrower he’s seen in past interleague action, Young projects Judge for multiple hard-hit balls with legitimate yard potential.

Millz Young said Spencer Strider should clear his 6.5-to-7 strikeout prop against the Yankees. Young noted that even if New York’s bats tag Strider for a few runs, the swing-and-miss heavy lineup still gives him a clear path to at least seven punch-outs. Coming out of the All-Star break with a full turn of rest only helps Strider log a deeper outing and rack up Ks. Young labeled the over his favorite strikeout play of Friday’s board.

Lonte Smith believes the even-money price on Atlanta is a buy-low gift with Spencer Strider facing Marcus Stroman. Strider has logged three straight quality starts, and Smith expects the Braves’ lineup—still boasting elite hard-hit metrics despite July struggles—to give him better run support coming out of the break. Atlanta sits nine games back in the Wild Card and Smith anticipates playoff urgency showing up immediately. Stroman, meanwhile, was shaky in his final pre-break outing and draws a park downgrade in Truist Park. Combining Strider’s swing-and-miss upside with Atlanta’s bullpen advantage, Smith tagged the Braves moneyline as undervalued and sees the series as a potential springboard for their second-half surge.