Drew Martin recommended laying the price with the Yankees in the Subway Series. Southpaw Max Fried is 10-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 106 strikeouts; he blanked the Mets earlier this season over six innings (3 H, 8 K). New York will face Brandon Waddell, a bullpen arm who spent the last four years in the KBO and has limited MLB data. Martin doubts Waddell can navigate a top-tier Yankee order and gives New York decisive bullpen support behind him. The combination of Fried’s ace form and a clear lineup mismatch makes the Bronx Bombers the play.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Yankees money-line because Max Fried brings a Cy Young–level 0.94 WHIP into Citi Field while the Mets counter with Brandon Waddell in a patched-together bullpen game. New York’s AL club owns the league’s second-best road OPS and has rediscovered its stroke after a brief slump. Meanwhile, the Mets rank only 11th in home OPS and must ask a shaky pen to navigate Aaron Judge and company multiple times. The tout expects the Yankee lineup to supply enough support for Fried to secure a must-win against their crosstown rivals.

Lonte Smith called the Yankees a bargain at -150 and loves their team total Over against Frankie Montas. Rodon is ‘due for a big month’, having allowed two or fewer runs in three of his last four road starts and already blanking the Mets earlier this season (1 ER over 5 IP). Montas, meanwhile, cratered for five runs in one inning versus Pittsburgh and has given up at least four earned in six of his last eight appearances. Smith projected New York to hang crooked numbers early, recommending Yankees first-five -0.5 and folding their money-line into a two-leg parlay with Tampa Bay. He believes the proper line should be closer to -170.

Scott Reichel fired on Over 9 because a 10-mph breeze to straightaway center and Frankie Montas’ recent blow-ups create ideal run-scoring conditions. Montas has surrendered 11 runs in 9 innings over his last two outings and sports a 6.15 xERA that suggests worse days ahead. Although Carlos Rodon’s surface numbers are strong, Reichel noted his strikeout rate has dropped four straight starts, making him more homer-prone in a park where the ball will carry. With both bullpens ranking bottom-10 in ERA since mid-June, Reichel projects a 6-5 type game and will take any total of 9.5 or lower.

Drew Martin said to back the Yankees at –140 in the Subway Series because the starting-pitching matchup heavily favors New York. Carlos Rodon owns a 9-5 record with a sub-3.00 ERA and already stifled the Mets earlier this season (2 hits, 1 ER). New York also hits right-handed pitching much better than the Mets handle lefties. While both bullpens have struggled, Martin argued the Mets’ relief corps has been just as shaky, so the late-inning risk is baked into the number. Even with the Yankees riding a four-game skid and the Mets 31-13 at Citi Field, he believes the 40-cent price is short given Rodon’s form versus Frankie Montas, who is making only his third start of the year and was tagged for six earned and two homers by Pittsburgh last time out.