Kenny G told listeners the Royals are worth a sprinkle at +122 and tagged them as a potential "dog of the day." His logic is that New York is starting rookie right-hander Will Warren on the road, while Kansas City counters with veteran Seth Lugo, whom Kenny expects to rebound after a rare rough outing. Despite KC’s anemic offense (28th in runs, 24th in slugging), the club owns a respectable 19-15 home mark and has cashed the under in 20 of 34 at Kauffman, a sign their pitching usually keeps games competitive. The Yankees travel well (MLB-best 20-13 road record) but the –145 price feels steep to lay behind an unproven arm. With the Royals trying to avoid a sweep, a sturdier starter, and plus money in their pocket, Kenny sees enough edges to justify taking the shot on Kansas City.

Martin jumped on New York at the overnight low of -131, arguing the number should be higher. The Yankees’ bats are scalding—33 runs in their last four games—and rank first both overall and versus right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo has already been tattooed by this lineup once this season, surrendering four homers, and has consistently struggled against MLB’s better offenses. Will Warren’s recent hiccups came against the Dodgers and at Coors; otherwise the second-year arm has been serviceable. Kansas City’s offense still sits bottom-five overall and against righties. Add a decisive bullpen advantage for New York and Martin sees clear value in the short road favorite.

It’s The Final Round highlighted Vinnie Pasquantino as Thursday’s premier prop target, either solo or in a parlay. Yankees rookie Will Warren has been touched up by lefties for a .308 average over his last three starts, while Pasquantino is scorching right-handed pitching with a .522 batting average (26 PA) in the past 10 games. The slugger has cleared his simple hit prop in 10 straight contests, has cashed Hits+Runs+RBIs in nine of ten, and has exceeded 1.5 total bases in five of his last seven. Even his RBI (6/10) and run (5/7) props show profitability. The tout urged bettors to ride the hot hand until the market adjusts.

Lindquist plans to take the UNDER on Will Warren’s strikeout prop if books hang it at 5.5 again. Despite Warren’s 29.4% K-rate, Lindquist highlighted serious red flags: 50.7% hard-hit rate and 11% walk rate that could inflate pitch counts and shorten his outing. Kansas City owns one of MLB’s lowest strikeout rates versus right-handed pitching and shows patience near the bottom of the order, giving Lindquist confidence that Warren lands at 4–5 punchouts instead of six or more.

Kenny G endorsed the Yankees at –120 even though Chris Bubich sports a pristine 1.43 ERA. He reminded listeners that Bubich’s only wobble of 2025 came against these same Yankees back in April (5.1 IP, 7 H, 3 ER) and now New York’s offense is even hotter after a 10-2 romp in game one, highlighted by Aaron Judge’s 469-foot blast and Austin Wells’ five RBI night. The Bombers rank top-three in MLB in both runs and OPS and bring a 18-13 road record to Kauffman Stadium. Clark Schmidt’s 4.04 ERA is merely serviceable, but Kansas City’s bats are anything but intimidating—27th in runs and 24th in slugging, posting just 3.5 runs per game over their last six. The Royals’ bullpen (3.55 ERA) has slipped, and they give Bubich minimal run support. With New York’s bullpen still solid at 3.80 ERA and the lineup presenting a challenge Bubich has not consistently solved, Kenny expects the Yanks to muscle out a 5-3 type victory. He leaned under nine but made the moneyline his primary wager.

B Wade likes Ryan O'Hearn to exceed 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against Casey Mize and the Tigers. O'Hearn owns a 6-for-11 (.545) career line with two home runs off Mize, who is 6-1 with a 2.90 ERA. O'Hearn is batting .323 versus right-handers overall this season and was on a hot streak before a quiet game Tuesday. Wade expects the batter-pitcher dominance and platoon advantage to show up again and is betting the over.

Drew Martin laid Yankees –1.5 at –120, trusting Max Fried to halt New York’s brief skid while the offense pounds rookie lefty Noah Cameron. Fried just tossed six scoreless one-hit innings versus Cleveland, rebounding from a rare blow-up start, and Martin expects him to play “stopper” for a staff that allowed 23 runs in Boston. Cameron sports a flashy sub-1.00 ERA but owns only a 19-10 K/BB in 31 frames and has yet to face anything close to the league-leading Yankee lineup, which ranks No.1 overall and crushes left-handers. Martin anticipates regression for the rookie and believes New York’s bats will break through quickly. Because the straight moneyline sits at –180, he prefers the cheaper run-line angle, projecting the Bronx Bombers to win by multiple runs behind an ace-level start from Fried.

B Wade is taking Noah Cameron under 2.5 earned runs allowed. The rookie left-hander has surrendered only three runs through 31 innings (0.87 ERA, 0.79 WHIP) across five big-league starts, yielding a single run apiece to St. Louis, Minnesota, and Cincinnati. Wade notes that unfamiliarity with Cameron’s repertoire gives him an edge the first time clubs see him, and the Yankees have been streaky of late. As long as Cameron limits New York to two or fewer, the prop cashes, and Wade expects just that.