Adam Burke recommended Corey Conners as a viable first-round leader selection at the Masters Tournament 2025, given Conners' proven history in opening round performance and current form. Although inconsistent with his putting, Conners ranked top 10 in strokes gained total following Thursday's round in both 2022 and 2024 Masters editions. Moreover, Conners is currently in good shape, having recorded four top-10 finishes and five straight top-25 placements leading up to the tournament. His first-round leader price is pegged at 45/1 by DraftKings, offering enticing value should he find consistency on Augusta's greens on day one.

Adam Burke highlighted Will Zalatoris as an appealing first-round leader bet at the Masters Tournament 2025. Zalatoris has shown impressive opening-round effectiveness at Augusta, ranking in the top 10 of strokes gained total after Thursday in 2021, 2022, and again in 2024. Despite just one top-15 finish in 2025 thus far, Burke emphasized the importance of Augusta familiarity and past success, both of which Zalatoris clearly has. DraftKings offers Zalatoris at 45/1 first-round leader odds, providing strong upside considering his consistent early-round Augusta performances historically.

Adam Burke identified Cameron Young as a valuable pick for the First-Round Leader at the Masters Tournament 2025 due to his remarkable consistency in the opening round. Young finished within the top 10 in strokes gained total in the first round in both 2023 and 2024 Masters, placing T-6th and T-4th respectively after day one. Currently priced at 70/1 at DraftKings for first-round leader odds and 200/1 to win the entire tournament, Young presents a profitable opportunity grounded in demonstrated recent Masters performance.

Adam Burke recommends betting against Cole Ragans, citing major concerns from his spring training performances, specifically two outings where he was rocked—one allowing seven runs in 2.1 innings vs Cubs and one giving up eight runs on eleven hits vs the Athletics. Burke points to Ragans' reduced spin rates and fastball velocity declines that began late last season, exacerbated by significant bumps in walk rates from August onward. Burke references Eno Sarris' pitcher analysis noting Ragans lost more fastball velocity from start to finish last year after greatly increased workload, suggesting he may be struggling physically. Burke favors fading Ragans and Royals as part of his season-long strategy to bet against Kansas City.

Adam Burke is eyeing the hits allowed prop (over 4.5 hits) for Astros pitcher Framber Valdez due to downgraded infield defense behind Valdez. He highlights that Alex Bregman's absence and Isaac Paredes' weaker defense at 3B, combined with declining defensive numbers for SS Jeremy Pena and sub-average defense at second base, significantly weaken the team's ability to support Valdez's ground-ball reliant approach. Burke notes the Mets’ potent lineup versus lefties, historically top five in MLB, and expects the weakened defensive unit will allow increased hit opportunities, making this prop attractive.

Adam Burke identifies Sonny Gray as a strong fade candidate, citing concerning reports about pain-killing injections in his flexor tendon from the previous season, leading to noticeable velocity drops through spring. In spring training, Gray allowed 20 runs on 23 hits and 8 HR in just 14.1 innings, suggesting significant health or mechanical issues. Burke specifically targets Twins' hitter Matt Wallner in this matchup due to his elite left-handed hitting splits (.277/.396/.555) against lefties. Burke recommends both a half-unit on Wallner to homer at +450 odds and a safer total bases bet (over 0.5 at -150 odds).

Adam Burke is backing the Giants for Opening Day against the Reds, highlighting Logan Webb's strong spring form, where he allowed just six runs (four earned) in 20.1 innings, showcasing excellent pitch efficiency. He considers that even though Hunter Greene strikes out more batters, Greene's tendency to walk hitters creates scoring opportunities for the Giants. Burke notes significant Reds issues—the absence of catcher Tyler Stephenson, Spencer Steer's injury limiting him to DHing, causing Gavin Lux to move to left field where he's inexperienced. Burke emphasizes the Giants' bullpen superiority, marking them as one of the best bullpens in baseball, contrasting notably against the Reds' projected weak relief group that is currently missing top reliever Alexis Diaz.