Adam Levitan pushed back on Silva’s optimism, saying he is still out on Kyle Pitts even at a TE18 price. Levitan’s main worry is that Pitts simply is not an NFL-caliber separator: he cannot overpower linebackers in-line, and safeties or corners erase him on the perimeter. Last year’s 47-600-4 receiving line came despite Atlanta ranking fifth in pass attempts inside the 10-yard line, suggesting Pitts failed to capitalize on existing scoring chances. Levitan acknowledged Atlanta may score more in 2024 but doubts Pitts suddenly becomes efficient enough to matter. With tight ends like David Njoku and T.J. Hockenson available later, Levitan prefers fading Pitts altogether.

Adam Levitan agreed Worthy is a sell, just not as aggressively as Silva. Levitan will rank the Chiefs rookie a few spots below ADP because he is worried about role, not talent. He pointed out that Kansas City used Worthy on clear-out routes early, only pivoting to underneath touches when the receiver room was decimated. Those manufactured looks should now funnel to Rashee Rice and newcomer Marquise Brown, leaving Worthy to prove he can actually separate deep—an open question after multiple apparent ‘he was open, Mahomes missed him’ clips last year. With a target tree that already includes Kelce, Rice, Brown, Pacheco, Noah Gray and first-round rookie Jalen Royal, Levitan doubts Worthy sees the volume a WR21 price tag implies.

Levitan warned that Williams’ 91 targets in 15 games already required squeezing a crowded offense and that giving substantial volume to Gibbs, David Montgomery, Sam LaPorta and Williams simultaneously is unrealistic. He added Detroit has fewer dome games this year—historically a negative split for Goff’s deep passing—reducing Williams’ splash-play rate. While acknowledging Williams’ weekly ceiling, Levitan doubts the receiver can compile enough catches to pay off a mid-WR2 price in best-ball formats where duds can’t be benched.

Adam Levitan pushed back on Silva’s optimism, saying he is "lukewarm at best" on Isiah Pacheco after being burned in 2023. Levita worries that players coming off broken legs often need longer than a calendar year to regain burst, and he plans to ask medical expert Stefania Bell about the timeline. He also questioned Pacheco’s talent ceiling and pointed out that Kansas City historically throws at a high rate inside the red zone—a tendency that may spike with Worthy, Rashee Rice, Marquise Brown and Travis Kelce all healthy. Those systemic factors plus lingering health concerns make Levita wary of drafting Pacheco near Silva’s RB22 rank.

Adam Levitan said the slight ADP slide on Zay Flowers—from 47.4 to 49.6 on Underdog—creates a unique leverage point in Best Ball Mania. Because Lamar Jackson now goes at pick 36, drafters must select Flowers seven-plus spots ahead of his posted ADP at the 3/4 turn if they want the Ravens’ QB-WR1 stack. Levitan usually avoids early-round reaches, citing data that shows it hurts win rates, but he views this as an exception for three reasons: (1) roster uniqueness is critical in BBM’s top-heavy payout structure; (2) Flowers owns an elite spike-week profile—4.42 speed, 6.3 yards after catch per reception, and a 27% target share in games decided by seven points or fewer—that can swing the single-week finals; and (3) the 25-year-old is entering his statistical prime while Baltimore’s defense projects to improve, tightening overall pass volume and further concentrating targets on the first-read options. He cautioned that volume could be volatile in blowouts but emphasized that when Flowers hits, he hits big, making the controlled ADP reach worth it for tournament builds focused on first place.

Adam Levitan is buying the recent slide on Trevor Lawrence to pick 137, arguing that a historically low touchdown rate should bounce back under new OC Liam Coen. Lawrence never topped 25 passing TDs, but Jacksonville added first-round freak Brian Thomas Jr. plus Swiss-army Travis Hunter, and still boasts Christian Kirk. Lawrence’s offseason AC-joint surgery was on his non-throwing shoulder, eliminating health concerns. Levitan prefers him on DraftKings where pocket passers benefit from the 300-yard bonus and full-PPR scoring. Ideal builds pair him with one of the early wideouts, yet late backdoor stacks exist with Brenton Strange, Parker Washington and Diami Brown. Levitan’s rankings have Lawrence just behind C.J. Stroud and Drake Maye, and he sees little in the current environment that would keep Lawrence from a 30-plus TD breakout season.

Adam Levitan urged buying David Njoku after his ADP dipped to 120 on DraftKings and 129 on Underdog. Njoku owns rare athleticism for a tight end and can command extreme volume in spurts, logging six games with at least 11 targets last season, three of which reached 13+. The Browns have shown a willingness to funnel quick hitters and screens to him when other options stall. Levitan thinks drafters are overreacting to rookie Harold Fanon, noting rookie tight ends almost never steal significant routes from an entrenched veteran. Despite Cleveland’s shaky quarterback situation, Levitan ranks Njoku well ahead of current ADP and likes him as part of three-TE builds that include mid-range names such as Jonnu, Andrews, Ingram and Godert. The ceiling is a week-winning target share at a position starved for it.

Adam Levitan recommended drafting Tyler Shough at pick 188 as a high-leverage QB3, arguing the rookie is the favorite to win the Saints starting job. With Derek Carr retiring due to shoulder issues, New Orleans spent the 40th pick to secure Shough and framed training camp as an open battle with Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener. Levitan set Shough’s starts over/under at 13.5 but said all 17 are in play if healthy. Shough will throw in a dome to Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Alvin Kamara and brand-new OC Kellen Moore’s vertical system, with vulture Taysom Hill hurt and likely gone. Dane Brugler ranked Shough QB4 in the class, and his 4.63 forty at 6'5" 219 hints at underrated rushing upside. Levitan prefers him on DraftKings’ 20-round format where three-QB builds, 300-yard bonuses and full-PPR devalue rushing TDs, and expects a significant ADP spike once the starter announcement hits.

Adam Levitan endorsed Will Shipley as a pick around 189 overall, calling him a fine zero-running-back target. He pointed out that Philadelphia let long-time two-minute back Kenneth Gainwell leave on a near-minimum deal, signalling confidence in Shipley to handle that role. Shipley, a 2024 fourth-rounder with more explosive play ability than Gainwell, sits behind Saquon Barkley but Barkley logged 482 touches last year, is 28, and carries a history of ACL and ankle injuries. Levitan expects Barkley to dominate touches when healthy yet projected Shipley for 12-16 touches per game if Barkley were sidelined, all within the league’s most dominant run scheme and elite offensive line. The Eagles also brought in A.J. Dillon as the big-back option, strengthening the idea Shipley would be the passing-down and juice complement. At his current cost on both Underdog and DraftKings, Levitan sees Shipley as cheap injury leverage and an easy portfolio add.

Adam Levitan said he is still buying shares of Jameson Williams despite the recent ADP surge to 48 overall. Levitan highlighted new OC John Morton calling Williams unbelievable and predicting a breakout season while offering a noticeably more cautious tone on rookie Isaac Tesla in the same press conference. Levitan noted that 2024 was Williams first full NFL season, that he is finally two years removed from the knee injury, and that at just 24 he is entering a theoretical contract year. Williams logged a 64% catch rate with the 36th-highest average depth of target among WRs, numbers Levitan believes can improve as health and experience converge. The upside case is multiple 80-yard touchdowns that can swing a best ball week, and Williams correlates nicely with Jared Goff stacks. Levitan concedes the projection model remains behind ADP and that Williams now goes ahead of Zay Flowers, George Pickens and even Jaylen Waddle, yet he is willing to reach because the ceiling outcomes fit tournament formats.

Adam Levitan scooped Baker Mayfield at 40-1 on FanDuel (25-1 on DK) pointing to three pillars: Mayfield ranked top-8 in EPA per play after Week 10, the NFC South remains the league’s softest division, and Tampa’s defense slipped to 24th in DVOA, forcing shootout scripts that inflate quarterback numbers. Levitan believes a 4,800-yard, 35-TD season on a 12-5 Buccaneers squad could replicate Matt Stafford’s 2021 narrative and pierce voter fatigue with the usual Allen/Mahomes suspects. He values the ticket down to 30-1.

Adam Levitan already bet Mykel Williams at 16-1 for Defensive Rookie of the Year, noting the award skews heavily toward first-round edge rushers (nine of the last 13 winners). Williams posted a 17% pressure rate in the SEC, comparable to Will Anderson’s college numbers, and lands on a defense with a top-five blitz rate, meaning plenty of one-on-one opportunities. With Abdul Carter sitting at a short +250, Levitan believes voters are susceptible to ‘sack leader bias’; if Williams reaches double-digit sacks, history says the 16-1 will close below +400 by December.

Adam Levitan said he already grabbed Ashen Jeanty at +350 (now +250) for Offensive Rookie of the Year because the 2025 class offers almost no quarterback resistance. He noted that in Bijan Robinson’s year four QBs went inside the top-35 picks, but this cycle only Cam Ward projects to start. Levitan expects Jeanty to push 300 touches behind a top-10 offensive line, giving voters an easy narrative if Ward struggles. He thinks anything longer than +200 still has value given how running backs historically win when the QB field is thin.

Adam Levitan threw out Kevin O’Connell at 45-1 for Coach of the Year as a viable moon-shot. He argued that Minnesota’s 2025 roster—fortified interior offensive line, a beefed-up defensive front, and a healthy Justin Jefferson—looks far stronger than last year’s 6-11 version. Levitan thinks there is a non-trivial chance rookie JJ McCarthy is immediately better than placeholder Sam Darnold; if the former Michigan QB pushes this offense to league-average efficiency, a 13- or 14-win spike would give voters the irresistible ‘it doesn’t matter who plays quarterback, O’Connell just wins’ storyline. Because COY winners rarely repeat, Levitan prefers this number to betting the Vikings win total, calling anything 40-1 or longer a worthwhile flyer.

Adam Levitan listed Dave Canales at 18-1 for Coach of the Year as one of the first names on his card, pending Bryce Young’s progression. Levitan acknowledged Young’s brutal rookie start—so poor he was benched for Andy Dalton—yet emphasized the QB’s strong finish and the front office’s offseason commitment to upgrading his surroundings (two new guards, a legitimate WR1 in Diontae Johnson, and a healthy Austin Corbett back at center). If Canales replicates the play-caller-to-head-coach bump we saw from Kevin Stefanski and Brian Daboll, Levitan believes an 8-9 win jump off last year’s 2-15 basement puts Carolina straight into the ‘worst-to-wild-card’ narrative that historically sways COY voters. He admits he would prefer a 25-1 sticker but is still willing to fire at 18-1 given the soft early schedule (only one projected top-10 defense in the first seven weeks).

Adam Levitan said he has added Sean McVay at 35-1 for Coach of the Year on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Levitan thinks the market is sleeping on how close the Rams came to the NFC title game last season and noted they return virtually every core starter on offense and defense. He pointed to top-five offensive-line continuity, an ascending young front seven, and the addition of burner Brenden Rice to a Cooper Kupp/Puka Nacua nucleus as reasons Los Angeles can realistically hit 13 wins. Levitan reminded listeners that voters already love McVay’s media-friendly persona—his ‘recite the play from 2016’ party trick routinely goes viral—and stressed that perceived narrative juice often matters more than pure coaching merit. If the Rams snag the NFC’s No.1 seed, Levitan expects McVay’s odds to crash into single digits by Thanksgiving.

Adam Levitan flagged De'Von Achane at 75-1 for Offensive Player of the Year as the type of running-back profile that can generate the true statistical outlier voters crave. Levitan wants the sophomore to pair last year’s league-leading 7.8 yards per carry with the expanded pass-game role Miami showcased down the stretch (5.1 targets per game Weeks 12-17). With only aging Alexander Mattison and sixth-round rookie Ollie Gordon behind him, Achane is the clear favorite for 65-70% of backfield touches. The concern is overall team volatility—Miami’s win total slid from 11.5 to 9.5 after roster turnover—yet Levitan believes a healthy Tua Tagovailoa unlocks the 2,000-scrimmage-yard ceiling that would make 75-1 look silly by Thanksgiving.

Adam Levitan will not touch Bo Nix at 35-1 on DraftKings but called the 75-1 still hanging at FanDuel ‘worth a sprinkle.’ His thesis: Sean Payton coaxed a top-12 DVOA offense from a broken Russell Wilson and now gets a rookie he hand-picked. If Kansas City stumbles and Denver steals the AFC West with 13 wins, voters will credit the new quarterback. Levitan added that Payton’s offenses historically rank top-five in pass rate over expectation, giving Nix counting stats that matter to MVP voters. He advised locking the 75-1 before market makers bake in training-camp buzz.

Adam Levitan is taking last-round swings on athletic freak Isaac TeSlaa after Detroit leapt 32 spots to draft him at pick 70—well ahead of consensus boards. TeSlaa runs a sub-4.4 and could find himself replacing Jameson Williams if trade rumors materialize or the team declines his 2026 option. With a Jared Goff offense that averages 28.5 points per game and plays 10 contests indoors, even WR3 snaps can turn into spike weeks. Levitan sees TeSlaa as a classic late-summer helium candidate once camp reports surface, making him a priority watch-list add in best ball and deep season-long leagues.

Adam Levitan labeled Cam Skattebo one of the worst picks in current best-ball ADP. Skattebo is coming off the board at pick 99, but ETR ranks slot him 125th because the Giants project as a bottom-five offense and a three-man committee. Levitan expects Devin Singletary—hand-picked by Brian Daboll—to handle the majority of "reliable" touches while fifth-round rookie Tyrone Tracy siphons passing-down snaps. Without explosive athletic traits or clear lead-back volume, Skattebo needs multiple things to break perfectly just to justify a fringe RB3 tag, a risk Levitan refuses to pay at a top-100 price.

Adam Levitan pumped the brakes on rookie Jack Bech despite the seemingly wide-open Raiders depth chart. Levitan reminded listeners that Besh will have to face three top-10 defenses—Denver, Kansas City, and an improved Chargers unit—twice each inside the AFC West, a slate that could suppress passing volume and rookie efficiency. While he acknowledged Besh’s plus athletic profile (6-1, 214 with sub-4.5 speed) and the lack of established perimeter threats behind Jacoby Myers, Levitan argued the market is ignoring how often Antonio Pierce’s team could be forced into low-scoring divisional slugfests. He advised treating Besh as a late-round dart only, not the every-week WR3 some drafters are projecting.

Adam Levitan likes the landing spot but warned that the market is getting carried away with Ashton Gentry. ETR’s best-ball ranks slot him 12th overall while high-stakes drafters are taking him at picks 7–8, ahead of established studs like Nico Collins, Brian Thomas Jr., Jahmyr Gibbs, and Puka Nacua. Levitan already projects Gentry for near-league-leading carries and touches, yet those rosy assumptions still can’t justify a mid-first price tag. His advice: let someone else pay the absolute ceiling and scoop value elsewhere.

Adam Levitan called TreVeyon Henderson the exact archetype he wants to draft: an explosive pass-catching back tied to a young quarterback elevator. New England spent pick 38 on Henderson despite having Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson, a signal the new regime values his skill set. Levitan expects Henderson to own third-down work immediately and thinks he could wrestle early-down carries if a post-injury Stevenson shows any slippage. Playing alongside Drake Maye should boost touchdown equity and chunk-play opportunities. Levitan is comfortable paying the late-5th/early-6th-round price (ADP 59) in best ball and season-long formats, ranking him 64th overall in ETR ranks.

Adam Levitan believes fourth-round tight end Elijah Arroyo could become Geno Smith’s No. 2 target if Seattle releases Noah Fant and pockets the $13 million cap savings. With DK Metcalf traded and Tyler Lockett gone, the Seahawks have only Jaxon Smith-Njigba and the aging Cooper Kupp commanding defensive attention. Arroyo was a pure pass catcher at Miami and would share the room only with blocking specialist A.J. Barner. If Fant is cut before camp, Levitan will vault Arroyo into his late-round tight end pool, citing a realistic 70-target rookie season in a thinned receiver corps.

Adam Levitan stashed Jalen Milroe everywhere after Seattle spent pick 92 on the Alabama dual-threat. Levitan doesn’t expect him to unseat Sam Darnold in 2025 barring injury, but emphasized Milroe’s fantasy cheat-code profile: a 4.35-ish forty and 14 rushing TDs last year. Greg Cosell even called him "more explosive than Lamar Jackson," a rare superlative from the tape guru. If Milroe sees the field, Levitan projects 8-10 designed runs per game plus scramble yardage—enough to flirt with 25-plus fantasy points regardless of passing polish. He is an ideal last-round best-ball QB3 or dynasty bench stash.

Adam Levitan is happy to burn a late pick on Jordan James purely because of Kyle Shanahan. Christian McCaffrey turns 29 and has documented Achilles and knee concerns, while Jordan Mason is gone and the depth chart now sits shallow. Levitan had James as RB5 in the class and Dane Brugler graded him RB7, praising his one-cut explosiveness. Even as a fifth-round pick, any injury ahead of him would immediately plug James into a proven top-five rushing environment that has turned day-three backs into league winners before. Levitan is drafting him as a high-variance best-ball play and a deep redraft stash with contingent RB2 upside.

Adam Levitan called Trey Harris one of his favorite rookie landing-spot values. Drafted 55th overall, Harris steps into the Chargers’ vacant X role with only a rehabbing Mike Williams, an unproven Quentin Johnston, and day-three rookie KeAndre Lambert-Smith standing in his way. Levitan conceded Kellen Moore’s 2024 offense was run-tilted but still likes the attachment to a still-elite Justin Herbert—"maybe an MVP in his future." He noted that best-ball drafters remain lukewarm, leaving Harris available well outside the top-120 picks despite a realistic path to 90% route participation by mid-season. Levitan is scooping shares in both best ball and redraft as a cheap bet on immediate rookie snaps plus Herbert-boosted touchdown equity.

Levitan cautioned drafters not to overweight Cam Ward’s 1.01 draft capital. The rookie lands on a Titans roster whose top pass catchers are 30-year-old Calvin Ridley, Tyler Lockett on his fourth NFL contract, and tight end Chig Okonkwo; the rest of the depth chart is Van Jefferson and Day-3 rookies. While Tennessee’s offensive line rates above average, Levitan doubts Ward can elevate what might be the worst skill-position group in football. Ward’s 155 overall ADP makes him a viable third-QB flier in best-ball stacks with Ridley, but in season-long formats Levitan recommends streaming proven veterans instead of hoping Ward overcomes a supporting cast that offers little yards-after-catch or contested-catch ability.

Levitan advised passing on rookie tight end Tyler Warren at his current 120 overall ADP. Indianapolis projects as one of the league’s most run-heavy teams while Shane Steichen tries to hide either Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones, funneling touches through Jonathan Taylor and RPO looks. When the Colts do throw, proven target earners Michael Pittman and Josh Downs stand in the way of a high route share. Although Warren should log 80 % of snaps immediately—his competition is Mo Alie-Cox, Jelani Woods, Will Mallory, Drew Ogletree—Levitan does not see enough pass volume for a rookie TE1 outcome. He prefers Jake Ferguson, who goes multiple rounds later but plays in a pass-centric Dallas offense.

Adam Levitan trashed Luther Burden’s early best-ball price, calling him one of the worst values on Underdog. ETR ranks have Burden 111th overall, yet drafters are taking him at pick 88—roughly two full rounds ahead of his projection. Levitan thinks Ben Johnson’s offense could open the season with D.J. Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and Keenan Allen (plus running backs) ahead of Burden in the read progression, making him Caleb Williams’ fifth option out of the gate. He pushed back on comparisons to Amon-Ra St. Brown, noting Burden’s collegiate slot rate (80 %) came in a scheme that manufactured free releases rather than St. Brown’s underneath YAC work. Because projection models simply can’t get Burden to the 18–20 % target shares needed to pay off an eighth-round tag, Levitan advised letting someone else chase the rookie hype until camp clarifies his role.

Adam Levitan said Matthew Golden is the kind of upside swing he wants once the market cools. Green Bay was third-lowest in pass rate over expectation last year, yet their receiver room is wide-open: Christian Watson is a "massive reserve-PUP red-flag" coming off an ACL tear, Romeo Doubs is a "sacrificial X," and 2023 rookie Dantayvion Wicks still struggles at the catch point. Levitan noted Golden’s current Underdog ADP is 73, cheap for a Round-1 receiver, and expects it to slide even further in traditional redraft where drafters are less rookie-centric. If Watson misses the first half of the season, Golden could step right into an every-down perimeter role next to Jaden Reed. Levitan plans to pass on him in early best-ball drafts but scoop shares later in August when the price inevitably softens, calling him a "classic late-summer helium target" for both best-ball rooms and season-long leagues.

Adam Levitan likes Emeka Egbuka’s long-term outlook even though Tampa Bay’s receiver room is crowded today. The Bucs invested the 19th pick in Egbuka despite glaring defensive needs, signaling a future starting role. Baker Mayfield has been a "printing press" for fantasy receivers, fueling top-20 seasons from Mike Evans and Chris Godwin the past two years. Both veterans carry fragility—Evans turns 32 and Godwin is coming off multiple lower-leg injuries—so one injury could thrust Egbuka into an every-down role. Levitan views the rookie as an ideal ninth-round best-ball stash who offers league-winning spike-week potential when opportunity knocks.

Adam Levitan warned that Caleb Johnson’s 75-overall ADP bakes in a ceiling outcome he’s not willing to chase. Johnson went just 83rd in the draft—historically shaky territory for running-back hits—and will cede passing-down work to Jaylen Warren in what projects as a bottom-10 scoring offense. Levitan noted Johnson is now being drafted ahead of DeAndre Swift and two full rounds before Brian Robinson, players with far clearer workloads. His advice: let someone else pay for perfection and target cheaper backs with similar touch projections.

Adam Levitan said RJ Harvey is walking into a tailor-made fantasy goldmine. Sean Payton’s offenses have ranked top-6 in running-back target share in 10 of the past 11 seasons and produced four No. 1 finishes, so Levitan projects 60-plus targets for Harvey on top of a near-monopoly of early-down carries. Denver spent pick 60 even though Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Estime are already on the roster, and Levitan dismissed them as "obvious role players." Behind what he called a "loaded" offensive line and paired with Bo Nix on an ascending offense, Levitan believes Harvey has top-20 overall upside in both best ball and season-long leagues if he wins the job in camp.

Adam Levitan urged restraint on Travis Hunter after noting the ‘most complicated draft-capital situation’ he’s ever seen. Hunter went No. 2 overall partly for his defensive versatility, meaning 20-30% of his snaps could come at cornerback and not produce fantasy points. Levitan has him 41st overall in best-ball ranks—roughly market price—but worries the community is ignoring the possibility of limited offensive snaps. Until Jacksonville clarifies Hunter’s role in camp, Levitan prefers safer rookie WR bets at similar ADPs.

Adam Levitan said he is routinely clicking third-round rookie Isaac TeSlaa because the market refuses to do so. Detroit traded up 32 spots to land TeSlaa—an explosive 4.41 athlete with a 39-inch vert—and yet the wideout is being drafted in barely 46 percent of Best Ball Mania rooms per ETR’s proprietary ownership tracker. Levitan compared the situation to last year’s Demario Douglas, whose late-season spike weeks swung finals despite sub-20 percent overall exposure. With Jameson Williams locked into the Z-spot and Amon-Ra St. Brown commanding defensive attention inside, Levitan thinks TeSlaa needs only a rotational role to deliver usable weeks. If Williams misses time or the Lions push pass rate closer to Dan Campbell’s 2023 tendencies (top-12 in neutral situations), TeSlaa’s down-field skill set could break slates. Levitan advised scooping him whenever you need low-correlation upside in the last two rounds.

Adam Levitan could not pass on Brian Robinson nearly a full round past ADP, pointing out the Commanders added zero meaningful backfield competition on draft weekend. While Jaden Daniels will siphon rushing scores, Levitan referenced last season’s Derrick Henry/Lamar Jackson best-ball smash as proof dual-threat QBs do not kill their running backs when the offense as a whole improves. Robinson’s every-down profile meshes with Levitan’s hyper-fragile build—Gibbs, Jacobs, Robinson—and provides correlation with Daniels across the season.

Adam Levitan said he is steering clear of Jerome Ford even after the Browns re-signed him on a modest one-year, $1.5 million deal that includes low guaranteed money. Cleveland spent Day 3 picks on Dylan Sampson and Quinshon Judkins, creating a messy three-back rotation once Nick Chubb inevitably lands elsewhere. Levitan noted that Ford’s best-case outcome is essentially last year’s middling RB3 finish—an outcome that still required 279 touches. With two rookies siphoning early-down work and likely all the kick-return snaps that padded Ford’s total points, Levitan sees no realistic path to ceiling. He prefers late-round backs tied to clearer contingent value such as Will Shipley or Blake Corum, arguing Ford’s price only reflects projection models but completely ignores upside.

Adam Levitan argued that C.J. Stroud is undervalued at an ADP of 130 despite ETR currently ranking him slightly lower. He cited a rookie year marred by offensive-line injuries, scheme turmoil and a revolving receiver room that masked Stroud’s underlying efficiency. Houston shored up protection and spent a second-rounder on boundary weapon Jaden Higgins plus slot specialist Jalen Knox, giving Stroud a cleaner runway for a Year-2 leap into the low-end QB1 tier. Levitan expects those upgrades to force both ETR’s rank and the broader market upward in the coming weeks, advising drafters to buy the dip before it evaporates.

Adam Levitan could not believe Dallas Goedert is lingering around an Underdog ADP of 146 when ETR ranks him 21 spots higher. He blamed surface-level box-score scouting that ignores Goedert’s mid-season forearm fracture and the Eagles’ late-year plunge in pass attempts. Levitan added that offseason trade buzz actually creates asymmetric upside—any team willing to give up assets for Goedert would almost certainly funnel him more targets than Philadelphia’s A.J. Brown–centric offense. At today’s price drafters get a top-five tight-end profile attached either to Jalen Hurts’ red-zone juggernaut or a volume-heavier landing spot, making him one of the best values on the board.

Adam Levitan said he would have happily jumped ADP to secure Jake Ferguson because the third-year tight end is already Dak Prescott’s No. 2 target and faces zero new competition. Ferguson finished sixth among tight ends in inside-the-ten targets last season, and Levitan expects that red-zone role to grow with the Cowboys shedding ancillary pass catchers. He predicted best-ball drafters will wise up and push Ferguson’s price up at least a full round by mid-June, urging listeners to grab him now while the market is still sleeping.

Adam Levitan said ETR is ahead of market on Justin Fields and stressed that drafters should not worry about stacking him. Fields scores through rushing, so missing Garrett Wilson or another Jet is hardly fatal. Levitan likes back-door minis—Mason Taylor or a late rookie tight end—but insists Fields can anchor two- or three-QB rooms by himself. He cited Brock Purdy as the opposite example, a passer who absolutely must be stacked to reach ceiling.

Adam Levitan labeled Jayden Daniels a slam-dunk value at the 4-5 turn on Underdog. Quarterbacks account for a larger share of fantasy points on the platform because there are no yardage bonuses and receiving is only half-PPR. Rushing scores therefore carry extra weight, and Daniels’ elite ground game lets him outpace pocket passers without any stacking help. With Lamar Jackson already gone and Bengals stacking complicated, Levitan loved adding Daniels’ standalone ceiling to the roster at pick 42.

Adam Levitan explained why ETR has Joe Burrow at 67th overall—nearly 20 spots below Underdog ADP 49.7. In Underdog’s half-PPR, no-bonus format, dual-threat quarterbacks like Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels, and Lamar Jackson gain an outsized edge from rushing touchdowns. Pure pocket passers such as Burrow must post "insanely efficient" seasons to keep up, an outcome Levitan called fragile. He cited last year’s bust C.J. Stroud as a cautionary tale of what happens when that efficiency dips. Until Burrow’s price slides, Levitan is comfortable fading him.

Adam Levitan selected Tee Higgins over Ladd McConkey at pick 19, pointing to Higgins’ league-breaking contingency value. If Ja’Marr Chase were to miss time, Higgins would immediately absorb true WR1 volume, whereas McConkey would not see a comparable spike even if Quentin Johnston were sidelined. Levitan acknowledged that stacking Higgins with Joe Burrow is tricky because Burrow’s current ADP is 49.7 while ETR ranks him 67, but he is willing to let that piece slide or hope the quarterback drifts down later. The asymmetric upside still makes Higgins the clear choice in early drafts.

Adam Levitan urged bettors to attack the Patriots’ 2025 win-total over, calling New England his favorite leap-team on the board. He cited a string of roster upgrades: left-tackle Will Campbell and center Jared Wilson fortify a line that was dead-last in pass-block win rate, while Garrett Bradbury adds veteran stability. Mike Vrabel’s arrival brings a track record of squeezing extra wins out of middling rosters, and the defense already profiles as top-10 after adding Morgan Moses and keeping its young secondary intact. Offensively, Levitan expects second-year QB Drake Maye to improve on his 16.8 fantasy-points per game rookie average thanks to splash-play weapons Trayvion Henderson and Kyle Williams plus a revived Antonio Gibson/Rhamondre Stevenson backfield. With both trenches dramatically better and a coaching upgrade, Levitan believes oddsmakers will underestimate how quickly this team can jump from doormat to Wild-Card contender.

Levitan said the Commanders’ decision to wait until the seventh round for RB Jacori-Kroski Merritt locks both Brian Robinson and Austin Ekeler into sizable 2025 workloads. Washington added only a fringe prospect after losing Antonio Gibson, so Levitan projects Robinson to retain early-down and goal-line duties while Ekeler handles two-minute and passing downs despite turning 30. The duo combined for 303 touches last season; Levitan expects a similar number with a better offensive line boosted by Laremy Tunsil and rookie Josh Conerly. In season-long drafts he has Robinson inside the top-20 RBs and labels Ekeler a high-floor RB3/PPR flex who will flirt with 60 receptions if his aging legs hold up.

Adam Levitan warned drafters not to chase Emeka Egbuka’s Round-1 pedigree early in 2025 drafts. ETR’s initial ranks slot the rookie just 115th overall because Tampa already features Mike Evans (31st) and Chris Godwin (76th) plus fellow rookie Jalen McMillan (111th) fighting for perimeter snaps. Levitan expects a three-wide rotation that keeps Egbuka below a 60 % snap rate out of the gate, noting that the Buccaneers also have a two-back committee (Rachaad White, Bucky Irving) and multiple tight ends siphoning short-area targets. The takeaway: treat Egbuka as a long-term dynasty asset and bypass him in redraft or best-ball until his ADP falls into the double-digit rounds.

Adam Levitan advised scooping Dallas Goddard wherever he falls outside the top-100 picks. Philadelphia openly shopped the tight end before the draft yet ultimately neither moved him nor selected a single TE prospect, a two-part vote of confidence that locks Goddard into his familiar every-down role. Levitan reminded listeners that speculative trade chatter has dragged Goddard’s Underdog ADP into triple-digit territory even though he still owns a 19% career target share in an offense that ranked fourth in red-zone pass rate last season. With no rookie competition and Jalen Hurts’ chemistry intact, Levitan expects Goddard to bounce back to 90-plus targets and sees him as a top-8 fantasy tight end who can be drafted at a TE10-12 price.