Adam Rosenberg recommended betting Hunter Greene under 4.5 hits allowed against the Giants. Greene historically pitches effectively against San Francisco, and Adam pointed out Greene's general consistency in limiting hits despite receiving minimal run support. Adam believes Greene's talent level and past success versus the Giants suggest he will comfortably stay below the 4.5 hits allowed prop in this matchup.

Adam Rosenberg backed the under 6.5 Ks prop on Kodai Senga facing the Marlins, despite the pitcher recording 8 strikeouts against them in a previous start. Adam expects regression since Miami's hitters have recently seen Senga and could benefit from familiarity. Adam also noted Miami had an additional day to prepare due to a recent rain-out, potentially aiding their approach. Considering seven strikeouts is a high threshold, he believes the number presents good value at plus money odds.

Adam Rosenberg is betting Gio Urshela not to record a hit at plus 135, attributing this to Urshela's abysmal start to the season (3-for-28) and an unfavorable head-to-head history against Michael King, where he is hitless in five plate appearances. Adam added that King’s pitch arsenal, particularly his effectiveness with off-speed pitches, aligns well against Urshela's weakness. Another key point Adam emphasized was the Padres bullpen setup, mentioning specifically the availability of strong left-handed arms like Wandy Peralta and Matsui. Urshela notably struggles against left-handers (.177 last year, no hits this year), increasing the likelihood that Adam’s fade pays off.

Adam Rosenberg strongly recommended betting the Chicago White Sox at +300 to win their upcoming series against the Guardians. Adam highlighted the Guardians' poor recent form, noting that Cleveland has been playing badly and not significantly better than the White Sox to justify such generous odds. The current pricing at DraftKings provides significant betting value given the comparable quality of both teams.

Adam Rosenberg backed Nathan Eovaldi to record a win at plus 150, emphasizing Eovaldi's role as a dependable workhorse for Texas. Adam identified this as a favorable spot since Eovaldi figures to pitch deep and effectively while matching up against the Cubs' Justin Steele, who has struggled lately with bottom-percentile metrics. Steele has posted unusually inflated lines, and Adam believes Eovaldi will capitalize on a weaker Cubs lineup that generally has limited strikeout threat against him. Additionally, Adam mentioned upcoming rotation concerns, specifically Patrick Corbin's expected start tomorrow, incentivizing Texas to rely heavily on Eovaldi today.

Adam Rosenberg strongly recommended Logan Gilbert over 6.5 strikeouts at minus 105, emphasizing Gilbert's strong strikeout upside against Houston's struggling offense. The Astros are currently striking out at a high 28% rate against right-handed pitchers, the third-worst mark in MLB. Gilbert, despite not pitching his best recently, still recorded 8 strikeouts last start and consistently shows exceptional swing-and-miss stuff. With this game at home in Seattle, Adam sees Gilbert in an ideal scenario to exceed his strikeout props comfortably and even mentioned potential ladder opportunities for higher strikeout totals.

Adam Rosenberg advised betting Justin Steele under 15.5 pitching outs at -118 odds against the Diamondbacks. Arizona had the fourth-best OPS versus lefty pitchers during spring training and ranked first in baseball in the same metric last season. Steele struggled against the Dodgers in his final spring start and historically performs worse when receiving extra rest, which is the case here. Additionally, the Cubs have no rest days following this start, suggesting a cautious approach and early bullpen usage. Steele has notably struggled against the Diamondbacks previously, going 0-2 with a 4.00 ERA and allowing five and six runs, respectively, in his last two matchups with Arizona. Steele also went under this innings prop in each of his first three starts last year, making this a strong fade scenario. Scott Reichel added important context that current Diamondbacks hitters own a .338 batting average and .372 OBP in 78 career plate appearances versus Steele.

Adam Rosenberg strongly recommended Bobby Witt Jr. to exceed his hitting prop on Opening Day. Rosenberg noted Witt's strong spring training, batting .360 with a 1.08 OPS, and emphasized his hot finish to the spring season with ten hits in his final seven games. Witt has previously batted .308 against Guardians pitcher Tanner Bibee, generating seven total bases in 15 plate appearances. Additionally, Witt thrives against fastballs and cutters, pitches frequently thrown by Bibee, who historically struggles with generating ground balls, further increasing Witt's potential in this specific matchup.

Adam Rosenberg identified Paul Skenes as a strong candidate to allow fewer than 3.5 hits against a struggling Marlins lineup on Opening Day. Rosenberg emphasized Miami's offensive limitations, jokingly mentioning Miguel Cabrera is not coming through the door to save them. He framed it as a comfortable selection to bolster their underdog entry, clearly confident in Skenes' favorable matchup against a weak opposing offense.

Adam Rosenberg suggested taking the Under (5.5) strikeouts for Freddy Peralta at +125 odds against the Yankees. Rosenberg pointed out the Yankees ranked inside the top 10 fewest strikeouts last season and have continued that trend by consistently putting balls in play throughout spring training. He also highlighted concerns with Peralta stemming from spring training—Brewers pitchers threw the most pitches per inning, including Peralta, who recently allowed 8 runs in a start. Additionally, Peralta went under this strikeout number (6) in seven of his final 10 starts last season. With his outs line heavily juiced to the under, Rosenberg expects Peralta to max out around 5 innings, making the under a strong bet given his limited innings and opposing lineup.