Adam Trigger sees value in betting against Walker Buehler and leaning toward the Blue Jays and the over in this matchup versus the Red Sox. Buehler has struggled early in the season, allowing 9 earned runs in just 9.1 innings, reminiscent of last season when he was ineffective at AAA and took half the season to recover form after injury. Trigger notes Buehler's early-season command issues, suggesting another rough outing. Chris Bassett for Toronto has pitched well in his first two starts but historically trends around 3.5-4 ERA, making this stretch possibly unsustainable. After three straight games staying under 8 runs, Trigger expects offensive production from both teams, pushing this game over the 8.5 run total at Fenway.