Andrew Avery said Lamar Jackson is worth a bet at +550 to win MVP at BetMGM. Avery likes that Jackson enters 2025 with a chip on his shoulder after many believed he out-played eventual winner Josh Allen last season. He pointed to Jackson’s "off-the-charts" 2024 regular-season numbers and noted MVP voters often shy away from back-to-back winners, creating a potential over-correction in Jackson’s favor after finishing runner-up. Continuity is another selling point: Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Derrick Henry, the wide-receiver group and most of the offensive line all return, giving Jackson year-over-year stability that few contenders enjoy. Because the award is regular-season only, Avery is unconcerned about any lingering playoff narrative. He expects Jackson to be in the final two-to-three names discussed and believes +550 offers enough value to fire now.

Andrew Avery bet Cincinnati under 9.5 wins at +115 (DraftKings). He argued the Bengals lost key defenders—Sam Hubbard, Jermaine Pratt, Mike Hilton, Sheldon Rankins—and replaced them with downgrades such as T.J. Slayton and an untested second-round linebacker while also switching from respected DC Lou Anarumo to college coach Al Golden. Last year the team became the first in NFL history to average 27.8 points in losses, underscoring how porous the defense was. Avery also flagged a front-loaded schedule that includes the entire NFC North by Week 9 plus road trips to Denver and Buffalo, a shaky offensive line, and the possibility one injury derails an already thin roster.

Andrew Avery took the plus-140 DraftKings prop that Cleveland’s longest 2025 winning streak stays under 1.5 games. He pointed to a brutal travel pattern—Cincinnati in Week 1, at Baltimore in Week 2, a West-coast swing to Las Vegas in Week 12 immediately followed by San Francisco, and a Miami-New England-bye-at-Jets gauntlet from Weeks 7-10—as spots that make back-to-back victories improbable. Avery also cited an unsettled quarterback room headlined by Joe Flacco with two unproven youngsters behind him and overall roster weakness, arguing the Browns lack the offensive consistency needed to stack wins.

Andrew Avery countered that pairing Josh Allen at +600 for MVP with a Bills Super Bowl future creates an attractive correlated payout. Avery highlighted that several books now offer MVP-championship combo tickets and that Buffalo’s 2025 schedule is unusually soft for a team coming off a division title. With Allen likely to post gaudier counting stats against that slate and media narratives rewarding a bounce-back passing season, Avery argued the ceiling outcome is better captured through the combo market than the straight 6-to-1 MVP ticket alone.

Andrew Avery said Keon Coleman is a value target in season-long and best-ball formats because his vertical skill set already meshes with Josh Allen’s aggressiveness. Avery noted Coleman ranked fourth among all NFL wideouts with at least 50 targets in 2024 thanks to a 33.9% deep-target rate. Coleman publicly called his own rookie campaign "trash," took accountability for conditioning issues, and has reportedly rededicated himself this off-season. Avery argued that if Coleman simply stays on the field he can convert those high-aDOT looks into a "nice little breakout," even if he falls short of 1,000 yards. The analyst emphasized Buffalo’s soft first-place schedule, which should provide plenty of neutral- or positive-script passing volume to support at least one secondary receiving option behind Stefon Diggs.

Andrew Avery played Keon Coleman over 750.5 receiving yards at ‑110 (DraftKings). He expects a breakout sophomore season now that Coleman is fully healthy and facing limited depth-chart competition. Coleman ranked fourth among WRs with at least 50 targets in 2024 with a 33.9% deep-target rate and already posted a 125-yard game versus Tennessee last year. Avery likes the established connection with Josh Allen, the Bills returning all five starting linemen, and the offense’s top-three PFF ranking to keep volume high enough for Coleman to flirt with 800-plus yards if he simply maintains last season’s per-route efficiency over a full schedule.