Andrew Brennan is confidently betting the Under 4.5 strikeouts for Ryan Feltner tonight against the Dodgers. Brennan dismisses Feltner's currently low ERA (2.81) as misleading, reminding readers of Feltner’s career struggles and poor overall talent. He expects limited innings tonight for Feltner at Dodger Stadium and sees a very low probability of him reaching five strikeouts. Brennan’s projections suggest the Under should be priced closer to -211, making the line at -115 exceptionally valuable.

Andrew Brennan believes Shota Imanaga is an ideal buy-low candidate tonight against the Padres. Despite decreased strikeouts early in the season compared to his impressive rookie year, Imanaga maintains stable underlying metrics, notably his swinging-strike rate. Brennan’s projection model anticipates 5.01 strikeouts, making the current line (Over 4.5 at +116 odds) good value with a realistic implied probability of around 56%, compared to the listed 46.3%.

Andrew Brennan strongly recommends betting the Under 5.5 strikeouts for Jeffrey Springs against the White Sox. Despite the White Sox’s poor play, Springs has recorded just seven strikeouts total in his past nine innings. Springs’ diminished performance with his new team includes a career-low 27.2% CSW rate and trouble with first-pitch strikes. Brennan's projections show Springs achieving approximately 4.32 strikeouts tonight, indicating great value when compared to current odds of +105, which should be much closer to -200.

Andrew Brennan likes Spencer Schwellenbach to go Over 4.5 strikeouts against Toronto tonight. He noted Schwellenbach's current decline in strikeouts is primarily due to an increased reliance on ground balls (58.3% GB rate this year compared to 41.6% last year). However, Brennan points out Schwellenbach's impressive 15.2% swinging-strike rate and improved CSW%, both indicating strikeouts will soon increase. Brennan's projection model expects 5.55 strikeouts, making Over 4.5 a valuable bet at odds closer to -182. He suggests current odds (-115) are favorable for this prop.