Andrew Novak advised grabbing Baltimore futures before the market wakes up, arguing the franchise is "due" to finally convert regular-season dominance into a ring. He emphasized that Derrick Henry’s arrival should erase the Ravens’ long-running short-yardage issues— they ranked 25th in EPA per play on 3rd-and-2 or less— while still keeping Lamar Jackson out of unnecessary collisions. Novak loved their 2024 draft, singling out first-rounder Nate Wiggins (4.28 forty) as the press-man corner Baltimore lacked when Patrick Mahomes dissected their soft zones last January. With Kansas City facing its toughest AFC West in years and Buffalo losing both starting safeties, Novak feels the path is as clear as it has been for Baltimore since 2019, making plus-1000 conference lines and anything north of +1800 to win it all "the best value on the board."

Andrew Novak said bettors looking for a non-Eagles ticket in the NFC should fire on Green Bay futures. His case started with Jordan Love’s dramatic year-one splits: when Christian Watson was healthy, Love averaged 8.4 yards per attempt and a 112 passer rating, production Novak believes rookie burner Matthew Golden can replicate if (when) Watson’s hamstrings flare up. He pointed out that the Packers still roll out a top-10 run game, a pass rush that finished sixth in pressure rate, and a secondary finally at full strength after losing Jaire Alexander for chunks of 2023. Novak thinks Detroit’s post-free-agency attrition and a Vikings rebuild give Green Bay a realistic path to 11+ wins while the Eagles slog through a first-place schedule, making Packers to win the conference or /30-1 Super Bowl darts “criminally mis-priced.”

Andrew Novak said Carolina is a live dark-horse to steal the NFC South at juicy odds. He likes the Dave Canales hire paired with first-year GM Dan Morgan, noting their shared high-energy approach should give the franchise a clear identity. Novak expects a healthier offensive line to restore Bryce Young’s confidence—he cited Young’s improved pocket poise and "swagger" over the final nine weeks—as well as a defensive bounce-back after allowing the most points in NFL history. Because he projects the Bucs ceiling at 10-11 wins and sees New Orleans bottoming out, Novak believes the division is "there for the taking." He advised grabbing Panthers division futures now and looking to add weekly moneyline exposure if early returns on Canales’ offense are positive.

Andrew Novak recommended shorting Miami in futures markets—taking UNDER on wins or betting them to miss the playoffs—because he can "fully see the Dolphins flopping." Novak sketched a nightmare script: Miami opens against a gauntlet of top-10 defenses, the offensive line still struggles to protect Tua Tagovailoa, and an early 0-6 spiral costs Mike McDaniel his job. He added that Tyreek Hill is already nursing lower-body issues, so one setback could leave the offense without its vertical cheat code. Given the fragile health histories of both Hill and Tua, Novak believes Miami’s ceiling is priced in while the very real floor is not, creating a sell opportunity before Week 1.

Andrew Novak urged bettors to pound the New Orleans Saints UNDER on season-win totals and sprinkle them in the "fewest wins" market. He said his podcast co-host Evan projected only two victories after running the schedule, a gap Novak called the largest delta he had seen versus posted lines. Novak argued the roster looks historically bad on both lines of scrimmage, Derek Carr’s cap hit prevents meaningful upgrades, and Dennis Allen’s conservative tendencies invite close-game variance to flip against them. With the NFC South slightly improved and a tougher AFC crossover draw, Novak believes the Saints could bottom out quickly, making plus-money alt-unders an attractive EV play.

Andrew Novak said bettors should not hesitate to sprinkle top-10 (or even outright) tickets on LIV defectors Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka at Oakmont despite questions about their current tour schedule. Novak argued that while 54-hole shotgun events may lack major-caliber pressure, DeChambeau and Koepka possess banked memories of actually winning U.S. Opens—experience that separates them from most of the field. He noted both players have proven they can handle brutal setups, with Bryson conquering Pinehurst last year and Brooks owning five majors. Novak believes their muscle-memory advantage outweighs any perceived rust, predicting at least one will lurk on the first page of the leaderboard Sunday. He recommended bettors grab early top-10 numbers before the market fully corrects, especially if oddsmakers discount LIV form lines.