Andy Lack projected a T17-ish finish for Ludvig Aberg, noting the Swede habitually mixes one even-par round into otherwise strong weeks—exactly what happened Saturday in Memphis. While acknowledging Aberg’s Torrey Pines victory and overall talent, Lack sees inconsistency that caps win equity and suggests holding off on outright tickets or core DFS exposure until the four-round ceiling shows up.

Andy Lack warned that Caves Valley is “not as good of a spot for Tommy Fleetwood,” advising bettors to grab their exposure at St. Jude instead. The bomber-friendly setup diminishes Fleetwood’s precision advantage, leading Lack to a fade in early outright and DFS considerations.

Andy Lack believes Taylor Pendrith is primed for a resurgence at Caves Valley after being neutralized by Southwind’s narrow corridors. Pendrith’s elite carry distance pairs perfectly with the Fazio layout, and Lack groups him with other bombers who can “let the big stick loose.” Top-20 bets and low-owned DFS exposures are encouraged.

Andy Lack called Caves Valley a “great Min Woo Lee spot.” Lee languished near the bottom at Southwind, a course that constrains length, but the 7,500-yard Fazio design lets him unleash driver. Lack expects a sharp rebound and likes Lee as a DFS tournament flier and longshot outright given the layout’s clear bomber bias.

Andy Lack remains bullish on Sam Burns, rating him fourth overall. Burns clawed back from four-over to −4 at St. Jude while ranking 4th in putting, and Lack’s model shows Caves Valley mirroring TPC Toronto—the site of Burns’ playoff loss— in agronomy, rough length, and key approach buckets. Although Memphis exposed some shaky driving, Lack still likes Burns’ power-putter combo and will target him in outrights and GPP line-ups while keeping exposure slightly below full throttle.

Andy Lack ranked Xander Schauffele third this week, calling Caves Valley a “great spot for him to top-10” thanks to his balanced game. However, Schauffele “seems a few minor details off right now,” and Lack does not believe he currently has the high-end gear to outduel Scheffler or McIlroy. The recommendation is top-10 props or DFS cash builds, not outright tickets.

Andy Lack advised fading Scottie Scheffler at Caves Valley, saying, “There are better golf courses for Scheffler than this.” The wider fairways reduce Scheffler’s tee-to-green edge, and Lack wants “no part of the guy” at prohibitive odds or premium DFS salary. He is unlikely to re-enter the ‘without Scheffler’ market and prefers allocating bankroll to players whose length allows them to exploit the dog-legs more aggressively.

Andy Lack said Rory McIlroy is a slam-dunk fit for Caves Valley at the BMW Championship. Lack pointed to McIlroy’s ability to fly fairway bunkers and cut dog-leg corners, turning 475-yard par-4s into wedge approaches that the rest of the field will attack with 7-irons. He reminded listeners McIlroy finished top-five the last time the FedEx Cup visited Caves Valley in 2021 and comes in fresh after voluntarily skipping St. Jude. If the driver is anywhere near Rory’s baseline, Lack expects him to gain massive strokes off the tee and sees him as an outright bet and DFS centerpiece even at short odds.

Andy Lack called Ben Griffin one of the most underrated fits for Caves Valley. Griffin has gained strokes off the tee in eight of his last nine starts, ranks top-15 in approaches from 175-225 yards, and converts birdie looks efficiently on bentgrass. Lack highlighted strong results at similar driver-friendly tracks such as Vedanta and Craig Ranch, saying he was "totally in" on Griffin and even willing to put him on a Ryder Cup roster. At a mid-8k DFS salary and long top-20 odds, Griffin is Lack’s favorite value play in both betting and DFS formats.

Andy Lack expects Xander Schauffele to rebound at the BMW Championship. Although Schauffele disappointed in Memphis, his irons resurfaced on Saturday and he historically excels on driver-heavy, long-iron-centric layouts like Quail Hollow and Valhalla. Lack emphasized that Caves Valley lets players get "a little bit loose off the tee," a profile that suits Schauffele’s aggressive driving. Ranked top-5 in strokes gained on low-fairway-penalty courses over the past three years, Xander is a preferred 18-1 outright and a contrarian DFS pivot with FedExCup motivation.

Andy Lack moved Justin Thomas from a fade in Memphis to a buy at Caves Valley. Thomas finally gained strokes off the tee last week, and the forgiving fairways allow him to "spray it a little bit" without penalty. Lack noted that Thomas sits No. 3 in his driver-heavy, long-iron comp model and historically spikes when the putter merely cooperates on bentgrass. Because Caves Valley rewards distance and de-emphasizes scrambling, Lack views Thomas as an under-owned DFS GPP core piece and a live outright ticket at 25-1 or longer despite recent putting woes.

Andy Lack believes Rory McIlroy is the best outright and DFS play at Caves Valley, rating him ahead of odds-on favorite Scottie Scheffler. The Fazio layout plays similarly to Quail Hollow and Valhalla—tracks where generous landing areas and minimal rough amplify raw distance. McIlroy ranks second, behind Scheffler, in Lack’s three-year comp-course model but gains more strokes off the tee on driver-heavy venues. With Scheffler projected around 2-to-1 in a 50-man field, Lack sees limited betting value on the Texan and prefers backing McIlroy, who is coming in fresh after skipping Memphis and profiles perfectly for a ‘swing-away-with-reckless-abandon’ setup.

Andy Lack said Sam Burns profiles perfectly for the 2025 BMW Championship at Caves Valley. The course is once again a "driver-heavy, long-iron-intensive, low miss-fairway-penalty" layout that rewards the exact skill mix Burns rode at Valhalla, Quail Hollow and most recently TPC Toronto, where he dueled Ryan Fox on Sunday. Lack emphasized that in the 2021 Caves Valley edition the only two positive correlations were distance off the tee and putting, and he expects at least 50 % of approaches to come from 175+ yards this year. With winning score likely around 20-under, Burns’ combination of elite length, aggressive long-iron play and a streaky hot putter makes him a strong outright bet and DFS core piece.

Andy Lack labeled Brian Harman a sneaky top-five and outright option at 80-to-1 in the ‘without Scheffler’ market. Lack pointed to Harman’s elite ball-striking metrics from his Open Championship win and previous strong results at TPC Southwind. With firm, resurfaced greens that favor precision over power and Bermuda surfaces that historically suit Harman’s putting stroke, Lack sees an under-the-radar path for the left-hander to back-door a playoff win or high finish, especially if Scheffler hoovers up win equity at the top of the board.

Andy Lack said Ben Griffin should be on every short list right now because the numbers and the swagger both scream breakout. Lack explained that DataGolf rates Griffin as the 10th-best player in the world over the last two months, slotting him between major-winners in strokes-gained total. That surge is backed by a top-10 at the U.S. Open and a top-15 at Wyndham where Griffin gained across all four strokes-gained categories. Lack added that Griffin’s own words on the No Laying Up podcast convinced him the heater is real; the 27-year-old said he "expected to win the U.S. Open" and has been playing with that mentality ever since. Lack argues that kind of self-belief, paired with elite recent data, makes Griffin a buy in FedEx Cup betting outrights and a high-ceiling DFS play even at elevated pricing, and is reason enough to award him a Ryder Cup pick.

Andy Lack said he is "lukewarm" on Keegan Bradley for this week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship because Bradley "hasn't been accurate all season with the driver." Lack emphasized that TPC Southwind punishes wayward tee shots with water and overhanging trees, a profile that doesn’t suit Bradley’s current ball-striking. Until the driver cooperates, Lack advised bettors and DFS players to fade Bradley in Memphis.

Andy Lack said he added Davis Thompson to his Wyndham Championship outright card at 70-1, calling it a "really sneaky good spot" for the former Georgia star. Lack admitted Thompson’s season has been disappointing and reminded listeners of the recent Sunday fade when he finally sniffed contention, but argued the underlying data still hints at a player who should be flirting with top-20 world status when the ball-striking cooperates. Because Thompson can flash elite tee-to-green weeks yet remains priced like a mid-tier grinder, Lack views the 70-1 number as pure ceiling value. He plans to sprinkle Thompson into his DFS pool for leverage and advised bettors to grab any 70-1 or longer tickets before the market remembers the upside.

Andy Lack backed Victor Perez both in betting and DFS, noting he has already punched an outright ticket. Perez is T20 at this week’s 3M Open and has repeatedly paid off in Lack’s DFS lineups at majors thanks to a precise tee-to-green profile. Lack highlighted two keys that translate directly to Sedgefield: a reliable ability to find fairways and occasional spike weeks in strokes-gained approach. That combo fits the Wyndham blueprint of positional driving plus dialed-in wedges. Because ownership projections remain modest and sportsbooks have not fully adjusted, Lack is comfortable loading up on Perez for leverage and a potential first PGA Tour win.

Andy Lack doubled-down on fading Kurt Kitayama at Sedgefield. He said any power advantage the big-hitting Kitayama normally enjoys is erased on this short, positional track because "you just need to bunt it in the fairway." Lack added that Kitayama ranks far better with mid-to-long irons than with wedges, exactly the opposite of what Wyndham demands where 125-175-yard approaches dominate. Even though Kitayama sits 17th in Lack's model thanks to recent form, the combination of shaky fairway accuracy and sub-par wedge play makes him a no-go in outright markets and an easy cross-off in DFS builds.

Andy Lack advised fading Kurt Kitayama, explaining that Sedgefield’s claustrophobic fairways and sticky Bermuda rough punish Kitayama’s tendency to spray driver. Lack wants Kitayama only on setups where distance offers a tangible edge; here, driving accuracy has historically correlated far more strongly with success. Given that Kitayama ranks outside the top 120 on Tour in fairways hit and the course allows players to club down without losing yardage advantage, Lack will avoid him in both betting markets and DFS contests.

Andy Lack flagged Ryo Hisatsune (transcript rendered as “Rio”) as one of his favorite sleeper plays. Hisatsune finished inside the top 25 at last year’s Wyndham and owns a sneaky-good fairway-finding rate that fits Lack’s accuracy-first template. Lack noted the Japanese rookies straight-ball profile, solid wedge proximity numbers and comfort on Bermuda greens, all of which line up with his model’s three primary keys. Expecting the market to overlook him, Lack will include Hisatsune on his outright card and sprinkle DFS exposure for leverage.

Andy Lack urged listeners to steer clear of Sungjae Im despite the Korean’s historical course fit. Im has missed multiple cuts in a row and, according to Lack, “can’t hit an iron shot” right now—a fatal flaw on a layout that serves up 125-200-yard approaches on most holes. Over the past six events Im has lost strokes on approach in every start and ranks outside the top 100 in driving-accuracy percentage. With ownership still trickling in at 2-5 % in DraftKings, Lack called Im essentially unplayable until the irons return and will leave him off betting cards entirely.

Andy Lack ranked J.T. Poston second in his Wyndham model and declared it “a big Poston week.” Poston won this tournament in 2019 while leading the field in driving accuracy, exactly the trait Lack says most directly correlates with success at Sedgefield. Poston has continued to thrive on comp tracks that reward precision—Harbour Town, TPC Sawgrass and River Highlands—gaining strokes on approach and with the putter in each. With Sedgefield again featuring narrow landing areas, plenty of wedge looks and a need to roll 10-15 footers, Lack is betting Poston outright and plans to be overweight in DFS builds.

Andy Lack said Denny McCarthy sits №1 in his custom model and called Sedgefield a perfect setup for the putter-wizard to finally grab his first PGA Tour victory. Lack’s model heavily weights three skills he deems most predictive this week—driving accuracy, approaches from 125-200 yards, and conversion rate on 10-15-foot putts—and McCarthy grades out elite in all three. Lack reminded listeners McCarthy already contended on a similar short, positional track at the John Deere and believes the sticky Bermuda rough plus heat should only amplify McCarthy’s fairway-finding edge and top-tier Bermuda putting. He plans to fire an outright ticket and anchor DFS lineups around McCarthy despite the modest disappointment at TPC Deere Run.

Andy Lack said Russell Henley is another must-consider at Sedgefield. Henley, whom Lack described as having played “tremendous here,” excels in the two stats Lack deems vital this week: elite fairway-finding and precise short-to-mid irons. Given the forecast of firmer greens and more wind, Lack believes Henley’s ability to control trajectory and keep the ball below the hole will separate him from the pack. He intends to deploy Henley heavily in DFS builds and will grab an outright ticket if bookmakers offer anything longer than 30-1.

Andy Lack lumped Tom Kim into the ‘Hall of Fame’ of Wyndham course fits, noting Kim owns one of the tour’s best combinations of elite driving accuracy and laser-sharp mid-iron play. With Sedgefield rewarding players who avoid the gnarly Bermuda rough and control spin into tiered Donald Ross greens, Lack expects Kim’s skill set to translate to another high-end finish. He views the Korean star as a core DFS play and a viable outright bet if the opening number drifts above 25-1.

Andy Lack highlighted Lucas Glover as another player who perfectly matches Sedgefield’s template. He pointed out that in the prior Wyndham, Glover actually led the entire field in both driving accuracy and strokes-gained approach. That exact skill combo — put the ball in the fairway and dominate with mid-irons — is what Lack says wins here, especially when the Donald Ross greens bake out a bit in the North Carolina heat. With the course again expected to play firm and windy, Lack expects Glover’s fairway-finding to provide a sizable edge and intends to back him in both outright and DFS markets.

Andy Lack said Aaron Rai should again be at the very top of betting and DFS short-lists at Sedgefield. Lack reminded listeners how "it was so straightforward last year" when Rai came in playing great golf and immediately popped on a track that rewards precision. Rai ranked top-10 in driving accuracy at the 2024 Wyndham and, according to Lack, that single trait is critical this week because Sedgefield’s sticky Bermuda rough creates a real miss-fairway penalty. Combine that with Rai’s dependable short-to-middle-iron proximity and solid Bermuda putting profile and Lack believes he checks every box in the accuracy/iron-play template that has produced recent champions here. Lack plans to fire an outright ticket and will be overweight in DFS ownership if the market stays lukewarm.

Lack loves Davis Thompson as a $6,400 sleeper. While the former Georgia Bulldog has limited links reps, the price already bakes in that risk. Thompson’s driver and mid-iron play have been quietly excellent this season, and his best finish came at TPC Sawgrass, Lack’s favorite American corollary to Portrush. He views Thompson as a live punt for stars-and-scrubs builds.

At $7,200 Conners is Lack’s favorite flier thanks to his fairway-finding driver, elite irons, and a noticeably better putter in 2025. Lack believes the Canadian is "bound to fairway-and-green his way" onto a major leaderboard soon and sees Portrush’s demand for precision as an ideal setup for that breakout.

Lack expects regression from Justin Rose, who costs $7,600 after a flashy Sunday charge to sixth at the Genesis Scottish Open and last year’s magic at Troon. For most of 2025 Rose has been "very below average," logging only three top-25s. Calling him a classic boom-or-bust profile, Lack forecasts a letdown and is fading him in DFS builds.

Despite lingering injury chatter, Lack is willing to risk Jordan Spieth at $7,700 because of his sterling Open track record. Spieth finished 20th at Portrush in 2019 and owns a runner-up at Royal St. George’s (a comp course) in 2021. Lack believes Spieth’s creative shot-making and proven links success outweigh the health concerns at this salary.

Lack is off Brooks Koepka this week at $8,000, pointing to a T-32 at LIV Andalucia where Koepka lost strokes in both ball-striking categories. The five-time major champ has not posted a top-10 on LIV since March and, according to Lack, has "failed to garner any momentum" heading into Portrush. Without evidence of peak form, he is an easy fade.

Cantlay’s $8,100 salary is his cheapest in years, and Lack sees that discount as a perfect ownership pivot. The Californian gained 5+ strokes on approach at the Rocket Mortgage and is "playing far better than the results suggest." With most DFS players gravitating to flashier names in the $8k band, Lack wants Cantlay’s well-rounded profile and hot irons in GPPs.

Although Aberg’s talent is undeniable, Lack listed him as his least-favorite $9k option because Royal Portrush places a premium on scrambling. Aberg’s short game remains an obvious weakness, and on Colt’s tiny greens that tilt into tight run-offs Lack expects those around-the-green deficiencies to be exposed, making the Swede an avoid at $9,100.

Lack labeled Xander Schauffele a core play at $9,700, noting the American is coming off his best iron week of the season at the Genesis Scottish Open. Over the past five years no one has a better cumulative record at Open Championships, and Xander rolls into Portrush attempting to defend his 2024 Claret Jug with his ball-striking trending sharply upward.

Lack advised fading Bryson DeChambeau at $10,100 despite the potential ownership leverage. DeChambeau has lost strokes putting in four consecutive LIV events and is fresh off a mediocre 30th at LIV Andalucia where he also bled strokes around the green and with his irons. Lack questioned Bryson’s overall links resume and believes his shaky flatstick makes him an unnecessary risk when paying five figures.

Andy Lack said Jon Rahm is the premier spend-up at $10,400 on DraftKings because the Spaniard checks every box for Royal Portrush. Rahm has finished inside the top-15 at all three majors in 2025, nearly won the PGA Championship, and owns an 11th-place finish the last time the Open was held here in 2019. Lack highlighted Rahm’s "extreme comfort" in links golf and noted that his driver remains "as strong as any in the field," a critical weapon on Portrush’s narrow fairways. The combination of recent major consistency plus proven course fit makes Rahm his favorite play in the $10k tier.

Andy Lack doubled-down on his earlier Conners love and actually laid out a gentleman’s bet: Corey Conners vs. Cameron Young straight-up at Royal Portrush. Lack said the current 90-to-1 outright number is already longer than DataGolf will hang once their model is posted, so he sees immediate line value. The only caveat is health—if Conners’ wrist flares up and he withdraws from the Scottish Open, the bet is void. Otherwise, Lack prefers Conners’ elite driving accuracy and established comfort on U.K. turf to Young’s more volatile profile and is willing to back him in outrights, matchup bets, and DFS exposure whenever the Canadian finishes all four rounds in Scotland.

Andy Lack argued Corey Conners is one of the rare sub-tour-average distance players who still gains consistently off the tee—thanks to pinpoint accuracy—and said that profile can win at Portrush. Conners has gained strokes putting in six of seven measured rounds on native UK grasses, and Lack noted his tight right-to-left ball flight should bore through wind. He downplayed Conners’ shaky chipping, reasoning that Texas-wedge options and neutral sand conditions often mute short-game weaknesses on links. If the wrist injury that forced a WD at Oakmont has healed, Lack believes Conners is live for an outright at 80-to-1 or better and is an undervalued DFS GPP piece.