Ben Burns laid -148 with Milwaukee, arguing that Freddy Peralta’s current form (2.31 ERA overall, 1.13 ERA and 0.25 WHIP in his lone home start with 8 IP, 8 K, 0 BB) is worlds apart from Joe Ginn, who posted a 7.00 road ERA last year and now makes his first road start of 2025. Burns dismissed Oakland’s sweep of the punch‑less White Sox, noting they jump a full class in lineup quality and venue. He called it a clear pitching mismatch that justifies Milwaukee as sizable chalk.

Ben Burns backed the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) against the Angels, driven by a clear pitching edge. Tampa's Ryan Pepiot faced Los Angeles last season and excelled, striking out seven and allowing only one run over six innings. Pepiot opened 2025 strong with a 2.45 ERA across two starts. Conversely, Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi walked five batters in his last outing and has struggled recently at Tropicana Field, posting a concerning 5.68 ERA and 1-2 record across his last four starts there. Burns believes Tampa Bay will rebound from yesterday's setback and win comfortably.