Bettor Mark likes Boston at –130, explaining that Jose Pepiot shows flashes but is inconsistent, while Brayan Bayo has been “serviceable” and now gets run support from a Red Sox lineup that is finally healthy and getting regular at-bats for Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu. With Fenway’s park factor and a surging offense, he prefers the BoSox side even though he did not label it an official play.

Bettor Mark said the Marlins are worth a play in the series rubber-match because of the mound mismatch. Rookie flamethrower Eury Perez “is showing some signs of life,” while Baltimore’s call-up Young is a hurler he simply does not trust. Mark added that Miami’s young roster “doesn’t know any better,” so he expects them to push aggressively even with the All-Star break looming, whereas some veteran clubs may coast. He believes Miami can “take this game pretty good,” making them a value side despite being on the road.

Mark prefers the Giants as home underdogs with Robbie Ray (9-3, 2.63 ERA) facing Yoshinobu Yamamoto, noting Los Angeles has won only three of its last ten. He flagged the total at 7.5 as surprisingly low given each club’s bullpen volatility and even suggested sprinkling the pre-game 'to go to extra innings' market because he expects a tight, high-scoring affair. Still, his primary angle is riding Ray’s form against a mis-priced Dodgers side.

Bettor Mark said he leans to the Phillies moneyline on Sunday even though he kept it off his official card. He expects Philadelphia to rebound from Saturday's 11-4 loss because left-hander Jesus Luzardo brings a 29% strikeout rate, 1.12 WHIP, and 3.18 xFIP into Citi Field, while the Mets own only a .297 wOBA against southpaws. Mark added that David Peterson is "the one Mets arm I refuse to trust," pointing to the lefty’s career 10% walk rate, 4.55 SIERA, and 41% hard-hit rate. With the Phillies sitting at plus money, he prefers the market option that pays extra if they lead after eight and never need to bat in the ninth, calling it the cleanest way to grab value without fully fading Peterson.

Bettor Mark guaranteed the Dodgers’ team total would sail over versus the Nationals, even with Shohei Ohtani making only his second mound appearance. He expects Dave Roberts to cap Ohtani at 1–2 innings after a full workload as DH all series, forcing Los Angeles to lean on a bullpen that has already logged 11 innings this weekend. Washington counters with right-hander Jackson Rutledge’s 5.66 xERA, and Mark pointed out the Dodgers have topped their team total in seven of their last eight games following a loss. With a minus-300 money-line price offering no value, he views the TT over as the cleanest way to exploit the matchup and the Nats’ 5.05 bullpen ERA.

Bettor Mark labeled Kyle Hendricks an "ultimate fade candidate," recommending both Houston –125 and the game total over 9.5. Hendricks has surrendered a .320 batting average the second time through orders and his soft-toss profile plays poorly against an Astros lineup that sits top-5 in hard-contact rate versus change-ups. Mark’s model makes Houston –150 and projects 10.2 combined runs, noting Angels rookie Gusto (making just his fourth start) has walked 12.5% of hitters. With Minute Maid’s roof expected closed, the warm indoor conditions historically add roughly 8% to homer production – enough for Mark to send this "to the moon," even if he kept it off the official card.

Bettor Mark made the Cubs his first official wager, grabbing the +100 money-line at Wrigley. He acknowledged Logan Gilbert’s solid surface numbers (3.84 ERA, 4-2 record) but argued the right-hander’s 43% hard-hit rate and 90.4 mph average exit velocity leave him vulnerable in day-game conditions with a slight breeze out to left. Chicago’s lineup has a .351 OBP versus four-seamers – Gilbert’s most-used pitch – and the Cubs’ bullpen (3.35 ERA last 30 days) has dramatically out-performed Seattle’s late-inning group. Mark believes the Cubs "should be favored" and pegs the contest as a seventh-inning squeaker, making the even-money price a value buy.

Bettor Mark said Cincinnati is the only side he wants in Sunday’s Abbott-Mikolas matchup, laying the modest –110. He called Andrew Abbott one of his "darling" prop targets all season and trusts the rookie’s 27% strike-out rate and 1.10 WHIP to neutralize a Cardinals lineup that owns just a .295 wOBA against lefties. Mark sees Miles Mikolas’ 4.73 xERA and plummeting ground-ball rate (down nine points from last year) giving Reds bats the spark they need to "come alive" after two quiet nights. With Great American Ball Park’s homer-friendly backdrop and Cincinnati’s superior bullpen FIP (3.61 vs STL’s 4.19) he expects the Reds to take the late-inning coin-flip spots and cash the money line.

Bettor Mark called the Brewers a "very strong lean" at +122 in Minnesota. Milwaukee’s offense owns a .348 wOBA over the past two weeks, matching Tampa Bay for the best mark in baseball, while the Twins sit bottom-10 in that span. Even though the Twins may have the marginal pitching edge on paper, Mark believes the market is undervaluing Milwaukee’s hot bats and road success (19-12 against the spread away from home). He ultimately left it off the official card because of personal volume limits on a summer Sunday, but told listeners the number is simply too appealing to ignore if they want extra action.

Bettor Mark backed the Yankees on the run line (-1.5) in Baltimore. He highlighted a perfect hitter’s weather profile – 90-degree temps, heavy humidity and a wind pattern blowing out – that should make Camden Yards play small. Mark noted the Yankees just hung nine runs on the Orioles Saturday and expects that momentum to carry over, especially with Dean Kremer’s 1.48 HR/9 and 44% hard-hit rate on the mound for Baltimore. If New York puts up a 7-2 type score, bettors cash the run line without worrying about a full-game total that could be sunk if the Orioles’ offense stays quiet after Saturday’s shutout. Mark admitted he hates betting a public side like the Yankees, but the weather, matchup and Kremer’s fly-ball profile outweighed those concerns.

Bettor Mark advised targeting Francisco Lindor’s hitting props (total bases, RBIs, or even a home-run sprinkle) when the Mets face rookie left-hander Carson Palmquist in Colorado. Mark recalled that Lindor and Pete Alonso "were fascinating yesterday" against another southpaw and believes Palmquist "is going to give it up" in the altitude of Coors Field. Although he is passing on the Mets’ lofty seven-run team total and the –2 run-line requirement, Mark still wants exposure to New York’s right-handed thunder. With a game total of 11 and the Rockies’ bullpen struggles, he expects multiple run-producing opportunities and prefers riding Lindor’s individual prop markets for value.

Bettor Mark’s final official wager is LEODY TAVERAS UNDER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIs at –130. The Rangers center fielder has topped this combo prop just once in his last ten games (10% success rate) and continues to hit near the bottom of the order, limiting his plate appearances. Mark does not foresee a sudden breakout against Washington’s pitching staff and prefers fading the volatile counting stats. Given the low recent success rate and modest juice, he tagged it as a strong prop to close his five-pack.

Mark’s fourth official play is Yankees –110 at home against Boston. He acknowledged Garrett Crochet’s sparkling 1.90 ERA but emphasized that the Red Sox are inexplicably 0-6 in Crochet’s last six starts. New York owns one of the league’s best wRC+ marks versus left-handed pitching and just got Aaron Judge back in the lineup. Between that platoon edge and Yankee Stadium’s right-field porch, Mark expects the Bombers’ bats to out-slug Boston in what he projects as a lower-scoring game than Friday’s 15-run shootout.

Mark went back to what he called “Old Faithful” by betting Tampa Bay –105 on DraftKings in the ‘Will Not Bat in the 9th’ market, meaning the Rays must be leading after eight innings at home. He trusts rookie Taj Bradley to dominate a Marlins lineup that has been ice-cold all month and stressed that the price is far cheaper than usual for this prop. If Bradley delivers six quality frames and Tampa’s bullpen holds serve, the Rays should close it out without needing their half of the ninth.

Bettor Mark’s second official wager is the DIAMONDBACKS TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 runs in Cincinnati. He noted Arizona has cashed this number in six of its last ten games (60%) and will be swinging in hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park after getting a few bonus at-bats when their suspended contest resumes earlier in the afternoon. With Nick Martinez on the mound for the Reds and warm June weather expected, Mark anticipates plenty of hard contact and called five runs an attainable target regardless of the final score.

Bettor Mark advised taking Josh Jung UNDER 1.5 total bases in Saturday’s Rangers-Nationals matchup. He pointed out that Jung has cleared this number in only one of his last ten games (10% hit rate) and is stuck in an extended slump with virtually no extra-base pop right now. With Jacob deGrom drawing the start for Texas, Mark expects the Rangers to lean on pitching and situational hitting rather than a breakout from Jung. Given the minus-price on the under and Jung’s recent form, Mark called it his first official play of the day.

Bettor Mark said he "doesn’t like the Guardians going against Clark Schmidt" and therefore leans Yankees −1.5 as well as the game total over 8 runs. Schmidt has quietly posted a 28% strikeout rate and a sub-3.40 xERA at Yankee Stadium, numbers Mark thinks will stifle Cleveland’s left-heavy lineup that ranks bottom-six in hard-hit rate. On the flip side, he expects New York’s bats to carry the scoring load against rookie right-hander Xzavion Curry and a Cleveland bullpen that was forced to cover five innings on Tuesday. The combination of Schmidt’s home splits, a fatigued Guardians staff, and warm June weather in the Bronx led Mark to recommend a half-unit run-line position and a smaller sprinkle on the over for bettors looking to expand their Wednesday card.

Bettor Mark is attacking the Dodgers–Mets matchup by playing Los Angeles at +146 on the standard −1.5 run line and sprinkling fractional units on alternate spreads up to −3.5. He likes the spot because L.A. is back home after a 6-5 extra-inning win and has cleared 4.5 runs in consecutive games, numbers he calls reproducible in Chavez Ravine. With Tony Gonsolin on the mound and Griffin Canning (or a Mets bullpen game) opposite, Mark expects the Dodgers’ offense to stay hot and feels the run-line approach delivers better risk-reward than swallowing a −144 money-line price. He also mentioned team-total overs and "no bottom-ninth" props as viable secondary angles.

Bettor Mark is laying the ‑136 with Houston in Pittsburgh, saying the number should be north of ‑150. He’s ridden a profitable season-long fade of Paul Skenes starts and sees a similar edge today against fellow rookie Jared Jones Burrows (whom he expects to struggle with Astros right-handed thunder). Houston’s offense has been heating up, and Mark thinks Wednesday is the spot where they "really break out" after beating Skenes the night before. With the Astros owning the superior lineup, bullpen and defensive metrics, he made them an official play despite being a road favorite.

Bettor Mark locked in the Padres at ‑108 on the road, calling it a coin-flip game that the market has mispriced. He acknowledged that Giants rookie left-hander Kyle Harrison has thrown well but stressed San Diego’s success versus southpaws and the depth of their right-handed power bats. He prefers Nick Pivetta’s experience over Harrison in a potential bullpen game and believes the Friars should be slight favorites even at Oracle Park. Given the cheap price and what he views as the better lineup, Mark labeled the Padres a value side and made them his second official play of the day.

Bettor Mark said he is backing the Orioles on the first-five money line at +110 in Seattle. He pointed out that the Mariners own bottom-five production against left-handed pitching and now draw rookie southpaw Cade Povich, while Baltimore gets right-hander Emerson Hancock and a bullpen that has struggled to strand runners. The wager pushes if tied after five, a wrinkle he likes because the Orioles are 7-2-1 in their last ten first-five money-line bets. Mark added that Baltimore just scored five runs in the pitcher-friendly ballpark on Tuesday, suggesting they have "figured something out" offensively. The combination of a favorable platoon edge, recent form, and plus money makes it a play he called a "sneaky little bet."

Mark prefers Padres +136 over laying –155 with San Francisco. He cited Jordan Roup’s modest home numbers for the Giants and trusts that San Diego’s star-studded lineup ‘eventually has to wake up.’ For risk-averse bettors he mentioned +1.5 at –160, but emphasized the plus-money straight-up ticket provides better value if the bats finally string hits together.

Mark recommended backing Detroit at –150 on the money line (and even sprinkling the +110 run line) against the White Sox. Detroit sits 40-21 and looks like a legit AL Central contender, while Chicago remains an automatic fade. Even without the Tigers’ starter announced, he trusts their bullpen edge and yesterday’s eye-test ‘impressive’ win. With a projected eight-and-a-half total and potential breeze out to center in Chicago, Mark believes Detroit’s lineup can do enough damage to justify the price.

In the "crap-on-crap" opener between Colorado and Miami, Bettor Mark is passing on a side but said the one angle he likes is a Marlins team-total play. With the Rockies yet to announce a starter and their staff already owning the league’s worst road ERA, he believes Miami’s bats can scratch out enough despite Sandy Alcantara’s ugly near-9.00 ERA making the full-game over tricky. Mark leans under the 8.5 for the game but singled out a Marlins team total over because Colorado relievers have allowed a .292 batting average and 1.52 WHIP away from Coors. He did not list an official number yet but advised monitoring books as soon as Colorado confirms a starter.

Mark said he wants to fade George Kirby at all costs and would take Baltimore at +126 despite the Orioles’ disappointing 22-36 record. Kirby owns an 11.42 ERA with just two 2025 starts, including a home outing of 5 IP, 7 H, 6 ER and nearly a 2.0 WHIP. T-Mobile Park’s pitcher-friendly environment and the 7.5 total normally scream under, but Mark trusts Baltimore’s chances to scratch out enough against Kirby’s current form and the Seattle bullpen.

Bettor Mark is using the Yankees money-line as one leg of a plus-money parlay, noting that Carlos Rodon is in "absolutely impressive" form at 7-3 and coming off several quality starts. He expects New York’s offense to get to Tanner Bibee the same way it did in last year’s ALDS, highlighting Bibee’s struggles when seeing the Yankees’ lineup a second time through the order. With Rodon’s fastball command back and Yankee bats hot, Mark prefers the Bronx Bombers straight up rather than laying a run line and calls them a reliable anchor piece for parlays on the Tuesday card.

Bettor Mark locked in the Cubs at an alternate minus-1 line (–128 at DraftKings) as one of his four official best bets. He likes the side because rookie Cade Horton has looked "phenomenal" in his first big-league turns, while Trevor Williams rolls in for Washington with an ERA pushing six and a 3-5 record. Chicago have covered a –1 spread in 50 % of their last ten with three pushes, and Outlier shows the alt line still shaded below the traditional –1.5 run line price. Mark expects Horton's strike-throwing to keep traffic down, the Cubs’ bats to take advantage of Williams’ hard-contact issues, and is comfortable taking the push insurance instead of the full run line.

Bettor Mark paired the Dodgers with the Phillies, backing Jesus Luzardo and Philadelphia on the money line against the 8-39 Rockies. Luzardo enters at 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA, and Mark highlighted a matchup against Antonio Senzatela, whom he labeled "not a good pitcher." Colorado’s offense scored only once in Monday’s 9-1 loss and owns the league’s worst wRC+. Given the extreme pitching mismatch and the Rockies’ road futility, he sees Philadelphia as a near-automatic inclusion in the parlay, yielding close to even money when combined with the Dodgers.

Bettor Mark expects ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto to stop the bleeding for a Dodgers club riding a four-game skid, making L.A. a worthwhile money-line anchor at ‑215. He called it a classic bounce-back spot, stressing that the Dodgers remain one of the most profitable teams despite the brief slump and "they can’t lose five in a row, right?" Yamamoto’s underlying numbers—30% strikeout rate and sub-3.00 FIP—support the play, and Mark prefers using the Dodgers as the first leg of a two-team parlay rather than laying the steep price or the –1.5 run line.

Bettor Mark bet the over 8.5 runs in Cubs–Marlins because he does not trust Miami’s rookie left-hander Ryan Weathers the second time the Cubs have seen him. Weathers held Chicago to two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings in his MLB debut, but Mark expects the familiar look to benefit Chicago’s bats. He added that Jameson Taillon’s fly-ball tendencies and penchant for giving up "the long ball" keep Miami firmly in the scoring mix. With his own run-expectancy model projecting significantly more offense than the market number of 8.5 at ‑105, he made the over his first official play.

Bettor Mark likes the Dodgers –1.5 at roughly –125 against the Angels, a team that has oddly thrived at Dodger Stadium in recent years. He expects LA’s offense to flex early rather than requiring late heroics and thinks the star-studded roster will ‘show the MLB who they are’ before leaving town. The run-line play lets him turn heavy-chalk money-line odds into a palatable price while still capturing what he views as a clear talent gap in this finale of the crosstown series.

Bettor Mark is again fading rookie phenom Paul Skenes and grabbing Philadelphia –110 on the money-line. He believes the number is cheap for a Phillies lineup that can jump on Skenes’ early-career adrenaline and an over-adjusted total he feels is set too low. Mark has cashed repeatedly by betting against Skenes’ starts and expects Citizens Bank Park to amplify the Phillies’ platoon power. In his view, betting Philadelphia at essentially a pick ’em offers clear value and a strong path to units on a getaway-day slate.

Bettor Mark projected a shoot-out in the Twins-Orioles matchup and made Over 9 runs (–105) an official wager. He highlighted Chris Paddack’s volatility and Baltimore’s strong splits versus right-handed pitching as reasons the Orioles can "get to Paddack." Minnesota’s lineup has been "sneakily hot" of late, giving him confidence they can do damage against Shugano, whose underlying metrics and platoon splits lean hitter-friendly. With both offenses ranking top-10 in hard-hit rate over the past week and Camden Yards offering a homer-friendly backdrop, Mark expects multiple crooked numbers and prefers the full-game total to derivative markets.

Bettor Mark recommended betting the Dodgers "to not bat in the ninth inning" against the Athletics, a DraftKings market that cashes if Los Angeles is leading after eight. He prefers this approach to laying –1.5 because Oakland’s lineup can be streaky and the Dodgers are starting an inexperienced arm (SAR). Mark still trusts LA’s offense to post 4–5 runs at Chavez Ravine and called the A’s earlier 9-1 win "a fluke." By trimming juice yet fading extra-inning variance, he believes the Dodgers will win comfortably in regulation.

Bettor Mark endorsed backing Spencer Strider and the Braves on the first-five run line at –0.5 runs (–133) against Washington. He called Strider "one of the best young hot pitchers in the NL" and expects a quality start against a Nationals lineup that grades out as a plus matchup for Atlanta bats. Mark likes the F5 angle because it avoids the Braves’ occasionally inconsistent late-inning bullpen; he said even one to three early runs of support should be enough given Strider’s dominance. He mentioned the alternative "Braves not to bat in the ninth" prop but made the first-five run-line his official play.

Bettor Mark advised jumping back on the Dodgers after Tuesday’s embarrassing no-show, recommending the straight money line (around –250) or the ‘will not bat in the 9th’ market at similar juice. He expects Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1.80 ERA, 29.4% K-rate) to dominate an Oakland lineup that ranks dead-last in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. Mark’s bigger angle is psychological: he doubts the veteran Dodgers clubhouse will accept dropping two straight home games to baseball’s worst club after mailing in yesterday’s effort. He called the Dodgers a “solid dance partner” for parlays but is comfortable laying the straight price, predicting a multi-run lead that renders the bottom of the ninth unnecessary.

Bettor Mark expects Philadelphia to sweep Wednesday’s twin-bill and singled out Game 2 (6:15 pm ET) as the best angle with the Phillies sitting around –134. Aaron Nola is on the mound while St. Louis counters with Sonny Gray, whose 3.50 ERA hides a recent mini-slide (nine runs across his last 13 innings). Mark foresees a ‘slugging kind of day’ for Bryce Harper and company, noting the Cardinals’ bullpen owns one of MLB’s worst hard-contact rates over the last two weeks. Because the Phillies will be the home side, he prefers attacking the “to lead after 8½ innings / no bottom of the 9th” market at plus money, or laying the –1.5 run line if books hang a reasonable price. In short, he thinks Philly’s offense overpowers St. Louis and trusts Nola to work deep enough to hand a lead to Jeff Hoffman and Jose Alvarado.