Bill Barnwell advised passing on Darren Waller even at his rock-bottom ADP, calling the veteran “extremely unlikely to be a thing.” Barnwell reminded listeners Waller hasn’t topped 55 catches since 2020, struggled with chronic hamstring issues, and literally retired a month ago before floating a comeback. Even if he lands with Miami, Barnwell noted he would sit behind Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane in the target pecking order, making him at best the fourth option in a hyper-concentrated offense. In Barnwell’s words, drafting a mid-30s tight end who hasn’t produced in two seasons and will need red-zone luck to matter is “lighting an 18th-round pick on fire.”

Bill Barnwell urged drafters to circle Luke Musgrave in the 18th round now that teammate Tucker Kraft has vaulted into the 12th. Barnwell pointed out that the market has effectively flipped its 2023 stance without new evidence that Kraft has truly overtaken Musgrave. He reminded viewers that Musgrave still owns Day-2 draft capital and flashed 2.00 yards per route run before his injury last season. With Green Bay’s tight-end room otherwise relying on a 31-year-old vet coming off an ACL tear, Barnwell sees a clear scenario where Musgrave reclaims TE1 duties—or at worst splits routes 50/50—while costing six full rounds less than Kraft. That combination of contingent upside and closing-line value makes Musgrave one of Barnwell’s favorite back-door tight ends in four-TE Best Ball Mania builds.

Bill Barnwell said drafters are sleeping on Brock Purdy as a cheap QB2 because the market has overreacted to last year’s late-season dip. Barnwell reminded listeners that San Francisco reached three straight NFC Championship Games with essentially the same offensive core and argued their “baseline” is still a playoff berth. If that floor materializes, Purdy will have weekly ceiling games throwing to Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and a healthy receiving corps. Barnwell is comfortable pairing Purdy with an early elite quarterback—Josh Allen, in their example—because the roster already leans heavily on 49ers skill players. In his view, Purdy’s current ADP bakes in last year’s disappointment but ignores the realistic path to 4,200 yards, 30 touchdowns, and tournament-winning Week-17 correlation with Bears stacks.

Barnwell floated Romeo Doubs as a sneaky late-round click because he sees Buffalo as a logical in-season landing spot if Green Bay decides to move one of its crowded wideouts. The Bills desperately need a bona-fide outside receiver after losing Stefon Diggs, and Doubs’ contested-catch profile would immediately slot him into Josh Allen’s go-to role. Barnwell believes any deadline move would catapult Doubs’ weekly ceiling—think Gabe Davis’ boom weeks, only with more route security—and would simultaneously give drafters unique playoff correlation with Allen stacks. At a 190-plus ADP, you are buying cheap contingent upside that could flip overnight if the Packers cash in a depth piece for picks.

Bill Barnwell said the Bills’ pass-catcher group is the worst in football once you strip away Josh Allen. With no proven bucket-getter—just Khalil Shakir (Round-6/7), rookie Keon Coleman (around pick 100), journeyman Joshua Palmer and Dalton Kincaid—Barnwell thinks Allen will simply spray the ball around, leaving everyone volume-starved for spike weeks. He argued that if this exact collection were on Tennessee or the Giants it would be consensus dead last, so paying a top-100 price for Coleman is a minus-EV bet in Best Ball Mania. Barnwell added that Buffalo could chase a veteran at the trade deadline, a move that would further dilute Coleman’s already shaky target outlook. His bottom line: until the Bills land a real alpha, fade the rookie at market price and treat all Buffalo pass catchers as desperation picks only when they slide multiple rounds past ADP.