Bill Speros laid the 6.5 points with Philadelphia on Black Friday, saying the short week is exactly what the Eagles need after surrendering a 21-point lead in Dallas. Both clubs sit at 8-3 and have seven ATS covers, but Speros trusts Philly’s defense to clamp down on Caleb Williams while noting the Bears do not have the down-field threat that torched the Eagles Sunday (Dallas’ George Pickens). He added that Saquon Barkley is unlikely to cough up the ball again and expects A.J. Brown to stay quiet, projecting a convincing rebound win and cover for the defending champs.

Bill Speros said Philadelphia is the right side at -7 on Black Friday. He pointed out that both 8-3 clubs have covered seven spreads this season, but the trajectories are very different: Chicago has won 8 of 9 yet still lacks a true vertical threat, while the Eagles just blew a 21-point lead in Dallas and will be "amped" to respond on the short week. Speros expects Philly’s front to contain Caleb Williams, notes that Saquon Barkley is unlikely to repeat last week’s goal-line fumble, and believes an A.J. Brown–led passing game will look far cleaner than the Cowboys disaster. With the champs playing at Lincoln Financial Field and the Bears traveling on a four-day turnaround, he labeled a convincing Eagles win and cover one of his Week 13 Best Bets.

Bill Speros recommended grabbing the Jets +10.5, forecasting a 17-10 Patriots win that lands well inside the number. Speros highlighted the Jets’ 5-4 record against the spread despite being 2-7 straight-up, crediting Gang Green for rewarding bold backers even after trading away veterans at the deadline. He also flagged a classic let-down spot for New England: a short week following a physical road win in Tampa where Drake Maye, Stefon Diggs and TreVeyon Henderson powered the Patriots’ seventh straight victory. With New England likely content to escape with any win before the mini-bye, Speros sees value in the underdog Jets covering the inflated spread.