Blaine Blontz said Joaquin Niemann is an outright fade at his current +3000 price to win the 2025 PGA Championship. Blontz acknowledged Niemann’s undeniable talent and three LIV Tour victories this season (Adelaide by 3 shots, Singapore by 5, Mexico City by 3) but stressed that success has not translated to majors: 0 top-15s in 23 career majors and only a best finish of 16th at the 2023 Masters. Niemann’s PGA Championship history is equally uninspiring (best of 23rd in 2022 and three missed cuts in seven appearances). At Quail Hollow specifically, he owns finishes of MC-28-18 across three Wells Fargo Championships. Blontz concluded that the Chilean has “yet to prove his mettle in golf’s biggest events,” making the +3000 number far too short and a clear betting fade.