Brad Evans built a single-game parlay at +105 odds that combines a James Cook anytime touchdown with Buffalo ‑6.5 on the alternate spread. Evans highlighted Cook’s absurd consistency: touchdowns in 16 of his last 21 games (playoffs included) and four scores in four career outings versus Miami. BetAlytics assigns a 60% chance he finds the paint again. Miami’s rush defense ranks 19th in EPA and is surrendering 4.06 yards per carry, while Cook is fresh off a three-TD start to 2025. On the spread leg, Evans cited Buffalo’s six-game win streak over the Dolphins dating back to 2022, with an average margin of 10.8 points. He also referenced Miami’s ugly early-season metrics – 26th in offensive EPA/play and 32nd in defensive EPA/play – and framed Mike McDaniel’s “hot seat” as motivation for Buffalo to pour it on. As long as Josh Allen doesn’t vulture multiple goal-line sneaks, Evans expects Cook to score and the Bills to win comfortably, making the +105 parlay a value bet.

Brad Evans said to smash the over on De'Von Achane’s 37.5-yard receiving prop, pointing to an expected negative game script with Buffalo laying 12.5 points. Evans noted that when Tua Tagovailoa feels pressure he habitually checks down to Achane, giving the back a 23.7% target share through two weeks – second-highest on the team – while averaging 20 routes, 5.5 catches and 56 receiving yards. Although the Bills have yielded only 51 receiving yards total to running backs this season, Evans reminded readers that Achane burned this defense for 15 grabs and 127 yards across two meetings last year. He views Achane as the one dependable Dolphin and expects Miami to trail early, forcing “Dump-Off De'Von” past the 37.5-yard mark.