Brad Free Pick Dawgz played Chris Bassett over 4.5 strikeouts, citing Bassett’s drastic home/road splits. After an "arguably worst" road start in Baltimore, the veteran returns to Toronto where he typically posts a higher K-rate. Brad expects a bounce-back outing and at least five strikeouts.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz bet Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts against Oakland. He dislikes Rodriguez’s current form, pointing out that this hitter-friendly Sacramento venue and Arizona’s shaky bullpen setup create a short-leash scenario. Brad anticipates E-Rod exiting early and finishing with fewer than six punch-outs.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz went back to the well with Oakland’s team total over 4.5 runs versus Arizona. He said Diamondbacks starter Eduardo Rodriguez "hasn’t looked great" and will hand the ball to "one of the worst bullpens in the league." With the game in Sacramento’s hitter-friendly park, Brad expects Oakland to reach five runs after narrowly missing yesterday.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz recommended laying a half-run with the Chicago Cubs in the first five innings against Baltimore. He labeled the bet "strictly a fade of Brandon Young," predicting Chicago’s top-10 first-five OPS will punish Young’s shaky command early and have the Cubs in front by the end of the fifth.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz said he is betting the Milwaukee Brewers team total over 4.5 runs against Washington. He pointed out that the Brewers’ offense has "looked damn good this series," noting their bats have finally come alive. With that momentum rolling into the series finale at hitter-friendly Nationals Park, Brad expects Milwaukee to plate at least five runs, making the over his preferred play.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz said to back the Texas Rangers at plus money on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners. He expects newly acquired Merrill Kelly, who has been solid all season, to go pitch-for-pitch with Luis Castillo and pointed out that Castillo has been prone to giving up home runs in big spots. Brad believes any edge in the starting matchup gets washed out, but Texas owns one of the best bullpen ERAs in baseball and that relief advantage will decide the game. Despite dropping four of their last five, the Rangers rode a hot July to jump back into both the AL West and wild-card races, reinforcing his confidence in making them the Dog of the Day wager.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz told listeners to hit the Cincinnati Reds -1.5 run line (and even sprinkle -2.5 or -3.5) when they host Atlanta on July 31. His reasoning: 1) Atlanta is forced to start Carlos Cookie Carrasco, freshly acquired after posting a 5.91 ERA and 2-2 record with the Yankees, a pitcher Brad says he has "been fading for years" with consistent profit. 2) Great American Ballpark is one of MLB’s most hitter-friendly parks, an awful landing spot for a struggling, fly-ball right-hander making his first start for a new club. 3) The Braves will be traveling from Kansas City while the Reds stay home after facing the Dodgers, a schedule edge Brad believes matters. 4) Atlanta’s rotation is ravaged by IL stints, leading Brad to question the front office’s sanity for adding Carrasco and Eric Fetty instead of stronger arms. 5) Cincinnati counters with Andrew Abbott, whom Brad called "damn good" and a "pleasant surprise" this season. 6) Atlanta has been "ass on the road," another knock that pushes Brad toward an aggressive run-line position. Put it together and he expects the Reds to "clap" the Braves, making the standard -1.5 plus-money line his official play and recommending extended run lines for bettors who want extra juice.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz reluctantly backed a No-Run First Inning in Rangers-Mariners despite his long-standing skepticism of Kumar Rocker. The key, he explained, is context: T-Mobile Park is among the league’s most pitcher-friendly venues, and Seattle’s bats just slogged through a weak series versus Oakland without generating early offense. Brad believes only the Mariners are a threat to score in the first, but trusts that Rocker can “get three outs for us,” while George Kirby should breeze through Texas’ top three. With both lineups cold and park factors suppressing homers, Brad feels the Nerfie is the sharp side—even if it means holding his breath behind Rocker.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz fired on the Yes-Run First Inning in Braves-Reds strictly to attack Carlos "Cookie" Carrasco. Brad called Carrasco "ass" and reminded listeners he has faded the veteran for multiple seasons with success. Carrasco opened 2025 struggling for the Yankees, was cut, and has now landed with a Braves club Brad labeled a "dumpster fire." Even though he respects Reds lefty Andrew Abbott—"the best pitcher on today’s slate"—Brad does not expect Atlanta to score early. Instead, he’s betting the Reds cash in immediately against Carrasco’s diminished stuff, poor command, and 6-plus ERA in first innings over his last 20 starts. Because only one team needs to cross the plate, Brad likes the plus-money YRFI.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz said the No-Run First Inning line is worth a shot in Rays-Yankees because the factors lean pitcher-friendly. He pointed out that Marcus Stroman, since re-joining the rotation, "hasn’t looked terrible" outside of one rough outing and now faces a Rays offense he believes is in a "bit of a funk." On the other side, the Yankees’ order still lacks thump without Aaron Judge, so Brad expects Tampa starter "Pepe Oik" (his phrasing for the Rays starter) to cruise through the top of the first. With both lineups scuffling and Yankee Stadium weather not projected to juice run scoring, Brad thinks backing the Nerfie is a solid small-stake betting angle.

Continuing the same matchup, Brad Free Pick Dawgz played Mariners team-total over 5.5 runs. He argued that Oakland’s Jeffrey Springs is in shaky form—especially at home—and the Mariners have been quiet offensively but are due for an explosion. With Springs unlikely to pitch deep and Oakland’s bullpen vulnerable, Brad expects Seattle to push across six or more runs.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz took Jeffrey Springs under 4.5 Ks, emphasizing the southpaw’s volatility and his worse numbers at home in the Sacramento-size ballpark. Brad expects Seattle’s offense to ‘pop off’ in this series, which would shorten Springs’ outing and cap his strikeout upside. Given the inconsistent form and tough matchup, Brad does not see Springs reaching five punch-outs.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz made the Mets his favorite play, simply fading Yu Darvish. Since returning from the IL, Darvish owns a gruesome 9+ ERA and was tagged for eight earned runs in his most recent start. San Diego already claimed the first two games of the set, and Brad doesn’t believe New York will get swept. With Darvish in meltdown mode, Brad expects the Mets’ lineup to break through early and never look back.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz grabbed Marlins first-five +0.5 runs because Miami reliably backs Cal Quantrill on the road. Even though Quantrill’s raw numbers are nothing special, Brad pointed out the club keeps cashing tickets whenever he pitches. Conversely, Miles Mikolas started the season hot but ‘doesn’t look like the same guy’ lately, giving Brad confidence the Marlins can at least be tied through five. He is even sprinkling the full-game money-line but prefers the safer plus-half-run at a modest price.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz laid the money-line with Milwaukee, noting the Cubs have dropped four straight as underdogs against National-League foes. The Brewers counter with Freddy Peralta, whose home splits are ‘damn near flawless’ according to Brad, giving the Crew a clear edge on the mound. On the other side, Shota Imanaga is coming off his worst outing of the season, which Brad believes is a sign Chicago’s rookie may finally be regressing. With Peralta’s dominance in American Family Field and the Cubs stumbling, Brad expects Milwaukee to keep rolling.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz grabbed the Orioles money-line because everything is tilting their way. Baltimore has swept the first five games of the season series and comes in on a five-game winning streak. He pointed out that the Blue Jays’ bullpen has been worked to exhaustion during this stretch, which leaves Toronto thin in the late innings. Meanwhile the Orioles’ offense looks fresh and productive, so Brad expects another high-scoring day and even mentioned he likes both the full-game over and the Baltimore team-total over as secondary angles.

Brad Free Pick Dawgz said the correct move for Wednesday is to grab the Toronto Blue Jays at +100 (listed overnight at +0.10) against the Baltimore Orioles. His long-standing system: when a team sweeps a doubleheader and oddsmakers still post them as a favorite in Game 3, you fade that favorite and automatically bet the dog. Supporting context: Baltimore just took both ends of the twin bill but sits only 26-26 at Camden Yards and now rides a four-game win streak. Toronto, meanwhile, owns a strong 37-17 home mark yet is just 26-28 on the road, helping keep the price cheap. Orioles starter Dean Kremer is expected, and the overnight line makes Baltimore the chalk, so Brad classifies the Jays as a complementary system play worth a unit in MLB betting portfolios.