Brandon Kravitz is betting the Giants longest regular-season win streak under 1.5 games at +210. New York owns the league’s toughest schedule and, according to Kravitz, simply lacks offensive firepower. He foresees a mid-season white flag with a potential quarterback carousel from Russell Wilson to Jameis Winston to rookie Jackson Dart. The pressure on GM Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll collides with a 2-15 floor, making back-to-back wins hard to find—maybe only Weeks 16-17 vs Minnesota and Las Vegas. Even that is shaky, so he’s “fading the hell out of this Giants team” at better than 2-to-1.

Brandon Kravitz said he is playing Washington at +205 to win the NFC East. The division has featured a different champion 20 straight seasons, so fading Philadelphia fits the historical trend. Kravitz believes the Commanders are “loaded” after adding Laremy Tunsil, Deebo Samuel and Von Miller around Jaden Daniels, whom he already touted as a live MVP longshot. Washington’s schedule, while tough, still rates easier than Philadelphia’s (4th-hardest). Linking those factors with a motivated bounce-back narrative after last year’s title-game blowout, he sees +205 as an attractive price.

Brandon Kravitz advised skipping the Eagles longest-winning-streak over 5.5 games at +160. He argued six straight wins is difficult even for elite teams because Philadelphia is the circle game on every opponent’s calendar. The Eagles managed a 10-game heater last season, but that required nearly flawless health and several late comebacks. Kravitz thinks they can hit four or five, yet the +160 payout does not justify essentially parlaying six wins in a row. He would need at least 2-to-1 odds before considering the bet.

Although he concedes George Pickens is the best No. 2 receiver Dallas has rostered since Amari Cooper, Brandon Kravitz is fading him at his present draft price. Pickens’ fantasy cost already bakes in a big leap, yet target competition is fierce with CeeDee Lamb projected to challenge for WR1 overall status and Dallas likely to remain pass-centric under new coach Brian Schottenheimer. Kravitz likes what Pickens brings stylistically to stretch defenses but argues drafters are paying for his ceiling right now, leaving little room for profit. He advised reallocating that mid-round capital to cheaper upside elsewhere.

Brandon Kravitz placed the Cowboys on his list of 2024 playoff newcomers and leans to the over on their 8.5-win total (+120). He attributes last year’s collapse to brutal injury luck—Dak Prescott, Jake Ferguson, Brandin Cooks and multiple defensive starters all missed time—and a shocking 2-7 home record that is unlikely to repeat. A healthier roster that now includes Miles Sanders and Javonte Williams in the backfield, plus a Lamb-Pickens receiving duo, gives Brian Schottenheimer ample weapons. With regression to mean at home and better overall health, Kravitz expects 9+ wins and a postseason berth, making the current plus-money over appealing.

Kravitz likes Jaden Daniels at +750 to win MVP more than backing Washington at +205 to win the NFC East. He pointed out the division has produced a new champ in 20 straight seasons, so Commanders upside is real, but Daniels’ award odds offer a far better payout and are inherently correlated—if Washington shocks the division, their second-year star QB will drive the narrative. The franchise has pushed all-in, adding Laremy Tunsil, Deebo Samuel and Von Miller to maximize Daniels’ rookie-contract window. Despite a tougher schedule and heavier prime-time spotlight, Kravitz believes the talent surplus keeps MVP within reach and makes 7.5-to-1 a smarter wager than 2-to-1 on the division.

Brandon Kravitz admitted workload concerns after Saquon Barkley’s 2,000-plus scrimmage yards but kept him as his overall RB1. He cited historical data that backs a 500-yard dip the year after such a season, yet argued Barkley is in a far better ecosystem than past fall-off examples like Jamal Lewis or Chris Johnson. Barkley remains in his physical prime, now runs behind what Kravitz calls the league’s best offensive line, and operates inside a balanced, high-scoring offense that maximizes red-zone chances. Those situational advantages outweigh regression risk, so Kravitz still targets Barkley at the top of season-long drafts.

Brandon Kravitz said he would stay away from Jalen Hurts at 17-to-1 in the MVP market. His reasoning: Philadelphia leans on the run to salt games away, which limits late-game heroics that sway voters. Credit on offense is spread among dominant wideouts, an elite line and newcomer Saquon Barkley, making it hard for Hurts to stand out individually. Kravitz noted the award’s quarterback bias still requires eye-popping counting stats and narrative comebacks—neither fits the Eagles’ typical game script. With several other quarterbacks offering clearer paths to gaudy volume, he advised putting betting dollars elsewhere.

Brandon Kravitz championed Jakobi Meyers at WR39 ADP after a WR19 finish last season. Meyers has out-performed cost in every year of his career despite cycling through Aiden O’Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, Brian Hoyer, Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe at quarterback. With Geno Smith projected to start in Las Vegas, Kravitz argues Meyers finally has a competent passer and should once again smash his draft slot.

Because he is fading Mike Evans, Brandon Kravitz is pivoting to Chris Godwin, who goes several rounds later yet has historically produced WR2 numbers whenever healthy. Kravitz believes Godwin’s underneath role offers a higher reception floor, and at a cheaper ADP he presents a better risk-reward profile in PPR formats.

Brandon Kravitz is "all in" on Josh Downs, who is still available after pick 100 in many drafts. Kravitz expects the second-year slot receiver to emerge as Indianapolis’ top target regardless of the uncertain QB situation. Downs’ inexpensive price tag paired with a potential 22-25% target share makes him one of Kravitz’s favorite late-round darts.

Brandon Kravitz labeled Travis Hunter a classic name-value trap. Hunter may be the Jaguars’ nominal WR2, but Kravitz stressed that he will likely split time on defense, play behind a bottom-five offensive line, learn under a new head coach, and compete with an established superstar who projects for 140+ targets. Without guaranteed volume or red-zone work, Hunter’s ceiling relies on splash plays, and Kravitz views him as a wild card being drafted several rounds too early strictly because of his college stardom. He is steering clear in redraft and best-ball formats.

Brandon Kravitz called Jauan Jennings one of the most overrated WRs on draft boards. It took the former seventh-rounder four seasons to top 416 receiving yards, and Kravitz argued a late breakout is rarely a bullish signal. Jennings’ current ADP bakes in the idea that he is the temporary No. 1 option while Brandon Aiyuk rehabs, but George Kittle still siphons targets and rookie Ricky Pearsall is turning heads in camp. Kravitz also flagged Jennings’ hold-out posture—saying the wideout is "worried about cashing a check"—which could cost him practice reps and momentum. He is fading Jennings outside of deep-bench formats.

Brandon Kravitz warned drafters not to chase George Pickens at his current price. He noted that every Cowboys WR2 since Amari Cooper left has settled into roughly a 650-yard, 7–8-TD stat line that is useful only as a bye-week plug-in. Kravitz added that while Pickens is more talented than Brandin Cooks or Jalen Tolbert, he has shown the "least professional" attitude of the group, making him unreliable in a Lamb-centric offense that already funnels secondary targets to Jake Ferguson. In Kravitz’s view Pickens is closer to fool’s gold than league-winner, so he is passing in season-long and best-ball drafts.