Bryan Power went back to the well with over 8.5 in Dodgers–Mets after Friday’s game sailed past the total. He argued that Los Angeles right-hander Tony Gonsolin has been shaky, while Mets lefty David Peterson is a pitcher he’s repeatedly faded. The Mets’ bullpen is banged up and has been leaking runs, and the Dodgers enter the weekend second in MLB in runs scored. Power believes those factors set up another high-scoring affair and prefers the over while it remains below nine.

Bryan Power played under 10.5 runs (would go down to 10) in Rockies–Yankees. He cited New York starter Max Fried allowing two or fewer runs in all ten of his 2025 outings, making a big inning from Colorado unlikely. For the Rockies, Kyle Freeland has gone at least five innings while surrendering three or fewer runs in three of his last four starts, giving the under a fighting chance at altitude. Power added that Colorado has not won back-to-back games since May 1 or beaten any opponent twice in the same series all season, underscoring their offensive inconsistency.

Bryan Power recommended the under 8.5 runs in Saturday’s Giants–Nationals matchup. He pointed to Washington getting blanked 4-0 in Friday’s series opener and facing San Francisco rookie left-hander Kyle Harrison, then highlighted that the Giants’ bullpen owns the lowest ERA in all of baseball. On the other side, San Francisco’s offense has failed to top four runs in six straight games, limiting the likelihood of a shoot-out. Power noted that the market has already juiced the under and warned he would not play it if the total drops below 8.5.

Bryan Power is betting the Marlins at plus money in Anaheim, calling the Angels’ −150 tag 'insane'. Los Angeles has ripped off seven straight wins—all as road underdogs—after sweeping both the Dodgers and A’s, but Power views the first game back home as a classic flat spot. He notes the Halos still own one of the league’s worst rosters and should never lay that kind of number to anyone. Miami is rested after a Thursday off and trots out Sandy Alcantara. The former Cy Young winner has been shelled recently (8.51 ERA over his last five, team 0-5), yet Power insists the matchup is still priced wrong because the market is overreacting to the Angels’ streak. He expects regression from LA’s patch-work staff and thinks Alcantara can steady enough to let a sneaky Marlins lineup steal one. Take Miami on the moneyline while the Angels are overvalued.

Bryan Power recommended laying the –0.5 run line with Kansas City in the first five innings of the I-70 opener. Power framed it as an "anti-swagger" spot for St. Louis after their nine-game win streak was snapped in Wednesday’s double-header split at Philadelphia. He does not buy the Cardinals long-term, pointing out they over-achieved Pythagorean expectation by seven wins last season. On the mound, he sees a sizeable edge: Cole Ragans still owns a sparkling 2.22 FIP and strong strike-out rate despite a rocky four-start stretch, while Andre Pallante carries a 5.06 FIP. Because bookmakers have baked the mismatch into the full-game moneyline, Power shortens the window to the first five where the pitching gap matters most and finds –115 juice acceptable.

Bryan Power laid the –145 (and warned it may close north of –160) on Toronto’s moneyline, citing a decisive starter mismatch. Chris Bassitt owns a 3.17 expected ERA and 3.42 FIP, numbers that Power believes better reflect his form than the recent surface runs allowed. Rays right-hander Ryan Pepiot sits at a 4.43 xERA and 4.98 FIP, giving Toronto a full run of projected pitching advantage. While both bullpens blew up in Tuesday’s 11-9 circus, Power expects Bassitt to hand the Jays enough of a cushion that their shaky relief corps won’t matter. He views the line movement toward Toronto as further confirmation the pitching gap is being priced in.

Bryan Power backed the Brewers’ team-total over 3.5 runs in Cleveland. He acknowledged Milwaukee’s offense is 28th in slugging and 27th in OBP, yet pointed out they still average 4.5 runs per road game. The main angle is fading Guardians rookie Gavin Williams, who has issued nine walks across his last two starts and, in Power’s words, has been ‘getting away with a lot of walks’ that should finally catch up to him. Even with Cleveland’s rotation on a heater, Power thinks Williams’ shaky control plus borderline-stormy weather provide enough runway for Milwaukee to clear four runs over nine innings.

Bryan Power advised betting Milwaukee’s team-total over 3.5 runs despite the Brewers being blanked in the first two games at Progressive Field. Power acknowledged Milwaukee’s ugly season ranks (28th in slugging, 27th in OBP) but reminded listeners that the club still averages 4.5 runs per game on the road. He is betting on regression for rookie right-hander Gavin Williams, who has issued nine walks over his last two starts and has been surviving more on batted-ball luck than missing bats. Power noted that Cleveland’s rotation has been lights-out this week, but Williams’ control issues create traffic that Milwaukee can finally cash in on over a full nine innings. Four runs clears the ticket, and Power is confident the Brewers can reach that modest threshold.

Bryan Power recommended over 9 runs in White Sox-Reds at Great American Ballpark. He noted Cincinnati’s feast-or-famine profile— shut out, then 13 runs, then shut out again last series— and believes the ‘feast’ side shows up back in their hitter-friendly park. Jonathan Cannon starts for Chicago with a 4.77 FIP and prior blow-ups of 6 ER vs Cleveland and 4 ER vs Boston; Power dismissed his two recent quality starts because they came against weak-hitting Houston and Kansas City. Reds lefty Andrew Abbott has over-performed a shaky skill set: two outings ago he issued nine walks to just seven strikeouts, and Power expects regression despite Abbott’s five scoreless frames against Atlanta last week. He also slammed Cincinnati’s unreliable bullpen, arguing multiple pathways exist for both lineups to reach double-digit combined runs.

Bryan Power advised laying the short price with the Detroit Tigers at home against Boston. He highlighted a pronounced pitching edge: rookie Jackson Jobe owns a 2.70 ERA at Comerica (10 IP, 0 HR) whereas his 6.11 ERA on the road shows the park suits him. Boston counters with Tanner Houck, who sits bottom-six among 81 qualified starters in FIP and has surrendered at least three earned in six of eight outings. Power added that Detroit is 15-5 at home and ranks top-10 in runs scored, while the Red Sox are just 5-? on the road and have a middling bullpen behind Houck. With Jobe’s ground-ball profile neutralizing Fenway-built Boston bats and the Tigers’ lineup comfortable in spacious Comerica, Power views Detroit up to –120 as solid value.

Bryan Power recommended taking the Pirates on the first-five moneyline with Paul Skenes opposing David Peterson. Power noted he has faded Skenes twice because Pittsburgh’s bullpen is a mess, but in this spot he wants Skenes only through five where the tie pushes. Skenes has allowed more than three runs just once all season and should log five strong innings. Peterson’s Baseball Savant page shows a 4.46 expected ERA, and he walked four in his last start, a 5–1 loss to Arizona. With Peterson’s control issues and the Mets’ offense scuffling, Power expects Skenes to leave with a lead, cautioning the full-game underdog price is tempting but the bullpen risk is not worth it.

Bryan Power recommended the under 9 in Cubs–Mets. New York ranks second in MLB at just 2.53 runs allowed per home game and hands the ball to Tylor Megill, who has yielded four or fewer hits in five of seven starts. Chicago counters with a bullpen game opened by Brad Keller, with highly-touted prospect Cade Horton potentially following. Despite the Cubs leading the majors at 5.77 runs per game, Power trusts Citi Field’s run-suppressing environment and the Mets’ pitching to keep scoring muted. Last night’s 7-2 final produced only nine runs, reinforcing his view that the current total is too high.

Bryan Power played under 7 runs in Giants–Twins, citing an ace-heavy matchup and elite bullpens. Logan Webb has allowed one run or fewer in five of his last seven starts; Joe Ryan has done the same in four of his last five. Minnesota has won six straight overall and seven in a row at home, but both teams feature top-10 bullpen ERAs, giving little room for late offensive explosions. With Friday’s opener ending 3-1, Power expects another low-scoring contest at Target Field.

Bryan Power said the full-game over 10 runs is worth betting when the Yankees visit the Athletics in Sacramento’s temporary bandbox. Power pointed out that Oakland allows 6.0+ runs per game at home, third-worst in MLB, while the Yankees rank second in runs per game and have repeatedly shown an extreme "feast" ceiling in hitter-friendly environments. He added that both projected starters are liabilities: Will Warren owns a 5.49 ERA over his last five turns and Osvaldo Bido sits at 5.47, giving neither club a reliable path to suppress offense. With bad pitching, a short porch, and New York’s high-end lineup, Power expects a back-and-forth shootout that clears double digits.

Bryan Power advised grabbing St. Louis at +115 despite phenom Paul Skenes taking the ball for Pittsburgh. Power highlighted that the Pirates have dropped four straight, were swept by San Diego over the weekend, and blew another lead Monday because their offense cannot score (75 wRC+ last seven days) and their bullpen remains a liability (4.52 ERA). Skenes can only cover six innings, Power argued, leaving the final frames to that shaky relief corps. On the other side, Matthew Liberatore owns one of MLB’s top FIPs, suggesting his strong surface stats are sustainable. Add in the Cardinals’ deeper lineup and better bullpen and Power views the underdog price as value, even if Skenes shoves early. Once he exits, the Redbirds’ offensive edge and late-inning advantage should flip the game in their favor.

Power laid –110 with the Brewers behind Tobias Myers against Ronel Blanco. Both hurlers could regress, but Milwaukee allows only 3.8 runs per game at home versus 5.2 on the road, while Houston surrenders 4.1 runs away from Minute Maid compared to 3.2 at home. He believes those home/road splits are meaningful and expects the Brew Crew to take the series opener.

Power is fading New York on the road in Arizona, noting the Mets played two games Sunday in St. Louis and now face a D-backs lineup ranked 4th in MLB in runs per game. He is "not fully sold" on Mets starter Griffin Canning despite the club being 5-0 in his last five starts, calling this a tricky matchup in a bad scheduling spot for New York.

Power grabbed Pittsburgh at +125 after St. Louis played (and swept) a double-header Sunday. He routinely fades clubs the day after twin bills and does not trust starter Miles Mikolas despite zero homers allowed: the right-hander owns a 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and just 5.3 K/9. The Cards’ bullpen is bottom-7 in ERA as well. Pittsburgh was just swept by San Diego, creating what Power calls a classic buy-low/sell-high spot.

Power played the Cubs –0.5 in the first five innings (about –105) against San Francisco. Chicago leads all of MLB in runs per game “by a wide margin,” even after being shut out Sunday, while the Giants’ three-game winning streak came against the lowly Rockies. Wrigley should play pitcher-friendly tonight (total only 7.5), so he wants the better lineup early and, crucially, avoids the Cubs’ biggest weakness—the bullpen—by limiting the wager to the first five.

Bryan Power went back to the well with Cincinnati’s team total over 4.5 in Game 1 of the Cards–Reds doubleheader. He trusts a Reds offense that is third in MLB runs scored and plays in the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. The matchup is Miles Mikolas, who owns a 5.70 ERA over five starts with St. Louis losing every outing. Power reminded listeners the Cardinals bullpen sits bottom-six in ERA and that St. Louis is an abysmal 2-12 on the road, surrendering 6.14 runs per game away from Busch Stadium—the second-worst mark in baseball. He also cited Monday’s game in which Cincinnati went 0-for-8 with RISP yet still plated three; positive regression with men on base should push them past five runs today. With weather improved after Tuesday’s rainout, Power expects the Reds to cash the over before the late-inning relievers even arrive.

Bryan Power went right back to the Reds team-total Over 4.5 after it burned him last night. He trusts a lineup sitting third in MLB in runs scored, pointing out that Cincinnati went 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position and grounded into three double plays Monday yet still won 3-1. He expects those stranded-runner woes to regress against Miles Mikolas, whose 5.70 ERA has produced an 0-5 team start record for St. Louis. Power also hammered the matchup advantage once Mikolas exits: the Cardinals bullpen owns the sixth-worst ERA in baseball. With Great American Ball Park’s homer-friendly dimensions and Cincy’s top-10 barrel rate, he forecasts a “crooked number” tonight and believes five runs is the floor rather than the ceiling.

Bryan Power played the over 9.5 in Monday’s series finale between the Mets and Nationals. He noted Sunday’s wild 8-7 Washington walk-off marked the first Mets game to allow a homer since April 11 and believes their league-best 2.74 runs-allowed mark is unsustainably low over 162 games. Griffin Canning gets the ball for New York; Power acknowledged the righty has held opponents to two earned or fewer in every start outside a hitter-friendly Sacramento outing but reminded listeners that last season with the Angels he posted a career-worst 6.8 K/9 and 5.80 ERA, so regression looms. Trevor Williams starts for Washington yet has not topped five innings all year, guaranteeing extended exposure to a Nats bullpen sporting MLB’s worst ERA. With both clubs already producing two walk-off barnburners in the set, Power expects another high-scoring affair and wants bettors on the over before the number rises.

Bryan Power suggested grabbing Texas +1.5 runs against the Dodgers in Sunday’s rubber match. Public money pouring in on Los Angeles has pushed the run‑line price to a value spot for the Rangers. Power emphasized Texas’ elite run prevention—three or fewer runs allowed in 14 of 21 games, including seven straight. He also reminded listeners that Shohei Ohtani remains out of the Dodger lineup, reducing L.A.’s offensive ceiling. Starter Tyler Mahle has yielded only two earned runs and eight hits across his first four outings, further supporting Texas’ ability to stay within a run or win outright.

Power leaned OVER 8 runs at American Family Field. Milwaukee somehow allowed only one combined run in two wins over Detroit, but he reminded listeners that the Brewers still rank 27th in MLB in runs allowed. Friday starter Freddy Peralta has been excellent (≤2 ER in all four starts) yet has completed six innings only once, forcing a beleaguered bullpen with the third‑worst ERA into the game. Oakland, second in the AL in runs scored, should capitalize late, and its own pitching staff sits bottom‑five in runs allowed. All of that sets up what Power believes will be a high‑scoring night.

Power advised betting the full‑game OVER at nine runs or better. Cincinnati has plated five‑plus in five of its last seven contests and is fresh off an 11‑7, extra‑inning loss to Seattle that highlighted how shaky its bullpen can be. Baltimore had a string of five straight games with 9+ total runs before yesterday; even in the ‘low‑scoring’ 6‑3 win the O’s still did the heavy lifting. Neither starter—Anturabit for Cincinnati nor lefty Cade Povich for Baltimore—projects as a bat‑miss guy, so Power expects both lineups to cash in early and the Reds’ relief corps to inflate the total late. He would not play it if the number rises above the key nine.

Bryan Power said the Cubs are the only side he’d consider in Friday’s lone day game at Wrigley. His case: Arizona is laying an inflated price simply because Corbin Burnes is on the mound and the Snakes have won five straight, but Burnes has not been sharp to open 2025 and those five wins came against the Brewers and Marlins—two clubs Power called ‘not very good.’ Chicago owns a +36 run differential, had Thursday off while Arizona played, and is 100 percent healthy. Power likes the situational edge and thinks the wrong team is favored, recommending a play on the Cubs money line.

Bryan Power likes the Cincinnati Reds as an undervalued underdog at home against Seattle Mariners, primarily citing Seattle's ongoing road woes—it has yet to win a road game this season. He further detailed Mariners pitcher Bryce Miller's struggles away from home, having allowed four earned runs in 5.1 innings compared to stronger home outings. He also noted Cincinnati has underperformed relative to their positive run differential, which makes their current price even more appealing. Power recommended betting Cincinnati at plus money around +106 to +108, considering them fundamentally better than Seattle.

Bryan Power advises betting the Twins moneyline. Minnesota is returning home after disappointing performances on the road and starting pitcher David Festa is making his season debut after being called up from AAA. Detroit, although currently on a hot streak (5-1 over their last 6 games), played all recent victories at home and three against a weak White Sox team. Tigers' starter Reese Olson previously struggled significantly against the Twins (19 innings, 19 hits, and 7 walks allowed last season), thus Power views this as an ideal bounce-back spot for Minnesota.

Bryan Power recommends betting the Athletics as a home underdog against the Mets. Starter Griffin Canning of the Mets may struggle in the unfamiliar, run-producing minor league park in Sacramento, exacerbated by his typically lower strikeout numbers. In contrast, Athletics starter JP Sears pitched well his first two games this season (both on the road), limiting opponents to 3 or fewer runs even in a hitter-friendly stadium like Coors Field. Bryan sees value playing the Athletics given their starter's proven track record in similar run-friendly environments.

Bryan Power advised backing Atlanta Braves on the money line (-135) against the Phillies. He noted the Braves' slow start (just 2-8), but emphasized seven losses came on a challenging road trip against quality teams like the Padres and Dodgers, whereas they've gone 2-1 at home thus far. Power considers Phillies pitcher Taijuan Walker a liability after posting a 7.10 ERA and 6.94 FIP last season, despite a recent strong outing against Colorado. He thinks Braves pitcher Grant Holmes will be competent enough for Atlanta to secure their first back-to-back wins of the season.

Bryan Power advises fading Yankees pitcher Carlos Rodon against the Detroit Tigers, highlighting Rodon's pronounced control issues and poor early season performance. Rodon has walked a concerning six batters over his first two starts and surrendered four earned runs in his last outing, which was a narrow loss to Arizona. Additionally, Power notes the Tigers' recent offensive momentum after sweeping a home series against the White Sox. Given the Yankees' inability to complete their sweep against the Pirates and the likely tight nature of this matchup, he recommends taking the home underdog Tigers at +1.5 on the run line at a good value of -118.