For the three-man Top Australasian market, DaSilva took Jason Day +100 over Min Woo Lee (+160) and Ryan Fox (+333). Day’s ten straight top-25s at Pebble, including nine top-10s, make him the clear course horse and justify the even-money price in such a limited field.

DaSilva recommended Hisatsune +200 to be top Japanese player over heavy favorite Matsuyama (-250). He cited Hisatsune’s strong 2026 start and Matsuyama’s weak Pebble record, arguing the odds fail to reflect their current trajectories on this course.

In the BetMGM head-to-head, DaSilva urged taking McIlroy +250 over Scottie Scheffler (-325), calling the number 'flat-out absurd.' McIlroy won here last year, is in solid European form, and benefits from the no-cut structure, so DaSilva believes the gap between the two stars should be far narrower.

DaSilva prefers Justin Rose ‑105 over Hideki Matsuyama (-118). Rose owns a win plus 11th and 3rd the last three years, whereas Matsuyama’s only two recent trips ended 48th and 71st. With both veterans in decent current form, DaSilva trusts Rose’s Pebble comfort to decide the duel.

DaSilva endorsed Ryo Hisatsune +230 for a top-20 even though it’s his first Pebble start. The young Japanese star arrives off consecutive finishes of 2nd and 10th in his last two PGA Tour appearances. DaSilva believes the market is discounting that surge because of course inexperience, creating an opportunity to ride the clear form advantage.

DaSilva pegged Tom Hoge +275 for a top-20. Hoge captured Pebble in 2022, followed with 6th in 2024 and 17th last year. Although he missed the cut in Phoenix, he logged a T-8 at The American Express in January, confirming the irons remain hot. Given his long-term ball-striking success on coastal poa annua, DaSilva expects another solid finish well inside the top-20 threshold.

DaSilva suggested Sam Stevens +210 for a top-20. Stevens has finished 34th and 17th in two prior Pebble starts and has not placed worse than 35th in four tournaments this season. The steady early-season form combined with incremental course improvement signals value in the +210 price for a no-cut event where he only needs another incremental jump.

DaSilva urged playing Justin Rose +220 for a top-10. Rose won this event in 2023 and followed with finishes of 11th and 3rd, plus a solo 3rd at the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble. Those three straight top-11s, combined with his recent uptick in strokes-gained approach, convinced DaSilva the Englishman remains tailor-made for Pebble’s narrow fairways and tiny greens.

DaSilva highlighted Jason Day +250 for a top-10, citing an eye-popping resume: ten consecutive top-25s at Pebble and nine career top-10s in 15 Pro-Am starts, plus a T-21 at the 2019 U.S. Open on the same course. With the limited 80-man, no-cut format ensuring four rounds on a venue he dominates, DaSilva feels bettors are still being paid a premium for a result Day has produced 60% of the time.

DaSilva advised grabbing Russell Henley +450 for a top-5 finish because Pebble Beach rewards laser iron play and steady putting—Henley’s calling cards. Henley ranked top-10 on Tour in fairways hit and strokes-gained putting last season and finished 5th here a year ago. DaSilva believes his precision into Pebble’s postage-stamp greens positions him for another Sunday run, making +450 attractive versus his true probability.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Rory McIlroy +225 for a top-5 finish. He noted McIlroy is the defending champion, rebounding from a 66th-place showing in 2024 to win last year. Although this is McIlroy’s 2026 PGA Tour debut, DaSilva pointed to several strong recent results on the DP World Tour as proof the Northern Irishman’s game is sharp. With no cut and Pebble’s short layout rewarding elite wedge play, DaSilva argued McIlroy’s combination of distance control and scoring upside makes the +225 number mis-priced.

DaSilva likes Sepp Straka +375 for a top-10. Straka improved from 26th in 2024 to 7th last year at Pebble and has made a habit of popping in elevated events. He rolls in after a T-18 at the WM Phoenix Open, giving him form and course history. DaSilva thinks the Austrian’s high-floor tee-to-green game translates to another leaderboard climb.

DaSilva urged bettors to swallow the short +100 price on Taylor Pendrith as top Canadian. Pendrith’s consecutive top-10s at Torrey give him a stark edge over the rest of the Canadian contingent, none of whom have matching course success or current ball-striking form. Given those gaps, DaSilva felt even money was still fair value.

DaSilva highlighted Nicolai Hojgaard at +1100 to finish as top European, noting that only Ludvig Aberg (+500) sits ahead of him in the market. Hojgaard’s runner-up here in 2024 and upper-tier driving distance give him a ceiling equal to anyone in the European cohort, including his twin brother Rasmus and veteran Alex Noren. At more than double-digit odds, DaSilva likes the upside.

In the BetMGM matchup market, DaSilva recommended laying ‑135 with Jake Knapp over Max Homa (+105). Knapp owns a 3rd-place finish at Torrey (2024) and arrives in better form after Homa endured a rocky 2025 season despite winning this event in 2023. DaSilva argued that Knapp’s confidence and current ball-striking edge outweigh Homa’s longer-term pedigree, making the juice worth paying.

DaSilva took a flyer on Kevin Yu at +350 to finish top-20. Yu missed the cut last year but dazzled in 2024 with a 6th-place finish, showing comfort on Torrey’s steep slopes. The generous price acknowledges volatility, yet DaSilva likes Yu’s combination of distance and elite iron play to bounce back.

DaSilva endorsed Jake Knapp for a top-20 at +180. Knapp finished 3rd in his 2024 Farmers debut and 32nd last season, confirming he can handle Torrey’s length. He kicked off 2026 with a T-11 at the Sony Open, signaling sharp current form. DaSilva expects the Canadian bomber to lean on his 190-mph ball speed to carve out another profitable week.

DaSilva labeled Wyndham Clark a buy-low top-10 target at +375. Clark finished 31st here last year but owns a power-driven profile tailor-made for Torrey Pines. With odds lengthening after an uneven 2025 campaign, DaSilva believes bettors are getting favorable value on a former U.S. Open champion who can overpower the South Course and separate on the reachable par-5s.

DaSilva advised grabbing Will Zalatoris for a top-10 at +350, noting that he has never skipped this tournament over the last five years and has landed 24th or better in four of those starts. A runner-up in 2022 and 7th in 2021, Zalatoris’ length and relatively straight driving suit Torrey’s 7,765-yard South Course. With no major injury concerns this season, DaSilva sees the former Wake Forest star as a course-fit value in the double-up range.

DaSilva urged bettors to back Xander Schauffele for a top-5 finish at +280. The San Diego native skipped last year’s Farmers due to injury but returns fully healthy, fresh off an uninterrupted offseason. His last three appearances at Torrey produced 9th (2024), 13th (2023) and 2nd (2021) place results, demonstrating both ceiling and consistency. Because the South Course demands length and balanced ball-striking, DaSilva expects Schauffele’s elite tee-to-green profile to translate, especially with local knowledge and family support in the galleries.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Jason Day to finish inside the top-5 at +550, pointing out that the Aussie consistently thrives at Torrey Pines. Day has six finishes of 32nd or better since 2018, highlighted by a victory and three additional top-10s. Although he missed the cut in both 2021 and 2024, his overall track record on the North-South course rotation remains one of the most reliable in the field. DaSilva believes that comfort on the brutally long South Course and Day’s proven ability to handle firm Poa greens give him legitimate upside relative to the odds.

DaSilva suggested Nicolai Hojgaard for a top-20 at +188. The young Dane debuted at Torrey with a runner-up in 2024 and showed effortless length that translates to both courses. Given the softer threshold of a top-20 ticket and his rising worldwide form, DaSilva sees limited downside at near-even money.

DaSilva pushed Taylor Pendrith at +350 for a top-10, citing two straight Torrey top-10s (7th and 9th) and encouraging 2026 form. Pendrith opened the year T-13 at the Sony Open before missing the La Quinta cut by a single stroke, suggesting ball-striking is close. As one of the longer Canadians on Tour, he can attack the South Course’s par-5s while mitigating its brutal par-4 yardages.

DaSilva also tagged Taylor at +225 to be Top Canadian, citing the same blend of current form (T13 Sony Open) and course comfort (T12 last year) to out-duel Taylor Pendrith and the rest of the Maple Leaf contingent.

DaSilva likes Nick Taylor at +550 for a Top-10 after a T13 showing at last week’s Sony Open. Taylor grabbed a share of 12th here a year ago and has historically played his best golf in January and February, making him a solid value as the Tour heads up the West Coast.

In the Poston (-105) vs. Daniel Berger (-118) matchup, DaSilva plays Poston. Berger has teed it up just twice here in the past five years, whereas Poston makes La Quinta an annual stop and owns four straight finishes of 25th or better. Familiarity and form give Poston the edge at plus money.

DaSilva endorsed J.T. Poston at +450 for a Top-10, reminding readers that Poston’s putter catches fire in the desert. He has finished 12th, 7th and 11th the last three trips to this event, and the soft, pure Poa greens should once again suit his streaky flat stick.

For the Burns (-110) vs. Patrick Cantlay (-110) matchup, DaSilva sides with Burns. Cantlay is coming off a “disappointing 2025” while Burns brings that elite putter and a comparable course résumé. DaSilva expects Cantlay’s slow starts to continue early in the season and sees Burns’ putting upside as the difference in this coin-flip price.

DaSilva grabbed Sam Burns at +550 for a Top-5, pointing to Burns’ No. 2 strokes-gained putting mark last season—a critical edge in a shootout that routinely finishes 23-under or deeper. Burns has landed 6th here twice in the last seven years and placed 29th or better in five of those starts, giving DaSilva confidence the flat stick keeps him hunting another Sunday trophy.

DaSilva backed Nick Taylor at +225 to finish as top Canadian over Taylor Pendrith and company. Taylor’s 2026 has already started with a T-13 at the Sony Open, and he logged a T-12 in last year’s American Express, reinforcing his reputation as an early-calendar scorer.

DaSilva played Matt Fitzpatrick at +250 to be top Englishman. Fitzpatrick captured the DP World Tour Championship in November, looked sharp late in 2025, and now debuts his PGA Tour season on a set of courses that reward the precise iron play he flashed in Dubai.

In the matchup priced Poston -105 vs Daniel Berger -118, DaSilva took Poston because Berger has only teed it up here twice in the last five years, whereas Poston has finished 25th or better four straight editions and knows the full rotation inside out.

For the -110 head-to-head versus Patrick Cantlay, DaSilva sided with Sam Burns. He noted Cantlay’s disappointing 2025 campaign and the possibility of another slow start, while Burns’ elite putting should keep him in every round on these receptive greens.

DaSilva suggested Michael Kim at +320 for a top-20, citing his 6th-place finish in 2024, 43rd last year, and a tie for 31st to open 2026 at the Sony Open. Early form plus past upside make Kim a value play on a course where low scores are mandatory.

Despite two straight missed cuts in La Quinta, DaSilva took Brian Harman at +350 for a top-20 because the left-hander previously posted six top-21 finishes in seven trips. DaSilva trusts the larger sample over the recent blips and expects a course correction on a set of tracks that suit Harman’s wedge game.

DaSilva labeled Alex Smalley a high-floor top-20 play at +300. Smalley has finished 25th or better in four straight American Express appearances, capped by an 11th-place last year, giving DaSilva confidence the trend continues even in a stronger field.

DaSilva backed Nick Taylor at +550 for a top-10, pointing to Taylor’s tied-13th last week at the Sony Open and a tied-12th in last year’s American Express. Taylor historically spikes in January events, making DaSilva confident he can stay hot across the friendly scoring conditions in La Quinta.

DaSilva likes J.T. Poston at +450 for a top-10 because Poston’s putter tends to catch fire in the desert. He has finished 12th or better three straight years at this event and keeps the tournament on his annual schedule, giving him extra reps on all three courses.

DaSilva recommended Sam Burns at +550 for a top-5, noting Burns ranked among the Tour’s best putters last season and owns two sixth-place finishes in his last seven American Express starts while finishing 29th or better in five of those trips. On layouts that regularly yield 25-under winning scores, DaSilva expects Burns’ putting to separate him again.

Cameron DaSilva said Ben Griffin is worth a top-5 bet at +350 because his results in La Quinta keep getting better: 32nd in 2023, 9th in 2024, and 7th last year. DaSilva thinks another leap is realistic with scoring expected to push past −23 on the three course rotation, rewarding a player who already owns a comfort level on each layout.

DaSilva threw a sprinkle on Ben Griffin at +3300 to grab the Thursday lead. Griffin ranks 12th on tour in Round-1 scoring average (typically gaining nearly 1.3 strokes putting in opening rounds) and profiles well on shorter courses where he can lean on wedges and a silky flat stick. Silverado’s receptive greens yielded 63 first-round 66s or better the past two years, and DaSilva believes Griffin’s early-week aggression makes him live to post another low number.

For head-to-head bettors DaSilva laid ‑125 on Cameron Young over Collin Morikawa. Morikawa enters off three straight finishes outside the top 40 and negative strokes-gained putting in five straight starts. Young, conversely, has gained strokes tee-to-green in nine consecutive events, capped by a Tour Championship 4th. DaSilva framed it as a classic hot-hand play with Morikawa’s iron play mysteriously off and Young peaking at the perfect time.

DaSilva advised taking Sam Burns +100 over Patrick Cantlay in the BetMGM matchup market. Burns owns a T-7 course result and arrives sharper after ranking 4th in strokes-gained putting over the last two months. Cantlay, meanwhile, has logged just one top-15 since the U.S. Open and could treat Napa as little more than Ryder Cup prep. Given current form and course résumé, DaSilva sees the even-money price on Burns as mis-priced.

DaSilva doubled down on Adam Svensson, backing him at +500 for a Top-20 and +275 as Top Canadian. The reasoning is the same: Svensson has finished 13th and 12th in consecutive Procore starts, cashing both props. Despite a lackluster 2025 season, he gained over 1.5 strokes on approach in each of those Napa appearances. DaSilva gives him the edge over Mackenzie Hughes, Adam Hadwin, and Ben Silverman thanks to that specific course fit and the ability to catch fire with the putter on poa.

At +275, DaSilva sees Matt Kuchar’s relentless accuracy translating to another Top-20. Kuchar has quietly finished 13th, 11th and 8th in his last three Silverado trips, gaining strokes both off the tee and with the putter each time. While no longer a weekly contender, his steady fairway-finder profile plays perfectly on a 7,100-yard track that punishes misses. DaSilva expects that three-year streak to continue against a distracted, Ryder-Cup-focused field.

Even with recent inconsistency, DaSilva recommended Sahith Theegala at +275 for a Top-20 because California comfort is real. Theegala won this tournament in 2023 (then branded the Fortinet Championship) and has posted 4 finishes of 14th or better in his last 5 Silverado starts. Familiar Kikuyu rough and West Coast greens mute his ball-striking volatility, making a backdoor Top-20 the floor if he simply finds a field-average putter.

DaSilva likes Patrick Fishburn at +500 for a Top-10 after the long-hitting Canadian opened eyes with a solo 3rd in his Silverado debut last year, finishing only six shots behind Patton Kizzire. Fishburn followed that up with a T-8 at the Wyndham Championship in his most recent PGA start, signaling the form is intact. His length lets him attack the reachable par-5s, and DaSilva believes anything close to last year’s 1.7 strokes-gained approach performance puts another top-10 squarely in play.

Calling him the world’s No. 1 amateur and fresh off anchoring Team USA’s Walker Cup victory at Pebble, DaSilva grabbed +350 on Jackson Koivun to crack the Top-10. Koivun stays on familiar West Coast poa greens and arrives with confidence after going 3-1-0 last week. DaSilva believes the 7,138-yard track de-emphasizes power and rewards Koivun’s precise wedges, giving the youngster a realistic path to contend even against a Ryder-Cup-heavy field.

DaSilva recommended Cameron Young at +350 for a Top-5 after a two-month heater that includes his first PGA Tour win at the Wyndham (early August) and a 4th-place finish at the Tour Championship. Young has gained over 1.2 strokes per round off the tee since July and ranks top-5 in birdies during that stretch. With Collin Morikawa slumping, DaSilva sees Young as the in-form American most likely to pile up red numbers on Silverado’s gettable par-5s.

DaSilva grabbed the +400 number for J.J. Spaun to finish inside the top five, pointing to an elite comfort level on West Coast setups. Spaun has never missed the cut at Silverado and owns three straight strong results—T-9, T-11, T-26—since 2020. That track record, combined with his tendency to spike with the short irons on shorter par-72 layouts, makes him a live podium threat in a field where many favorites may have one eye on the Ryder Cup.

Cameron DaSilva said Sam Burns is worth a Top-5 ticket at +333 because the flat stick never cooled off. Burns tied for 7th at Silverado in 2021 and mirrored that result at last month’s Tour Championship, showing upside on both this layout and elite fields. With the Ryder Cup looming he is treating Napa as a tune-up, and DaSilva expects the familiar West Coast poa surfaces to accentuate Burns’ biggest edge: he ranked top-10 on tour in strokes-gained putting during the summer swing.