Potgieter is a +10000 flier for DaSilva. The South African’s elite length makes him dangerous any time missed fairways are not severely punished—exactly the case at Memorial Park. He missed the cut in last year’s debut, but DaSilva writes that the combination of raw power and negligible rough offers enough ceiling to justify a small stake in outright and FRL (first-round leader) markets.

DaSilva took a stab on Keith Mitchell at +5000. Mitchell has been "fantastic off the tee" and strong across the ball-striking board this year, but the putter has lagged badly. He tied for 18th here in 2025 and 9th in 2023, indicating real comfort at Memorial Park. If the putter wakes up even marginally, DaSilva sees Mitchell vaulting into contention and likes him for top-20 markets.

At +6000, Wyndham Clark is DaSilva’s favorite mid-tier dart. Distance is a non-issue for Clark, which explains a 5th-place finish last year and a T-16 in 2023 at Memorial Park. While he missed the cut at last week’s Valspar after several middle-of-pack showings, DaSilva believes the course fit and past results justify an outright sprinkle and top-20 hedge.

DaSilva flagged Marco Penge at +3300 as a high-upside play, pointing out that Penge is No. 1 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained off-the-tee this season. His bomb-and-gouge style yields short irons on long par-70s, and Memorial Park has minimal penalty for missed fairways. Although this is Penge’s first appearance, DaSilva reminded readers that Lee won on debut here last year, underscoring how quickly power players can translate at this venue.

DaSilva recommended Jake Knapp at +2200, noting the bomber finished 27th here last year and currently ranks 13th in the field in SG tee-to-green over the last three months while sitting 1st in putting. He has already flashed ceiling weeks during a hot 2026 start, and DaSilva expects Memorial Park’s wide corridors and low projected winning score to accentuate Knapp’s drive-and-putt combo. The analyst labeled that skill set 'a dangerous combination' for outright tickets and top-10 props.

DaSilva suggested Gary Woodland at +9000 after a T-14 at Valspar broke a two-event missed-cut streak. Woodland ranks 4th in this field in SG off-the-tee over the last three months, indicating the big stick is dialed. With Memorial Park rewarding aggressive driving, DaSilva likes Woodland for outright exposure and a safer top-20 ticket.

Despite opening the season with seven straight missed cuts, Alejandro Tosti is a lottery ticket DaSilva likes at +20000. Tosti finally showed life with a T-30 at Valspar and now returns to a venue where his distance has produced a T-2 and T-5 in his only two Houston starts. DaSilva argued that few players at this price possess both elite power and proven Memorial Park success, making him worth a fractional outright and top-10 flyer.

Cameron DaSilva said Min Woo Lee is still a bet at +1600 to win outright. Lee set the tournament scoring record at 20-under in his debut here last year and, over the past three months, grades out 2nd in this field in strokes gained off-the-tee and 3rd in SG tee-to-green. Memorial Park forces frequent driver use but offers forgiving rough, a setup DaSilva called tailor-made for big hitters. With elite recent ball-striking and proven course history, DaSilva believes Lee has a realistic chance to become the first back-to-back winner since the event moved to Memorial Park.

For the three-man Top Australasian market, DaSilva took Jason Day +100 over Min Woo Lee (+160) and Ryan Fox (+333). Day’s ten straight top-25s at Pebble, including nine top-10s, make him the clear course horse and justify the even-money price in such a limited field.

DaSilva recommended Hisatsune +200 to be top Japanese player over heavy favorite Matsuyama (-250). He cited Hisatsune’s strong 2026 start and Matsuyama’s weak Pebble record, arguing the odds fail to reflect their current trajectories on this course.

In the BetMGM head-to-head, DaSilva urged taking McIlroy +250 over Scottie Scheffler (-325), calling the number 'flat-out absurd.' McIlroy won here last year, is in solid European form, and benefits from the no-cut structure, so DaSilva believes the gap between the two stars should be far narrower.

DaSilva prefers Justin Rose ‑105 over Hideki Matsuyama (-118). Rose owns a win plus 11th and 3rd the last three years, whereas Matsuyama’s only two recent trips ended 48th and 71st. With both veterans in decent current form, DaSilva trusts Rose’s Pebble comfort to decide the duel.

DaSilva endorsed Ryo Hisatsune +230 for a top-20 even though it’s his first Pebble start. The young Japanese star arrives off consecutive finishes of 2nd and 10th in his last two PGA Tour appearances. DaSilva believes the market is discounting that surge because of course inexperience, creating an opportunity to ride the clear form advantage.

DaSilva pegged Tom Hoge +275 for a top-20. Hoge captured Pebble in 2022, followed with 6th in 2024 and 17th last year. Although he missed the cut in Phoenix, he logged a T-8 at The American Express in January, confirming the irons remain hot. Given his long-term ball-striking success on coastal poa annua, DaSilva expects another solid finish well inside the top-20 threshold.

DaSilva suggested Sam Stevens +210 for a top-20. Stevens has finished 34th and 17th in two prior Pebble starts and has not placed worse than 35th in four tournaments this season. The steady early-season form combined with incremental course improvement signals value in the +210 price for a no-cut event where he only needs another incremental jump.

DaSilva urged playing Justin Rose +220 for a top-10. Rose won this event in 2023 and followed with finishes of 11th and 3rd, plus a solo 3rd at the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble. Those three straight top-11s, combined with his recent uptick in strokes-gained approach, convinced DaSilva the Englishman remains tailor-made for Pebble’s narrow fairways and tiny greens.

DaSilva highlighted Jason Day +250 for a top-10, citing an eye-popping resume: ten consecutive top-25s at Pebble and nine career top-10s in 15 Pro-Am starts, plus a T-21 at the 2019 U.S. Open on the same course. With the limited 80-man, no-cut format ensuring four rounds on a venue he dominates, DaSilva feels bettors are still being paid a premium for a result Day has produced 60% of the time.

DaSilva advised grabbing Russell Henley +450 for a top-5 finish because Pebble Beach rewards laser iron play and steady putting—Henley’s calling cards. Henley ranked top-10 on Tour in fairways hit and strokes-gained putting last season and finished 5th here a year ago. DaSilva believes his precision into Pebble’s postage-stamp greens positions him for another Sunday run, making +450 attractive versus his true probability.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Rory McIlroy +225 for a top-5 finish. He noted McIlroy is the defending champion, rebounding from a 66th-place showing in 2024 to win last year. Although this is McIlroy’s 2026 PGA Tour debut, DaSilva pointed to several strong recent results on the DP World Tour as proof the Northern Irishman’s game is sharp. With no cut and Pebble’s short layout rewarding elite wedge play, DaSilva argued McIlroy’s combination of distance control and scoring upside makes the +225 number mis-priced.

DaSilva likes Sepp Straka +375 for a top-10. Straka improved from 26th in 2024 to 7th last year at Pebble and has made a habit of popping in elevated events. He rolls in after a T-18 at the WM Phoenix Open, giving him form and course history. DaSilva thinks the Austrian’s high-floor tee-to-green game translates to another leaderboard climb.

DaSilva urged bettors to swallow the short +100 price on Taylor Pendrith as top Canadian. Pendrith’s consecutive top-10s at Torrey give him a stark edge over the rest of the Canadian contingent, none of whom have matching course success or current ball-striking form. Given those gaps, DaSilva felt even money was still fair value.

DaSilva highlighted Nicolai Hojgaard at +1100 to finish as top European, noting that only Ludvig Aberg (+500) sits ahead of him in the market. Hojgaard’s runner-up here in 2024 and upper-tier driving distance give him a ceiling equal to anyone in the European cohort, including his twin brother Rasmus and veteran Alex Noren. At more than double-digit odds, DaSilva likes the upside.

In the BetMGM matchup market, DaSilva recommended laying ‑135 with Jake Knapp over Max Homa (+105). Knapp owns a 3rd-place finish at Torrey (2024) and arrives in better form after Homa endured a rocky 2025 season despite winning this event in 2023. DaSilva argued that Knapp’s confidence and current ball-striking edge outweigh Homa’s longer-term pedigree, making the juice worth paying.

DaSilva took a flyer on Kevin Yu at +350 to finish top-20. Yu missed the cut last year but dazzled in 2024 with a 6th-place finish, showing comfort on Torrey’s steep slopes. The generous price acknowledges volatility, yet DaSilva likes Yu’s combination of distance and elite iron play to bounce back.

DaSilva endorsed Jake Knapp for a top-20 at +180. Knapp finished 3rd in his 2024 Farmers debut and 32nd last season, confirming he can handle Torrey’s length. He kicked off 2026 with a T-11 at the Sony Open, signaling sharp current form. DaSilva expects the Canadian bomber to lean on his 190-mph ball speed to carve out another profitable week.

DaSilva labeled Wyndham Clark a buy-low top-10 target at +375. Clark finished 31st here last year but owns a power-driven profile tailor-made for Torrey Pines. With odds lengthening after an uneven 2025 campaign, DaSilva believes bettors are getting favorable value on a former U.S. Open champion who can overpower the South Course and separate on the reachable par-5s.

DaSilva advised grabbing Will Zalatoris for a top-10 at +350, noting that he has never skipped this tournament over the last five years and has landed 24th or better in four of those starts. A runner-up in 2022 and 7th in 2021, Zalatoris’ length and relatively straight driving suit Torrey’s 7,765-yard South Course. With no major injury concerns this season, DaSilva sees the former Wake Forest star as a course-fit value in the double-up range.

DaSilva urged bettors to back Xander Schauffele for a top-5 finish at +280. The San Diego native skipped last year’s Farmers due to injury but returns fully healthy, fresh off an uninterrupted offseason. His last three appearances at Torrey produced 9th (2024), 13th (2023) and 2nd (2021) place results, demonstrating both ceiling and consistency. Because the South Course demands length and balanced ball-striking, DaSilva expects Schauffele’s elite tee-to-green profile to translate, especially with local knowledge and family support in the galleries.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Jason Day to finish inside the top-5 at +550, pointing out that the Aussie consistently thrives at Torrey Pines. Day has six finishes of 32nd or better since 2018, highlighted by a victory and three additional top-10s. Although he missed the cut in both 2021 and 2024, his overall track record on the North-South course rotation remains one of the most reliable in the field. DaSilva believes that comfort on the brutally long South Course and Day’s proven ability to handle firm Poa greens give him legitimate upside relative to the odds.

DaSilva suggested Nicolai Hojgaard for a top-20 at +188. The young Dane debuted at Torrey with a runner-up in 2024 and showed effortless length that translates to both courses. Given the softer threshold of a top-20 ticket and his rising worldwide form, DaSilva sees limited downside at near-even money.

DaSilva pushed Taylor Pendrith at +350 for a top-10, citing two straight Torrey top-10s (7th and 9th) and encouraging 2026 form. Pendrith opened the year T-13 at the Sony Open before missing the La Quinta cut by a single stroke, suggesting ball-striking is close. As one of the longer Canadians on Tour, he can attack the South Course’s par-5s while mitigating its brutal par-4 yardages.

DaSilva also tagged Taylor at +225 to be Top Canadian, citing the same blend of current form (T13 Sony Open) and course comfort (T12 last year) to out-duel Taylor Pendrith and the rest of the Maple Leaf contingent.

DaSilva likes Nick Taylor at +550 for a Top-10 after a T13 showing at last week’s Sony Open. Taylor grabbed a share of 12th here a year ago and has historically played his best golf in January and February, making him a solid value as the Tour heads up the West Coast.

In the Poston (-105) vs. Daniel Berger (-118) matchup, DaSilva plays Poston. Berger has teed it up just twice here in the past five years, whereas Poston makes La Quinta an annual stop and owns four straight finishes of 25th or better. Familiarity and form give Poston the edge at plus money.

DaSilva endorsed J.T. Poston at +450 for a Top-10, reminding readers that Poston’s putter catches fire in the desert. He has finished 12th, 7th and 11th the last three trips to this event, and the soft, pure Poa greens should once again suit his streaky flat stick.

For the Burns (-110) vs. Patrick Cantlay (-110) matchup, DaSilva sides with Burns. Cantlay is coming off a “disappointing 2025” while Burns brings that elite putter and a comparable course résumé. DaSilva expects Cantlay’s slow starts to continue early in the season and sees Burns’ putting upside as the difference in this coin-flip price.

DaSilva grabbed Sam Burns at +550 for a Top-5, pointing to Burns’ No. 2 strokes-gained putting mark last season—a critical edge in a shootout that routinely finishes 23-under or deeper. Burns has landed 6th here twice in the last seven years and placed 29th or better in five of those starts, giving DaSilva confidence the flat stick keeps him hunting another Sunday trophy.

DaSilva backed Nick Taylor at +225 to finish as top Canadian over Taylor Pendrith and company. Taylor’s 2026 has already started with a T-13 at the Sony Open, and he logged a T-12 in last year’s American Express, reinforcing his reputation as an early-calendar scorer.

DaSilva played Matt Fitzpatrick at +250 to be top Englishman. Fitzpatrick captured the DP World Tour Championship in November, looked sharp late in 2025, and now debuts his PGA Tour season on a set of courses that reward the precise iron play he flashed in Dubai.

In the matchup priced Poston -105 vs Daniel Berger -118, DaSilva took Poston because Berger has only teed it up here twice in the last five years, whereas Poston has finished 25th or better four straight editions and knows the full rotation inside out.

For the -110 head-to-head versus Patrick Cantlay, DaSilva sided with Sam Burns. He noted Cantlay’s disappointing 2025 campaign and the possibility of another slow start, while Burns’ elite putting should keep him in every round on these receptive greens.

DaSilva suggested Michael Kim at +320 for a top-20, citing his 6th-place finish in 2024, 43rd last year, and a tie for 31st to open 2026 at the Sony Open. Early form plus past upside make Kim a value play on a course where low scores are mandatory.

Despite two straight missed cuts in La Quinta, DaSilva took Brian Harman at +350 for a top-20 because the left-hander previously posted six top-21 finishes in seven trips. DaSilva trusts the larger sample over the recent blips and expects a course correction on a set of tracks that suit Harman’s wedge game.

DaSilva labeled Alex Smalley a high-floor top-20 play at +300. Smalley has finished 25th or better in four straight American Express appearances, capped by an 11th-place last year, giving DaSilva confidence the trend continues even in a stronger field.

DaSilva backed Nick Taylor at +550 for a top-10, pointing to Taylor’s tied-13th last week at the Sony Open and a tied-12th in last year’s American Express. Taylor historically spikes in January events, making DaSilva confident he can stay hot across the friendly scoring conditions in La Quinta.

DaSilva likes J.T. Poston at +450 for a top-10 because Poston’s putter tends to catch fire in the desert. He has finished 12th or better three straight years at this event and keeps the tournament on his annual schedule, giving him extra reps on all three courses.

DaSilva recommended Sam Burns at +550 for a top-5, noting Burns ranked among the Tour’s best putters last season and owns two sixth-place finishes in his last seven American Express starts while finishing 29th or better in five of those trips. On layouts that regularly yield 25-under winning scores, DaSilva expects Burns’ putting to separate him again.

Cameron DaSilva said Ben Griffin is worth a top-5 bet at +350 because his results in La Quinta keep getting better: 32nd in 2023, 9th in 2024, and 7th last year. DaSilva thinks another leap is realistic with scoring expected to push past −23 on the three course rotation, rewarding a player who already owns a comfort level on each layout.

DaSilva threw a sprinkle on Ben Griffin at +3300 to grab the Thursday lead. Griffin ranks 12th on tour in Round-1 scoring average (typically gaining nearly 1.3 strokes putting in opening rounds) and profiles well on shorter courses where he can lean on wedges and a silky flat stick. Silverado’s receptive greens yielded 63 first-round 66s or better the past two years, and DaSilva believes Griffin’s early-week aggression makes him live to post another low number.

For head-to-head bettors DaSilva laid ‑125 on Cameron Young over Collin Morikawa. Morikawa enters off three straight finishes outside the top 40 and negative strokes-gained putting in five straight starts. Young, conversely, has gained strokes tee-to-green in nine consecutive events, capped by a Tour Championship 4th. DaSilva framed it as a classic hot-hand play with Morikawa’s iron play mysteriously off and Young peaking at the perfect time.

DaSilva advised taking Sam Burns +100 over Patrick Cantlay in the BetMGM matchup market. Burns owns a T-7 course result and arrives sharper after ranking 4th in strokes-gained putting over the last two months. Cantlay, meanwhile, has logged just one top-15 since the U.S. Open and could treat Napa as little more than Ryder Cup prep. Given current form and course résumé, DaSilva sees the even-money price on Burns as mis-priced.