Mitchell at +6600 to lead after day one is DaSilva’s favorite bomb. The Georgia Bulldog has already been first-round leader three times in the 2025 season, including last week at the Truist Championship. He also logged top-10 finishes at Quail Hollow in 2019 and 2021, proving early comfort on the layout. If the putter heats up again, DaSilva sees a realistic path to another Thursday leaderboard headline.

DeChambeau is 20-1 to be first-round leader, a number DaSilva loves because Bryson historically starts fast in majors. He opened with 66 to lead the 2023 PGA and was solo first after Round 1 of the 2024 Masters, then tied fifth after the first round at Augusta this year. When the driver is dialed, he can shoot mid-60s before the course firms up for everyone else, making the longshot FRL prop enticing.

DaSilva concedes ‑160 is steep but still bet Rahm to be Top Spanish player. The only other Spaniards are David Puig (+450), Sergio Garcia (+450), and Eugenio Chacarra (+700), none of whom approach Rahm’s ceiling. Even if the world No. 4 is slightly off peak form, DaSilva thinks his class advantage justifies the juice.

Fleetwood headlines the Top English market at +250, yet DaSilva prefers Hatton at +300. He argues Hatton’s all-around tee-to-green strength gives him nearly equal win equity while offering longer odds. If Hatton avoids the occasional blow-up hole and keeps his emotions in check, DaSilva believes he can beat every other Englishman in the field, Fleetwood included.

Straka (+100) over Corey Conners is DaSilva’s third matchup play. The Austrian arrives off a victory at the Truist Championship where he out-dueled Shane Lowry, and DaSilva wants to capitalize on that momentum. With the driver working, Straka’s recent form gives him a real shot to beat the steadier but lower-ceiling Conners in a 72-hole duel.

DaSilva grabbed Matsuyama at +120 in his matchup with Tommy Fleetwood (-150). He thinks the market overvalues Fleetwood despite Hideki’s fifth-place finish here in 2017, strong driving metrics, and top-tier short game. With both players in similar form, DaSilva prefers the golfer with proven Quail Hollow success at plus money.

In a head-to-head matchup Aberg (+105) vs. Collin Morikawa (-135), DaSilva chose the plus-money side. He noted Quail Hollow heavily rewards long hitters, a category where Morikawa lags. With firmer greens stretching approach distances, DaSilva prefers Aberg’s advantage off the tee to offset Morikawa’s iron play.

DaSilva circled Min Woo Lee at +260 for a top-20 because his 320-yard average carry and deft short-game touch should play anywhere, especially on a 7,600-yard Quail Hollow. Although the Aussie has never teed it up here, DaSilva likes the course fit and believes his length alone gives him a puncher’s chance to cash this placement ticket.

Koepka’s +175 top-20 number has drifted because of recent struggles, but DaSilva reminded bettors that the five-time major winner owns three PGA titles, most recently in 2023, and historically thrives on difficult tracks. He believes Quail Hollow’s length and demanding greens set up perfectly for Koepka’s tee-to-green consistency when locked in, making this a buy-low spot.

Patrick Reed at +225 for a top-20 is on DaSilva’s card because of his track record at Quail Hollow: T-2 at the 2017 PGA, eighth and sixth in the 2018 and 2021 Wells Fargo Championships. Add in a third-place finish at this year’s Masters and Reed’s all-around game looks well suited for another grind-it-out major leaderboard appearance.

Schauffele sits at +188 for another top-10 and DaSilva is buying. The reigning PGA champion has finished runner-up at the Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow in each of the past two years and owns nine top-10s in his last 16 combined PGA Championships and U.S. Opens. Although not quite as sharp as 2024, his repeatable swing and history on the course give DaSilva confidence he will again lurk on the first page of the leaderboard.

Matsuyama is +320 for a top-10, a price DaSilva views as generous given the Japanese star’s T-5 showing the last time the PGA visited Quail Hollow (2017) and his solid T-17 at the Truist Championship last week despite a shaky Sunday. Hideki’s reliable driving and elite short game should travel well on Quail’s demanding green complexes, making him a strong high-odds placement play.

DaSilva recommended Justin Thomas at +160 to place top-10. Thomas lifted the Wanamaker Trophy here in 2017 and is enjoying a resurgence in 2025 with a playoff win at the RBC Heritage and three additional runner-up finishes. That combination of stellar recent form and proven Quail Hollow success makes a top-10 ticket appealing, even if an outright win feels aggressive.

At +500, DaSilva called Ludvig Aberg a live top-five sleeper. The Swedish rookie ranks among the Tour’s longest and most accurate drivers, traits that should keep him in Quail Hollow’s fairways and out of the thick rough. Although he has never played the course and still faces questions about Sunday closing ability, DaSilva argues Aberg’s tee-to-green profile fits any long major venue and believes sheer talent can overcome the lack of course history.

DaSilva endorsed Bryson DeChambeau at +188 for a top-five finish, pointing to his elite driving distance and recent spike with the putter—two skills that Quail Hollow historically rewards. Even with “off” irons at Augusta, DeChambeau still tied for fifth after a rough Sunday, illustrating how high his floor is when the driver is working. If his approach play rebounds even slightly, DaSilva thinks DeChambeau can bully the course and contend all week.

Cameron DaSilva said Rory McIlroy is "the king of Quail Hollow" and worth a +100 ticket to finish inside the top five. McIlroy has already won at this track, owns elite length off the tee that plays perfectly into the 7,626-yard layout, and comes in with an improved approach game that keyed his Masters victory last month. DaSilva believes those factors, plus Quail Hollow’s history of rewarding bombers, make a top-five result a safer way to profit on the co-favorite than betting him outright.

Clark is a +10000 outright after an uneven season, but DaSilva reminded readers he won the 2023 Wells Fargo on this same course. Clark ranks near the top of the Tour in driving distance, a key metric at Quail, and his streaky putter can heat up, as shown during that 2023 victory. Even if his week-to-week form oscillates, DaSilva thinks the proven course ceiling warrants exposure in outright or top-10 markets.

Mitchell sits at +12500, and DaSilva views him as this year’s Cam Smith-style sleeper. The Georgia Bulldog held the first-round lead at last week’s Truist Championship—his third 18-hole lead of 2025—and owns top-10s at Quail in 2019 and 2021 while making four straight cuts on the track. With elite driving and comfort on these greens, Mitchell profiles as a high-volatility dart who could cash huge outright or top-20 tickets.

DaSilva sprinkled on Lee at +8000 despite zero Quail Hollow reps. The Aussie leads the PGA Tour in average club-head speed and already captured his maiden title in Houston this season, proving he can close. With three of Quail’s par-5s reachable for bombers and all par-3s 200+ yards, DaSilva believes Lee’s length alone gives him top-10 equity that isn’t priced in.

At +4000, Matsuyama is DaSilva’s stealth contender. He slipped to T-17 after a Sunday 74 at the Truist Championship, masking otherwise solid ball-striking. Matsuyama finished fifth in the 2017 PGA at Quail, gaining strokes around the greens—an asset again on the course’s shaved run-offs. DaSilva thinks the Japanese star’s elite scrambling will limit damage when he inevitably misses greens, giving him a clear path to the weekend leaderboard.

DaSilva labeled Koepka’s +5000 outright tag 'too good to pass.' While current form is middling and his lone Quail start since 2018 produced a T42, Koepka’s PGA resume is unmatched: wins in 2018, 2019 and 2023 plus a runner-up in 2021. The analyst argues that Koepka routinely elevates in majors regardless of recent results, so bettors are getting elite ceiling at a five-handle price rarely offered on him.

Reed is DaSilva’s favorite mid-tier stab at +6600 because Quail Hollow always brings out his best. He finished two shots shy of Thomas here in the 2017 PGA, added T8 (2018 Wells Fargo) and T6 (2021 Wells Fargo) results, giving him three top-10s in his last four Quail appearances. Reed’s short game neutralizes the demanding green complexes, and his major pedigree suggests he can threaten once again if the driver cooperates.

DaSilva advised jumping on DeChambeau at +850 even after his odds tumbled from +1400. Quail Hollow’s 7,600-plus yards and trio of 200-yard par-3s suit Bryson’s power-first strategy. He posted T9 and T4 results in his last two Wells Fargo starts here (2021, 2018) and arrives fresh off a victory in a LIV Korea stop two weeks ago. If his approach play stabilizes, DaSilva believes the combination of recent win equity and perfect course fit makes him one of the most likely champions.

DaSilva endorsed Thomas at +1800, stressing that Quail Hollow is the exact site of JT’s first PGA title in 2017. Recent form screams bounce-back peak: a win at the RBC Heritage, runner-up finishes at both the Truist and Valspar Championships, and sustained tee-to-green consistency. With confidence in his ability to close majors on demanding layouts and proof he can attack Quail’s long par-3s, DaSilva expects Thomas to contend if his usually streaky putter merely behaves.

Cameron DaSilva said McIlroy is a justifiable favorite at +500 because every relevant box is checked. The Northern Irishman shook off his major-championship monkey by winning the 2025 Masters, then backed it up with a T-7 at last week’s Truist Championship. Quail Hollow is easily his best PGA Tour venue—four career victories here—and its 7,626-yard, par-71 layout rewards pure power off the tee, McIlroy’s calling card. With confidence high, elite recent ball-striking, and unmatched course comfort, DaSilva believes the price is short but still worth a win ticket.

Cameron DaSilva advised against wagering on favorite Scottie Scheffler (+350 odds) at the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open. DaSilva noted that although it's typically easy to back the world's No. 1 golfer, Scheffler currently presents limited betting value, combined with relatively lackluster form by his own exceptional standards so far this season. With more compelling values and form elsewhere in the field, DaSilva suggested avoiding Scheffler this week.

Cameron DaSilva suggested considering Gary Woodland as a long-shot candidate at +12500 odds for the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open. Although Woodland has recently struggled and his performance has declined after an earlier strong start to this year, DaSilva pointed to his solid track record at Memorial Park. Woodland finished 21st and ninth in his last two starts here. DaSilva believes Woodland's familiarity and historical comfort at this venue offer promising upside at his greatly elevated odds.

Cameron DaSilva identified Joel Dahmen as a valuable long-shot bet at +12500 odds for the Texas Children's Houston Open. Despite Dahmen's uneven performances this season—with two top-10 finishes but also four missed cuts—DaSilva cited his course-specific track record. Dahmen has played well in two of three appearances at Memorial Park, finishing fifth in 2021 and ninth in 2022. While he missed the cut last year, DaSilva saw enough previous evidence of Dahmen's comfort on this challenging course to justify taking a chance at long odds.

Cameron DaSilva recommended backing Thomas Detry at +5000 odds for the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open, emphasizing Detry's strong recent performances. Detry posted a tied-for-second finish last year at Memorial Park behind Stephan Jaeger. DaSilva noted Detry already won earlier this season at the WM Phoenix Open by a large margin and arrives this week in stable form after a T-22 at the recent Valspar Championship. Given Detry's proven success at Memorial Park, DaSilva positioned him as an appealing value option.

Cameron DaSilva picked Min Woo Lee (+4000 odds) as a strong contender at the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open on his debut at Memorial Park. DaSilva highlighted Lee's significant driving distance, which fits perfectly at the 7,474-yard par-70 course. He also underscored Lee's excellent short game, evidenced by ranking 15th in strokes gained: putting and 9th around the green. DaSilva argued that if Lee can find consistency with his iron play—his only real question mark—he has all the tools to claim victory due to his strong overall recent form.

Cameron DaSilva advised betting on Tony Finau at the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at attractive +3300 odds, pointing out his excellent recent finishes at Memorial Park. Finau secured second place two years ago and won last year, showcasing his clear affinity and consistency at this course. Despite strong opponents like Scheffler and McIlroy in the field, DaSilva emphasized Finau's past success coupled with better betting value compared to gambling on Scheffler (+350), whose form has been average by his lofty standards.