Cory Bonini suggested grabbing Tua Tagovailoa 2-plus passing touchdowns at +117. The Ravens have coughed up the sixth-most QB touchdown passes among teams playing this week, giving one up every 12.4 completions with a 5.5% TD rate against. Tagovailoa has thrown multiple scores in five of eight outings and is coming off a season-high four-TD performance. Only three quarterbacks have hit this prop versus Baltimore in 2025, which explains the friendly odds, but Bonini argued that a potential early Ravens lead would force Miami to lean heavier on Tua’s arm. Even two short red-zone flips to De'Von Achane as an extension of the run game could cash the ticket.

Cory Bonini advised taking Justice Hill for 3-plus receptions at ‑103. Miami has allowed the eighth-most catches per game to running backs this season, and one of the teams ahead of them is on bye, making the matchup even more attractive. The prop has cashed in seven of eight games against the Dolphins. Bonini stressed that Lamar Jackson’s return is critical: in nearly four full games with Jackson, Hill snagged at least three passes 75% of the time, versus only once in three games without him. The lone caveat is game script—if Baltimore controls the contest on the ground, targets could dry up—but Bonini still labeled the odds a “strong place to double up.”

Cory Bonini recommended betting Jaylen Waddle to clear 60-plus receiving yards at ‑139. He pointed out that Baltimore is surrendering the ninth-most yards per game to wide receivers (159) in 2025, with most of that damage coming on short-area throws—the Ravens rank fifth-best in yards per reception, so volume, not bombs, is the path. Eight different receivers have already cracked the 60-yard mark against them in seven contests. Waddle has reached 60 yards in four of eight games, including three of his last four, and Bonini noted a more aggressive pivot to 70-plus yards at +110 for bettors chasing a bigger payout.

Cory Bonini urged bettors to take Rashee Rice 70+ receiving yards at -103. Washington has allowed the sixth-most wide-receiver yards among teams with at least seven games played, and over the last five weeks only two defenses have been worse. Since Week 2, receivers are averaging 179 yards per game against the Commanders on the 10th-highest reception total, and the matchup ranks third-easiest in yards per catch. Bonini expects Rice to exploit those soft zones and move the chains consistently, projecting him to eclipse the 70-yard threshold while Kelce handles red-zone work.

Cory Bonini recommended betting Travis Kelce anytime touchdown at -110. Washington surrenders a tight-end score once every eight receptions; two came last week from Jake Ferguson, with earlier strikes by Tucker Kraft and Kyle Pitts. Kelce averages a touchdown every 15.5 grabs this season yet has gone two straight games without hitting pay dirt. Bonini expects Patrick Mahomes to feed his star in the red zone against a Commanders defense ranked among the worst against TEs, ending Kelce's brief drought.

Cory Bonini said bettors should hammer Marcus Mariota 25+ rushing yards at -164. Mariota has logged 30 or more rushing yards in two of his three appearances and 20 in the other while replacing the injured Jayden Daniels. Kansas City has been generous to mobile quarterbacks, giving up 26.7 rushing yards per game—the fifth-highest mark in the NFL—and four of seven opposing QBs have already eclipsed 25 yards. Bonini called the play "free cash," predicting Mariota will become the fifth signal-caller to clear the number on Monday night.