Craig Mish said the market has over-reacted to Najee Harris’s July 4 eye mishap, pushing the former every-down back far enough down boards that he now represents one of the best cost-adjusted bets in the RB dead zone. Mish acknowledged that the Chargers added rookie O’Marian Hampton, have Hassan Haskins as a third-stringer, and still roster last year’s failed sleeper Kimani Vidal, but he believes Harris’s proven workload history and Greg Roman’s run-heavy tendencies will keep Harris firmly atop the depth chart once the medical staff clears him. With the ADP slide already two full rounds, Mish is happy to reach a half round ahead of consensus for the veteran and lock in a likely 275-touch back at a discount.

Mish still rates Arizona "better than the Giants" but warned that a season-long elbow injury to Corbin Burnes would be "something they’re not going to be able to overcome." He called the D-backs an early underachiever and questioned whether they can keep pace with the Padres without their ace. Bettors should temper expectations on Arizona division futures and fantasy managers may want contingency plans if Burnes is shut down.

Mish gave the Mets "a good shot" in their four-game set at Dodger Stadium. His betting angle: Los Angeles may suffer a let-down after an emotional Yankee series while New York rolls in with eight wins in its last ten. Given the Mets’ form and payroll-level talent, Mish thinks moneylines or series prices on New York could be mis-priced early in the week.

Craig Mish called St. Louis "the most overrated team through the first two months," saying he "cannot imagine" they maintain their current play. He expects "huge regression" after the All-Star break and believes the front office could start moving veterans soon. The advice is to fade Cardinals futures and treat them as a short-term sell in season-long fantasy formats.

Craig Mish said Pete Crow-Armstrong "should probably be number two" in the NL MVP race behind only Shohei Ohtani. He pointed to Crow-Armstrong’s two-way value—an improving bat plus elite center-field defense that is juicing his WAR—and highlighted that the Cubs are hanging around the playoff picture even with ace Shota Imanaga on the shelf. With books still pricing Kyle Tucker shorter than PCA, Mish implied bettors can grab value on Crow-Armstrong’s longer MVP odds before the market fully adjusts.