Daniel Kohn relayed that the SportsLine Projection Model makes the Over 8.5 runs the preferred play for Friday’s matinee at Wrigley. After running 10,000 simulations, the model spit out a 9.6-run median outcome and is riding a 27-21 (56%) profit streak on top-rated MLB picks in 2025. The analytics bump comes from both lineups entering hot—Chicago has gone 8-2 in its last 10 with four straight wins while Cincinnati owns a .301-hitting T.J. Friedl and unbeaten (4-0, 1.77 ERA) rookie Andrew Abbott on the hill. The Cubs counter with Colin Rea, who has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in nine of 11 outings but rarely works deep, putting extra innings in the hands of two middling bullpens. Add in a day-game Wrigley wind that historically boosts run production and the model sees enough scoring paths to justify an Over ticket at the current 8.5 number.

Daniel Kohn reported that the SportsLine Projection Model projects 9.1 combined runs for Wednesday’s Reds-Pirates matinee and is therefore "leaning Over" the listed 8-run total at DraftKings. The model is riding a 13-8 (62%) streak on top-rated MLB money-line plays this season, giving bettors reason to trust its totals call. Offensively, Cincinnati rolls in having won five of its last six games and owning four multi-run outputs during that span; Gavin Lux is batting .294 with 13 doubles and has logged multi-hit efforts in four of his past six contests. On the mound, Reds right-hander Brady Singer owns a 5.01 ERA despite limiting opponents to three or fewer earned in seven of nine starts—an indicator of volatility that can fuel run scoring. Pirates southpaw Andrew Heaney brings a solid 3.02 ERA but has issued 19 walks in 50.2 innings, creating extra base-runner risk. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been taxed after three straight games decided by four runs or fewer. Layering those factors with Cincinnati’s 6-2 head-to-head mark against Pittsburgh this year, the model’s simulated median score crosses the current total, making the Over an actionable wager.

Daniel Kohn relayed that the SportsLine Projection Model, which is on a 10-5 (+67%) run with top-rated MLB moneyline plays, is hammering the Over for Tuesday’s Dodgers-Marlins game. The model spits out 9.9 combined runs against a posted total of 9.5 (-106 at DraftKings). Supporting the projection: Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin owns a 4.50 ERA and just surrendered three earned runs to this same Miami lineup; Marlins counterpart Cal Quantrill sports an 8.10 ERA and has issued 5+ walks in two of six starts. Offensively, Teoscar Hernandez (.315 AVG, nine HR, 34 RBI) has hits in nine of his last 10 for L.A., while Kyle Stowers (.310 AVG, six HR) is red-hot for Miami after a four-hit, two-homer night against the Dodgers on April 30. Los Angeles has hit the moneyline in seven of its last eight, and Miami has cleared its team total in 20 of 29, further suggesting an up-tempo, high-scoring script. Kohn advises bettors to side with the Over based on the model’s projection and the shaky starting pitching on both sides.

Daniel Kohn relayed that the SportsLine Projection Model, after 10,000 simulations of Wednesday’s Astros-Tigers matchup, is betting the Over on the 8.5-run total. The model spits out 9.4 combined runs despite both clubs trending Under lately (Under is 4-1-1 in Detroit’s last six and 7-3 in Houston’s last 10). The projection leans toward a higher-scoring script because neither team is sending an established starter to the mound—Houston is expected to call up AAA right-hander A.J. Blubaugh (3.86 ERA in four PCL starts) for a spot start, while Detroit counters with rookie Jackson Jobe, who owns a 2.70 ERA but has yet to pitch past six innings in the majors. Houston’s offense is hot—Jose Altuve homered and drove in three on Monday and owns a .306 career average with eight homers in 43 games versus Detroit—while Detroit’s lineup just tagged Astros pitching for four runs behind Gleyber Torres’ 3-for-5, three-RBI night. With the Astros carrying a +16 run differential at home (11-6 at Daikin Park) and both bullpens already used heavily the previous two days, the model believes run-scoring conditions outweigh recent Under trends and recommends betting Over 8.5.

Daniel Kohn relayed that SportsLine’s Projection Model is "leaning Over" on the 8.5‑run total for Monday’s Yankees‑Guardians game, spitting out a 9.7‑run median in 10,000 simulations. The model’s confidence is backed by several data points Kohn highlighted: Cleveland overs are 6‑2‑2 in their last 10 games and the Yankees’ lineup is scorching, winning six of seven with Aaron Judge batting .390 and already at seven homers. Neither projected starter has been dominant—Clarke Schmidt owns a 4.76 ERA this season while Gavin Williams is at 4.58 with a 1.32 WHIP—suggesting both bullpens will be asked to cover multiple high‑leverage innings. Add Progressive Field’s early‑season run‑friendly conditions plus two offenses ranked top‑10 in runs per game through three weeks, and the model sees enough combined firepower to clear 8.5 runs. Bettors looking for an edge are advised to play the Over before the number moves to 9.

Daniel Kohn recommended Xavier Edwards as a solid daily fantasy selection heading into Thursday's matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Edwards has maintained an impressive recent form, going 4-for-9 with an RBI during the first two games of the series. Last Saturday against the Washington Nationals, Edwards went 2-for-4, adding two runs scored, two stolen bases, and 1 walk. On the season, he's batting .328 with three doubles and six RBI in 17 games. Edwards' history against Arizona is also strong, as he's hit for a .316 average along with a double, a triple, and five RBI, further bolstering his value and making him a good under-the-radar DFS target in Thursday’s contest.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Pavin Smith as a compelling daily fantasy play for Thursday afternoon's matchup between the Diamondbacks and Marlins due to his recent hot streak. Smith has tallied multiple-hit games in three of his last six outings, including a 2-for-4 performance with a homer in Wednesday's win against Miami. Over his 17 appearances in the 2025 MLB season, Smith boasts a robust .386 batting average, fueled by six doubles, two home runs, and five RBI. Additionally, Smith historically performs well versus the Marlins, hitting .288 with three home runs and 11 RBI over 20 career matchups. This consistent production, paired with favorable historical splits against Miami, makes Smith a particularly intriguing DFS selection for Thursday's slate.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Xavier Edwards as a strong DFS play given his recent impressive form and past success against the Diamondbacks. Edwards has gone 4-for-9 with one RBI over the first two games of this series and had earlier produced a standout 2-for-4 performance with two runs scored and two stolen bases against the Nationals. He's currently batting .328 on the season with three doubles and six RBI in 17 games. Historically, Edwards has maintained strong performance against Arizona, boasting a .316 average with one double, one triple, and five RBI, making him a valuable DFS target for today's game.

Daniel Kohn noted Pavin Smith's hot start to the 2025 season, making him an attractive DFS option against Miami. Smith has been particularly locked-in recently, recording multiple hits in three of his last six games, including a 2-for-4 performance with a home run in Wednesday's win against the Marlins. Over 17 games this season, he's hitting an impressive .386 with six doubles, two home runs, and five RBI. Smith historically performs well against the Marlins, batting .288 with three homers and 11 RBI in 20 career matchups, further bolstering the case for including him in DFS lineups today.

Daniel Kohn spotlighted Aaron Judge's impressive early-season production as a reason to back the Yankees. Judge has been extremely productive, batting .357 with four doubles, six home runs, and a league-leading 20 RBI through the early portion of April. His consistent presence has generated offense nearly every game, highlighted by eight out of his recent ten games featuring at least one hit, including four multi-hit performances. Judge's strong form and ability to drive in runs makes the Yankees' lineup and betting angles involving their scoring potential very attractive in the matchup against Kansas City.

Daniel Kohn emphasized Bobby Witt Jr.'s strong history against the Yankees as a clear indicator of his fantasy and betting value for their upcoming series. This season, Witt is hitting .305 with six doubles, a homer, and six RBI over his first 16 games. However, his career numbers specifically against New York are even more robust, batting a remarkable .338 with five doubles, a triple, one home run, and seven RBI across 17 games. Witt enters the series riding a six-game hitting streak, making him an especially appealing selection for DFS lineups or prop bets.

Daniel Kohn detailed Seth Lugo's solid overall performance to start the year and highlighted his impressive track record when facing the Yankees. Lugo holds a 5-2 record combined with a sharp 2.55 ERA through 14 appearances (four starts), showcasing notable success against the New York lineup historically. Lugo's consistent performance against this team may indicate betting value on his pitching props or performance metrics for fantasy lineups. In his previous outing, he allowed just two earned runs with six strikeouts through 5.2 innings against Minnesota, suggesting he's in fine form heading into this matchup.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco as a strong candidate to perform well in his upcoming matchup against the Kansas City Royals. Although Carrasco has struggled somewhat this season (1-1, 7.71 ERA), he is coming off a respectable outing against Arizona where he allowed three earned runs over 5.1 innings with five strikeouts. More importantly, Carrasco's history against Kansas City stands out positively, as he boasts a career record of 10-5 with a solid 3.52 ERA across 16 starts versus the Royals lineup. Given his established track record of success against this specific opponent, bettors and DFS players should find Carrasco appealing in this spot.

Daniel Kohn noted caution around Mitch Keller, who is slated to take the mound for Pittsburgh against St. Louis. Although Keller performed adequately in his season opener, allowing just one earned run over six innings, he carries a concerning 7.45 ERA after having a poor outing. While his historical ERA against the Cardinals (3.72 ERA in 13 starts) is decent, Keller's uneven recent performances and elevated ERA raise concerns about how effective he'll truly be. The projection suggests potential vulnerability against a Cardinals lineup featuring hot bats, especially Brendan Donovan.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Erick Fedde's historical success against Pittsburgh as an encouraging angle despite his recent struggles. Fedde boasts a career ERA of 2.81 and a 1-0 record over three starts against the Pirates. Although he endured a rough recent outing in a 13-9 loss at Boston, Fedde's previous strong start this season—six innings of one-run ball against Minnesota—combined with his proven track record of solid performances versus Pittsburgh, provides a promising rationale to back the Cardinals at their favorable betting odds (-118).

Daniel Kohn emphasized Isiah Kiner-Falefa's consistent production ahead of the matchup with the Cardinals. Kiner-Falefa has logged hits in eight of his past 10 games, posting a solid .316 batting average with six runs scored and four RBI thus far this season. He showed particular strength in Monday’s game against St. Louis, going 2-for-4 with two runs and two RBI. Historically, Kiner-Falefa has thrived when facing the Cardinals, batting an impressive .405 in 12 career games versus St. Louis, which positions him as a valuable target in DFS lineups or prop markets for Wednesday.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Brendan Donovan as a key asset for the St. Louis Cardinals in their matchup against the Pirates. Donovan has been red-hot, recording three consecutive multi-hit games, including a 3-for-4 performance with an RBI in Monday's game and another multi-hit effort Tuesday. Through 11 games, he is batting an exceptional .395 with three doubles, two home runs, and already 10 RBI. Given his current form and the consistency he has demonstrated in recent contests, Donovan is positioned well to continue his offensive surge against the Pirates.