Davis Mattek said Woody Marks checks every sleeper-back box he looks for and could seize the Houston backfield faster than the market expects. Houston traded up for him in the 2025 draft, signaling a ‘microwave’ readiness. Mattek noted Marks’ elite receiving resume at Mississippi State and USC and his 4.36 timed speed. The depth chart in front of him is creaky: Joe Mixon is battling what Mattek called a ‘‘big, gigantic forest-fire’’ foot injury, Nick Chubb has been publicly described by DeMeco Ryans as looking ‘old and unsteady,’ and Mattek does not believe Dameon Pierce fits Bobby Slowik’s scheme. Because the Texans lack a proven pass-catching back and Marks adds chunk reception upside, Mattek argued that if the exact same situation belonged to a bigger-name prospect we’d be drafting him in Round 6. He recommended scooping Marks in the double-digit rounds of best-ball and redraft as a high-leverage stash who can supply PPR points immediately.

Davis Mattek tabbed Woody Marks as his preferred late-round RB4. The Texans traded up for the USC/Mississippi State product because he is a polished receiving back who can contribute right away. Mattek expects Marks to supplant Dare Ogunbowale in Week 1 and potentially take over the entire backfield if Joe Mixon’s foot injury—described as 'a big, gigantic forest fire'—keeps the veteran sidelined. The immediate pass-game role plus three-down upside make Marks a sneaky late-round winner.

Davis Mattek argued that Brock Bowers is one of the few tight ends worth a premium draft pick. Tight-end ADP showed just a 0.27 correlation with final points last season, and mid-round options almost never separate. Drawing on Dwayne McFarlane's research, Mattek said breakout candidates must (1) have a realistic shot at finishing top-2 on their team in targets and (2) run at least 75% of routes—boxes Bowers checks comfortably. Because touchdowns drive the position and projections miss badly in the muddy middle tier, Mattek recommended either paying up for Bowers, Trey McBride, or George Kittle or punting the position entirely.

Davis Mattek recommended closing drafts with DJ Giddens rather than spending mid-round picks on established backups. Giddens frequently goes in the final round—or even sits on waivers—yet Mattek believes his contingent value equals or tops pricier RB2s. While Giddens might project for only three PPR points in a reserve role, any injury ahead of him vaults his workload and instantly makes him a weekly starter. Mattek's preferred roster build is to collect multiple cheap handcuffs—Giddens, Kyle Manungai, Taj Brooks—because floor points are replaceable, but injury-driven upside wins leagues.

Davis Mattek warned that Zach Charbonnet is the textbook over-priced RB2. Citing Hayden Winks' win-rate research, he noted that backup runners drafted in the single-digit rounds are historically the worst ROI picks. With Kenneth Walker healthy and locked in as Seattle's starter, Charbonnet's weekly projection hovers around 7.5 PPR points—marginal production Mattek insists you can stream for free. Because Charbonnet's ceiling only materializes if Walker misses time, Mattek advised passing on his current cost and reallocating draft capital toward higher-upside positions.

Davis Mattek said CeeDee Lamb must be treated as an irreplaceable fantasy anchor. Over the past two seasons the average top-6 wide receiver has delivered 248 PPR points, while WR24 fell below 190 and players outside the top-30 slipped under 10 points per game. Mattek draws the elite cut-off at Brian Thomas Jr. (WR8) and argues that passing on Lamb, Justin Jefferson, or Ja'Marr Chase forces managers to pull a Puka-Nakua-level rabbit out of the hat just to break even. Because 11-personnel usage makes the position look deeper than it is, he advised spending first-round capital on one of these alpha receivers instead of hoping to back-fill later.

Davis Mattek labeled Keaton Mitchell his single favorite handcuff in all of fantasy. Derrick Henry is 31, the oldest starting RB in the league, and Justice Hill’s career high is just 60 rushing yards. Mitchell ripped off 139 yards in his first NFL appearance and finished 2023 leading the league in rushing yards over expectation. If Henry’s ‘wheels fall off,’ Mattek expects Mitchell to absorb the early-down work and virtually all explosive plays. Because Mitchell also flashed juice as a pass catcher, Mattek recommended holding him all year on the bottom of best-ball and seasonal rosters, calling the payoff "league-winning" if Henry breaks down.

Davis Mattek flat-out predicted that Joe Mixon will not suit up in 2025. He cited persistent "smoke" around Mixon’s foot that he believes is actually a ‘‘gigantic forest fire,’’ implying a serious, possibly season-long injury. Mattek tied this to Houston’s decision to trade up for Woody Marks and said fantasy drafter should treat Mixon as unplayable, shifting late-round capital to alternative Texans backs or other upside stashes.

Davis Mattek’s favorite late-round quarterback dart is Geno Smith. Smith has already led the league in completion percentage and produced a 30-TD season, and even during last year’s 'down' campaign he averaged 7.5 yards per attempt. Mattek thinks Chip Kelly could bring a high-tempo, aggressive attack to Las Vegas, giving Smith the context to turn those efficiency metrics into weekly QB1 spikes while costing nothing more than a 12th-round ticket.

Davis Mattek declared Luther Burden “very clearly” the best ninth-round pick. The early-second-round rookie dominated the SEC at 18 and now steps into OC Ben Johnson’s slot-heavy scheme with Caleb Williams at the controls. Mattek believes Burden could realistically lead all Bears pass catchers in fantasy points per game, essentially filling an Amon-Ra St. Brown role at a fraction of the draft cost. The ceiling-heavy profile is exactly the kind of swing that wins the 8.3 % of leagues managers actually capture.

Davis Mattek’s preferred eighth-round quarterback is Brock Purdy. San Francisco faces what Mattek calls “the easiest schedule in the NFL,” and Purdy still distributes to YAC monsters Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle. While he’ll choose Bo Nix when a stack demands it, Mattek believes Purdy delivers steady QB1 production for an eighth-round price and is the best raw value of the tier whenever roster construction permits.

Davis Mattek identified Jordan Addison as the best seventh-round option. Addison owns above-average rates in both targets-per-route run and yards-per-route run whenever on the field. Mattek isn’t worried about Addison missing early games, noting fantasy rosters are fullest before bye weeks. With confidence that JJ McCarthy can keep Minnesota’s passing game afloat, Mattek expects Addison to slide back into a full-time role and deliver WR2/WR3 production when it matters most, making him an excellent cost-adjusted stash for playoff upside.

Davis Mattek maintained Tony Pollard is the no-brainer choice in round six. With Tajay Spears on injured reserve, Pollard is slated for bell-cow usage in Tennessee. Despite a disappointing 2024, Pollard still posted above-average yards per carry, success rate and yards per target while catching passes from Will Levis. Mattek sees virtually no gap between Pollard and Chuba Hubbard, who goes later, and believes drafters are over-reacting to last year’s frustration. The discount delivers rare workhorse volume plus receiving equity that can swing best-ball tournaments.

Davis Mattek called Travis Hunter the flashing neon buy signal of 2025 drafts and the clear best pick in round five. Jacksonville traded up to No. 2 overall for Hunter and offers virtually no established target competition outside Brian Thomas Jr. Both data and film analysts compare Hunter to Justin Jefferson. Mattek notes skilled drafters can patch other positions later, so temporary route-share concerns or defensive snaps are irrelevant. He views Hunter as a generational upside swing who could seize WR1 volume immediately.

Davis Mattek labeled George Pickens a must-draft wideout in round four. He sees Pickens’ projection mirroring Tee Higgins’ but at a cheaper ADP. In Mattek’s view, the pass-heavy Dallas offense produces wide touchdown variance: Pickens’ floor season is four scores while his ceiling pushes 11. Because the Cowboys are ‘one of the heaviest PRO teams in football,’ Mattek believes that swing makes Pickens the best ceiling-to-cost play among fourth-round options.

Davis Mattek declared Brock Bowers the slam-dunk best pick in round two. Bowers set the NFL rookie tight-end record for receptions last season and now plays nine home games in a dome with the Raiders. Mattek called him “the greatest tight-end prospect of all time” and highlighted an off-season offensive overhaul—upgraded quarterback play plus Chip Kelly as coordinator—that should funnel targets his way. Given his collegiate dominance (he led national-championship–contending Georgia in catches and yards), Mattek believes Bowers can deliver Travis Kelce-level production at a round-two price.

Davis Mattek said Jahmyr Gibbs is the single best first-round selection in 2025 Underdog Best Ball Mania drafts. Gibbs is one of only three backs Mattek believes can realistically post 200 rushing expected points and 100 receiving expected points—the “legendary” threshold coined by Pat Corain. He averaged 27 fantasy points per game in contests David Montgomery missed last season, and Mattek expects Detroit to expand his role even when Montgomery is active. Because aging curves are ‘real’ and Christian McCaffrey is already 29, Mattek prefers the younger, ascending Gibbs, arguing you get McCaffrey-level ceiling without late-career injury risk.

Davis Mattek argued that Chris Godwin is a screaming value after slipping into the WR5/6 range. Tampa chose not to place him on PUP, waived depth option Trey Palmer, and expects Godwin back by Weeks 5-7. Mattek reminded listeners Godwin out-targeted Mike Evans whenever healthy last season, and Evans now enters another year of age-related decline. With the Buccaneers still gunning for a fifth straight NFC South crown, Mattek sees a clear route for Godwin to reclaim WR1 status down the stretch and believes drafters should snap him up any time he falls past pick 120.

Davis Mattek called Xavier Worthy the single most under-priced player in 2025 drafts, insisting the explosive Chiefs wideout should be going two rounds earlier—inside the top 24—especially on half-PPR sites. Mattek pointed to Worthy’s perfect stylistic fit with Patrick Mahomes, his multi-use role (deep routes, end-arounds), and his ability to absorb big hits—highlighting an end-around where he was drilled by a safety, then jogged back in the next play—as proof size concerns are overblown. With Hayden Winks echoing the same stance, Mattek is jamming Worthy exposure before the market corrects, expecting spike-week production that wins Best Ball tournaments.

Davis Mattek pegged fourth-round rookie Trevor Etienne as a deep bench stash because Carolina clearly wants a real passing-down back. Etienne logged 50 catches over his final two seasons at Florida, averaged 3.43 yards after contact and posted a 31 % breakaway rate. Mattek noted the Panthers do not fully trust Chuba Hubbard in the receiving game (61 targets shared with Rico Dowdle and free-agent pickups last year). Etienne’s 4.42 forty at 200 lbs and Rotoviz comps that include Devonta Freeman and Chris Thompson suggest three-down skills. With only a $3.5 M commitment to Dowdle, the door is open for Etienne to soak up high-value touches as early as Week 1, making him an ideal last-round best-ball pick and early waiver priority.

Davis Mattek spotlighted Jalen Coker as a waiver-wire name to remember if the Panthers off-load Adam Thielen at cut-down day. Despite being undrafted out of Holy Cross, Coker earned rotational snaps last year and produced 1.72 yards per route on just 45 targets—better efficiency than first-round teammate Xavier Legette. His 4.57 forty at 210 lbs, 42.5-inch vertical and 10-foot-8 broad jump underscore NFL-caliber explosiveness. Mattek believes Carolina’s staff already views him as Legette’s equal, which explains the willingness to shop Thielen. If Bryce Young takes the expected sophomore leap, Coker could claim the vacated perimeter routes and become the surprise No. 2 receiver in an offense with plenty of untapped passing volume.

Davis Mattek argued that Roman Wilson is an overlooked breakout candidate even in what is perceived as a low-volume Arthur Smith passing attack. He cited Mike Clay’s conservative projection of 562 Pittsburgh pass attempts—ample room behind DK Metcalf for another fantasy-relevant target earner. Wilson posted a 38 % dominator rating at Michigan, accounted for 21 % of the team’s 2023 touchdowns, and ran a 4.39 forty. Mattek noted Wilson’s rookie year was derailed by an ankle injury and special-teams duty, masking his upside. Calvin Austin remains a situational deep threat at 165 lbs, so Mattek envisions Wilson sliding into a Randall Cobb/James Jones hybrid role for Aaron Rodgers, giving him spike-week and waiver-wire appeal in all formats.

Davis Mattek said he is actively fading Derrick Henry (along with James Conner and Joe Mixon) because "over-aged" power backs historically break down and crater best-ball advance rates. Henry will be well past the 2,000-career-carry threshold by kickoff and has already shown declining breakaway rate in each of the past three seasons. Mattek noted that Baltimore’s new committee tendencies under OC Todd Monken further cap Henry’s weekly ceiling, making him a poor bet to pay off his early-round ADP. He prefers to let league-mates draft the name value while he scoops cheaper handcuff options with cleaner injury-driven paths to spike-weeks.

Davis Mattek said Jordan Love is one of the few "secondary" quarterbacks who can realistically crash the top-five QB leaderboard in 2025 drafts. Mattek pointed to Love’s 2023 efficiency—83.6 PFF offensive grade, 8.9 average depth of target, 72.7% adjusted completion rate, 5.5% big-time-throw percentage and only 2.5% turnover-worthy plays—as evidence of ceiling. Those numbers dipped in 2024 after Love hurt his knee in the Brazil opener and hurried back, but Mattek expects a rebound now that he is healthy. He stressed that Matt LaFleur’s offenses rank top-10 in net adjusted yards per attempt in five of eight seasons and noted Green Bay was 30th in pass attempts yet 12th in passing yards last year—proof the scheme is efficient when it throws. First-round WR Golden and third-round WR Sabian Williams give the Packers more pass-catching firepower, and Mattek believes LaFleur would prefer to lean pass if the roster allows. With the Packers likely to creep back toward league-average pass rate over expectation and Love already efficient, Mattek thinks a little positive variance could vault him into league-winning territory for Best Ball and Season-Long managers.

Davis Mattek argued that Detroit’s passing volume is likely to spike in 2025. The Lions dropped back only 551 times last season, but Mattek expects a less-efficient offense to push that number toward 600–650 attempts. That 10-15% jump would give Sam LaPorta (and teammate Jamison Williams) enough extra targets to negate any efficiency regression. Mattek framed the increase as the easiest path for LaPorta to maintain TE1 production in Best Ball drafts, making him a confident early-round selection despite concerns about touchdown variance.

Davis Mattek argued James Conner remains one of the most mispriced running backs. Conner has averaged 15.4-15.9 PPR points in each of the last three seasons. Over the past two years he ranks second among RBs in avoided tackles per game (4.5), second in avoided tackles per attempt (0.297) and second in yards after contact per attempt, confirming elite tackle-breaking ability. Mattek expects Arizona’s upgraded 2025 defense to create more favorable game scripts and believes Kyler Murray’s post-injury passing struggles will funnel additional touches to Conner. He recommended drafting Conner ahead of backs like Chuba Hubbard and Alvin Kamara at current ADPs to capture reliable RB2 production with RB1 upside.

Davis Mattek called George Pickens one of the clearest buy signals in 2025 best ball. Since entering the league Pickens averages 0.646 receptions of 30-plus yards per game and 17.8 % of all his catches have gone at least 30 yards, second-best in the NFL. Yet he has finished inside the top-36 fantasy wide receivers in fewer than half his games because he endured Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubisky and Matt Canada in 2022 and a patched-together Russell Wilson/Justin Fields offense in 2024. In 2025 Pickens upgrades to Dak Prescott with Brian Schottenheimer directing the passing game, a shift Mattek believes will give Pickens one of the largest year-over-year projection bumps of any receiver. He urged drafters to be overweight on Pickens’ down-field efficiency now that competent quarterback play and a pass-friendly coordinator are in place.

Davis Mattek projected Kyren Williams for a steady 65-75 rushing yards and about 2.7 catches per game, noting those reception numbers rise in negative game scripts as shown last season. Crucially, Mattek expects zero third-down competition from rookie backs Jarkas Hunter or Blake Corum, locking Williams into an every-down role. Because the weekly ceiling still hinges on whether he scores, Mattek framed Williams as a spike-week best-ball play rather than a safe RB1, but the locked-in volume and pass-game work make him an attractive mid-round target at current ADP.

Davis Mattek reversed his early-offseason stance and now targets Joe Burrow around picks 48-49 whenever he begins a Bengals stack. He cited Mike Clay’s projection of 627 attempts, 4,647 yards and 34 touchdowns—numbers that already assume regression—and argued Cincinnati will “throw the absolute air out of the ball” because the defense can’t carry games. Mattek noted drafters often reach for Burrow at pick 31, so he is willing to pay the mid-fourth to complete a Chase-Higgins stack rather than miss out. He believes his earlier hesitation relied on historical QB win-rate data that doesn’t apply to Burrow’s 2025 environment and calls the new cost a clear positive EV decision in DraftKings Best Ball contests.

Davis Mattek said selecting Ja'Marr Chase first overall is the sharp move in 2025 drafts. Mattek expects Cincinnati to be one of the league’s most pass-heavy teams because its defense is “absolutely brutal” and the roster lacks a power runner, forcing Joe Burrow to chase shoot-outs. Chase already delivered a WR1 overall season and, in Mattek’s words, “outscored Justin Jefferson by over 100 points” under DraftKings 2024 scoring. With no true third weapon added—Mattek dismissed the Noah Fant signing as irrelevant—Chase should keep an elite target share while offering the highest weekly ceiling in the player pool. Mattek therefore prefers him over Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and CeeDee Lamb despite acknowledging the occasional down week.

Davis Mattek took Jacory Croskey-Merritt 97th overall in a DraftKings Best Ball and explained why he thinks the market is still too low on him even after a surge to consensus RB31. Mattek noted strong college metrics— Croskey-Merrittgained a first down on 37.2% of his runs and posted an elite break-away rate at New Mexico State before transferring to Arizona. Washingto shopped Brian Robinson Jr., whose 2023 line of 178-733-5 rushing and 36-368-4 receiving came on just 4.1 YPC. Mattek believes Croskey-Merritt can top 4.5–4.8 YPC and, if he seizes the starting role, become a classic "power-law" player who decides Best Ball tournaments by smashing in Weeks 15-17. Limited college receiving (only seven catches in his final season) adds risk, but the Commanders’ vacancy and his explosive profile give him true league-winning upside at a still-affordable tag.

Davis Mattek recommended peppering late-round Best Ball drafts with Tory Horton because he combines prospect juice with a deflated cost—exactly the profile that produced last year’s Puka Nacua windfall. Horton gutted through 2024 at only "about 70% health" yet still managed 331 yards in five games. His 2023 breakout was the eye-opener: 1,100 yards, eight touchdowns, an 87.9 PFF offensive grade, 2.74 yards per route run and a 10.2 average depth of target while playing both slot and outside. Mattek likes the narrative that veteran Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been "sat down," giving Horton a plausible path to early snaps. He framed the bet as a simple risk-reward calculation: if the hit rate on a Puka-level outcome is even 1–5%, the asymmetric upside dwarfs the opportunity cost of a potential zero. Horton therefore fits Mattek’s portfolio philosophy of prioritizing young, unproven playmakers with tangible upside over low-ceiling veterans in the final draft rounds.

Davis Mattek called Tyler Allgeier one of "the best picks in the entire pool" because backs tethered to first-round stars are underpriced insurance policies. He argued that early-round workhorses miss games at a high clip, and drafters routinely overlook the contingency value.

Davis Mattek advised scooping up Woody Marks as the most cost-effective way to attack the chaotic Texans backfield. Citing reporter Aaron Wilson, Mattek said Houston expects Joe Mixon to open on the non-football-injury list after a foot procedure that "is not healing properly." Mattek added that Nick Chubb and Dameon Pierce "lost their juice"—Chubb after a string of lower-body injuries and Pierce after last year’s downturn—leaving Marks as the lone runner with real burst. Houston traded a future third-rounder to move up for Marks, who is young, fast, and elusive even if he rarely breaks tackles. At his dirt-cheap Best Ball and Season-Long ADP, Mattek views Marks as a rare blend of standalone flex value and high-end contingency payoff.

Mattek keeps scooping Pop Douglas as a last-round wideout. Douglas was only 0.03 yards per route run behind Kendrick Bourne in his first season and, at 1.40 YPRR last year, still paced the Patriots despite limited snaps. He also led the club in targets per route both seasons. While history says high-slot-rate receivers rarely break into the top-24 without a role change, Mattek sees reliable WR3-type production at a near-free price and likes pairing Douglas with pricey Patriots pieces as a correlation hedge.

Davis Mattek thinks Tyler Warren’s eighth-round ADP bakes in a best-case scenario. For Warren to pay off, Mattek believes he would need manufactured touches every week, yet Indianapolis already features Michael Pittman’s perennial 25 % target share, an emerging AD Mitchell, a healthy Jonathan Taylor, and Josh Downs once he’s back. With Anthony Richardson’s fingertip injury muddying early-season volume and plenty of mouths to feed, Mattek is fading Warren unless the draft room lets him fall several rounds.

Davis Mattek endorsed Jaylen Warren over rookie Kaleb Johnson in the Steelers backfield. Warren has registered steady target shares every healthy season and excels in pass protection—traits Mattek expects Aaron Rodgers to lean on. He cited research that only 8 of 40 third-round running backs since 2011 have cracked a 50 % rush share as freshmen, underscoring Johnson’s uphill battle. Add in Arthur Smith’s history of using multiple backs and Mattek believes Warren’s receiving role gives him the far safer and cheaper fantasy profile.

Davis Mattek said Elijah Arroyo is the tight end he wants in round 19. Mattek argued Arroyo is "so much better" as a receiver than AJ Barner and therefore has real spike-week potential if Seattle lets him run routes. He did acknowledge the familiar John Schneider tendency to red-shirt developmental players, warning Arroyo could post a zero if coaches keep him on the shelf for blocking reasons. Even with that floor risk, Mattek believes the talent-to-price ratio makes Arroyo a profitable late-round dice roll in Best Ball tournaments.

Davis Mattek said Trey McBride is a priority best-ball finals pick because the tight end is overdue for touchdown regression and draws a soft Bengals defense in Week 17. Mattek noted McBride has only 17 total touchdowns across eight years of organized football—just 10 on 164 college receptions and two receiving scores in the pros—despite underlying usage that "expected" far more than two TDs this season. He reminded listeners that McBride’s lone 2023 end-zone trip was actually a fumble recovery, underscoring how unlucky the box score has been. Mattek believes smart drafters who already advanced McBride-heavy teams can capitalize on that pending positive regression, betting that Cincinnati’s struggling pass defense will finally allow McBride’s volume and red-zone targets to convert into multiple scores during the championship week.

Davis Mattek warned that Chuba Hubbard is being overdrafted on the back of an 83 % rush-share that is unlikely to repeat. Carolina added two legitimate pass-catching backs and could siphon the workload down to the mid-60 % range, a hit that would crater Hubbard’s value because his receiving profile is "stone cold bad." Even Mike Clay’s aggressive projection of 275 carries only lands Hubbard at RB17, highlighting how fragile the payoff is on a bottom-quartile offense. Mattek compared him unfavorably to Pacheco—"the only difference is Pacheco plays on a much better team"—and advised passing on Hubbard in both season-long and best-ball drafts.

Mattek, self-proclaimed 'leader of Tank Bigsby Army,' remains bullish despite preseason noise. He noted that Jacksonville’s first exhibition drive contained only two rushing plays and believes that tiny sample tells us nothing about regular-season roles. The thesis is price and talent: Bigsby is still available in the late double-digit rounds and, in Mattek’s words, 'he’s better than Etienne and he’s going to beat him out.' If that happens, drafters are getting the Jaguars’ primary runner for pennies. Mattek is comfortable backing off when Bigsby’s ADP spikes but is hammering him again now that cost has settled.

Davis Mattek said Kayshon Boutte is the exact kind of late-round swing that can win best-ball tournaments. Mattek is drafting him every time he slips to the 18th because he believes Boutte can overtake Kyle Williams on the depth chart and stay in the starting lineup all season. The upside call is rooted in three points Mattek repeated on the stream: (1) Boutte was a five-star recruit, so the talent pedigree is real even if the public ‘forgot’; (2) reports out of camp say Boutte already has on-field chemistry with his quarterback; and (3) at a near-free ADP Mattek is comfortable holding 8 % portfolio exposure since the downside is simply cutting an 18th-rounder while the ceiling is every-week starter production.

Davis Mattek justified reaching on Keon Coleman by leaning into the widely observed "second-year players get better" archetype. While Mattek initially questioned Coleman's pro prospects, he pointed to recent examples—Rashee Rice, Quentin Johnston—who took meaningful steps forward after uneven rookie campaigns. With Buffalo’s receiver room undergoing turnover, Coleman has a realistic shot at a larger role, and the market’s lingering skepticism keeps his cost cheap. Mattek is willing to chase that developmental curve independent of stacking with Josh Allen, framing Coleman as an ideal late-round swing for explosive upside in Best Ball formats.

Selecting Jauan Jennings at pick 67, Davis Mattek called the price a gift, reminding listeners that the 49ers receiver was a fifth-round staple earlier in the summer—often drafted ahead of DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle and Zay Flowers—before a "fakest contract injury of all time" calf issue tanked his ADP. After following the situation, Mattek sees "nothing going on with his calf" and expects Jennings to be fully healthy. Capturing a player the market once valued two rounds earlier exemplifies the kind of injury overreaction discount Mattek wants to hammer in Best Ball drafts.

Davis Mattek said Calvin Ridley is an easy reach at pick 46 because the receiver already logged 64 catches, 1,000 yards and 4 TDs across 17 games last year and now "probably got one of the biggest quarterback upgrades of any player year over year" after landing in Tennessee. Mattek argued that if Ridley simply repeats the yardage and reception totals but converts a modest 8 touchdowns instead of four, drafters are "totally fine" and will have secured a top-24 fantasy wideout. The proven target volume, the realistic touchdown-regression path, and the perceived QB upgrade make Ridley a worthwhile upside swing in Best Ball rooms that are still discounting him.

Mattek, persuaded by recent analysis, now reaches for Calvin Ridley. Ridley posted 64-1,000-4 on 128 targets last year and now enjoys ‘one of the biggest quarterback upgrades of any player’ with Will Levis replacing the struggling Tannehill/rookie combo he endured down the stretch. Mattek notes if Ridley simply repeats last season’s yardage but converts a modest eight touchdowns instead of four, he smashes ADP and pays off any draft-slot reach in Best Ball Mania.

Mattek pulled Jameson Williams up the board at pick 43 and called the drumbeat around him ‘so bright that even the haters have had to re-contextualize their sins.’ Continuous glowing camp reports plus his game-breaking speed make Williams a ‘phenomenal pick at any point,’ similar to the Rashid Shaheed profile Mattek loves. He argues the ceiling outcome far outweighs the opportunity cost in Best Ball formats and is happy to reach several spots to lock it in.

Mattek admitted he’s re-entering the ‘fade Tyreek’ camp after Tua Tagovailoa publicly said “a lot of work needs to be done” to repair his relationship with Hill. Mattek calls that quote ‘crazy to just be out in the world’ and says the off-field tension, plus earlier concerns he had already expressed, is enough to push Hill back behind ADP in his current Best Ball rankings. While he concedes Hill remains an elite talent, the quarterback-receiver friction introduces downside he’s no longer comfortable paying a premium for.