Donnie Rightside urged bettors to fade Sunday’s 24‑run Cincinnati eruption and instead play the under (8) in Miami. LoanDepot Park suppresses offense—the park factor for runs has been 0.86 over the last three seasons—and both starters have the profiles to keep it quiet. Marlins rookie Max Meyer brings a 2.63 ERA, 2.92 xFIP and 24% strikeout rate through 24 innings, while Nick Lodolo counters with a 2.31 ERA and an xFIP of 4.14 propped up by a 12.1% swinging‑strike rate. DRS also noted that Cincinnati’s bullpen used four relievers in Sunday’s rout, so David Bell will likely go straight to high‑leverage arms if runs start to pile up. With two average‑to‑below offenses in the majors’ third‑worst home‑run environment, Rightside projects something in the 4‑3 range and advises grabbing the under before it dips to 7.5.

Donnie Rightside recommended the full‑game under 7.5 in Houston and a small money‑line sprinkle on the Astros because of Hunter Brown’s stellar form. Brown has spun 24 2⁄3 innings over four starts with a 1.50 ERA and 3.02 xFIP, never allowing more than two earned runs. Kevin Gausman is a steady veteran on the other side, and Toronto’s bullpen ranked top‑10 in xFIP entering the week, so DRS is not expecting late fireworks either. Houston’s offense remains sluggish—Yordan Alvarez still searching for his first homer this homestand and the 5‑through‑9 spots combining for a sub‑.280 OBP—further supporting a low‑scoring script. Rightside’s read: Brown’s current swing‑and‑miss stuff plus Houston’s quiet bats equal a tight 3‑2 type game, making under 7.5 and Astros ‑120 both actionable.

Donnie Rightside said the Guardians’ lineup is built to punish Clarke Schmidt and makes Cleveland overs or left‑handed hitter props worth a look. Schmidt has long battled platoon splits, surrendering a .359 wOBA to left‑handed bats last season and giving up 1.54 HR/9 to that side of the plate. Cleveland can flip seven hitters to the left side today—Steven Kwan, Jose Ramirez, Kyle Manzardo, Carlos Santana, Nolan Jones, Josh Naylor and Brayan Rocchio—which DRS believes maximizes that weakness. With double‑digit winds helping carry to right field and the total still sitting at 9, he expects traffic early and thinks a Guardians team total or full‑game over clears. The overarching play: attack Schmidt’s lefty issues in DFS and betting markets before the number moves.

Donnie Rightside recommended a Detroit team‑total over or Tigers hitter props because Randy Vasquez’s sparkling 1.74 ERA is fool’s gold. His 6.31 xFIP is the worst on Monday’s card—low strikeout rate, inflated walk rate and tons of fly balls scream imminent regression. Cooler Midwest temps after a Sunday‑night game in Houston add an extra hurdle for the traveling Padres. DRS admitted Carter Montero’s miniscule 2.45 xFIP stems from only five innings but still prefers the home side, especially since San Diego’s lineup outside of Tatis, Machado, Cronenworth and Bogaerts has under‑performed versus right‑handed pitching. The suggestion: bet Detroit’s offense to pop before Vasquez’s luck runs out.

Donnie Rightside projected another Atlanta victory, citing a classic mismatch. Cardinals starter Eric Fedde sports a respectable 3.43 ERA but an ugly 5.50 xFIP driven by too many walks, elevated fly‑ball rate and a below‑average 19 % strikeout clip. That is combustible versus an Atlanta top six (Acuna, Riley, Ozuna, Olson, Albies, Murphy) that all carry robust wOBA numbers against righties. On the other side, rookie Spencer Schwellenbach owns a 2.55 ERA and 3.03 xFIP despite last week’s clunker, giving Atlanta a clear edge on the mound as well. Rightside summed it up: better lineup, better pitcher, and home field equals Braves at –188 worth playing.

Donnie Rightside backed the Mets as slight home favorites because Philadelphia’s bullpen is in shambles after blowing big leads Saturday (up 11‑4) and Sunday (up 4‑1 vs Miami). Although surface stats make it look like Aaron Nola (6.65 ERA) is worse than Tylor Megill (1.40 ERA), analytic numbers tell a different story: both pitchers sit around a 3.40 xFIP. That puts the game in late‑inning relievers’ hands, and DRS says New York’s rested pen is vastly more trustworthy than a Phillies unit that was "chewed up and spit out" over the weekend. With Francisco Lindor waking up, Juan Soto and Pete Alonso all swinging it well, Rightside prefers the Mets moneyline.

Donnie Rightside said Boston is worth laying the nearly 3‑to‑1 moneyline because everything lines up for a Red Sox win. Chicago starter Chris Cannon owns just 18 1/3 MLB innings with a 4.42 ERA and an xFIP pushing 5.00, suggesting the baseline numbers are actually flattering him. The first six projected Boston bats all carry weighted on‑base averages of .326 or better versus right‑handed pitching, highlighted by marks of .390, .404 and .409, so DRS expects early run production. Meanwhile, Chicago’s lineup remains punch‑less—its five wins overall underscore how little margin Cannon will get. Rightside concluded that the talent gap plus a frigid White Sox offense makes Boston the right side even at –290.