Drew Martin advised taking San Francisco at -125 with Logan Webb on the hill. Webb owns a sub-2.70 ERA overall and a sparkling 1.50 ERA at Oracle Park, having blanked the Dodgers over seven innings with only two hits the last time he faced them. Martin contrasted that with Dustin May: despite throwing 96-97 mph, May is stepping up in class and has struggled within the division. The Dodgers limp in on a six-game skid while the Giants have won five of six and bring the stronger bullpen. Combining Webb’s home dominance, current team form, and bullpen edge, Martin believes the price should be higher and sees value on San Francisco.

Drew Martin urged bettors to grab Tampa Bay at -115 in Fenway. He explained that Drew Rasmussen will serve as the opener with 25-year-old fire-baller Joe Boyle handling bulk innings, a combo that has logged 10 scoreless frames and 14 strikeouts in Boyle’s two previous tandem appearances. Boston still has no listed starter and may default to a mediocre bullpen, which Martin called a clear disadvantage. He also downplayed the Red Sox’s six-game winning streak, noting it came against last-place Washington and Colorado, while Tampa enters with 50 wins and the deeper staff. Given the uncertain Boston pitching plan, bullpen gap, and class jump for the Sox, Martin believes the Rays should be a larger favorite and labeled them his best bet of the card.

Martin laid –115 with Arizona, expecting Eduardo Rodriguez to rebound from his worst start of the year. Prior to that clunker, E-Rod had held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five consecutive outings dating back to June 1. He now faces a Padres lineup that sits bottom-five in wRC+ versus lefties over the past week. Randy Vasquez opposes him with an unsustainable 49-to-42 strikeout-to-walk ratio across 90 innings and more walks than punch-outs in his last appearance. Martin believes Arizona’s bats exploit that lack of command and that the Diamondbacks’ handedness splits also favor them, making the modest road price attractive.

Martin grabbed the Marlins at +149, calling the price too generous for a club that is 12-3 over its last 15 and has out-scored Cincinnati 17-3 in the first two games of the series. He acknowledged Nick Lodolo is a bet-on arm, but highlighted his recent stumble (two homers allowed in a loss to Philadelphia) and underlying 4.00+ FIP. Meanwhile Cal Quantrill, though rarely working past five innings, has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight and even logged the season’s only immaculate inning. Martin added that the Reds have dropped four straight and their bullpen form is poor, so it is a classic "ride the hot, fade the cold" spot with a live dog price.

Drew Martin endorsed the Cubs at the current –105 pick-em line, arguing the market is underrating Chicago. He pointed out Colin Rea has quietly strung together two straight wins, most recently tossing six innings of one-run ball versus St. Louis. Rea now faces a Twins lineup that ranks just league-average while the Cubs own MLB’s No. 1 OPS against right-handed pitching. On the other side, Chris Paddack is in the middle of an eight-ERA slide over his last five outings (34 hits in 23 innings). Martin also gave Chicago the bullpen edge and noted the club is 54-32 overall and 5-2 in July, two-and-a-half games clear atop the NL Central. He expects the Cubs to close as the favorite and advised bettors to grab the pick-em number early.

For his best bet, Drew Martin hammered the under 8.5 in Pirates-Royals. He called it a meeting of two bottom-three offenses—Pittsburgh has scored just three total runs in its last four games, and Kansas City is equally inept, especially versus lefties. On the mound, southpaw Kris Bubic is in peak form: sub-2.50 ERA, sub-2.80 FIP, 107 strikeouts, and a seven-inning gem against Arizona last week. Opposite him, Bailey (Brady) Falter has reinvented himself by adding a changeup, rolling to a 3.69 ERA in a big ballpark against a weak lineup. Martin added that the Pirates’ bullpen owns the lowest WHIP in MLB over the last 30 days, while neither offense hits left-handers better than bottom-five. All signs point to runs being at a premium, so Martin played the UNDER 8.5 rather than lay the steep –190 with Kansas City.

Drew Martin grabbed the Miami Marlins at +125 in Cincinnati, convinced Sandy Alcantara will look far more like the 2022 Cy Young winner against a slumping Reds lineup. Alcantara’s 7.00 ERA is ugly, but Martin pointed out the blow-ups came versus elite offenses (Arizona, Dodgers, Rays). Against weaker bats—Colorado, Pittsburgh, an under-performing Atlanta club—Alcantara has shoved. Cincinnati fits the weaker-bat profile: they sit bottom-five in wRC+ over the past week and bottom-10 on the season, and they have dropped three straight entering Wednesday. Martin also likes the Marlins’ current form—11-3 in their last 14 and an even .500 on the road—and highlighted a bullpen that has quietly been one of the league’s best during the hot stretch. Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott sports solid season numbers, but he is coming off his worst outing of 2025 (nine hits, three innings vs. Philadelphia), giving Miami a chance to do early damage. With an edge both on the mound and in the late innings, Martin labeled the Fish a worthy underdog play.

Drew Martin laid out why he is betting the Philadelphia Phillies first-five moneyline in Wednesday’s matinee at Oracle Park. The entire handicap is a fade of Justin Verlander, who Martin noted has seen his fastball velocity yo-yo between 91 and 95 mph all season and was shelled for six earned in only three innings by the Athletics his last time out. Verlander’s inconsistency overrides the fact that San Francisco owns the better bullpen, because Martin is isolating the first five innings. He emphasized that the Phillies’ lineup is crushing right-handed pitching right now, giving them a clear matchup edge. On the Philadelphia side the starter is still somewhat up in the air—beat writers report the club might shift left-hander Jesus Luzardo to the bullpen and promote a top prospect—but Martin is comfortable with any of the possible options and therefore is not listing a specific pitcher. The play: Phillies F5 ML, swallowing the modest juice to attack Verlander before the Giants’ stronger relief corps can become a factor.

Drew Martin took the Oakland Athletics at –105 in the series opener. He emphasized that Atlanta’s offense has cratered to bottom-10 status and the club is 2-8 in its last 10 games, more than 10 below .500 overall. Rookie Dieter Fuentes fills an injury-ravaged Braves rotation and owns a 9.00 ERA, surrendering 18 hits and 12 runs in 12 innings. Oakland counters with Jeffrey Springs, who has spun a 2.20 ERA over his last four starts—including quality outings versus Tampa Bay and Detroit. The A’s are a top-10 lineup over the past week and above-average on the season, giving them edges both on the mound and at the plate. Martin called this a "fade city" spot on Atlanta and fired on the hotter Athletics at a pick’em price.

Drew Martin laid –135 with the Kansas City Royals. He highlighted that Pittsburgh is 12-32 on the road and was just swept without scoring a single run by Seattle. Seth Lugo is having a career year (2.60 ERA overall, sub-1.00 over his last 30 innings) and those stingy outings came versus the Yankees, Dodgers and Mariners—far better offenses than the Pirates’ bottom-five unit. Conversely, Mitch Keller draws little support from a lineup that sits bottom five against right-handers for the full season. With Kansas City at home in a pitcher-friendly park, Martin expects Lugo to control a weak foe and cash the short price.

Drew Martin bet the Miami Marlins at +110 behind Yuri Perez. Martin pointed out that Reds starter Nick Martinez owns a 4.20 ERA with only 71 strikeouts in 100 innings, so he is not missing bats. Meanwhile the 22-year-old Perez is throwing 97-98 mph and is being allowed to work deeper; his last start was six scoreless, one-hit innings with seven Ks against Minnesota. Miami’s bullpen, a major part of the club’s recent 10-3 surge, also graded as the slight edge. Given the fish are hot, possess the superior late-inning unit, and catch plus money, Martin locked them in.

Drew Martin advised playing Detroit, preferably Tigers ‑1.5 on the road, thanks to Tarik Skubal’s Cy Young-caliber roll. The lefty is 10-2 with a 2.10 ERA and has won five straight starts; his latest outing was seven shutout innings with a 13:1 K:BB. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams has issued 49 walks in 86 IP and has more walks (7) than strikeouts (4) over his last two starts, totaling 15 free passes in his past four. Martin notes both bullpen and lineup metrics lean Detroit, so he is comfortable laying the run and a half despite the likely juice.

Martin wants bettors on Seattle because Paul Skenes has been limited to 4–5 innings in his last two outings as Pittsburgh protects its prized rookie on a non-contending club. That hands a shaky Pirates bullpen plenty of work, and Pittsburgh owns a 12-29 road record. Meanwhile George Kirby has posted back-to-back starts of six innings, three hits, one earned run and sports a pristine 41:9 K:BB ratio. Seattle also owns a large recent-form lineup edge. Expect a short price due to Skenes’ name value, but Martin argues Kirby and the home split are worth betting.

Drew Martin recommended laying the price with the Yankees in the Subway Series. Southpaw Max Fried is 10-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 106 strikeouts; he blanked the Mets earlier this season over six innings (3 H, 8 K). New York will face Brandon Waddell, a bullpen arm who spent the last four years in the KBO and has limited MLB data. Martin doubts Waddell can navigate a top-tier Yankee order and gives New York decisive bullpen support behind him. The combination of Fried’s ace form and a clear lineup mismatch makes the Bronx Bombers the play.

Drew Martin said the Orioles are his biggest Sunday wager because Trevor Rogers finally looks like the 2021 version of himself. Rogers owns a 2.00 ERA and has surrendered just 13 hits in 22 innings since returning from injury. Baltimore’s bats are scorching (top-5 wRC+ over the last week) while Atlanta’s injury-riddled lineup sits bottom-10 in the same span. Holmes counters with a 3.50 ERA but has dropped four of his last five decisions. Baltimore’s bullpen metrics also grade out better. Martin expects the market to hang a playable number and recommends backing the O’s in the early 11:35 a.m. tilt.

Calling it his client best bet, Drew Martin recommended Detroit –135 behind Casey Mize. The Tigers own the AL’s best record (54-34) and are 20 games over .500. Mize, the former No. 1 overall pick, sports a 2.80 ERA, is 8-2, and has not allowed more than two earned in any of his last five starts. He recently held Cleveland to one run over five innings with six strikeouts. On the other side, Logan Allen lasted only three frames and yielded five earned to Detroit in that series; he sits at a 4.20 ERA and has dropped his last two outings. Martin has been fading Allen all season and sees no reason to jump off with the Tigers’ lineup and bullpen both in better form. He believes the –135 price is short given the pitching disparity and Detroit’s overall consistency.

Drew Martin circled Tampa Bay as a play even before Minnesota announced a starter, emphasizing several edges. The Rays are 20-14 on the road and boast a top-10 offense both season-long and over the past week, whereas the Twins are 1-4 in their last five and rate dead last in wRC+ during that span. Taj Bradley’s game-log yo-yo (shutouts immediately following each poor outing) suggests a bounce-back after allowing five earned in his previous start; Martin noted every time the 24-year-old has surrendered 5+ ER, he has blanked the next opponent. Tampa’s bullpen grades better, and because Bradley’s surface numbers are mediocre the market should not hang a prohibitive price. Martin wants to grab the Rays as soon as a reasonable moneyline is posted.

Drew Martin said to back the Yankees at –140 in the Subway Series because the starting-pitching matchup heavily favors New York. Carlos Rodon owns a 9-5 record with a sub-3.00 ERA and already stifled the Mets earlier this season (2 hits, 1 ER). New York also hits right-handed pitching much better than the Mets handle lefties. While both bullpens have struggled, Martin argued the Mets’ relief corps has been just as shaky, so the late-inning risk is baked into the number. Even with the Yankees riding a four-game skid and the Mets 31-13 at Citi Field, he believes the 40-cent price is short given Rodon’s form versus Frankie Montas, who is making only his third start of the year and was tagged for six earned and two homers by Pittsburgh last time out.

Despite San Francisco’s four-game losing streak, Martin laid the –115 because Robbie Ray profiles as a classic stopper. The 33-year-old lefty is 8-3 with a 2.75 ERA and has fanned 110 hitters; he struck out nine D-backs over six innings in their earlier meeting. Arizona counters with Brandon Pfaadt, who sports an ERA north of five and was tagged for four earned and three walks by these Giants while lasting only four frames in that same series. Bullpen metrics also favor San Francisco. Martin concedes that Arizona’s top-of-order bats are dangerous, but trusts Ray’s dominance and the relief advantage to break the skid.

Martin laid the short –120 road price with the Yankees. Clarke Schmidt brings a 3.00 ERA and already blanked Toronto for five innings of one-hit ball earlier this season. Chris Bassitt, meanwhile, coughed up two homers in five innings the last time he saw New York and is coming off a disastrous outing versus Boston (4 BB, 9 R in 2 IP). Across the full season the Yankees sport a +105 run differential and rank among MLB’s best offenses versus right-handed pitching. Toronto’s bullpen is the lone area of concern, but Martin prefers the Yankees’ edge in the rotation and lineup at only a 20-cent tax.

Martin grabbed the Halos at +130, noting that the Angels have quietly been one of the league’s most profitable sides because they continually catch plus money. Jose Soriano just surrendered eight earned to Washington, but before that he logged three straight starts of 7.0 IP with either zero or one earned run, and Martin has "bet on him for years." Offensively, the Angels own the best team wRC+ over the past week while Atlanta sits bottom-five. Braves starter Bryce Elder lasted only two innings while giving up 10 runs to Philadelphia and has issued more walks than strikeouts across his last three appearances. Given Atlanta’s cold bats and Elder’s control woes, Martin believes the hotter lineup and the superior recent pitching form make the Angels a worthy underdog play.

Drew Martin advised laying the –136 with Miami, calling it a "one-way look" because the clubs are moving in opposite directions. The Marlins entered Wednesday on an eight-game heater while the Twins had lost 14 of their last 18. Martin likes Eddie Perez’s electric 100-mph arm even though the 22-year-old rarely sees the sixth inning; Miami’s bullpen owns the third-best WHIP in MLB over the past month and can cover those frames. On the flip side, Minnesota’s relief corps ranks dead last by that same WHIP metric. Starter Dave Festa brings a 5-plus ERA and inconsistent command, giving Miami another edge in the early innings. Add in the Fish’s home park advantage and Martin is comfortable backing the red-hot Marlins to extend the streak.

Drew Martin played Over 9 runs (–120) in Giants-D-backs, fading both starting pitchers. Zac Gallen has cratered to a 5.75 ERA and surrendered five earned to the White Sox in his last outing after allowing seven the start prior. He struck out only two hitters in that latest start, signaling diminished stuff. Opposite him, rookie Hayden Birdsong owns 12 walks over his last 15 innings and was tagged for seven earned by Miami, lasting just three frames in his lone previous meeting with Arizona. Martin referenced a recent FanGraphs piece noting Birdsong’s declining velocity. While San Francisco’s bullpen is solid, he doubts either starter reaches the sixth inning, setting up plenty of scoring chances for middling relief arms. With some books already moving to 9.5, Martin locked in the Over at 9.

Labeling it his ‘best bet,’ Drew Martin laid the –130 with Seattle. He emphasized Kansas City’s 1-7 slide and bottom-tier offense, then contrasted Emerson Hancock’s splits: the 26-year-old fireballer dominated lesser lineups, including seven shutout innings against Cleveland his last home start, while getting roughed up only by power clubs like the Cubs, Yankees and Tigers. Martin expects similar success versus a Royals lineup that ranks near the league’s bottom in OPS, wOBA and ISO. Mike Lorenzen enters 4-8 with a 5.00 ERA/5.00 FIP, giving Seattle a clear starting-pitching edge. Martin believes that, combined with home-field advantage, makes the Mariners the right side.

Drew Martin grabbed Baltimore at +154 against Jacob deGrom and the Rangers, arguing the market is overweighting the pitching matchup. The Orioles just plated 30 runs in a three-game set versus Tampa Bay, ranking top-5 in wRC+ over the last week and profiling as a top-10 unit versus right-handed pitching all season. Martin noted Charlie Morton’s 2.60 ERA since early May and sparkling 49-12 K/BB ratio after rejoining the rotation (4-0 in that span), suggesting his season-long ERA is misleading due to early struggles. Texas, meanwhile, is below .500 and scored only twice in a weekend loss to Seattle. With a low total of 7, Martin believes every run matters and likes Baltimore’s live-underdog profile.

Drew Martin backed the Brewers at +112, citing opposite trajectories for the clubs and a strong pitching edge. Milwaukee has ripped off an 8-2 run and now sits 10 games over .500, while New York is 3-13 over its last 16 contests and managed only four total runs during a weekend sweep by Pittsburgh. Martin highlighted Clay Holmes’ move from the bullpen to the rotation as a problem for the Mets – Holmes has issued 10 walks across his last two starts. By contrast, Freddy Peralta owns a sub-3.00 ERA with 98 strikeouts and has won three straight outings. Milwaukee’s lineup grades top-10 over the past week, giving Martin confidence the Brewers can cash as road underdogs.

For ESPN’s Sunday night showcase, Martin wants to ride Detroit and will likely play the –1 run line to cut juice. The Tigers are 51-31 overall and 28-13 at Comerica Park. Staff ace Tarik Skubal (9-2, sub-2.30 ERA) has won four straight starts, while Minnesota counters with Chris Paddack, who has been rocked for 16 earned and 23 hits across his last three outings. Martin also pointed out the Twins’ bullpen has cratered over the past month. Given Detroit’s home dominance, current form, and pitching edge, he recommends backing the Tigers and fading Paddack.

Martin is willing to lay up to –150 on Arizona with Eduardo Rodriguez toeing the rubber. A recent FanGraphs piece detailed mechanical tweaks that helped E-Rod post six shutout innings and 10 strikeouts last time out. On the other side, Cal Quantrill has failed to escape the fourth in each of his last two starts, taxing Miami’s pen. Although the Marlins just swept San Francisco, Martin trusts the improved version of Rodriguez and the D-backs’ home field to carry the day if bettors can keep the price in the mid-minus-100s.

Martin highlighted a massive offensive mismatch, calling Kansas City “the coldest lineup in baseball” while the Dodgers remain a top-tier attack. Royals lefty Chris Bubik owns a shiny 2.10 ERA overall, but Martin noted that stronger offenses – the Yankees among them – have squared him up, whereas he’s padded numbers against weaker bats. Provided L.A. isn’t laying an exorbitant number, Martin expects the Dodgers’ lineup to get to Bubik early and would look to play Los Angeles on the moneyline (or in parlays) over the ice-cold Royals.

Martin wants the Reds as a barking home dog with Nick Lodolo on the mound. The 27-year-old lefty sports an 80-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio and is coming off impressive back-to-back starts versus the Twins and Yankees. Opposing starter Adam Collick has surrendered 11 earned runs and 18 hits over his last 14 innings (three starts), so Martin questions his ability to navigate Great American Ball Park. With Lodolo’s strikeout stuff and Cincinnati’s plus-price, Martin is eager to grab the Reds moneyline.

Martin called Tampa Bay “one of the hottest teams in baseball” and said the Rays are the only direction he can look Sunday. He acknowledged Taj Bradley’s volatility – the right-hander was tagged by Baltimore in his last meeting – but still prefers Tampa’s red-hot lineup against Dean Kremer. Kremer did limit the Rays to one earned over five innings last week, yet Martin sees Tampa’s recent offensive tear as the deciding factor. He will back the Rays if the market hangs a manageable number, passing only if the price becomes too steep.

Drew Martin said the only side he can back in Cleveland is St. Louis. He trusts Matthew Liberatore’s current form – the 25-year-old lefty owns a 71-to-12 K/BB ratio and is coming off back-to-back 6- and 7-inning outings with just two total earned runs. Martin added that the Redbirds hold clear bullpen and lineup edges. The real target is fading Logan Allen, whose 4.20 ERA and shaky 54-to-32 K/BB mark (under 2-to-1) suggest regression. Martin expects Allen to “get hit around,” making the Cardinals at any reasonable favorite price an actionable bet.

Martin grabbed Philadelphia +138, citing a pitching and form edge. Jesus Luzardo rediscovered his early-season groove last outing (6.2 shutout frames, 3 H vs Mets) after two blow-up starts. Spencer Schwellenbach has been decent for Atlanta, but the Braves have plated just three runs over their last two contests, while the Phillies are still 13 games above .500 despite their own slump. With the better overall record and a starter trending up, Martin believes the Phillies are mislabeled underdogs.

Martin felt the ‑158 number on Los Angeles was surprisingly cheap given the matchup. The 51-31 Dodgers have ripped off four straight victories and share the best record in baseball, while Kansas City owns the league’s coldest offense by weighted runs created plus over the past week and sits bottom-three for the season. The Royals have dropped five in a row and are just 18-31 against winning teams. Seth Lugo has been serviceable, but Shohei Ohtani will open for an inning or two before Los Angeles hands the ball to its deep pen and lethal lineup. With those edges in pitching depth and offensive firepower, Martin urged bettors to swallow the juice on the Dodgers.

Drew Martin recommended grabbing Miami at +130 because the Fish hold edges across the board. Sandy Alcantara has quietly rattled off four straight quality outings and looked dominant the last time he faced Arizona, posting a 9-to-0 K/BB line. Miami’s bullpen has steadied after a rough April, while Brandon Pfaadt is moving in the opposite direction with an 11-plus ERA over his last five turns (31 hits in 18 innings). Martin also noted Arizona’s cupcake schedule (Rockies, White Sox, Marlins) has not translated into wins, underscoring that current form, starting pitching, and late-inning relief all favor Miami at a plus price.

Calling it his nightcap "best bet" and birthday angle, Drew Martin recommended Angels -155 over Washington behind Jose Soriano. The 26-year-old righty has dominated his last three starts—21 innings, only two earned runs, 28 strikeouts—against the Yankees, Astros, and Athletics. Nationals starter Jake Irvin owns a 4.48 ERA on the road versus 3.50 at home and now opens a West-Coast swing after back-to-back losses for his club. Martin highlighted the scheduling edge (Halos off a home off-day after sweeping Boston), Washington’s bottom-10 lineup versus righties, and a Nationals bullpen he described as “blown up.” With Los Angeles sitting at .500 and riding a three-game win streak, Martin urged bettors to play the Angels.

Drew Martin advised laying up to -132 with the Dodgers in Kansas City, continuing the show’s profitable one-week fade of the Royals. Rookie left-hander Noah Cameron owns a shiny 2.00 ERA but just 34 strikeouts in 47 innings and was tattooed for six earned by the Yankees, suggesting his soft-contact luck is primed to regress against an LA lineup that is 50-31 and 8-2 over its last ten games. Dustin May has logged consecutive quality starts (six innings, three earned each) and faces a Kansas City offense Martin has labeled his "fade city" target. Expecting LA’s bats to punish the low-K rookie while May controls a scuffling lineup, Martin endorsed Dodgers -132.

Drew Martin sided with the Braves at –105 in Thursday’s lone night game, largely because the Mets have cratered to 1-9 over their last 10 and their bullpen has imploded. He doubts Griffin Canning can play stopper after surrendering 14 runs across his past 14 innings and giving up seven earned in four frames versus Atlanta last season. On the flip side, 29-year-old Grant Holmes has racked up 20 strikeouts in his last two outings and owns a 97/65 K/Hit ratio over 85 innings; he also limited the Mets to one hit in their most recent meeting. With New York’s bats suddenly silent, Martin is happy to back the hotter arm, better form and steadier bullpen at a virtual coin-flip number.

Drew Martin grabbed the Mariners at +105 in Minnesota, framing it as a classic hot-versus-cold fade. Seattle has won three straight and boasts a top-five offense, whereas the Twins have dropped 11 of 12 and rank middle of the pack at the plate. Martin highlighted Minnesota’s 15-29 record against winning teams—nearly double the losses to wins—then targeted Simeon Woods Richardson’s 5-plus ERA and modest 2-to-1 K/BB. He expects former first-rounder Emerson Hancock to rebound from a four-homer Wrigley wind game, noting the right-hander’s strong season prior to that blip. Add in a Seattle bullpen trending better while Minnesota’s relief corps has been “absolutely rocked” the last month, and Martin believes the M’s deserve to be favored, making the underdog price attractive.

Drew Martin backed the Blue Jays at –112 in Cleveland, stressing multiple matchup edges. Kevin Gausman owns a nine-to-one K/BB ratio and six scoreless frames in his only 2025 start against the Guardians, a far weaker lineup than the Phillies and Diamondbacks clubs that just tagged him for seven earned. While Tanner Bybee’s 10-strikeout outing versus Oakland looked flashy, Martin called the overall pitching matchup close to even and pointed to everything else favoring Toronto: the Jays rate top-10 in OPS while Cleveland sits bottom-five, Toronto’s bullpen grades better, and Cleveland is just 16-25 this season when facing teams over .500. Paying only twelve cents, Martin advised riding the superior sticks, pen and recent head-to-head dominance.

For Sunday Night Baseball, Martin prefers the Mets behind lefty David Peterson. Peterson is 5-2 with a 2.60 ERA despite facing tough lineups all season. Meanwhile, Phillies southpaw Jose Luzardo (4-4, 4-plus ERA) has imploded in June, surrendering 25 earned runs in just 16 innings, including blow-up outings of 12 and eight earned runs. Martin adds that New York owns the bullpen advantage and comparable offensive numbers over the full year. If weekend form cooperates, he will take the Metropolitan moneyline in Philadelphia.

Drew Martin plans to take the under on Shohei Ohtani’s strikeout prop against Washington. He reminded listeners that Ohtani is still building back from injury and did not get any minor-league rehab starts because the Dodgers want his bat in the lineup. In his first start back he threw just one inning with zero strikeouts, so Martin doubts he will be allowed to work deep enough Sunday to clear the inevitable lofty K number sportsbooks hang for a headline name. He recommends waiting until books post the prop closer to first pitch, then punching the under before it ticks down.