Saracini took Lions moneyline as short dogs, reminding readers Detroit led the league in points per game last season. He’s betting on continuity with Jared Goff, Ben Johnson’s motion-heavy scheme and the explosive Jahmyr Gibbs–Amon-Ra St. Brown duo to overwhelm a young Packers secondary that ranked 31st in missed tackle rate. With weather forecasted clear at Lambeau, Saracini expects Detroit’s pace and red-zone efficiency (second-best TD rate in 2024) to travel.

Saracini laid 6.5 with Washington, reminding bettors the Commanders finished sixth in scoring a year ago and locked up Terry McLaurin while adding Deebo Samuel as a complementary weapon. He expects Jayden Daniels to exploit a Giants defense that surrendered 346 yards per game in 2024. With New York’s secondary thin and pass rush bottom-five in pressure rate, Saracini envisions multiple chunk plays and little resistance once Washington gets inside the 20.

Saracini grabbed Dolphins moneyline as short road dogs, calling Indianapolis "one of the worst teams in the NFL." He highlighted Miami’s defensive upgrades — the signing of Matthew Judon, the return of Jaelen Phillips and Minkah Fitzpatrick patrolling centerfield — as enough to bottle up a Colts attack led by Daniel Jones. On offense he trusts Tua Tagovailoa to feast on a secondary that ranked 28th in EPA per dropback last season. Saracini anticipates Miami winning the explosive-play battle and stealing a statement road win.