Wilkerson pegged Ty France as a sneaky long-shot to homer at +575. France owns just four bombs on the season, yet Statcast shows he has two fewer homers than expected, suggesting positive regression is on deck. He also flashes a strong platoon and pitch-type fit against Zack Littell’s slider/splitter/four-seam mix. France is 2-for-6 with a homer and a .413 expected batting average off Littell in their brief history. Wilkerson argued that because France is often viewed as a tertiary bat in Minnesota, markets underrate his pop, making today’s matchup a buy-low spot.

Wilkerson recommended Bobby Witt Jr. to homer at +525 against Reds swingman Nick Martinez. He labeled Martinez an "innings-eater" whose low-90s fastball and sub-25% whiff rate force him to live on grounders, a profile that leaves little margin for error. Witt already owns success in the tiny sample: a double and a home run in four at-bats versus Martinez. Given Witt’s well-documented elite bat speed and natural lift, Wilkerson believes Martinez’s contact-heavy approach creates the perfect setup for fireworks.

Dylan Wilkerson backed Ketel Marte to leave the yard at +270. Wilkerson pointed out that Marte has already launched 8 homers in May and sits in the 80th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate according to Baseball Savant. The switch-hitter also draws his preferred matchup: Andrew Heaney. In 11 career plate appearances versus the lefty, Marte owns four hits—two of them home runs—giving him a .727 SLG against Heaney. With elite underlying metrics and a pitcher he has historically punished, Wilkerson expects Marte’s power binge to continue.