Eric Pathey

2 Taeks

MLB underdog focus still printing units

PickDawgz

MLB 8/4/25 | MLB VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY PREDICTION & WINNER I DIME CLUB

19 days ago

Eric Pathey reiterated that locking onto plus-money sides remains a profitable MLB betting approach. Since the All-Star break his subscription underdog channel is 24-23 straight-up yet shows a profit of 11.5 units because every play carried a positive price. That run is built on an 11-12 record last week that still netted 4.45 units and a 13-11 mark the prior week that cleared 7.05 units. Pathey contrasted those returns with point-spread sports—where the same 24-23 skid would lose money after juice—to demonstrate why blindly backing favorites is a leak and why he plans to keep firing on dogs through October.

Tampa Bay Rays: Fade phony favorite, take dog at +135

PickDawgz

MLB 8/4/25 | MLB VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY PREDICTION & WINNER I DIME CLUB

19 days ago

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels

Eric Pathey advised betting the Tampa Bay Rays as roughly +135 underdogs in Monday’s opener against the Los Angeles Angels, calling L.A. a “phony favorite.” The Angels were bumped up to a –165 number overnight after their dramatic 8-5 comeback over the White Sox, yet they sit at just 54-58 overall and a break-even 14-14 when laying juice. Pathey pointed out that backing them as chalk has yielded zero profit, while their 38-42 record as a dog shows the only time you make money with Anaheim is when they are getting a price. He expects public overreaction to Sunday’s win to keep the line inflated and believes simply fading that sentiment with Tampa Bay delivers positive expected value.