Eric Pathy said bettors should grab the Cincinnati Reds as a home underdog for Wednesday. He called them a “live dog” and cited a 33-30 record in his last 63 documented spots backing the Reds in the underdog role. Pathy expects oddsmakers to open Cincinnati as a plus-money side and argues the club’s consistent profitability in these dog situations outweighs the lack of an announced price. The play is framed as a classic value grab—take the short-priced home dog and trust the long-term edge that has already produced a winning record and positive ROI.

Eric Pathy advised grabbing the Orioles as short home underdogs against Seattle, calling it a textbook application of his season-long "bet every home dog" system. Pathy laid out the math behind the edge: through 1,753 MLB games, underdogs overall are 753-1,000 (43% win rate), but home dogs improve to 287-326 (47%). Because those wins come at plus money, the 4-point bump turns a blanket underdog strategy from modestly profitable to clearly positive EV. He emphasized that even a seven-game Mariner winning streak and a West-to-East road trip do not offset the historical edge, and he dismissed individual pitcher impact, noting favorites win only 57% league-wide despite perceived mound advantages. With Dean Kremer starting and the overnight line sitting around +110 to +120, Pathy labeled Baltimore the complementary play of the day and a live bankroll builder for bettors following the system.

Eric Pathy advised taking the New York Mets at +115 on the overnight line in Milwaukee. He expects the Brewers’ six-game winning streak to stall after a travel day, a spot he calls a “freeze” for hot teams. Pathy added that Milwaukee has only been profitable this season when listed as an underdog (26-26 as a dog) and is roughly break-even when favored, so tonight’s favorite role sets up poorly for them. With the market still riding Milwaukee’s recent run, Pathy sees value in fading the streak and grabbing the Mets at plus money.

Eric Pathy advised taking the San Diego Padres as +120 underdogs against the St. Louis Cardinals on 7/24/25. His core angle is simple: when a road favorite gets hammered and then returns home as chalk the very next day, he automatically fades them. The Cardinals fit that profile after losing 6-0 as road favorites in Colorado. Despite the quick travel turnaround, bookmakers still opened St. Louis at –140, creating what Pathy sees as an inflated line. By grabbing the Padres at plus money, bettors capture both the situational edge and the long-running underdog strategy that has produced a 25 % return on risk for him this week.

Eric Pathy said the best bet in baseball is backing a home team underdog and pointed to the Miami Marlins at +115 hosting the Milwaukee Brewers as his complimentary overnight play. Pathy reminded listeners that Miami had rattled off eight straight wins before a single recent loss, arguing they are still the hottest club in the league. He likes the park-advantage angle and trusts Cabrera to match up well against Brandon Woodruff on the mound. With the Marlins getting plus money as a home dog, Pathy advised locking in the wager before lines adjust.

Eric Pathy said the Cincinnati Reds are an automatic wager on July 5th under his long-standing dog-to-dog system. The rule: when a team wins outright as an underdog and is listed at an even longer price the very next day, you blindly back them unless new information emerges. Cincinnati is 27-22 this season when priced as a dog, generating a healthy profit. They cashed at +129 on July 4th in a 9-6 win, and books reopened them at +145 ("plus forty-five cents") for July 5th while their opponent remains, in Pathy’s words, "a shit favorite." With that historical underdog record, the immediate rematch spot, and a fatter price, Pathy called the Reds his complimentary "system play" and advised bettors to fire on the moneyline.

Eric Pathy advised grabbing the Chicago White Sox at +145 because his longstanding system says to auto-fade San Francisco when they are sizeable road favorites. Pathy pointed out the Giants are 19-20 on the road this season despite being 29-22 overall as favorites, meaning bettors laying chalk with them away from Oracle Park are down money. He emphasized that, in the absence of granular matchup data, the most profitable blind bet in MLB is the home underdog—especially when the road side has a losing travel record. Pathy acknowledged the White Sox are a bad team but stressed that the wager is strictly about exploiting San Francisco’s 49% road win rate and the inflated ‑175 price tag. He labeled Chicago the “complimentary selection” for Thursday’s slate and reiterated that his underdog-only channel is still up $1,800 for the week using this same philosophy.

Eric Pathy said to grab the Tampa Bay Rays at roughly +130 because the Mets’ six-game winning streak has artificially inflated the favorite’s line. Pathy’s ‘rule of 10’ flags teams chasing a seventh straight win as prime fade material, pointing out San Francisco’s identical spot earlier in the day where Colorado cashed as a dog. He emphasized underdogs are hitting 42.5 % this season—2.5 points above the long-term 40 % baseline—making plus-money shots even more attractive. Pitching matchups do not alter his stance; starters rarely finish games, so he focuses strictly on price. Pathy framed the Rays’ 13-15 record as “printing money” when catching plus odds and argued that laying chalk on streaking favorites is a bankroll killer over time. In short, take Tampa Bay and the extra 30 cents rather than paying the Mets’ tax.

Eric Pathy said the Baltimore Orioles are his Value Play of the Day at roughly +170 on the moneyline despite facing the first-place Detroit Tigers. Pathy pointed out that Baltimore has been a money-loser when favored in 2025, yet they remain profitable when lined as underdogs thanks to a 12-14 record in that role. He reminded listeners that the Orioles were baseball’s most lucrative betting team in both 2023 and 2024 because markets consistently mispriced them as dogs. With Dean Kremer making the start and Detroit’s offense sitting in the bottom third of MLB in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching, Pathy expects Baltimore to keep the game close and make the plus-money payout worthwhile.

Eric Pathy said his daily 'auto-dog' system fires on the Miami Marlins in Thursday’s early game at Pittsburgh. The Marlins cashed the previous night as +123 (23-cent) underdogs and, despite that win, the market moved against them to +128 (28-cent) for the 12:35 p.m. ET first pitch. Pathy explained that whenever a dog wins and then re-opens at an even bigger price with no new information, his model blindly rolls the profits into the same side. He labeled it a complimentary syndicate play for anyone who is not part of his paid Dime Club service and advised bettors to grab the moneyline before further steam shows.

Eric Pathy said his value play for Sunday is backing the Washington Nationals again at roughly +160. The Nationals cashed for him as underdogs on Saturday, and Pathy’s "automatic system play" calls for riding a team that wins outright as a dog if bookmakers leave them an underdog the next day. He noted Mike Soroka is on the mound for Washington opposite a pitcher he referred to as Ray and believes the plus-money price still offers value in a 1:35 p.m. Memorial Day matchup.

Eric Pathy said he will look to bet against the Twins on Saturday if oddsmakers list them as favorites. Minnesota has won 11 straight, including two separate three-game sweeps of Baltimore, making them the first club this year to top a 10-game run. With the Twins enjoying a rest day Friday, Pathy expects the market to overreact to the streak, so he plans to grab their opponent’s moneyline once prices are posted.

Eric Pathy advised backing the Houston Astros at +160 on the moneyline against the Rangers. He leaned on his personal "Rule of 10," which tells him to fade any team on a five-game winning streak that gets a day off before trying for win No. 6, particularly when that team is a hefty favorite (Texas is −180 here). Pathy believes the travel pause chills momentum and the betting market inflates the price on the hot club, creating value on the underdog Astros.

Eric Pathy said his Rule of 10 underdog system calls for backing Colorado at +200 on Mother’s Day. The Rockies were just blown out 19-0 and are riding an 8-game losing streak, but Pathy emphasized that it is statistically rare for any club to drop 10 straight. Game nine of the slide presents what he views as the buy-low point, offering 2-to-1 odds against a Padres team that may be overpriced after the lopsided result. Pathy advised bettors to ‘be a machine with an absence of emotion’ and trust the system to cash before the streak reaches double digits.

Eric Pathy advised taking the Tampa Bay Rays at +0.80 moneyline odds against the Yankees based purely on his momentum-based system. The Rays had just snapped a four-game losing streak, and Pathy believes teams that immediately become sizable underdogs the next day often continue the rebound. He noted that Tampa Bay is 5-5 over its last 10 games, meaning bettors have been getting plus-money prices on a club still winning half the time, a combination Pathy says produces long-term profit without digging into pitching matchups or advanced stats. He framed the play as a simple streak-and-price angle rather than a full service release, but labeled it his complimentary selection for bettors looking for value.

Eric Pathy advised taking the Atlanta Braves moneyline at roughly +150 as his complimentary play for May 2. Pathy framed it as a pure situational angle: the Dodgers just had a five-game winning streak halted by a travel day, and he believes fading a road favorite whose streak gets interrupted is 'one of the best bets in all of baseball.' Because it is strictly a system play, he dismissed pitching data, noting that even Yoshinobu Yamamoto's ERA is irrelevant to the spot. The key factors, according to Pathy, are the Dodgers’ cooled momentum and Atlanta being a home underdog, a combination he routinely auto-bets.

Eric Pathy said to back the Miami Marlins on the moneyline at roughly +120 for the April 22, 2025 matchup versus the Cincinnati Reds. Pathy explained that Miami, who was leading the current game 3‑0 as a home dog, is an ideal 'chase the dog at home' situation for the following day. He trusts Edward Cabrera to out‑duel Cincinnati rookie Nick Spartinas and thinks the market is overreacting by hanging plus money on the better arm in a friendly park. Pathy stressed that the run‑line (+1.5) carries a steep -160 price, making the straight moneyline far superior from a value standpoint. The recommendation fits his long‑term bankroll philosophy of targeting mis‑priced home underdogs rather than searching for a one‑off get‑out game.