Eric Pathy said to back the Miami Marlins on the moneyline at roughly +120 for the April 22, 2025 matchup versus the Cincinnati Reds. Pathy explained that Miami, who was leading the current game 3‑0 as a home dog, is an ideal 'chase the dog at home' situation for the following day. He trusts Edward Cabrera to out‑duel Cincinnati rookie Nick Spartinas and thinks the market is overreacting by hanging plus money on the better arm in a friendly park. Pathy stressed that the run‑line (+1.5) carries a steep -160 price, making the straight moneyline far superior from a value standpoint. The recommendation fits his long‑term bankroll philosophy of targeting mis‑priced home underdogs rather than searching for a one‑off get‑out game.