Eric Polzin identified Chris Paddack as another pitcher to target for the under on fantasy score prop bets. Polzin emphasized that PrizePicks assigns points based heavily upon wins (6 points) and quality starts (4 points), which Paddack is unlikely to achieve. With Paddack below the 45% threshold of probability for either a win or a quality start, Polzin flagged this as a situation where PrizePicks' calculated fantasy score line fails to reflect his true performance expectation. He noted the slight scoring differences between PrizePicks and Underdog, specifically highlighting that Underdog awards 5 points each for the win and quality start instead. Ultimately, Polzin felt Paddack's fantasy score was set overly high, setting bettors up nicely for an under wager.

Eric Polzin recommended betting the under for Martin Perez's pitching fantasy score on PrizePicks. This decision factors heavily on Perez's low likelihood of achieving a quality start or win, critical components in PrizePicks' scoring model (wins count as 6 points, quality starts as 4 points). Polzin cited that Perez is at a minus-300 chance not to log a win according to Vegas sportsbooks, essentially removing those bonus points from consideration. Additionally, DraftKings set Perez's pitching outs line at 16.5 innings, clearly below the mark needed for a quality start (18 outs). Polzin explained that PrizePicks doesn't usually adjust these fantasy scores accordingly, resulting in advantageous betting edges. Thus, given Perez's realistic outcomes, Polzin strongly advises taking his fantasy scoring under.

Eric Polzin suggested targeting Zach Johnson's line of three birdies exactly, supported by predictive modeling that projects Johnson achieving precisely that number. Polzin expressed satisfaction with the consistency and stability this prop offers, viewing it as a safe, high-value selection. He also suggested potentially combining this play with strategic unders for golfers with inflated birdie totals, such as Jordan Spieth.

Eric Polzin highlighted betting Bryson DeChambeau over on fairways hit, referencing historical data from last year indicating DeChambeau averaged around 10.2 fairways per round. Polzin suggested that, while not as strong as other prop plays he emphasized, it offers a reliable secondary bet option based on proven consistency at Augusta during his previous Masters performance.

Eric Polzin recommended betting Max Homa under 3.5 birdies or better due to recent signs of struggle in Homa's performance. Polzin emphasized concerns over Homa's visible uncertainty and exhaustive preparation, noting he recently completed a lengthy practice session desperately 'trying to find something' before The Masters. Given these troubling indicators, Polzin confidently advocated targeting the under for Homa's birdie production.

Eric Polzin recommended betting Scottie Scheffler under 4.5 birdies or better based on the anticipated difficulty of The Masters course. Noting Scheffler's inflated line compared to other golfers whose lines have dropped, Polzin expressed skepticism that Scheffler could almost double the course average of approximately 2.8 birdies. Despite Scheffler's elite status, Polzin urged caution, emphasizing that difficult scoring conditions would significantly impact even top golfers.

Eric Polzin suggested betting Jon Rahm under 4.5 birdies or better, citing tougher expected playing conditions at Augusta National. Polzin pointed out a small middling opportunity, noting the line of 4 birdies on PrizePicks compared to 4.5 on Better, suggesting Rahm would likely land exactly at 4 birdies. He advocated splitting bets across platforms to capitalize on these differences and maximize potential returns.

Eric Polzin highlighted Justin Thomas under 70.5 strokes as an outstanding bet due to a clear pricing inefficiency. On Better, Thomas's strokes line is set at 70.5, whereas PrizePicks lists it at 71.5—a full stroke difference, which Polzin emphatically stated 'should never ever be happening.' This discrepancy presents significant value for bettors targeting the better line, providing a clear, actionable advantage.

Eric Polzin highlighted Daniel Berger as a sneaky DFS pick at the Masters, cautioning users to look beyond his recent Masters results, hindered by injury. Berger has posted modest recent finishes (T50 and missed cut), but Polzin emphasized looking further back to when Berger was fully healthy—he delivered consistent results with finishes of 10th, 27th, and 32nd at Augusta previously. Given Berger is playing well at the Valero Texas Open, Polzin indicated renewed health and strong recent play might justify investment in Berger despite less-than-ideal recent Masters history.

Eric Polzin advocated J.T. Poston as an appealing DFS target for the Masters due to his remarkable consistency currently—eight consecutive cuts made on the PGA Tour soon to be confirmed—and his record at Augusta, where he's made cuts in both of his last two starts. Polzin considered Poston an "easy click" at his cheap DraftKings price, useful in constructing balanced DFS rosters and comfortably fitting higher-salary golfers like Scottie Scheffler or Rory McIlroy.

Eric Polzin recommended Harris English as a reliable value option for DFS lineups at the Masters, noting English's track record of making three consecutive cuts at Augusta over the past four years. His recent PGA tour performances are solid as well, with two straight made cuts and an unexpected win within his last seven events, demonstrating high upside. Polzin labeled English's price attractive for securing a made cut, emphasizing his ability to bolster DFS lineups affordably this week.

Eric Polzin strongly endorsed Denny McCarthy as a top DFS pick for the Masters after an excellent showing at the Valero Texas Open, currently positioned for a top-10 finish. McCarthy's recent form is attractive with finishes of top-10, 14th, 16th, and 48th in his recent starts, extending his streak to 13 consecutive cuts made. Although only finishing 45th at Augusta last year, Polzin anticipates improvement due to McCarthy's recent consistent performance, particularly at the Valero, which Polzin noted is statistically significant when predicting future results. Despite a modest current statistical ranking (39th), Polzin believes McCarthy will improve statistically after factoring in this week's strong play.

Eric Polzin identified Lucas Glover as a sleeper DFS value at the Masters, citing his strong history at Augusta—a top-20 finish last year and a top-30 finish three years ago—as appealing given his low pricing. Though his recent form has been spotty with a few missed cuts on the number, Glover also has secured two recent top-10 finishes. Polzin expects that being a major tournament, Glover's recent close calls on the cut line might not be indicative of future results. Given his current stats, which rank top-20 in the field, Polzin believes Glover could quietly deliver value and outperform his salary with a made cut.

Eric Polzin emphasized Keegan Bradley as a strong value across multiple formats for the Masters tournament. At 7K on DraftKings and priced at 135 to 1 for outright betting, Bradley offers significant upside. Polzin highlighted Bradley's consistent recent form, ranking him within the top 10 of the field in current form metrics, coupled with solid course history—two top-25 finishes at Augusta in the past four years. Although having a mediocre round three at the Valero Texas Open, Polzin noted Bradley's final round could adjust perception positively. Bradley ranked as a top-10 stat fit for Augusta, making him a compelling DFS and betting option.

Eric Polzin identified Keegan Bradley as a potentially lucrative longshot for The Masters, highlighting extraordinary 135-to-1 odds available. Bradley ranks fifth-best in Polzin's predictive model due mainly to his solid recent performances, including a recent win at the BMW Championship and consistent top-ten finishes. Bradley's Augusta record is decent with two career top-25 finishes, indicating suitable course familiarity. Polzin cautioned that Bradley likely requires a scenario where others falter, allowing him to capitalize—potentially coming from behind late on Sunday rather than playing from out front. Still, given Bradley’s elite statistical profile (top-10 staff rank, top-15 specialist rank) and extremely generous odds, Polzin suggested Bradley makes for an enticing high-upside bet or a safer top-30 finish wager.

Eric Polzin views Russell Henley as a sneaky longshot worth betting at The Masters, especially given generous 70-to-1 to 80-to-1 odds on various books. Henley boasts outstanding recent form with five top-10 finishes in his last nine events, including a victory. Additionally, Henley has positive historical Augusta experience, including at least one top-five finish. He ranks as the fifth-best specialist according to Polzin's unique model, accounting for specific Augusta conditions and factors influencing success. While Polzin voiced concern over Henley's current statistical profile—particularly his weaker strokes gained approach—he believes Henley will elevate this aspect of his game at Augusta, leveraging familiarity and success on similar tracks to provide value at his current odds.

Eric Polzin sees Patrick Cantlay as a compelling outright play for The Masters at about 40-to-1 odds, highlighting solid recent form with consistently good results, albeit lacking elite upside recently apart from a single top-five finish. Cantlay ranks as the fifth-best player in terms of recent form and is eighth-best statistically in Polzin's model. However, Polzin acknowledged lingering concerns regarding Cantlay's lack of strong historical performance at Augusta, failing to secure high-end finishes in recent years. Despite this, Polzin explained the general Masters trend of players improving through experience at Augusta and believes Cantlay’s form and skills justify a wager at such appealing odds, especially if Cantlay finishes strongly at the ongoing Valero Texas Open.

Eric Polzin recommended Justin Thomas as an attractive outright bet for The Masters, primarily because of his intriguing odds at around 22-to-1. Polzin noted Thomas's strong recent form with four top-ten finishes in his past seven starts (second, ninth, sixth, and second), acknowledging Thomas as somewhat streaky yet capable of spiking for victories—similar to his comeback win at the PGA Championship a few years ago. While Thomas's Augusta record has been inconsistent, including just one notable top-ten finish three years previous, Polzin believes Thomas is coming into the Masters in much stronger shape compared to prior years. He underscored Thomas's statistical profile (top-five in key stats) as further evidence of his win equity despite perceived volatility.

Eric Polzin confidently highlighted Collin Morikawa as his top outright bet for The Masters, emphasizing several compelling points. Morikawa enters the tournament in excellent form, having recorded finishes of 10th, 17th, 17th, 2nd, and another 2nd place finish recently. Historically, he has thrived at Augusta with three consecutive top-10 finishes in this event. Moreover, Morikawa currently ranks as the second-best player statistically and the third-best specialist according to Polzin's proprietary model that incorporates key tournament characteristics like fast greens at Augusta, difficult scoring conditions, and overall course fit. Key stats underpinning Morikawa's candidacy include ranking first in the field in birdie-to-bogey ratio and strokes gained approach, along with solid enough rankings (top-20) in strokes gained around the green and total driving. Polzin sees Morikawa as the strongest value relative to favorites like Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, given the favorable odds and elite combination of form, course history, and key statistical metrics.

Eric Polzin floated Taylor Pendrith as a potentially overlooked DFS play, likening him to Corey Conners' previous Masters profile. Although Pendrith lacks Augusta National experience, Polzin pointed to Pendrith's strong statistical fit and a recent bounce-back fifth-place finish after some earlier struggles. While he ultimately indicated Pendrith isn't necessarily essential given other appealing value options, Polzin did highlight the Canadian's form revival and strong statistical profile as reasons to consider him as an under-the-radar tournament play.

Eric Polzin called Harris English an intriguing DFS sleeper due to his inexpensive salary of 6.5K, solid recent performances, and consistent Masters results. A Georgia native with strong Augusta finishes of 22nd, 43rd, and 21st in his three most recent appearances, Harris English also brings good recent form highlighted by a win and finishes of 18th, 30th, and 21st in recent starts. While Polzin admitted English’s statistical profile is mixed—highlighting a concerning birdie-to-bogey ratio contrasted by stronger total driving and excellent strokes gained approach numbers—he sees ample DFS value at his minimal price tag, providing flexibility for lineup construction.

Eric Polzin emphasized Denny McCarthy as a standout low-cost DFS choice for Augusta, given his recent consistent form and appealing price at 6.5K on DraftKings. While McCarthy’s previous Masters finish was just 45th, Polzin argued a made cut at that salary represents significant value. McCarthy has quietly strung together solid finishes recently, including 14th,18th,48th,5th,and most recently 16th. Though acknowledging McCarthy's mediocre statistical fit in key stats like birdie-to-bogey ratio, total driving, and strokes gained metrics, Polzin maintained the inexpensive salary reduces concerns and makes McCarthy a valuable complement to expensive anchor golfers in lineup builds.

Eric Polzin identified Lucas Glover as an attractive, affordable option at Augusta, given his combination of solid tournament history and impressive recent play. Priced cheaply, Glover recorded an eighth-place and third-place finish recently, alongside respectable finishes of 20th and 30th in his past two Masters appearances. While noting that Glover usually struggles statistically at similar courses, his prior Augusta results and current ranking as a top-20 stat fit overshadow these concerns. His low salary allows flexibility when constructed around higher-priced core players, making him a clear, appealing budget selection in DFS contests.

Eric Polzin advised selecting Keegan Bradley at 7K on DraftKings for Masters DFS lineups, citing several persuasive factors. Bradley enters the Masters in strong recent form, highlighted by a 20th-place finish at The Players and fifth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, along with multiple other top finishes recently. His Augusta performances of T22 and T23 in the last two years further bolster his appeal considering the low price tag. Statistically, Bradley excels in areas key to Augusta success: ranked 12th in total driving, sixth in strokes gained approach, and top-20 around the greens. Polzin noted Bradley currently rates fifth overall on the early version of the nine-to-five model (without Vegas odds adjustments), demonstrating strong all-around value. Polzin emphasized Bradley’s low pricing as an ideal strategy for DFS players to build lineups anchored by premium options like Scheffler, Morikawa or Thomas.

Eric Polzin suggests Corey Conners as a straightforward DraftKings selection, noting his affordable salary and excellent recent form. Conners enters Augusta with three consecutive top-10 finishes (8th, 6th, 3rd) and Polzin highlighted his strong Masters history, including two top-10 results in his last three appearances (8th and 6th place finishes). While Conners ranks only moderately as a top-20 statistical fit currently, the value provided by his low salary, promising recent form, and historical Augusta performances comfortably justifies his inclusion in tournament lineups, according to Polzin.

Eric Polzin highlights Patrick Cantlay as notably underpriced on DraftKings for Masters DFS lineups. Cantlay's recent form has been strong despite a few lackluster finishes mixed in, and his Augusta track record shows steady improvement (22nd, 14th, 39th in recent starts). Polzin emphasizes Cantlay's exceptional DFS fit due to ranking third in birdie-to-bogey ratio, top-25 in key ball-striking statistics, and notably first in strokes gained around the green—a crucial stat at Augusta. He strongly asserts Cantlay's true value should see him priced much higher, positioning him as one of the easiest investments of the week.

Eric Polzin flagged Justin Thomas as a compelling DraftKings selection for the Masters, emphasizing his unexpectedly affordable price and terrific recent form. Thomas enters Augusta off multiple top finishes, including a 2nd place in his latest start, and Polzin notes four top-10 finishes across his last seven tournaments. Despite mixed past Masters results, Thomas' current elite-level form surpasses any of his prior Augusta lead-in years. Additionally, Polzin mentioned Thomas ranks top-5 overall statistically in categories vital to success at Augusta, making him highly attractive at his discounted salary within DFS lineups.

Eric Polzin considers Xander Schauffele a strong DraftKings DFS value at the Masters due to his significantly discounted salary at $9.2K. Although recent injury struggles did affect Schauffele's earlier performances, he impressively bounced back with a 12th-place finish in his last appearance. Schauffele possesses robust history at Augusta that normally would justify a much higher salary. Polzin argues that excluding recent, injury-influenced form stats, Schauffele's overall profile and Augusta success suggest he should rank as the third-highest salaried option, making him an excellent value at current pricing.

Eric Polzin strongly advises beginning DraftKings lineups for the Masters with Collin Morikawa, noting his compelling form, outstanding course history, and attractive price of $10.5K. Morikawa has finished top-10 in four consecutive Masters appearances, placing 3rd last year. His recent play includes a runner-up finish at Arnold Palmer Invitational, multiple top-20 finishes in signature events, and another runner-up finish at Sentry Tournament of Champions. Polzin praises Morikawa's elite statistical profile, as he ranks first in both birdie-to-bogey ratio and strokes gained approach, a critical Masters metric, alongside solid numbers ranking 20th in total driving and 15th around the green. Overall, Polzin identifies Morikawa as an ideal cornerstone for DraftKings DFS contests at Augusta National.

Eric Polzin highlighted Scottie Scheffler as the top play at this year's Masters, justifying his lofty DraftKings salary of $12.4K. Scheffler's recent form has been superb, highlighted by a second-place finish at the Houston Open in his latest start, preceded by strong placements of 20th, 11th, and 3rd. His substantial tournament history at Augusta further strengthens the case, having won twice (including last year), along with additional top finishes (18th,10th). Scheffler shines in Polzin's key statistical categories this week, ranking second in birdie-to-bogey ratio, seventh in total driving, eighth in strokes gained approach, and a solid 22nd around the green. Given the softer pricing structure of DraftKings for this event, Polzin believes Scheffler both warrants and fits well into lineup constructions.

Eric Polzin highlighted Sam Ryder as an intriguing DFS GPP-only target, considering Ryder's impressive reliability on the PGA tour with nine straight cuts made. Despite consistently poor course history at this event aside from one notable top-3 finish, Polzin believes continuing Ryder's impressive current form makes him worthy of speculative GPP inclusion.

Eric Polzin identified Andrew Putnam as a solid DFS choice based on his continually improving tournament results at this event, moving from a missed cut to finishes of 31st, 28th, and finally 14th last year. Although his recent form rank (52nd) is a drawback, Putnam's top 10 specialist rank and solid consistency (24th stat fit, 28th overall model rank) offer relatively safe appeal in DFS lineups.

Eric Polzin recommended Lee Hodges as a solid outright bet this week at the Texas Open, emphasizing his appealing price at 75 to 1. Hodges recently recovered from an injury, demonstrated good form, and is coming off a strong Sunday round last week finishing 11th. He's made 8 consecutive cuts on the PGA tour, with two top-12 finishes in his last four starts. Although Hodges has volatile event history (miscut, 6th, miscut), Polzin is encouraged by his elite stat fit (top 6) this week, making him a logical high-upside outright bet and a good choice in GPP DFS formats.

Eric Polzin strongly advocated Victor Perez as one of the most mispriced golfers on the DFS slate for the Valero Texas Open. Perez has made four straight cuts, including consistently impressive finishes of 18th, 22nd, and 18th, which Polzin felt justified a considerably higher salary. Despite ranking only 52nd as a specialist, Perez ranks as the 22nd best stat fit in this field and secured a solid 45th place finish in this event last year. Polzin considers Perez a key value play to prioritize due to this significant pricing inefficiency.

Eric Polzin endorsed Bud Cauley as a strong DFS value option, backing him due to impressive recent form—including a 4th and 6th place finish at the Players Championship—and an elite statistical profile. Cauley ranks third among all golfers in key statistical categories crucial for this event: birdie-bogey ratio, strokes-gained approach, par-4 scoring, and tee-to-green performance. Aside from one outlier missed cut in Puerto Rico, Polzin views Cauley's recent play as indicative of a strong performance at this event.

Eric Polzin believes J.T. Poston offers attractive longshot outright potential at 55-1 odds due to recent steady form—seven straight made cuts and notable finishes including a 12th and 16th. However, Polzin cautioned against using him heavily in DFS owing to poor statistical indicators, where Poston ranks poorly in critical metrics like birdie-bogey ratio (61st) and par-4 scoring (72nd). While he represents value as a speculative winner bet, his statistical profile and moderate course record (31st at his only event start) justify caution in fantasy lineups.

Eric Polzin emphasized Corey Conners’ strong history at the Texas Open as reason for optimism this week. Conners, the 2022 Valero champion and two-time winner overall at this event, enters in superb form, achieving recent finishes of 8th, 6th, and 3rd. He’s ranked top-10 statistically, featuring strong results in birdie-bogey ratio, tee-to-green play, and par-4 scoring. Despite being slightly expensive, Polzin strongly advocates including Conners—for DFS and betting purposes—as a dependable high-upside play, finding his 18-1 odds attractive.

Eric Polzin targeted Denny McCarthy as a primary play for the Valero Texas Open, highlighting his impressive improving tournament history—from 34th to 18th to runner-up last year. McCarthy lost in a playoff in 2023 and comes into this week with outstanding form—12 consecutive made cuts with recent finishes of 14th, 18th, 5th, and multiple top-20s. Polzin noted McCarthy excels in critical stats like birdie-bogey ratio, strokes gained approach, and par-4 scoring (all top 15), overcoming minor tee-to-green concerns. He's considered a top cash game DFS pick and a strong overall option.

Eric Polzin highlighted Keegan Bradley as an excellent core play for DFS at the Valero Texas Open, due to his consistency and strong course history. Bradley has made 12 straight cuts on tour and performed well at this event previously, finishing 8th and 23rd the last two years. He ranks eighth overall in the field statistically, notably solid at key metrics such as birdie-bogey ratio (26th), strokes gained tee-to-green, and par-4 scoring, making him a trustworthy DFS option this week.

Eric Polzin identified Tommy Fleetwood as a top core play and strong outright bet for the Valero Texas Open, citing Fleetwood's excellent recent form and impressive tournament history. Fleetwood boasts eight consecutive made cuts, ranks first as the field's overall specialist, fifth best stat fit, and is coming off a 7th place finish in this event last year. Despite Fleetwood's lack of PGA Tour victories, Polzin believes he's overdue for a win considering his consistently strong play. He emphasized Fleetwood as a safe, high-upside option at attractive 14-1 odds and recommended top-20 betting as a conservative alternative.

Eric Polzin highlighted Christian Yelich for the over hitting fantasy score despite emphasizing hitting fantasy props can often come down to the final at-bat. He indicated confidence based on projections pointing favorably and encouraging a bet despite the inherent volatility of hitting props.

Eric Polzin identified Michael Wacha's over pitching fantasy score as another noteworthy MLB prop, judged positively against offered fantasy line data. His confidence is grounded in projections and sportsbook comparisons indicating a clear value edge, despite noting it as slightly better on Underdog than PrizePicks.

Polzin backed Tanner Bibee's over fantasy pitching score, highlighting projections around 5.5 innings pitched. He anticipated solid scoring due to increased chances of strikeouts and decreased runs allowed compared to the offered PrizePicks line, reinforcing why Bibee appeared as a valuable props betting selection.

Eric Polzin highlighted Marcus Stroman's over fantasy score as the optimal MLB prop pick of the day, factoring in strong backing across sportsbook averages and projection data. Stroman projects at around 5.4 innings pitched and a solid betting line of 25.7 on sportsbooks. Polzin also noted the Brewers were blown out previously and regression is possible, but still saw clear overall value on Stroman's PrizePicks line, particularly given the difference in lines between PrizePicks and Underdog.

Eric Polzin sees Victor Perez as a notable DFS bargain, coming off solid back-to-back performances (22nd and 18th in his last two starts), highlighting his improving form as attractive given his low price. Perez's top-20 finish at this event previously, combined with his recent trajectory (three straight made cuts), showcase increasing reliability and upside for DFS purposes.

Eric Polzin sees value in Ricky Castillo as a DFS play following his standout top-12 finish last week. While Castillo typically hovers around made cut line without major upside lately, his recent strong showing highlights solid statistical fit and momentum, suggesting potential carryover success into the Houston Open at his affordable DFS price.

Eric Polzin enthusiastically endorses Lee Hodges, highlighting his elite statistical alignment with core success metrics for this event. Hodges ranks second in overall stat fit, specifically excelling in strokes gained around the green (3rd), total driving (9th), putting (11th), and effective birdie-to-bogey ratio (13th). While his course history includes only middling results (miscut and 46th previously), Hodges' recent form remains strong enough to bolster his DFS value significantly. Polzin mentioned also outright betting opportunities at long-shot odds of around 110-1 offer intriguing potential returns.