Evan Abrams said he bypassed the stale +230 “Top-10” price on Tetairoa McMillan and instead grabbed two exact-team tickets: New Orleans to take McMillan at No. 9 at 18-to-1 and whichever club ultimately controls pick No. 10 at 25-to-1. Abrams noted that mocks are split—some analysts push the Arizona wideout outside Round 1 while others label him the draft’s best size-speed athlete—creating a volatile market the Saints could exploit if the skill-position run starts early. New Orleans still lacks a true X receiver and has shown interest in vertical threats during the pre-draft process. Abrams believes McMillan’s 6-4 frame and 4.45 forty fit Derek Carr’s down-field tendencies, and the 18-to-1 / 25-to-1 numbers understate what he pegs as roughly a 7-8 % probability the Saints (or the team at 10 after a potential trade) pulls the trigger.

Evan Abrams called Ohio State edge rusher JT Tuimoloau an 8-to-1 value to crash Round 1. Abrams admitted he butchered the name but not the thesis: teams drafting 28-32 (Chiefs, Ravens, 49ers) all brought Tuimoloau in for top-30 visits and desperately need rotational pass-rush juice. He pointed to Tuimoloau’s 12.8% pressure rate and elite 3-cone (6.89) that mirror last year’s late-first surprise, Felix Anudike-Uzomah. With books pricing him as a sub-12% outcome, Abrams thinks front-seven depth concerns, plus a potential mini-run on edges if James Pierce and Donovan Azraku go earlier than expected, give the wager multiple outs.

Evan Abrams suggested sprinkling on the first offensive lineman market where Cooper Campbell is the heavy favorite. Abrams sees legitimate chaos potential at pick 4, with New England openly shopping the slot and tackle-needy teams lurking. He grabbed Armand Membu at 9-to-1 and Kelvin Banks Jr. at 30-to-1 as alternate first-OL tickets, arguing that both prospects have interviewed well and fit inside-zone systems employed by several trade-up candidates. Abrams pointed out that most mocks underestimated last year’s Paris Johnson jump and believes a similar surprise could unfold if a team covets Membu’s athletic profile or Banks’ elite pass-pro tape. Because the market implies less than a 10% chance Campbell is passed over, Abrams feels the payout justifies a small speculative wager.

Evan Abrams flagged Colston Loveland at +650 to be the exact 10th pick, arguing Chicago could shift to tight end if Tyra Warren is gone. Abrams referenced Peter Schrager’s mock hinting at a possible trade-down but noted the Bears still need a long-term receiving threat at TE despite signing veteran depth. With many boards ranking Loveland as TE1 and limited premium-pick competition at the position, Abrams believes Chicago could target him at 10 or slightly later via a small trade-back, making the +650 price worth a speculative bet.