Hayden Winks uses James Conner as the ideal "anchor RB" in a modified zero-RB build. He outlined a start of Nico Collins, Brian Thomas, Lamar Jackson, and another upside wideout, then grabbing Conner at the 5-6 turn to lock in weekly volume. The Cardinals have little proven depth behind Conner, so Winks is comfortable relying on the veteran's steady workload while continuing to hammer high-upside positions elsewhere.

Hayden Winks said Miles Sanders is a viable late flyer because the veteran "can play more for the Cowboys" than current ADP suggests. With the public down on Sanders after a disappointing 2024, Winks is happily stashing him in double-digit rounds, betting that any shift in the Dallas depth chart could put Sanders back on the fantasy map.

Hayden Winks pointed to Roschon Johnson as a sneaky best-ball dart, saying he "could score some goal-line touchdowns for the Bears." With no entrenched short-yardage back in Chicago and Johnson's price near the bottom of drafts, Winks views him as an inexpensive touchdown-spike candidate who fits perfectly into zero-RB portfolios.

Hayden Winks highlighted Tyjae Spears as a cheap, high-ceiling swing. He expects Spears to "play a little bit more" behind an offensive line that "looks better" after offseason moves and thinks the addition of Cam Ward can spark the offense. Because injuries have capped Spears' sample to this point, Winks believes the market still has not seen his true ceiling and is scooping him up in the final rounds of zero-RB and best-ball drafts.

Hayden Winks called Tyler Allgeier one of his favorite double-digit-round zero-RB targets. The "opportunity cost has fallen apart" because drafters have forgotten how often Allgeier has already handled "a bulk of the load." With no obvious RB3 in Atlanta, Winks believes Allgeier would immediately take over if Bijan Robinson were sidelined and can still deliver usable spike weeks even in his current role.

Hayden Winks elevated Trey McBride into the true "elite tight end" tier. He noted that McBride is "getting manufactured touches," is "very clearly in the prime of his career," and should see his touchdown total rebound through simple regression. Replacing a fifth wide receiver with McBride erases the diminishing-returns problem Winks sees in WR-heavy builds, so he is happy to spend a fourth-round pick on McBride in both best ball and full-PPR redraft zero-RB constructions.

Hayden Winks said Lamar Jackson is one of the easiest early-round clicks in both best ball and redraft builds. Winks argued that elite quarterbacks are still mispriced in half-PPR formats because you "chop points off every other position except quarterback," giving zero-RB drafters a weekly floor that wide receivers cannot match. He added that Jackson is only 28, squarely in his athletic prime, and returns to the same offensive coordinator, eliminating scheme-change risk. Given those factors, Winks sees no reason to forecast decline and routinely grabs Jackson at the 2-3 turn instead of chasing another wideout.

Hayden Winks said he "lives in the Tyler Allgeier zone" of drafts because the opportunity cost at wide receiver and tight end has "fallen apart" by the time Allgeier goes off the board. Allgeier offers contingent RB1 upside behind Bijan Robinson and simultaneously damages opposing robust-RB builds if the Falcons' starter misses time. Winks called that profile the ideal late-round target for zero-RB and hero-RB drafters hunting for tournament-winning spike weeks.

Hayden Winks urged zero-RB drafters to grab a high-upside runner such as Kenneth Walker instead of piling on a fifth straight wideout. He noted that once the draft reaches pick 60 the WR pool thins quickly, while Walker—“a running back in the prime of his career”—can anchor weekly RB scoring and still let the roster capture a flex advantage in half-PPR formats. The marginal value of WR5 is lower than the spike-week equity Walker provides.

Hayden Winks flagged Kyren Williams as a worrisome third-round pick on Underdog. While the Rams’ offense keeps his touchdown outlook strong, Winks expressed "a lot of concern" about Williams’ underlying efficiency heading into 2025. The back rode unsustainably high touchdown and snap rates last year, and even a slight drop in yards-per-touch could torpedo his ability to pay off a top-30 overall price tag. Winks urged drafters to consider pivoting to cheaper veteran backs in better value pockets rather than banking on another perfect-storm season from Williams.

Hayden Winks argued Alvin Kamara’s upside is better than the market thinks. Kellen Moore’s uptempo offenses routinely rank top-five in pace, and the Saints boast an above-average offensive line that could keep them functional despite shaky quarterback play. Winks does not see a real challenger on the roster: rookie Devin Neal looks like a "mini Devin Singletary" without a trump trait, while Kendre Miller is talented but inconsistent. That leaves Kamara dominating touches as long as New Orleans stays competitive. Winks added the Saints’ front office "does weird things" and could trade Kamara to a contender such as Dallas or Houston before the deadline—an outcome he called "clearly a good thing" for fantasy. At an RB18 price tag he is pairing Kamara with explosive rookies like TreVeyon Henderson, betting on volume, Moore’s pace boost, and possible trade equity to unlock a top-12 season.

Hayden Winks pitched Dalton Kincaid as a discounted ceiling play. Before last season’s injury Kincaid ranked TE8 in usage, and Dawson Knox—currently hurt—carries no guaranteed money after 2025, giving Buffalo every incentive to let its 2023 first-round pick prove he can be a difference-maker. Winks framed 2025 as the classic year-three breakout window for tight ends and said the Bills have reportedly asked Kincaid to bulk up so he can handle more inline work. If that adds 10–15% to his route share in 11-personnel looks, Winks sees a realistic path to a top-six finish in an offense projected to score plenty of points. Because Kincaid’s ADP has slid into the double-digit rounds, Winks is willing to take the swing when chasing tournament-winning upside instead of settling for a lower-ceiling option like Dallas Goedert.

Hayden Winks countered that Mahomes’ 85th-overall price is exactly the profile that has historically produced tournament-winning best-ball teams: an in-pocket quarterback with a proven overall QB1 ceiling whose pass-catchers (Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown) are all beatable at cost. Winks referenced Tom Brady and Joe Burrow seasons where suppressed ADPs on elite passers plus stackable weapons created runaway advance rates. He acknowledged the running-back and wide-receiver projection cliff that sits directly after Mahomes’ range, but argued that when you already have a Worthy or Rice share on your roster, clicking Mahomes consolidates upside and frees you to hammer value later. He also expects left-tackle upgrade Josh Simmons to mitigate last year’s pressure problems, setting the stage for another 4,500-yard, 35-TD campaign. Bottom line: in Best Ball Mania, Winks is willing to bet on a discounted Mahomes stack delivering a top-three QB season even if he passes on him in traditional redraft builds.

Hayden Winks pushed back on Irving’s second-round ADP, arguing there are clearer paths to a top-five season for backs like Josh Jacobs and Jonathan Taylor. Winks expects the Buccaneers to regress from a quietly top-five offense to "closer to the 10th best" after losing All-Pro left tackle Tristan Wirfs and their offensive coordinator. At 195 lbs Irving may struggle to repeat his late-season 25-touch workload, especially with Rashad White still ticketed for pass-down snaps. Winks does not see a bust but questioned whether Irving can "completely rip off that ceiling" under a lighter workload and weaker offensive line, making him a pass at cost in best-ball rooms.

Hayden Winks said drafters can treat Jerome Ford as an inexpensive bridge starter. Winks projects that once training-camp dust settles we could "be doing running-back rankings in Week 1 and he’s RB29," a finish that would smash his current double-digit-round cost. The logic: if rookie Dylan Samson fails to impress early or sits behind Ford while Quinshon Judkins moves to the Commissioner’s Exempt List, Kevin Stefanski will lean on the veteran for early-down and goal-line work. That workload–plus Cleveland’s run-heavy tendencies and one of the league’s top offensive lines–gives Ford playable weekly volume in builds that punted RB early. Winks advised best-ball drafters to keep Ford in their late-round queue because "it’s not nothing" to buy a potential week-one RB2 for pennies.

Hayden Winks dropped Justin Fields all the way to QB29, calling him a high-risk stash rather than a starting fantasy option. Winks believes Fields consciously dialed back scrambling last season—Mina Kimes reported the quarterback himself requested fewer designed runs—which stripped away his only superpower. The result, per Winks: another year of scattershot pocket play, hesitation, and forced hero-ball throws that have plagued him since Ohio State. Even in Pittsburgh’s friendlier offense, Fields tried to be a timing passer and the downfield playmaking disappeared. Winks said five seasons of inconsistent tape is "probably too many" to keep chasing upside and recommended letting someone else gamble on the name value. His advice: only draft Fields as a late third QB in best-ball, fade him entirely in managed leagues, and smash the under on any rushing-yard props above 450 yards until he proves the legs are back in play.

Hayden Winks urged fantasy managers to tread lightly with Tua Tagovailoa, slotting him 25th among starters despite gaudy surface numbers. Winks noted Tagovailoa’s TD-to-INT ratio nosedives from 3.1 in September–November to 4-TDs-to-3-INTs once the calendar flips to December, blaming his unwillingness to extend plays and a total lack of rushing production. Tagovailoa gets rid of the ball underneath almost immediately, and Winks said he "doesn’t trust Tua on anything after three-and-a-half seconds in the pocket." Durability is another red flag—multiple head injuries continue to hover—and Winks added that Miami’s offensive line must improve from "awful to merely average" for the scheme to function. Until that happens, he recommends treating Tagovailoa as a matchup-based QB2, passing on him at current ADP, and betting the under on any passing-TD prop north of 28.5.

Hayden Winks said Bryce Young is a buy-low QB2 who could crash the top-18 quarterbacks this season. Winks reminded listeners that Young was “top-two in the entire league” in both big-time-throw rate and adjusted completion percentage on 20-plus-yard attempts, even while absorbing an NFL-high 126 unblocked pressures. The rookie also ranked eighth in EPA per carry, flashing ankle-breaking scramble juice that defenses must respect. Winks pointed out that Young’s turnover rate plummeted over his final five games once he began pulling the trigger earlier—he routinely releases bombs 20–40 yards downfield before most passers finish their drop. With a second year in the system and at least marginal offensive-line help expected, Winks projected a 3,600-yard, 24-TD passing line plus 350 rushing yards. He advised best-ball drafters to scoop Young in the late-QB2 range and said any sportsbook posting sub-3,400-yard passing props is giving bettors an over to attack.

Hayden Winks called Russell Wilson a screaming late-round value for best-ball drafters who need spike-week ceilings. Despite cratered mobility, Wilson sits second in both big-time-throw rate and PFF accuracy over the past two seasons and finished fourth in standard drop-back grading—right between Jared Goff and Patrick Mahomes. Winks highlighted Wilson’s still-elite sideline moon-shots and bucket throws, saying his arm ‘spins like 2015,’ while admitting the trade-off is a disastrous sack profile that will never disappear. He expects Brian Daboll to embrace a touchdown-or-checkdown approach built on deep play-action, making Wilson volatile but lethal in the right DFS or best-ball lineup. Winks recommends drafting him as QB24-26, pairing him with a high-floor runner, and taking the over on any market that posts fewer than 27.5 deep-pass completions of 30-plus yards.

Hayden Winks urged managers to treat Drake Maye as a pure long-term swing rather than a 2024 contributor. He loves Maye’s raw tools—‘he outruns everybody, uncorks 60-yard rainbows, and has the size to shrug hits’—but pointed to glaring rookie warts: inconsistent blitz recognition, a tendency to abandon progressions, and accuracy that comes and goes. Winks noted Maye ranked near the bottom of the class in pressure handling and field scanning and said the rookie “handled the blitz worse than any top prospect I charted.” Because New England’s roster still lacks proven separators, Winks expects a two-year runway similar to Josh Allen’s arc. His actionable advice: scoop Maye aggressively in dynasty, ignore him in single-season formats, and fade any passing-yard props books hang above 3,100 yards.

Hayden Winks said Trevor Lawrence is a cautious buy-low who should rebound from last year’s statistical crater but still belongs in the middle-tier QB2 bucket. Winks rattled off the red flags that sank him to a bottom-five pressured-dropback EPA: an NFL-high first-read target rate, scatter-shot feet that lengthened throws, and a league-worst interception rate when bodies closed in. He reminded listeners Lawrence actually finished #1 in average depth of target and flashed elite arm talent—citing a layered end-zone missile against Miami—but injuries and pocket chaos exposed how long his 6-6 frame takes to reset. Winks expects new OC Liam Coen to ‘calm the hero-ball instincts,’ add more rhythm concepts, and lean on Travis Etienne and Brian Thomas to create layups. The outcome he projects is a cleaner progression through the year and a 4,100-yard, 26-TD stat line—good enough to stream or pair in best ball, but not the top-10 leap drafters once chased.

Hayden Winks called Caleb Williams a prime second-half league-winner despite an ugly first pro season. Williams flashed elite traits—QB6 in EPA on designed runs, second-best missed-tackle rate as a scrambler and several out-of-structure lasers that confirm first-overall talent. The problems were hesitation and sack avoidance: Williams posted the league’s second-worst pressure-to-sack ratio and too often fired sideline throw-aways instead of ripping open windows. Winks expects Ben Johnson’s play-action-heavy scheme to wipe out those robotic tendencies by simplifying reads and building half-field concepts. With DJ Moore, Rome Odunze and Keenan Allen creating separation, Winks projected 3,900 passing yards, 25 TDs and 500 rushing yards if the rookie merely cuts his sack rate to league average. He recommended scooping Williams as a QB2 with top-eight upside in best-ball tournaments and grabbing his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds before preseason buzz shortens the number.

Hayden Winks urged fantasy and prop bettors to tread carefully with Kyler Murray, labeling him the poster child of volatility. Even though Murray still ranked QB1 in EPA per carry on designed runs, Arizona barely called his number, turning him into a dink-and-dunk passer whose 3.6 yards per attempt on third- or fourth-and-5+ was the worst in the league. Winks counted dozens of back-foot bailout throws created by height-induced visibility issues and said Murray’s middle-of-field accuracy has cratered relative to his Russell Wilson comps. While the Cardinals will again lean on a quick-game, underneath approach, Winks questioned whether that maximizes Murray’s skill set and pointed to a two-year stretch of minimal wins as evidence. Until the coaching staff green-lights 6-8 designed runs per game or hands Kyler more down-field play-action chances, Winks considers him a matchup-dependent QB2 and recommended taking the under on any passing-yard or passing-TD props the market posts above his 2023 baseline.

Hayden Winks argued that Sam Darnold belongs in every late-round quarterback platoon, calling bench-risk overblown. On tape review, Darnold ranked QB3 against pressure despite losing LT Christian Darrisaw and playing behind what Winks labeled a bottom-five interior line. He posted the league’s best deep-ball efficiency when holding the ball and still unleashed top-five arm strength throws regularly. The trade-off is volatility—six fumbles and multiple hero-ball interceptions when collapsing pockets forced him into 17-yard bombs. Even so, Winks thinks Clint Kubiak’s Shanahan-style quick game plus elite targets DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba will hide the worst impulses. Because Darnold is entering his physical prime and the Seahawks spent cap dollars rebuilding the interior, Winks projected a 4,100-yard, 28-TD line that outpaces his current QB28 redraft price. He advised best-ball drafters to pair Darnold with a high-floor scrambler and sprinkle over 3,750.5 passing yards if books hang that number.

Hayden Winks told listeners Bo Nix should be on every upside-hunting draft board as a QB2 with legitimate weekly spike potential. Winks reminded viewers that Nix was QB2 in first-downs added as a scrambler and QB4 in EPA on sneaks as a rookie. He actually clocked big-play speed on film, outrunning Derwin James, Khalil Mack and Trey Hendrickson in the open field. Arm concerns are overblown—Nix uncorked last season’s longest in-air completion at 67 yards—and Sean Payton already dialed up a vertical shot rate that produced that bomb. The negatives (league-high checkdown count, QB28 in avoiding negatives and QB34 in middle-of-field success rate) stemmed from processing too quickly, something Winks expects to improve in a second season of Payton’s system. With added YAC threats Evan Engram, RG Harvey and a healthier Marvin Mims to turn short throws into explosives, Winks projected 550 rushing yards plus 22-25 passing TDs, making Nix a smash value at his current QB24 best-ball ADP and an intriguing long-shot for Offensive Player of the Year futures.

Hayden Winks urged caution on Baker Mayfield, labeling him a classic regression candidate despite last season’s career highs. Mayfield ranked QB7 in completion percentage over expected and PFF’s QB2 outside the pocket while doubling his career rushing output to 22 yards per game, but Winks highlighted the red flags: 16 interceptions, QB28 turnover-worthy-play rate and a league-best 51% third-down conversion rate that is bound to fall. The structural issues are bigger—play-caller Liam Coen is gone, and left tackle Tristan Wirfs (high-ankle) will miss at least four games with a former 49ers third-stringer filling in. Without elite protection, Winks fears Mayfield’s heat-check hero ball resurfaces. He advised fading Mayfield at his QB15 ADP and taking the under on his 27.5 passing-TD prop.

Hayden Winks called Brock Purdy one of fantasy’s most underappreciated starters and a sneaky long-shot NFC title bet. Purdy graded as PFF’s QB6 in standard drop-back situations last year despite what Winks labeled a bottom-five offensive line once Trent Williams sat. His average completion traveled 7.5 yards—second only to Anthony Richardson—showing a willingness to attack downfield even with fringe arm strength. Purdy’s instant processing and underrated athleticism (QB3 in EPA added on sneaks, tape of him outrunning Jared Verse and tossing George Karlaftis aside) give him a 4,200-yard, 30-TD ceiling if the 49ers keep him upright. Winks recommended drafting Purdy ahead of veterans like Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield and sprinkling a small wager on San Francisco’s Super Bowl/ Purdy MVP double.

Hayden Winks warned that Dak Prescott is drifting toward mid-QB2 territory unless his accuracy rebounds. Prescott posted the league’s third-highest turnover-worthy-play rate in 2024 and ranked QB33 on throws beyond the sticks, a stark contrast to his 2023 Peyton-Manning-like efficiency. Winks blamed scattershot footwork and skittishness under pressure—Dallas allowed 163 pressures, 30 more than the year before—while noting Prescott’s rushing floor has evaporated since the ankle dislocation (career-low 18 rushing yards per game). Until cleaner mechanics re-appear, Winks advised treating Prescott as a matchup-based fantasy streamer and passing on his 16-to-1 MVP ticket.

Hayden Winks said Jordan Love is a smash upside pick in best-ball and a viable late QB1 in redraft. Winks ranked him 12th today but predicted that "if we redo this next summer he will be comfortably top-10, maybe top-5." Love finished QB3 in pressure-to-sack rate last season thanks to slippery pocket movement and side-arm creativity, yet he was only QB18 in success rate because the decision-making is still volatile. With another year in the same scheme, a fully healthy lower body and the league’s youngest receiving room gaining reps, Winks projected a 4,300-yard, 30-TD passing line plus 300 rushing yards. He urged drafters to grab Love at his current QB14 ADP and sprinkle his +3000 MVP odds before summer buzz shortens the number.

Hayden Winks slotted Jared Goff at QB11 but warned fantasy managers the safety net might disappear now that OC Ben Johnson and All-Pro center Frank Ragnow are gone. Winks pushed back on the ‘baby arm’ label—Goff has multiple 60-plus-yard bombs and far-hash lasers on tape—and praised his ever-improving presnap command. Still, he admitted we are about to learn how many of those answers were spoon-fed by Johnson’s play-action script. Josh Norris added that if Goff faces interior pressure five to ten times per game instead of two or three, his efficiency could crater. The duo agreed Goff should be treated as a matchup-based QB2 in season-long formats and paired with a mobile upside passer in best-ball builds rather than relied on as a standalone starter.

Hayden Winks advised passing on Matthew Stafford as anything more than a late QB2 and skipping his long-shot MVP tickets. Stafford is 17th in EPA per play over the past three seasons, and Winks’ tape review showed his once-surgical accuracy eroding—high sailers are fueling a growing pile of turnover-worthy throws. Because Stafford adds no rushing value and turns 37 this season, Winks fears any further accuracy decline or interior pressure will be catastrophic. The veteran still uncorks superstar lasers, but those flashes come with wide weekly variance; once he feels heat, the hero-ball fastballs now find defenders more often than Cooper Kupp. Winks labeled Stafford a boom-bust option who will crater best-ball advance rates and recommended drafting someone with legs instead of betting on the fading arm talent.

Hayden Winks ranked Geno Smith ninth overall and called him a mis-priced fantasy starter and prop-bet target. Smith sits fifth in completion percentage over expected on 20-plus air-yard throws across the last three seasons and was PFF’s QB7 when kept clean in 2024 despite playing behind one of the league’s worst pass-blocking lines. Winks highlighted that Smith led the NFL in check-down success rate, proof he is reading defenses rather than settling. The blemish is an 8% interception rate on late-down, five-plus-yard attempts when he drifts into hero mode after the pocket breaks. Winks expects new OC Ryan Grubb’s tempo and quick-game concepts to limit those busted-play picks and set up more calibrated vertical shots to DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. With current ADP around QB20, he urged season-long and best-ball drafters to scoop the discount and bet the over on Smith’s 3,900-yard passing prop.

Hayden Winks told listeners to draft C.J. Stroud as a top-8 fantasy quarterback and sprinkle his long-shot MVP odds before camp buzz spikes the market. Winks conceded Stroud’s 2024 numbers were ordinary but argued the context changes everything: the 49ers-style protection calls that left the center in charge shift to Stroud now that Nick Caley is calling plays, giving the third-year passer full pre-snap control. He expects the same jump we have seen from other in-pocket quarterbacks on rookie deals. Even behind what he still labels a ‘pretty bad’ line, Stroud already layers 60-yard moon-balls to Nico Collins and drops touch throws between levels; cleaner looks should unlock a 4,500-yard, 30-TD ceiling. Winks believes Stroud’s anticipation, on-helmet ball placement and velocity make the down-season habits fixable and advised best-ball and season-long drafters to buy now while ADP still sits outside the elite tier.

Hayden Winks argued Jalen Hurts remains a fantasy cheat code despite ranking him seventh overall. Hurts finished fourth in EPA on quarterback runs last season and showed he is more than a tush-push merchant by ripping off a 48-yard counter TD that included outrunning a linebacker and shrugging a defensive tackle. Winks pointed out Hurts is actually QB1 in completion percentage over expected on third and fourth downs over the past two years and noticeably improved against blitz looks once Kellen Moore arrived late in 2023. Combine that with his bucket-drop deep accuracy to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith and the defensive stress Saquon Barkley will add, and Winks expects another top-five fantasy finish even if Hurts’ traditional pocket stats lag behind the pure passers.

Hayden Winks told listeners to draft Justin Herbert ahead of market and even dabble in his long-shot MVP odds. Winks hammered home Herbert’s absurd pocket numbers: QB1 in EPA on 2.5–4-second clean-pocket throws, QB3 versus pressure, and QB4 on early downs across the last two seasons. He praised Herbert’s field-wide progression speed and his ability to drive lasers to the far hash without the ball dying. With Greg Roman calling plays, Winks expects the Chargers to add designed QB runs and boot action, finally unlocking Herbert’s 4.6 speed that injuries have muted. That incremental rushing plus steadier protection should push him back toward a 5,000-yard, 40-TD campaign, making his current mid-QB9 best-ball ADP a screaming buy.

Hayden Winks ranked second-year passer Jaden Daniels fifth overall among all NFL quarterbacks and urged drafters to treat him like a top-end fantasy starter. Daniels’ scrambling already forces defenses to abandon blitzing—he led the league in success rate against six-plus rushers and even outran Brian Branch on a nickel blitz for a huge gain against Detroit. Winks said the final missing piece is comfort working full-field progressions, a natural year-two growth step. Given his Lamar-level rushing upside and a solid supporting cast, Winks recommends scooping Daniels aggressively in season-long leagues and taking a sprinkle on his long-shot MVP odds before the market wakes up.

Hayden Winks elevated Joe Burrow into his top MVP tier after noticing a new rushing element in 2024 film study. Burrow led the NFL in EPA and success rate on plays where he was moving or shuffling, and he ranked 12th in EPA added as a rusher—numbers that surprised Winks given Burrow’s pocket-passer label. Pair that with elite pre-snap processing and feather-touch accuracy on sideline and deep throws to Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Andrei Yosivas, and Winks projects Cincinnati’s offense to start fast now that Burrow finally gets a full, healthy training camp. Fantasy managers should draft him as a locked-in top-four QB, and bettors should treat his current MVP odds as discounted.

Hayden Winks maintained Patrick Mahomes as his QB2 and called him an undervalued MVP wager despite last season’s worst down-field stats of Mahomes’ career. Winks blamed the dip on both Kansas City tackles giving up the league’s highest quick-pressure rate, not on Mahomes’ skill set. With the line upgraded and first-round speedster Xavier Worthy stretching defenses vertically, he expects Mahomes’ deep ball to return to 2020-level fireworks while the underneath assassinations continue. Winks also cited Reid’s willingness to call designed runs in the postseason—Mahomes even truck-sticked a defender for a TD—as another hidden ceiling piece. In short, market fatigue has created a buying opportunity for fantasy drafters and futures bettors.

Hayden Winks said Lamar Jackson should be the first name considered in both MVP futures and season-long fantasy drafts. Winks highlighted Jackson’s outrageous efficiency when holding the ball 2.5+ seconds last year (29 TDs, 1 INT) and noted he finished #1 in PFF grading, #1 in positively graded throws, and owned the league’s lowest interception rate on middle-field passes. With Todd Monken calling plays, Jackson is now a true pocket passer plus an elite runner, and at 28 his athletic juice has not dipped. Winks added that Derrick Henry’s arrival will stress linebackers on play-action, creating even wider throwing lanes. He believes the gap between Jackson and the rest of the league has never been smaller, making him a slam-dunk MVP bet and an early-round season-long anchor.

Hayden Winks warned that Coltson Loveland’s ADP "will be more expensive tomorrow than today" for at least the next three weeks. Currently the TE12, Loveland could close drafts inside the top-9 once camp clips circulate. Winks reminded viewers that Ben Johnson just turned Sam LaPorta into the overall TE1 and Detroit spent a top-10 pick on Loveland to play the exact same role. With no elite target hog behind Amon-Ra St. Brown, Loveland could immediately slide into the second option in what projects as a top-five scoring offense. Winks is loading up now in both Best Ball and managed leagues before the market corrects.

Hayden Winks highlighted Tucker Kraft as another tight end who checks Ryan Heath’s league-winner boxes—no entrenched pass catchers ahead of him and an offense pegged to be "awesome" again. Only two Packers receivers are being drafted near the top-60 and one of them rarely plays in three-wide sets, leaving Kraft a path to top-two target status. Winks pointed out that Kraft logged heavy playoff snaps last year, proving the coaching staff trusts him in high-leverage situations. At a double-digit-round ADP, Kraft lets drafters fade the overpriced early-round tight ends while still capturing touchdown upside tied to Jordan Love’s ascending offense.

Hayden Winks urged drafters to auto-click Drake London any time he slips beyond 17th overall. Winks said London’s move into a power-slot/inside-outside role last year is what finally unlocked him, allowing the Falcons to scheme more YAC chances and isolate his "catch-radius machine" traits on slower nickel backs. The host added that rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. routinely air-mails perimeter shots; London’s length and ball-tracking turn those misses into surprise chunk gains. Because London already checked Ryan Heath’s first-downs-per-route league-winner threshold (0.134) and now sees higher-leverage targets, Winks believes drafters are getting a mid-second-round ceiling at a late-second/early-third ADP. He is slamming London in both home-league season-long drafts and Underdog Best Ball rooms whenever the big wideout lasts past Pick 17.

Hayden Winks placed De'Von Achane inside his top-10 overall rankings and called him the perfect second-round pick after grabbing an elite Round-1 wide receiver. Winks noted Miami will break in three new offensive-line starters, giving Achane a realistic chance to pair last year’s screen-game volume with a rejuvenated between-the-tackles attack. If that happens, drafters get the "best of both worlds": explosive chunk runs against light boxes plus high-percentage catches that punish two-high looks. Winks believes that combo could produce weekly 30-point spikes, making an Achane + alpha-WR opening the most powerful 1-2 punch available in half-PPR Best Ball formats.

After a former Cowboys assistant relayed that the new staff questions Jaydon Blue’s professionalism and injury toughness, Winks buried the rookie to the 220s in his rankings. He highlighted Dane Brugler’s pre-draft notes that scouts already doubted Blue’s work habits and pointed to fumble issues and Shrine-Game opt-outs as additional red flags. With Miles Sanders and Javonte Williams clearly ahead and pass-pro reliability critical in Dallas’ scheme, Winks warned drafters Blue could be a healthy scratch for much of 2024. Until positive reports surface, he’s off Winks’ board entirely.