It's The Final Round expressed hesitation regarding Juan Soto versus Chris Bassitt due to Bassitt's extensive pitch arsenal. While Soto has been in good form with hits in six of his last seven games, the matchup poses concerns. Although Soto hits well against some of Bassitt's primary pitches (.387 vs sinker, .319 vs cutter), the difficulty lies in Bassitt's ability to throw potentially eight different pitches, complicating plate approach for Soto. The historical head-to-head numbers also temper optimism, with Soto only managing two hits in nine at-bats over three years (.222 avg). Thus, this matchup is currently designated only as a lean rather than a strong recommendation.

It's The Final Round endorsed Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s hitting matchup against Griffin Canning, praising Guerrero's strong historical performance against Canning's pitches. Guerrero has hit .300 or higher against all of Canning's primary pitches, emphasizing how hittable Canning is despite not giving up extremely high batting averages. Guerrero is currently in strong form with hits in six of his last seven games, often getting hits early in games, making him appealing for player prop bets like total bases. He's previously helped cash successful bets, enhancing the confidence in targeting him in this matchup.

It's The Final Round likes Juan Soto's opportunity against Kevin Gausman due to Soto's elite success against limited pitch types. Gausman primarily throws two pitches, simplifying Soto’s plate approach. Soto bats .339 versus four-seam fastballs (59% usage by Gausman), making Gausman's favorite pitch a favorable matchup. Although Gausman’s split-finger is strong (just a .162 average against), Final Round emphasizes Soto’s stellar history against Gausman (5-for-6, .833 average past three years). They caution Soto’s tendency to draw many walks, potentially limiting his hitting opportunities, but still strongly advise targeting Soto for betting and DFS plays, especially prop bets involving walks or on-base scenarios.

It's The Final Round loves Kyle Tucker's matchup against Randy Vasquez, highlighting Tucker's excellent performance (.328 batting avg vs 4-seam fastball, .471 vs change-up, .267 vs curveball) against pitches Vasquez frequently throws. Vasquez's primary pitches have yielded high batting averages (.435 on 4-seamer, .360 change-up, .308 curveball). The matchup heavily favors Tucker due to Vasquez consistently relying on pitches he performs worst with. Final Round strongly encourages taking advantage of this punt scenario, indicating great DFS and prop potential.

It's The Final Round loves Rafael Devers’ hitting outlook against pitcher Chris Bassett today. Bassett's primary pitch, a sinker, is his most thrown ball (a preference rate highest among his pitch types) but is also his weakest, conceding a batting average of .372. Devers historically excels against this pitch and has thrived in head-to-head matchups against Bassett, batting .545 (6-for-11) with two homers lifetime. Devers is also notably on a hot streak with hits in six of his last seven games, including multiple multi-hit performances during this stretch, underscoring his current form in addition to his terrific historical data against Bassett's pitch mix.

It's The Final Round highlighted Bryce Harper as a favorable batter against Spencer Schwellenbach due to an ideal pitching matchup. Harper significantly succeeds against three of Schwellenbach's four primary pitches, hitting near or above the .300 average, except against curveballs where he shows some struggles. Schwellenbach heavily relies on his four-seam fastball (42% usage), which opponents hit at nearly a .300 average. Historical data further supports Harper's matchup strength—he's achieved three hits in six at-bats (.500 average) against Schwellenbach. Harper's current consistency is also showcased with hits in eight of his last 10 games, making this an appealing opportunity for targeting him today.

It's The Final Round highlighted Bobby Witt Jr. as a strong batter to target against Bailey Ober, pointing to several compelling reasons. First, Witt Jr. has strong batting averages versus Ober's three primary pitches—.294 versus four-seam fastballs, .321 versus sliders, and .270 against changeups. Ober himself struggles significantly with these pitches, allowing .281 batting average on four-seam fastballs and .304 on sliders. Historically, Witt Jr. is batting an impressive .474 against Ober across 19 at-bats, including a home run and nine hits. Witt Jr. also has hits in nine of his last 11 games, showing current consistency. Another key metric discussed was the 'launch angle sweet spot' of 8-32 degrees, which Witt Jr. achieves 39% of the time—a solid rate—while Ober yields this prime hitting angle at a poor 52.2%, ranking among the worst pitchers in MLB. All these factors combine to offer a favorable context for Witt Jr. to achieve multiple hits.

It's The Final Round considers Vladimir Guerrero Jr. an intriguing option but only listed as a lean against Tanner Houck today. While Guerrero Jr. historically has solid success, hitting .294 with 5 hits in 17 career at-bats against Houck, there are cautious elements limiting confidence. Houck has allowed batting averages of just .268 and .255 against his two primary pitches (sweeper and sinker), which although not spectacular, aren't alarmingly poor either. Guerrero Jr.'s recent data against those pitches this year shows mixed success—hitting just 1-for-5 against the sweeper, but excelling with a 4-for-6 against the sinker. Still, the presence of a rarely used but highly effective split finger (147 opponent batting average) from Houck gives some pause and restrains an outright bullish stance. Guerrero Jr. should be viable in fantasy leagues or DFS lineups, but expectations are tempered compared to more definitive matchups today.

It's The Final Round highlighted Shohei Ohtani as a strong fantasy and betting target for today against pitcher Jake Irvin. Ohtani has historically excelled against Irvin's pitch arsenal, batting .476 vs curveball, .292 vs four-seam fastballs, .340 vs changeups, and .421 vs sinkers last season. While he's only had limited at-bats against those pitches this year, Ohtani already recorded home runs off both the fastball and changeup this season. Conversely, Jake Irvin has significantly struggled this year, allowing batting averages of .364 vs curveballs and a dreadful .667 versus four-seam fastballs. Moreover, Irvin's launch angle sweet spot allowed at 42% indicates hitters routinely making ideal contact. Considering Ohtani has already recorded three hits in six career at-bats against Irvin, this matchup screams of outstanding potential for Ohtani to provide significant fantasy returns and upside player prop value today.

It's The Final Round likes Rafael Devers' matchup today against Kevin Gausman, highlighting Devers' historically strong performance against him. Devers sports a lifetime .364 batting average with 8 hits including one home run in 22 at bats versus Gausman. Gausman primarily pitches a four-seam fastball (54%) and slider (10%), which Devers historically hits at .308 and .355 respectively. Gausman's split finger pitch is his strongest, but Devers still holds a decent average (.259) when facing it, which is impressive considering the pitch's rarity and effectiveness. Recently, Devers has found strong form, recording hits in five of his last six games, including three multi-hit outings. Given the proven track record, strong historical splits against Gausman, and current hot streak, Devers provides excellent fantasy value and is highly recommended for MLB prop betting today.

It's The Final Round suggests Shohei Ohtani is a viable option against MacKenzie Gore, though noting it's less strong than previous picks. Gore frequently throws to left-handed hitters using his four-seam fastball and cutter, pitches Ohtani hits well (.265 average against fastballs, .400 against cutters). Gore is notoriously vulnerable this year, ranking among MLB's worst in sweet spot percentage allowed (52.2%). Despite Ohtani's modest 27.6% personal sweet spot rate this year and limited recent left-handed pitcher data (2 hits in 9 at-bats), he's considered a solid choice given Gore's weaknesses.

It's The Final Round strongly advises targeting Mookie Betts against MacKenzie Gore, citing excellent historical performance and favorable matchups. Betts has a .750 lifetime batting average (3 hits in 4 at-bats) against Gore and impressive splits against his pitches: four-seam fastball (.318), curveball (.556 last season), and cutter (.556). Additionally, Gore ranks badly in yielding quality contact, with a 52.2% sweet spot rate, among the worst in MLB. Betts maintains a solid 36% sweet spot percentage himself, reinforcing this betting and fantasy advantage.

It's The Final Round points out Teoscar Hernandez as a prime play versus MacKenzie Gore. Hernandez has dominated Gore's primary pitch, the four-seam fastball, hitting .750 this season (3 for 4), including a home run, and posted strong batting averages against Gore's secondary pitches—curve (.350), change-up (.351), and cutter (.750 last year). Critically, Gore's vulnerability stands out, as he's allowing a sweet spot launch angle on 52.2% of balls put in play, ranking as the 20th worst of 366 pitchers tracked. Hernandez himself owns a robust 40% sweet spot percentage, setting up an exceptional DFS opportunity.

It's The Final Round strongly recommends targeting Jackson Merrill due to his impressive performance against pitch types prevalent in Luis Severino's arsenal. Merrill has excelled this year against four-seam fastballs (three hits in five at-bats), sinkers (batting average of .404), sweepers (.294), and changeups (.333). Severino heavily relies on his fastball (47% usage) and is notably hittable, allowing high batting averages: fastball (.272), sinker (.328), and changeup (.349). Additionally, Merrill's remarkable launch angle 'sweet spot' percentage of 50% ranks 21st among 273 qualified batters, reflecting optimal contact. Merrill also boasts hits in eight of his last nine games, presenting ideal conditions for fantasy and betting scenarios.

It's The Final Round recommended targeting Jackson Chourio due to his strong matchup against Reds' starting pitcher Carson Spiers. Spiers throws a mix of sinker, sweeper, four-seam fastball, and cutters. Chourio posted a .296 average against sinkers last season and has excelled even greater early this year (.500). He also hit .265 against four-seam fastballs last year and has a small sample-size batting .333 against them in three at-bats this season. On Spiers' side, he's been hittable, allowing batting averages above .300 versus his sinker ( .302), sweeper (.304), and above .270 against his other pitches. Chourio is red-hot as well, recording hits in seven consecutive games. Prop bets involving hits, runs, RBIs or total bases are recommended for Chourio.

It's The Final Round advised firmly against betting or fantasy usage of William Contreras. Even though Contreras would typically have appealing numbers from past seasons that might make him a target, he is ice cold this year. Due to his significant recent struggles, the tout is completely avoiding him in any betting or DFS scenario despite his previously good historical batting matchup data.

It's The Final Round highlighted Fernando Tatis Jr. as his favorite MLB matchup of the day, citing specific reasons targeting Cubs pitcher Ben Brown. Brown primarily throws only two pitches, making pitch identification easier; he throws a four-seam fastball (56% usage) and a knuckle curve (44% usage). Tatis has crushed four-seam fastballs this year, hitting .556 with 5 hits and a home run in 9 at bats, significantly improved from last season's .328 average against this pitch. Additionally, Brown has allowed a .375 batting average against his four-seam fastball and a .400 average against his knuckle curve this year. Tatis also comes in hot, with hits in seven of his last eight games and five multi-hit performances during that span. The recommended props to target are hits, runs, RBIs, or over 1.5 total bases if odds necessitate.

It's The Final Round highlighted the strong matchup advantage Mookie Betts has against Aaron Nola, based on their three-year history and Nola's pitch arsenal. Betts has excelled versus Nola, hitting .462 (6 hits in 13 at bats with 2 home runs). Specifically, Betts performs exceptionally well against pitches like Nola's sinker (.383 avg), four-seam fastball (.286 avg), and cutter (.400 avg), on which Nola struggles considerably (allowed batting averages of .345 with sinker and .375 with cutter). Although the knuckle curve is Nola's premier pitch (33% usage), he's still allowing a .231 avg against it. With this favorable data, It’s The Final Round loves the opportunity to target bets on Betts’ success versus Nola.

While recognizing Aaron Judge faces a positive batter matchup against Merrill Kelly on April 3rd, It's The Final Round expressed hesitation to recommend Judge in his betting selections. He noted that Judge's odds are typically inflated by sportsbooks because of his high profile and past success. Consequently, despite expecting good performance, the inflated prices attached to Judge diminish his betting value, leading It's The Final Round to advise pursuing other options instead of prioritizing Judge in parlays or hit props.

It's The Final Round highlighted Jackson Merrill as a consistent profitable selection in recent parlays, specifically noting successful home run betting plays on consecutive days. Merrill also comfortably cleared his hits, runs, RBIs totals, overperforming even a high threshold of 2.5 at plus odds on April 2nd. Given Merrill's demonstrated ability to exceed betting expectations, It's The Final Round strongly implied Merrill will be a featured recommendation moving forward in hits, runs, RBIs category and home run props.

It's The Final Round identified Yordan Alvarez as an intriguing candidate in home run betting markets. Despite recent disappointments last year and a quiet beginning to this season, Alvarez's historical matchup yields notable power potential, with three of his four hits against the opposing pitcher going for home runs. Though Alvarez did not produce results recently when featured, he's still under consideration due to his demonstrated long-ball upside. It's The Final Round suggested Alvarez might appear as a compelling pick in upcoming home run-centric betting markets.

It's The Final Round initially portrayed Ketel Marte's matchup against Carlos Carrasco as just a lean due to Marte's modest .224 average against Carrasco's primary pitch—the change-up. However, after reconsideration, he warmed up more to the matchup, given Carrasco's weaknesses beyond the change-up and Marte's strong performance against other pitches, notably Carrasco's four-seam fastball. Marte has hit .250 against Carrasco in limited historical exposure (2 hits in 8 at-bats). Given Carrasco's high batting averages allowed across his pitch types and limited pitch variety (primarily relying on two pitches), It's The Final Round suggested Marte could be a stronger betting option than originally thought and would likely elevate him from lean to official pick in hits, runs, and RBIs for April 3rd.

It's The Final Round highlighted Alec Bohm as a favorable batter for April 3rd against Antonio Senzatela. Noting that Senzatela predominantly relies on two main pitches, a four-seam fastball (59%) and a change-up (30%), Bohm holds a .280 batting average against the fastball and .321 against the change-up historically. Additionally, Bohm is currently seeing these pitches exceptionally well this season with a small sample of a .600 average against fastballs and .500 against change-ups. Given Senzatela's limited pitch variety and struggles (.247 BA against for fastballs and an alarming .432 BA against on change-ups last year), together with Bohm recording hits in three of his last four games, It's The Final Round strongly recommended Bohm for hits, runs, RBIs bets in this specific matchup.