James Koh framed Miles Sanders as the most appealing buy-low option in Dallas’ wide-open backfield. He reminded listeners that Sanders produced 1,300 scrimmage yards and double-digit touchdowns as recently as 2022 in Philadelphia, earning a Pro Bowl nod before last year’s forgettable stint in Carolina. At just 28 years old, Sanders still has prime athletic juice and a proven track record in outside-zone schemes—the very run concept Brian Schottenheimer leans on. Pair that with Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and a projected top-12 offense, and Koh believes Sanders could smash his depressed ADP if he wins the job, making him a priority late-round stash for redraft and best-ball formats.

James Koh warned that Javonte Williams is an avoid-at-cost candidate if he ends up starting for Dallas. Koh pointed out that Williams’ explosiveness has not returned after back-to-back knee injuries, noting a paltry 3.7 yards per carry in Denver last season while every other Broncos back was at 4.1 YPC or better. Because Brian Schottenheimer’s Cowboys ran zone on the seventh-highest rate in 2023, Koh stressed that any starter must be efficient on zone concepts—something Williams struggled with post-injury. Koh concluded that fantasy drafters should fade Williams at his current ADP until he proves he can regain burst and outperform replacement-level talent in a top-12 offense.

James Koh advised fading Kyler Murray at his current top-10 ADP. Injury history is the first red flag—Murray has missed significant time in three of the past four seasons (14, 11, and 8 games played). Scheme is the second: coordinator Drew Petzing remains committed to a run-heavy attack, and Arizona’s pass-catcher room hasn’t meaningfully improved. Most concerning to Koh is Murray’s rushing trend; designed or scramble attempts have slid four straight years, from 8.3 per game in 2020 to just 4.6 in 2023. If that decline continues, the rushing upside drafters pay for simply won’t exist, making Murray “hell-in-a-cell, sell, sell, sell.”

James Koh loves Jared Goff in real life but wants nothing to do with him at a top-10 fantasy ADP. Goff’s QB6 finish last year was built on hyper-efficiency: fifth-most passing TDs (38) despite only the 10th-most attempts. Koh expects that efficiency to crater if offensive coordinator Ben Johnson departs, noting Goff offers zero rushing juice and still shows stark home/road splits. If yards-per-attempt and touchdown rate revert even slightly, Koh says managers will be stuck with a mid-QB2 (around QB15-16) who’s unusable in bad weather or on the road—clearly not worth a top-10 price.

James Koh stressed that Trevor Lawrence sitting at QB21—almost 100 picks after Baker Mayfield—is “bonkers.” He argued Lawrence is finally in a stable coaching environment after escaping Urban Meyer’s fiasco and now benefits from offensive mind Liam Cohen. Jacksonville also bolstered the supporting cast with rookie playmakers Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr. The real cheat code, per Koh, is Lawrence’s rushing upside: after a career-low rushing workload in 2023, Koh guarantees 300-plus yards and boldly predicts 350+, projecting Lawrence to finish top-10 among quarterbacks in rushing yards and overall fantasy points. The massive gap between cost and ceiling makes him a must-buy.

James Koh called Justin Herbert a screaming buy at virtually the same ADP as Brock Purdy. Herbert offers a comparable rushing floor yet substantially more upside, according to Koh, because the Chargers remade their receiver room. Ladd McConkey is “developing into a full-on superstar,” while draft picks Trey Harris and KeAndre Lambert-Smith introduce a true vertical element that was missing in 2023. Koh expects those additions, plus a healthy Herbert, to unlock deeper shots and bigger splash plays, making the Charger signal-caller the better bet to blow past mid-QB1 pricing.

James Koh advised dumping Brock Purdy at his current top-12 ADP. Koh listed a laundry list of worries: Brandon Aiyuk is "nowhere close" to returning from a hamstring issue, Jauan Jennings is publicly unhappy with his contract, and rookie Ricky Pearsall has also been slowed by a hamstring, limiting valuable reps with Purdy. That leaves San Francisco’s receiver room in flux right as fantasy managers are paying a premium. Koh added that Purdy quietly ranked 27th in bad-pass percentage among QBs with 200+ attempts (per Rotowire) and benefitted from a ton of positive variance in 2023—15 turnovers in 15 games could easily climb if those near-misses go the other way. With similar rushing floor options available later, Koh said Purdy’s profile screams “sell, sell, sell.”

James Koh urged drafters to grab Ja'Tavion Sanders as a final-round dart throw. The 6'4", 245-pound second-year pro was compared to David Njoku by NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein and carried a Round-2/3 grade before slipping to Round 4. In limited work last year he hauled in 33 catches for 342 yards with a 77 percent catch rate. Tommy Trimble just underwent back surgery, opening the door for Sanders to seize the starting job, and Koh believes Sanders is simply the better pure pass catcher. Going off boards as the TE32—outside the top 200 overall—he’s a no-risk, high-upside stash you can cut if it doesn’t pop.

James Koh highlighted Brenton Strange as a screaming value at TE21. Evan Engram is gone, and Strange flashed plus athleticism—255 pounds with a 36-inch vertical—during limited rookie-year work. New coordinator Liam Cohen comes from Tampa Bay where Cade Otton soaked up 87 targets, signaling that Jacksonville’s scheme will feed its primary tight end. Koh also expects the Jaguars’ offense to produce more red-zone trips than last season, and touchdowns are the lifeblood of fantasy tight ends. Given the near-free cost, Koh is happily scooping Strange in every draft.

James Koh advised fading Dalton Kincaid at his current top-12 ADP because nothing has changed in Buffalo to grant him a feature role. Kincaid is still splitting snaps with Dawson Knox, and short-area receiver Khalil Shakir is simply better at the routes where Kincaid operates. Add in rookie Keon Coleman’s expected jump, the arrival of separator Elijah Moore, and the front office’s investment in Curtis Samuel, and Koh thinks there are far more paths for Kincaid’s target share to shrink than grow. The price tag assumes a volume bump that the roster dynamics actively work against.

James Koh called Jonnu Smith one of the most over-drafted tight ends, noting his current top-10 price completely ignores context. Pittsburgh already has superior pass catcher Pat Freiermuth and is expected to live in 12 personnel, a split Smith failed to win in New England when Hunter Henry out-produced him. Smith’s fluky 111 targets last season were a career high and more than his previous two seasons combined. Even the much-publicized reunion with Arthur Smith offers little comfort—Smith managed only 70 targets under Arthur in Atlanta, a number that would have ranked eighth among TEs last year. Koh is fading Jonnu in every format.

James Koh warned that Mark Andrews is an avoid at his top-10 positional ADP. Andrews ranked only 25th in targets per game last year, and Baltimore reportedly offered Isaiah Likely a deal worth $13-plus million annually—money that would slot him among the five highest-paid tight ends. Koh took that as proof the Ravens plan to expand Likely’s role, further capping Andrews’ ceiling. Because drafters are paying for past peak production without baking in the growing target competition, Koh views the risk/reward profile as lopsided and advised passing on Andrews at current cost.

James Koh labeled T.J. Hockenson a stock-up smash because target volume and down-field role point to a potential top-three season. With Jordan Addison staring at a multi-game suspension and Hockenson another offseason removed from his 2023 knee blow-out, Minnesota should funnel looks his way. Over the final five games last year he averaged 6.1 targets (a 105-target pace; only four TEs cracked 100). Even hurt, he logged 8.71 air yards per target—second-best among TEs with 50+ targets—making him a rare tight end who earns valuable down-field chances. The rest of the receiver room is thin, so Koh expects Hockenson to sit near the top of every meaningful usage metric again.

James Koh said fantasy drafters should stop taking Brock Bowers inside the first round because the Raiders will not feed him anywhere close to last year’s ridiculous 153 targets and 1,200 yards. Pete Carroll brings a run-first identity, Las Vegas spent draft capital on bruising RB Ashton Jinty and WR Jack Besh, and new OC Chip Kelly loves 12 personnel that will feature more Michael Mayer. Bowers also trades Patrick Mahomes for a 35-year-old Geno Smith who is learning an entirely new system. Koh still penciled in a top-3 finish, but not a Travis-Kelsey-level TE1 season, so paying a top-12 overall price is a mistake.

James Koh called Jarquez Hunter a textbook fit for Sean McVay’s offense—he posted a class-best 75% success rate on inside-zone runs, and the Rams ran inside zone at the NFL’s 3rd-highest clip while using zone schemes overall 8th most. Hunter even finished top-three in both man-gap and zone success rates, the only prospect to rank top-5 in both. Unfortunately, McVay historically rides one back, and Kyren Williams absorbed 79% of Los Angeles RB touches last season (highest share in the league). The team also spent a third-round pick on Blake Corum. Koh downgraded Hunter’s fantasy outlook to 6.5/10 despite the pristine schematic match, making him mainly a deep dynasty stash unless an injury opens the door.

James Koh labeled Woody Marks a perfect outside-zone match for Houston but warned that horrendous pass protection could keep him off the field. Marks owns a 23.3% explosive-run rate (best in the class) and true receiving chops, yet finished dead last in pass-blocking success "by a country mile." New OC Nick Caley arrives from the McVay tree, and HC DeMeco Ryans understands the 49ers’ outside-zone DNA, so Koh expects the Texans to lean on that concept—a scheme where Marks posted his biggest plays, including a highlight 70-yard cutback TD versus Michigan. Joe Mixon’s heavy mileage and the upgraded receiver room should create red-zone chances for whoever wins the backfield. Koh gave the landing spot a 6.5/10 grade—"1.5/10 if he never figures out blitz pickups"—making Marks a volatile, upside stash for seasonal and best-ball formats.

James Koh said RJ Harvey has a realistic shot to seize an every-down job in Denver because the Broncos’ backfield is wide-open after moving on from Javonte Williams and only adding the oft-injured J.K. Dobbins plus short-yardage specialist Audric Estime. Harvey’s profile screams boom-bust: a 23.2% explosive-run rate (second-best in the class) and the class-leading broken-tackle rate, but a comically bad 42.9% run-stuff rate. He excelled outside, logging a 77.8% success rate on outside runs (second only to Ashton Jensen). Sean Payton’s 2024 rushing attack was dead-even between man, zone, inside and outside concepts, an "awkward" schematic match on paper, yet Koh expects Payton to tailor the playbook to Harvey’s edge-hunting skill set. With the pathway to touches so clear, Koh graded the landing spot a 7.5/10 and called Harvey a fantasy swing worth taking in seasonal leagues and dynasty startups.

James Koh called Jordan Mason his favorite late-round dart because Aaron Jones is coming off a 17-game, 322-touch season after playing only 11 games in 2023. Minnesota’s depth was ‘straight up Dukes’ last year, forcing them to trade for Cam Akers, and they now run the same Shanahan-inspired zone scheme in which Mason averaged 5.0 YPC before getting hurt. The 26-year-old signed a two-year, $10M deal, and Koh believes a 60-40—if not 50-50—split is realistic, giving Mason independent flex value (projected 750 yards, 4-6 TDs) with league-winning ceiling should Jones miss time.

James Koh labeled Trey Benson a priority stash because 30-year-old James Conner just set career highs in games played, touches and rush attempts after averaging only 13 games across his first six seasons. Conner’s track record plus age screams regression risk. Benson, meanwhile, posted alien numbers at 216 pounds—running a 4.39 forty—with the lateral agility to match. Koh views him as the ‘explosive second-year player’ ready to inherit feature-back volume the moment Conner’s durability cracks.

James Koh spotlighted Will Shipley as the true backup to Saquon Barkley— not A.J. Dillon, whom beat writer Jimmy Kempski thinks may be cut. Barkley piled up a ridiculous 482 touches in 2024 and has missed three-plus games in two of the last three seasons on top of an ACL tear. Koh doubts Barkley clears 12 games. Shipley, the 5'11, 206-pound Clemson product, blazed a 4.39 forty and posted a 38.5-inch vert that shows elite burst and lateral quickness. His best trait is polished receiving chops, making him an instant three-down fill-in who could “save your fantasy season” if Barkley’s mileage finally bites back.

James Koh urged stashing Justice Hill as Baltimore’s break-glass option behind a 31-year-old Derrick Henry who just logged 386 touches (third-most of his career) and has already shown the ‘curse of 370’ twice—missing nine games in 2021 after 418 touches and dropping 30% of his yardage after 382 touches in 2022. Hill already owns the passing-down work (42 catches to Henry’s 19 last season), averages 4.9 yards per carry over the last four years, knows Todd Monken’s system cold, and has Jim Harbaugh’s trust. If Father Time finally stiff-arms Henry, Hill projects to slide into a full PPR-friendly role with breakaway efficiency.

James Koh liked the schematic marriage between TreVeyon Henderson and Josh McDaniels’ Patriots but warned that fantasy upside is capped. McDaniels’ 2022 Raiders used the NFL’s 9th-highest man-gap rate, and Henderson’s decisive, tone-setting style produced strong man-gap results while his 33.3 % success rate in zone was dead last in the class. Koh applauded Henderson’s willingness to crash the A-gap despite weighing only 202 lbs, yet noted the depth-chart roadblocks: Rhamondre Stevenson is still the projected starter and Antonio Gibson figures to siphon passing-down snaps. Given the fit but limited path to touches, Koh graded the pairing a 5.5/10 and sees Henderson as a late-round bench piece rather than an immediate fantasy contributor.

Koh questioned the Chargers’ first-round pick of Omarion Hampton, pointing out that Jim Harbaugh’s club ran man-gap at the NFL’s 5th-highest rate and ranked in the top third for between-the-tackles carries. Hampton finished just sixth out of 12 charted prospects in man-gap success rate and was merely average inside. While his raw traits—6'0", 221 lbs, 4.46 forty—make him a home-run threat when he reaches the second level, Koh fears that creating those lanes could be an issue, especially after Los Angeles added Najee Harris to handle dirty work. He slapped the pick with a 5.5/10 match score and advised fantasy managers to temper expectations outside of deep best-ball formats.

James Koh projected Quinshon Judkins to seize Cleveland’s lead-back job quickly. Kevin Stefanski’s offenses have ranked top-10 in outside-run rate in each of the last two seasons and led the league when Nick Chubb was healthy in 2022. Judkins logged a 68.4 % success rate on outside runs—slightly above the rookie average—but Koh believes the film shows elite acceleration and a lethal head-and-shoulder shake that "would make Allen Iverson proud." At 221 lbs with 4.48 speed, Judkins profiles as the power-plus-burst runner Stefanski covets. Koh views Jerome Ford as merely a complementary option and gave the rookie an 8.5/10 match score, touting him as a season-long breakout who should headline the Browns’ ground game.

James Koh raved about Cam Skattebo’s vision and footwork, noting a class-best 62.5 % success rate on between-the-tackles runs. That pairs neatly with Brian Daboll’s Giants, who logged the NFL’s 5th-highest inside-run rate in 2024. Koh highlighted Skattebo’s ability to force linebackers to commit before exploding laterally into a new lane, calling his tape "a thing of beauty." The lone concern is volume: veteran Devin Singletary knows the system and rookie Tyrone Tracy adds juice, creating a three-headed competition. Because of the skill fit but depth-chart uncertainty, Koh assigned a 7.5/10 match score and labeled Skattebo a worthwhile upside stash for season-long formats.

James Koh said Ashton Jeanty could not have landed in a more ideal spot. Chip Kelly’s Raider offense ran man-gap on 85 % of college snaps, and Jeanty posted a 60 % success rate on man-gap concepts and a ridiculous 94.7 % success rate when those runs went to the outside. His 79 % success rate on outside carries was best in the rookie class. Koh emphasized that Antonio Pierce wants to pound the rock and that Kelly has a long track record of producing big-time fantasy backs. Given the coaching philosophy, outside-run tendency, and Jeanty’s tackle-breaking profile, Koh graded the match a “15 out of 10” and called him a smash season-long target with every-down potential.

Koh loves the player but not the 2025 price on James Cook after an 18-TD explosion. Cook scored once every 12.9 carries in 2024, versus a league average of 30.9. He actually logged more rushes in 2023 (237) than in 2024 (207), so the spike was pure efficiency, not volume. If Cook regresses to a typical scoring rate, Koh expects only 6–7 touchdowns, turning him from league-winner into mid-range RB2.

Koh slammed Brock Bowers’ early top-15 overall ADP, labeling last year’s 153 targets and 1,200 yards "outrageous" for any tight end. The Raiders hired Pete Carroll, signalling a run-first shift, and drafted RB Ashton Jeanty plus WR Jack Bech—both expected to siphon opportunities. Koh added that the staff wants to move Michael Mayer around, further muddying target share, and noted that 35-year-old Geno Smith is not Patrick Mahomes. His projection: 80 catches, 845 yards, 6–8 TDs—TE1 numbers but nowhere near the positional hammer drafters are paying for.

James Koh highlighted that Jameson Williams turned just 91 targets into 1,000 yards (17.3 YPR, second-highest in the league) thanks in large part to Ben Johnson’s play-calling. Johnson is gone, and Koh doubts a new OC will scheme touches for Williams at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta like Johnson did in 2024. Without manufactured volume and with inevitable yards-per-catch regression, Koh expects Williams to disappoint fantasy managers chasing last year’s splash plays.

Koh pushed back on the idea that Jerry Jeudy’s 2024 breakout (145 targets, eighth among WRs) is sustainable. He called Jeudy an "average separator" whose volume was inflated by a Browns offense that led the league in dropbacks. With Kevin Stefanski intent on returning to a run-first identity—helped by healthy Nick Chubb and rookie Quinshawn Judkins—Koh sees a big reduction in pass attempts. Combine that with a shaky QB room (40-year-old Joe Flacco, unproven Kenny Pickett, rookies Dylan Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders) and Koh projects Jeudy to fall well short of last year’s production.

Koh reminded listeners that Derrick Henry absorbed 386 touches in 2024, his third time crossing the 370-touch threshold. Each of the previous two seasons that hit that benchmark saw sharp production declines the following year, and Henry enters 2025 at 31 years old. Koh projected a realistic stat line of roughly 1,100 rushing yards and 8–10 TDs—about half of last year’s output—making Henry a risky pick at any premium ADP.

James Koh invoked the “curse of 370” while fading Saquon Barkley, pointing out that Barkley piled up 482 touches last season—65 more than Christian McCaffrey’s 417 before CMC’s own injury-filled follow-up year. Koh expects the workload hangover to sap Barkley’s efficiency and, more importantly, shorten his season; he’d be "shocked" if Barkley clears 12 games in 2025. For anyone eyeing Barkley at 1.01, Koh’s advice is simple: don’t be that manager.

James Koh warned that Baker Mayfield’s 2024 stat line (41 passing touchdowns on 570 attempts, fifth-most in the league) is a classic setup for regression. He emphasized that last year’s pass-rate-over-expected success was driven by OC Liam Cohen, who has since departed. New coordinator Josh Grizzard has never called plays at any level, so Koh anticipates a noticeable dip in pass volume and overall efficiency. He capped Mayfield’s realistic ceiling at roughly 30 TDs, making the quarterback a clear fade at anything close to his 2024 fantasy price tag.