Jamie Worsley labeled Matt McCarty a live long-shot at 100/1 (1 pt EW, 1/5, eight places). After a slow start to 2025, McCarty rattled off 11 top-25s in his final 20 events, including 4th at the Canadian Open and 3rd while defending the Bank of Utah title before ending the year 8th in the Australian Open. Although only 55th at last week’s Sony, the ball-striking was sharp – 11th GIR, 13th driving accuracy, 18th SG: Off-the-Tee – and putting (normally his calling card, 17th SG:P last season) was the lone culprit. He missed the cut here a year ago yet shot three red numbers, and has since posted top-20s on his first career visits to THE PLAYERS, CJ CUP Byron Nelson and Rocket Classic – all events Worsley cites as strong comps. A quick bounce-back with the flat stick could see him crash the each-way places.

Worsley recommended Kevin Yu at 60/1 (1 pt EW, 1/5, eight places), highlighting a potent blend of firepower and new-found putting. Yu closed 2025 with 11 top-25s – headlined by 3rd at the Canadian Open and 4th Myrtle Beach – and ranked 6th in driving, 14th GIR and 42nd SG: Approach. Wedge ranges pop too (39th from 150-175, 44th 125-150). Crucially, he gained strokes putting in 10 of his last 13 measured starts and ranks 26th SG: Putting over the past seven months, fueling a 13th-place birdie-or-better clip. Yu finished 3rd at this event in 2024 on pure ball-striking, then parlayed similar skill-set venues into his maiden win at Sanderson Farms later that year. Known to thrive off long layoffs – he won Sanderson after eight weeks away – the fresh start in another wedge-heavy shootout should play right into his hands.

Jamie Worsley sees massive upside in Pierceson Coody at 60/1 (1 pt EW, 1/5, eight places). The former world-No. 1 amateur ranked 4th on TOUR in birdie-or-better last year and actually led the limited starts driving category. Across 16 PGA Tour appearances he missed only four cuts and logged six top-25s, including twin 3rds at the Bank of Utah Championship and 3M Open. He also produced seven top-10s in 15 Korn Ferry outings, thriving in low-scoring multi-course events like Astara and BMW Charity. Coody shook off rust with a closing 64 to finish T-13 at last week’s Sony Open while ranking 14th off the tee. He missed the cut here in 2024 during a slump, but Worsley notes his current form and relentless scoring profile make him a perfect fit for another –25 type winning total.

Worsley advised backing Michael Thorbjornsen each-way at 40/1 (1.25 pts, 1/5 odds, eight places). After a rocky first quarter, Thorbjornsen missed only one cut in his final 16 starts of 2025 and posted 2nd at Corales, 3rd Baycurrent Classic, 4th Rocket Classic and 7th RSM Classic. He led the TOUR in GIR, ranked 7th in driving and 8th in birdie-or-better percentage. The putter, a weakness early, flipped positive in six of his last ten events. Though he missed the AmEx cut last year, he sat T-14 through 36 holes before a Stadium Course 75. Correlated top-4s at Travelers and Rocket Highlands strengthen the case, and his Stanford ties mean plenty of California reps. Worsley expects a breakout week in perfect scoring weather.

Jamie Worsley said Si Woo Kim is the best value near the top of the board at 33/1. Kim closed 2025 with seven straight top-25s (5th BMW PGA, 4th RSM Classic, 3rd Australian Open) and opened 2026 by finishing 11th at the Sony Open, where he ranked 1st tee-to-green, 1st in ball-striking, 1st in GIR and 3rd in SG: Approach. He finished last season 5th on the PGA Tour tee-to-green, and although the putter is often shaky he has gained strokes on these poa-trivialis overseeded surfaces in six of eight AmEx starts. A past champion here (2021) with four additional top-25s plus elite Pete Dye pedigree (2017 PLAYERS win, 2nd 2023 CJ CUP Byron Nelson), Worsley believes Kim can out-shine a potentially rusty Scottie Scheffler in another birdie-fest at La Quinta. He recommended 1.5 pts each-way at 1/5 odds for six places.

Jamie Worsley allocated 0.75 points each-way to Tom Kim at 110/1, citing elite wedge play—14th in proximity from 125-150 yards and 39th from 100-125—as a perfect match for Silverado’s short-iron heavy setup. Although Kim’s 2025 has been inconsistent, he flashed life with 7th at Pebble, 17th at the Scottish Open and 28th at the 3M before withdrawing from Wyndham. Off-the-tee numbers have slipped but he was finding more fairways immediately prior to the WD, and his short game remains a strength. Comp-course resume includes a win at tree-lined Sedgefield (Wyndham) plus 2nd at Travelers and 7th at Pebble. Worsley believes those facts, combined with the forgiving FedExCup Fall reset, make the Korean a high-upside longshot despite only finishing 67th here as a teenage debutant in 2021.

Worsley took a speculative 0.75-point each-way flyer on Sahith Theegala at 110/1. The 2023 Silverado champion endured a rough 2025, missing nearly two months with a lingering neck issue and arriving off four straight missed cuts. However, a six-week reset since the Wyndham has allowed rehab and practice time, and Theegala sounded bullish about his health in a recent PGA Tour interview. Silverado is clearly a comfort zone: besides the 2023 win he has finishes of 6th and 7th here. Given that out-of-form players often rebound in FedExCup Fall events and that Worsley’s key stats (wedge play and poa putting) historically fit Theegala, the tout views triple-digit odds as worth the gamble.

Worsley staked 1.75 points each-way on Harris English at 28/1, calling him the best value among the ten U.S. Ryder Cup players in Napa. English already owns a 2025 win on California poa at the Farmers, plus runner-up finishes in both the PGA Championship (Quail Hollow) and The Open (Royal Portrush). He closed the Playoffs 13th (BMW) and 12th (Tour Championship) and over the last six months sits 17th in SG: Approach, 19th off-the-tee and 12th in putting. English has nine career starts at Silverado with a best of 9th in 2023, is a former Travelers champion, owns a runner-up at Colonial and top-10s at both Genesis and Sanderson Farms— all comp venues flagged by Worsley. With that statistical profile plus proven West-Coast form, Worsley views 28/1 as a clear overlay.

Jamie Worsley recommended a 2.5-point each-way bet on Patrick Cantlay at 18/1 (1/5 odds, 6 places). Worsley said Cantlay is "coming off the strongest performance of his year" after finishing 2nd at East Lake, where he led the field in SG: Approach. For 2025 Cantlay ranks 9th in approach, 18th in GIR, 19th in proximity from 125-150 yards and 29th from 100-125, while still a solid 35th off-the-tee. He has not missed a cut outside the majors and owns ten top-15s despite a three-year win drought. The California native owns multiple top-5 finishes at Riviera, Pebble Beach and TPC River Highlands—three of Worsley’s key comp courses for Silverado—and has posted 17th and 40th in two prior trips here. With putter trending the right way and narrow fairways emphasising his wedge strength, Worsley believes Cantlay can end his drought and sees 18/1 as value in a field missing only two U.S. Ryder Cuppers.

Jamie Worsley’s final dart is Taylor Pendrith at a juicy 80/1 each-way. The Canadian finished 5th at the PGA Championship after ranking 4th off-the-tee, 4th in GIR and 5th in overall ball striking—numbers consistent with his season-long profile (4th SG: OTT, 5th GIR). Pendrith combines 320-yard pop with above-average accuracy, and his putter has heated up after a cold start. Previous Memorial attempts produced 60th (2023) and 33rd (2024), but Worsley sees a step-forward coming given the player’s sharper iron play and confidence from four 2025 top-10s (7th Torrey, 9th Pebble, 5th Houston, 5th PGA). Add a 10th at last year’s Wells Fargo on another Nicklaus design, and Pendrith’s tee-to-green firepower looks tailor-made for Muirfield Village’s demanding setup.

Worsley played Harris English at 55/1 each-way, noting that the veteran led the PGA Championship field in ball striking, SG: Approach and GIR en route to 2nd place at Quail Hollow—his best tee-to-green display ever. English already owns a 2025 win at the Farmers Insurance Open and has four top-20s in his last six starts. Recent iron play has been laser-like, and he continues to combine surprising power with accuracy off the tee while relying on a traditionally excellent short game. Although his Memorial record tops out at 13th (2020), English has podium finishes on three of Worsley’s key comp tracks: Quail Hollow (2nd, 3rd), Bay Hill (3rd) and, most recently, his career-best 12th at Augusta. The analyst believes translating that form to Muirfield Village could yield a career-defining victory.

McNealy was tipped each-way at 55/1 thanks to a dramatic leap with his approach play—now 43rd in SG: Approach after ranking 119th-159th the previous three seasons. Already elite off-the-tee and on bentgrass greens, McNealy has parlayed the all-around upgrade into five top-10s in 14 starts, including runner-up at the Genesis Invitational, 3rds at both the Texas Open and RBC Heritage, plus a respectable 32nd on his Masters debut. He sits top-25 in GIR while simultaneously gaining both length and accuracy with the driver. Although he missed cuts here as a rookie in 2020 (Workday and Memorial), Worsley argues the 2025 version’s polished short game and newly sharpened long irons mirror his Texas Open form—one of the analyst’s key corollary events. That package, at big odds, could deliver a first Signature Event podium.

Worsley recommended Hideki Matsuyama each-way at 35/1, citing the 2014 winner’s elite scrambling (3rd) and around-the-greens play (6th) as perfect weapons for Muirfield Village’s tiny, elevated putting surfaces. Matsuyama sits 30th in SG: Approach but, crucially, 14th from 175-200 yds and 26th from 200+, matching the event’s long-iron emphasis. The driver, erratic early in 2025, has trended up with a recent run of fairway-finding weeks, while the putter has been more reliable than usual. Since opening the year with a three-shot romp at The Sentry, Hideki has logged six top-25s in 11 starts and finished 8th here last season. With two of his last three wins coming in Signature Events and a Masters green jacket confirming bentgrass comfort, Worsley believes Matsuyama owns the statistical and psychological profile to bag Memorial win number two.

Jamie Worsley backed Viktor Hovland each-way at 33/1 for the 2025 Memorial, stressing that the defending 2023 champion is peaking again after an uneven spring. Worsley highlighted Hovland’s 8th-place season ranking in SG: Approach, including elite long-iron numbers (4th from 175-200 yds, 25th from 200+), plus a season-best 15th off-the-tee showing at the PGA Championship where he was also 36th in driving accuracy. Four of Hovland’s best five putting weeks of 2025 have come in his last five starts, suggesting the flat stick is warming up. Course history is sparkling—3rd in the 2020 Workday, never a missed cut at Muirfield Village, and last year’s playoff win. Correlated success at Bay Hill (2nd), Quail Hollow (3rd) and Valhalla (3rd PGA) reinforces the fit on demanding Nicklaus or Nicklaus-style layouts. Worsley concluded that a repeat victory is well within reach if the recent ball-striking spike holds.

Jamie Worsley recommends Rafael Campos as a high-value bet at 125/1, citing Campos’ extensive history and strong record on paspalum surfaces. Campos previously secured a PGA Tour win in Bermuda and has demonstrated consistent success at Corales, with finishes of 3rd (2017) and 2nd (2021), as well as multiple top-10 placements in Puerto Rico. Recent decent performances include a 34th-place in Mexico and a respectable showing despite missing the cut at Augusta by only two strokes. Known particularly for putting (68th ranking) and driving prowess, Campos’ specific success on similar course styles positions him as a potentially lucrative wagering opportunity at such high odds.

Jamie Worsley highlights Noah Goodwin as strong value at 100/1, praising his impressive rookie season and proven skill with long irons, ranking 9th on tour from 200+ yards. Goodwin has made five of his last six cuts, including a promising 12th place at Puerto Rico, emphasizing his enjoying paspalum surfaces. His past success on Korn Ferry Tour events held in The Bahamas—also on paspalum—bolsters this skillset. Jamie expects Goodwin's consistent recent form and comfort with the course style and greens to position him well for a potential high finish in Puntacana.

Jamie Worsley backs William Mouw at 80/1, emphasizing his recent improving form—especially his 6th-place finish in Puerto Rico, a key correlated event. A former top amateur, Mouw's driving and putting are significant assets, ranking 51st in each. His recent form includes 47th place in Houston and 33rd at the Valero Texas Open, displaying clear upward trajectory and adaptability. Although new to Corales, his success on comparable paspalum greens in Puerto Rico is a good indicator. Jamie further notes Mouw’s past collegiate association, competing alongside PGA winners Sahith Theegala and Joe Highsmith, as a positive motivational factor toward a possible breakout PGA Tour victory this week.

Jamie Worsley recommends Danny Walker at 70/1, despite missing recent cuts, citing Walker's standout 6th-place performance at THE PLAYERS Championship and strong 13th-place finish in the Mexico Open. His elite iron play—ranking 44th in approach—is tailored perfectly for Corales' length and challenging conditions. Walker excels with his longer clubs, ranking near top-50 in driving distance. This course setup, featuring long approaches and spacious fairways, aligns with Walker's strengths. Jamie believes Walker's recent break and slightly weaker field here should help him rebound successfully from recent missed cuts and compete strongly once again.

Jamie Worsley advocated backing Jeremy Paul at 60/1, highlighting his long-iron proficiency and strong driving game. Paul has performed well in his rookie PGA season, finishing top-25 at comparable venues—16th in Puerto Rico, 22nd at the Valspar Championship, and 25th at Mexico Open. Particularly notable is Paul's strong driving (top-40 off-the-tee and driving distance) and quality proximity from 200+ yards (ranking 55th). He also ranks 19th in par 5 scoring, essential on this course. Paul's previous Korn Ferry win was on paspalum grass at The Bahamas Great Exuma Classic, reinforcing his suitability for this week’s surface type. Despite making his first start here at Corales, Paul's performances suggest he should thrive.

Jamie Worsley recommended Chris Gotterup at 50/1 due to his clear strengths aligning with Corales Golf Course's demands this week. Gotterup recently placed 16th in Puerto Rico, showing a liking for similar open and exposed venues. He has demonstrated consistent improvements in his approach play, gaining strokes in approach his last three starts, and currently ranks top-20 in greens-in-regulation on tour, an advantage in the forecasted tough weekend conditions. Jamie noted Gotterup's prior success on open courses like Farmers Insurance Open (25th) and Houston Open (18th). Despite narrowly missing the cut at Corales last year, Gotterup's improved recent ball-striking form and proven ability from his Myrtle Beach Classic win indicate he can contend strongly here.

Jamie Worsley identified Chandler Phillips as a high-value longshot for the Texas Open, highlighting Phillips' recent improvements in approach play. Phillips has steadily improved recent performances, ranking top-25 in approach stats in THE PLAYERS Championship, Valspar Championship, and 17th most recently in the Houston Open. His accuracy off the tee aligns well with the demands of TPC San Antonio. Phillips had weaker finishes in previous Texas Open appearances (64th in 2023 and MC last year), but he notably won the 2023 Korn Ferry Tour’s Bahamas Great Exuma Classic, an event also won by Akshay Bhatia, the Texas Open’s defending champion, suggesting hidden course compatibility at these large odds.

Jamie Worsley selected Chris Kirk for his strong Texas Open track record and recent improvements in his putting performance. Although Kirk has endured a lackluster season so far with only one top-25 finish, he recently reversed his struggles on the greens with a solid putting performance (ranked 15th) at TPC Sawgrass. Kirk also consistently excels at TPC San Antonio, boasting four top-10 finishes in nine appearances, with the best being 6th in 2021. His past success at strongly correlated tournaments like the Sony Open (twice a runner-up) and a victory at the Cognizant Classic further support Kirk's potential for strong performance this weekend.

Jamie Worsley recommended Ryan Gerard as a strong candidate at the Texas Open due to his impressive recent approach play. Gerard is coming off his best finish of the year, a 9th-place performance at the Houston Open, where he ranked 2nd in strokes gained approach. He currently ranks 15th in approach on tour this year and 28th on the greens, suggesting a well-rounded game suited to TPC San Antonio. Despite a modest 56th finish at his sole previous appearance at this event, Gerard's excellence at the recent Cognizant Classic (4th place in 2023) offers encouraging indications of success here.

Jamie Worsley targeted Lee Hodges as a potential winner for the Texas Open, emphasizing Hodges' strong finishes in recent correlated tournaments. Despite missing several weeks due to a rib injury, Hodges posted impressive rounds of 66 and 65 over the weekend in Houston, finishing 11th overall. Hodges ranks 4th in total driving accuracy and excels particularly in par-5 scoring, ranked 2nd on tour this season. His previous performances—a 6th-place finish at TPC San Antonio (2023) along with strong results in the Sony Open, Phoenix Open, and Cognizant Classic—further underline his suitability for this event and course.

Jamie Worsley recommended Rico Hoey as an intriguing contender for the Texas Open title, citing his impressive statistical profile this season. Hoey ranks 2nd off-the-tee, 16th in driving accuracy, and top-30 in key approach stats (9th in GIR, 16th in the 175-200yd range, and 30th from 150-175yds). Hoey also demonstrated recent improvement with a T11 finish in the Houston Open, his best result of the year after a slower start. Additionally, he placed 14th in his debut at TPC San Antonio last year, excelling on similar greens, further supporting a favorable outlook for him this week. Winning this event would also earn Hoey an entry into the Masters, adding extra motivation.

Jamie Worsley highlighted Daniel Berger as a compelling pick at the Texas Open, noting Berger's strong recent form, with six top-25 finishes in the past eight starts—including a runner-up finish at the Phoenix Open. Berger ranks 15th for tee-to-green play and 10th in driving accuracy, additionally ranking 17th for approach shots from 150-175 yards, key stats for success at TPC San Antonio. Worsley emphasized Berger's motivation to secure his place at Augusta, having not played the Masters since 2022, and pointed to Berger's strong historical performances at correlated events such as TPC Scottsdale (Phoenix Open) and PGA National (Cognizant Classic).

Jamie Worsley highlights Mac Meissner (125/1) as a strong value play, noting recent form improvements and Texas-linked success. Meissner recently bounced back from poor form to take 42nd at THE PLAYERS and 28th at Valspar, where he notably delivered his best career PGA Tour approach play performance, ranking 4th in the field. This iron play advancement, coupled with his top short-game ranking (13th around-the-greens in 2025), positions him ideally for Memorial Park’s challenges. As a Dallas-area resident with two previous top-10 finishes in Texas including a 10th at the correlating Texas Open, Meissner’s regional familiarity and recent gains suggest he offers strong betting appeal as an outsider this week.

Jamie Worsley tips Mackenzie Hughes (80/1), emphasizing his recent resurgence with promising play over his last three outings, including a 22nd at Arnold Palmer Invitational and a steady 36th-place finish at the Valspar. Hughes’ precision ball-striking notably improved recently, topping the field in both GIR and driving accuracy in the final round at Copperhead. Combining this newfound accuracy with a stellar short game aligns wonderfully with Memorial Park, where Hughes has consistently performed well, never worse than 29th in four prior starts with a high of 7th in 2020. His runner-up finish at PGA National's Cognizant Classic—another key correlated course—further strengthens his credentials for producing a season-best result this week.

Jamie Worsley views Jake Knapp (70/1) as a prime bounce-back player this week, acknowledging his disappointing missed-cut at last week's Valspar Championship as a likely anomaly. Before Valspar, Knapp was in excellent form, posting top finishes including a 6th at Cognizant Classic and 12th at THE PLAYERS, marking four consecutive top-25 finishes prior to his recent mishap. His strengths align with Memorial Park's demands—a powerful driver, strong iron game (19th-ranked from 200+ yards), and consistent putting on poa trivialis surfaces. Despite missing the cut at this course last year, Knapp demonstrated solid tee-to-green skills, and strong correlation performances—last year's win at Mexico (Vidanta) and two top-six finishes at PGA National—suggest Knapp is a viable each-way bet at considerable odds.

Jamie Worsley recommends backing Min Woo Lee (35/1), suggesting he's positioned for a first PGA win at a venue perfectly suited to his skillset. Memorial Park rewards powerful drive distance—Lee ranks third in driving distance on Tour—and an elite short game, with Lee also sitting 9th around-the-greens and 16th in putting. His strong recent form includes four top-20 finishes in six U.S. starts this year, notably 11th at the Cognizant Classic. Lee hasn't previously competed here, but his runner-up finish on the exposed and windy PGA National at last year's Cognizant Classic and victory at the equally demanding Scottish Open indicate he's ideally suited to the challenges at Memorial Park, particularly given the expected stormy and difficult weather conditions.

Jamie Worsley is bullish on Jason Day's prospects at the Houston Open 2025, highlighting his recent excellent form despite an illness withdrawal from THE PLAYERS Championship. Day was in prime contention at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before late mistakes pushed him to an 8th-place finish—his third top-15 in only six events this season. His iron play (ranked 37th on Tour) is close to career-best, combined with solid off-the-tee efforts, strong short-game, and improved putting in recent tournaments. Past success at Memorial Park with finishes of 7th (2020) and 16th (2022), coupled with previous Texas victories (WGC-Match Play and Byron Nelson twice) and comfort in windy conditions further bolsters Day's case as a smart each-way betting opportunity at 33/1 odds.