Houston opened ‑7.5 at home, but Logan reported that ‘early movement has been away from the winless Texans, dropping this spread to a touchdown.’ With the lowest Week 4 total on the board at 38.5, the immediate fade signals skepticism of the Texans’ offense and suggests value on Titans backers who grabbed the opening +7.5 before books trimmed the line.

Atlanta opened +3 but Logan noted the line has already dipped to Falcons +2.5 because Washington’s QB Jayden Daniels (knee) and WR Terry McLaurin (quad) exited Week 3 with injuries. He explained that bettors reacted to the uncertain Commanders depth chart despite Atlanta’s 30-0 loss, and suggested the spread could tighten further toward the Falcons if Daniels is ruled out, rewarding those who locked in +2.5 or better.

Logan wrote that San Francisco opened ‑4.5 but is already down to ‑3.5 after star edge rusher Nick Bosa was ‘suspected to have an ACL tear that would end his season,’ coupled with injury watch on QBs Brock Purdy and Mac Jones. The total slid from 46.5 to 45.5. Logan indicated the defensive downgrade and quarterback uncertainty could push the number lower, signaling potential early value on Jaguars +3.5 tickets.

Logan pointed out that Minnesota ‘could have J.J. McCarthy back under center after he missed Week 3 with a high-ankle sprain,’ and early wagers have already flipped the neutral-site line from Steelers ‑1.5 to Vikings ‑1.5. He highlighted the quick 3-point swing as evidence the market is betting on McCarthy’s return, suggesting bettors who agree should lock in Minnesota before books move the number further.

Jason Logan noted that Arizona opened as a 1.5-point home favorite for Thursday Night Football but warned bettors the club has only three days to replace RB James Conner after his severe ankle injury in Week 3. With the total sitting at 43.5, Logan pointed out that the market could shift toward Seattle once the Cardinals’ thin backfield depth is fully priced in, making Seahawks +1.5 or an early Under ticket appealing before the odds move.