Jeremy Jones targeted Dallas Goedert Over 27.5 receiving yards thanks to a coverage blind spot. The Chargers are second in overall pass yards allowed but only 16th against tight targets, surrendering 27.8 yards per game in that zone. They allow a 72.3% completion rate on throws between the numbers, while Jalen Hurts hits 76.9% of those attempts (5th best in the NFL). Goedert is still averaging 36.6 yards and 10.1 YPC despite limited volume; Jones expects the matchup to funnel extra looks his way and put 28 yards well within reach.

Jeremy Jones hammered Jalen Hurts Over 29.5 rushing yards. Hurts has cleared 30 yards six times this year, including each of the last three weeks. Los Angeles has already allowed four quarterbacks to hit 30+ rushing yards and gives up 18.6 QB rush yards per game (19th in the league). Jones added that the Chargers’ run defense stuffs interior hand-offs, which could cap Saquon Barkley’s efficiency and force Philadelphia to lean even harder on Hurts’ legs through both designed reads and scramble situations.

Jeremy Jones said the Over 17.5 rushing yards for Justin Herbert is simply mispriced. Herbert is averaging 29.4 rushing yards per game this season and has topped 19 yards nine different times. Jones acknowledged Herbert’s questionable tag and looming hand surgery but stressed that the Chargers rarely call designed runs for him anyway. Instead, Herbert racks up yards on scrambles, and the Eagles rank dead last at containing quarterback scrambles. Even if L.A. shelves sneaks and other designed keepers, drop-back chaos alone should push Herbert past this low total.