Jim Sannes prefers Matt Fitzpatrick at 40-1 over the shorter options because his recent profile is sneaky-elite. Using his "relevant strokes-gained" blend (last 24 OTT, 36 APP, 50 short-game), Fitzpatrick ranks fourth in the BMW field behind only Scheffler, Fleetwood and Henley, yet he is priced longer than all three. The distance surge Fitz showed in the spring has settled into a comfortable, sustainable level, helping fuel consistent ball-striking numbers all summer except for one off week. Short-game excellence is a career constant. Sannes argued bettors "just forgot about Fitz" after a couple middling finishes, creating value on a player whose ceiling, form and putting all check the heater boxes the hosts are chasing this week.