JJ Zachariason explained why he is mostly fading Zay Flowers at his Round-4 DraftKings ADP. Flowers’ efficiency metrics scream star, yet Baltimore rarely throws near the goal line—John Harbaugh’s offense mirrors the Eagles inside the five and leans on quarterback or running-back rushes. Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely then soak up most of the remaining red-zone targets. That usage left Flowers with only five touchdowns in 2023, even though Lamar Jackson’s passing TD rate was unusually high— a rate JJ expects to regress hard. Because Flowers’ expected touchdowns were low and his role caps high-end volume, JJ views him as a stable WR3 without the ceiling of similarly priced options like George Pickens. He is willing to scoop Flowers only if the speedster falls at least a full round past current ADP.

JJ Zachariason called Tank Bigsby a great double-digit-round target after multiple Jacksonville beat writers reported he’s been "running with the ones" all camp. Although Bigsby owns a dreadful 0.36 yards-per-route-run over his first two NFL seasons—historically a death knell for future target share—JJ believes early-down and goal-line volume at a 154 overall ADP offsets those reception worries in best ball. He compared the situation to Mark Ingram’s early career, stressing that touchdown-driven spike weeks are all you need when drafting a mid-round back. Because Bigsby’s price has barely budged despite the positive camp buzz, JJ is scooping him wherever he can, viewing him as the cheap piece of an "ambiguous" Jaguars backfield that still leaves the higher-ceiling pass-catching work to Travis Etienne or Baisal Tuton.

JJ Zachariason argued that Tank Bigsby is the cleanest late-round arbitrage play on Brian Robinson. Robinson goes in the 10th while Bigsby is still hanging around pick 155 in the 14th—even after multiple Jacksonville beat writers said he is 'running with the ones.' JJ stressed both backs share the same touchdown-centric profile (little pass-catching, early-down bruiser) and therefore similar 75th–80th percentile outcomes. With new coordinator Liam Coen expected to keep Jacksonville’s pace and red-zone volume high, JJ believes there is a realistic path for Bigsby to post a Jamal Williams- or Raheem Mostert-style season (low target share but 13-15 TDs). Because the backfield remains ambiguous—Travis Etienne for receiving, Bigsby for goal-line, rookie Baisal Tutton lurking—the market is suppressing Bigsby’s cost. JJ is scooping him five rounds later than comparable archetypes, aiming to be '10 spots ahead of ADP' before the inevitable price jump.

JJ Zachariason advised completely fading Quinshon Judkins until his contract situation is resolved. With camp already underway and the Browns merely "hopeful" a deal gets done, JJ fears a prolonged holdout that could leave Judkins buried on the depth chart or facing an uphill climb for touches once he finally signs. The landing spot is poor for fantasy upside (negative game scripts, questionable offensive line), and Judkins had pass-catching concerns coming out of college. JJ, who embraces volatility elsewhere, said he has "not touched this dude" since early May and sees no reason to assume that risk at any price.

JJ Zachariason said Jerome Ford is still a screaming value on DraftKings at a 170 ADP despite Kevin Stefanski publicly calling him the presumptive starter while Quinshon Judkins remains unsigned. Ford typically lasts two-plus rounds after rookie Dylan Samson (147 ADP) even though Samson was a Day-3 pick, profiles as an early-down grinder, and could see his role evaporate whenever Judkins eventually reports. JJ expects Cleveland to play from behind often, giving Ford a reliable pass-catching floor and immediate, front-loaded touch share—perfect for hero or zero-RB best-ball builds where he’s "just staring at me in Round 15."

JJ Zachariason said the market has not reacted enough to Rashee Rice’s expected suspension. Worthy’s DraftKings ADP has climbed only about four spots all summer and he is still routinely available in the mid-4th round even though Rice has fallen a full round. Zachariason argued that a multi-game Rice absence vacates a meaningful chunk of the Chiefs’ target share, and Andy Reid’s scheme plus Patrick Mahomes’ established passing volume makes those targets highly bankable. He noted Worthy’s average depth of target fell in last year’s second half, showing the team already trusts him on underneath routes that could further inflate his early-season volume. Because the rookie can lock in a larger role before Rice returns and offers week-winning spike plays ideal for best ball scoring, JJ views Worthy as a 3/4-turn pick and is aggressively loading up (about 12% portfolio exposure) before the inevitable ADP jump once an official suspension is announced.

JJ Zachariason leaned toward fading Zay Flowers in DraftKings best-ball drafts, arguing that Baltimore’s scoring profile throttles Flowers’ touchdown ceiling. The Ravens are "Eagles-esque" inside the five, pounding in rushing TDs rather than targeting wideouts, and Mark Andrews plus Isaiah Likely dominate red-zone looks. Flowers scored just four times last season despite elite efficiency metrics, and JJ expects Lamar Jackson’s 2023 passing-TD rate (6.0%) to regress. That combination leaves Flowers needing a 90-catch season merely to justify his WR20-ish price—volume JJ doubts he sees in an offense that finished 31st in wide-receiver target share. With similarly talented WRs like George Pickens or Jameson Williams available cheaper, Zachariason is underweight on Flowers and willing to let the market chase last year’s yards-per-route-run pop.

Zachariason labeled Juwan Johnson a “late and rational” tight-end target who rarely gets drafted but could still clear 50 receptions as the unquestioned starter in New Orleans. Because Johnson’s overall draft rate sits in the low teens, a modest 10 % personal exposure already makes a drafter massively overweight versus the field without taking on portfolio risk. Johnson provides cheap correlation with Tyler Shuck or Chris Olave builds and frees capital for upside swings elsewhere. Zachariason contrasted this sensible gamble with truly "irrational" darts like Harold Fannin, emphasizing that Johnson checks every box—projected routes, red-zone role, and a clear quarterback pecking order—at a near-zero cost.

When the DraftKings board dries up in Round 10, Zachariason keeps defaulting to David Njoku. He projects the Browns tight end for roughly 80 receptions after last year’s 24 % target share over the final eight games and sees little target competition outside Amari Cooper. In full-PPR best ball, that steady diet of catches plus the site’s 100-yard bonus gives Njoku a weekly floor few mid-tier TEs can match at pick 115-120. Zachariason views him as the perfect single-tight-end start before tacking on a late flyer like Jatavian Sanders, saying “it’s fine—Njoku will just hoover up volume while you spend the premium rounds on wideouts.”

Zachariason said he is light on George Kittle shares because DraftKings’ full-PPR rules and 100-yard bonuses punish a tight end who lives on efficiency and touchdowns. Even in a "really good" season Kittle probably tops out around 80 receptions, which trails peers McBride and Bowers by a sizable margin. Without a 110-catch path, Kittle’s weekly ceiling becomes touchdown-dependent—exactly the profile Zachariason wants to avoid at a three-four turn price when those scores can just as easily land on Deebo Samuel or Brandon Aiyuk in Kyle Shanahan’s spread-it-around offense. He still sprinkles Kittle but says the veteran is “nowhere near a core piece” of his 2024 best-ball portfolio.

JJ Zachariason said Brock Bowers might be the single best overall pick on DraftKings this summer. With full-point PPR and 100-yard bonuses in play, Zachariason thinks Bowers can legitimately finish as a top-three non-quarterback in raw points as a rookie. He noted that even a "nutted" George Kittle season tops out around 80 receptions, while Bowers projects for far more volume in an offense that lacks an established target hog. Grabbing him in the early-second gives drafters an elite ceiling at a position that normally requires multiple late stabs. Zachariason’s preferred build is Bowers early, then two dart-throw tight ends in the 18th–20th rounds to chase contingent upside without sacrificing premium wide-receiver equity.

JJ Zachariason framed Tank Bigsby as a textbook arbitrage play on Brian Robinson. Bigsby’s DraftKings ADP sits at 154 (early-14th round), five full rounds after Robinson despite similar 75th-percentile paths: early-down work, short-yardage usage and a 12-to-15 touchdown ceiling. Beat writers keep noting Bigsby mixing with the first team, yet the market has only nudged him six spots over the last week. Zachariason argued that in best-ball formats you care about spike-week touchdowns, not weekly floor, and Jacksonville’s new Liam Coen offense could score plenty while Travis Etienne soaks up pass-game volume. He is drafting Bigsby any time he falls beyond pick 150 to capture that Jamal-Williams/Mostert style payoff without spending a 10th-round pick on Robinson.

Responding to a beat-writer note that Minnesota could employ a near 50-50 backfield, JJ Zachariason cautioned drafters against pushing Jordan Mason up to Aaron Jones’s range. JJ reminded listeners that fantasy value is role-dependent, not snap-count dependent: Jones profiles for the high-value targets while Mason has never been used as a receiver in college or the NFL. In his projections a 300-point Vikings backfield still yields a sizable edge to Jones because targets are 2.5x more valuable than carries. JJ is comfortable taking Mason only at his current discount, not in lockstep with Jones, and warns that chasing a headline without role context is a losing best-ball strategy.

Zachariason declared that he is "not touching" Quinshon Judkins in current DraftKings lobbies after learning the rookie still lacks a contract with training camp underway. The Browns merely said they are "hopeful" a deal gets done, which JJ took as a red flag for an already shaky landing spot: a projected losing team where Judkins would compete with pass-down specialist Jerome Ford and Day-3 pick Dylan Samson. JJ highlighted Judkins’s limited collegiate receiving resume and the uncertainty of when—if ever—he’ll report, making him dead roster weight in 20-round best-ball formats. He’s removed Judkins from his draft board unless a major ADP plunge or concrete contract news surfaces.

Zachariason said the market has not reacted enough to multiple Jacksonville beat writers reporting Tank Bigsby running with the first team. Bigsby’s ADP barely budged—he drafted him at 154 overall on July 29—so drafters can still lock in double-digit-round exposure to a back who may siphon early-down and goal-line work from Travis Etienne. While Bigsby’s brutal 0.36 yards per route run across 100+ career routes makes a true three-down leap unlikely, JJ emphasized that in best ball you care most about spike-week touchdown equity. If Bigsby grabs 10–12 carries and short-yardage duty weekly, those red-zone touches can swing DraftKings’ weekly payouts even without receptions. He’s treating Bigsby as a priority pick any time the price stays in the 150s.

JJ Zachariason urged drafters to keep scooping Jerome Ford in the 15th-17th rounds on DraftKings best-ball contests. He noted that Quinshon Judkins still has no contract as of July 29, and Kevin Stefanski publicly called Ford the starter. Ford already owned Cleveland’s two-minute and long-down-and-distance snaps in 2023, so an early-season pass-catching role is almost guaranteed while the Browns project for frequent negative game scripts. Despite that, Ford’s ADP sits 23 spots behind rookie Dylan Samson (170 vs 147 overall), even though Samson was a Day-3 pick and would lose high-value touches the instant Judkins signs. Zachariason is building zero-RB and hero-RB structures around Ford’s bankable receiving volume and front-loaded workload, calling him “a dart that just keeps staring me in the face.”

JJ Zachariason said Xavier Worthy is a screaming buy at his current mid-4th-round DraftKings ADP, calling it a "three–four turn" price that has not adjusted enough after the expectation that Rashee Rice will be suspended 4–6 games. Zachariason pointed out that Rice’s ADP has already fallen a full round, but Worthy has moved only 2.3 spots week-over-week (four spots all summer), creating a value pocket. He argued the suspension frees up a meaningful slice of the Chiefs’ target pie early in the year, and that volume is likely to funnel toward the remaining talented pass-catchers—namely Worthy—because Andy Reid’s scheme and Patrick Mahomes’ pass volume remain constant. Zachariason also highlighted Worthy’s second-half 2023 usage shift: a lower average depth of target and more horizontal routes that boosted his weekly floor while preserving his vertical splash-play upside. An early-season target bump could help the second-year wideout cement himself as Mahomes’ clear No. 2 weapon, giving him week-winning spike weeks that are perfect for best ball. Zachariason said he has pushed his portfolio to 12% exposure and will keep drafting Worthy in round 4 until the market corrects.

JJ Zachariason urged drafters to lean on Tyler Higbee in the 20th round when their build still needs a third tight end. He argued that zeros at the position are “actually horrible” for best-ball EV, and Higbee’s entrenched role in Sean McVay’s offense makes him one of the few late-round options likely to avoid them. Zachariason predicted at least one slate where Higbee shows up as a $3,300 salary-relief staple in DFS cash games—evidence that volume and red-zone routes will still be there. In contrast, flyers like Arande Gadsden or Will Dissly project as functional zeros even if they see the field. For Zachariason, locking in Higbee’s 3-for-35 floor is far more valuable than chasing long-shot upside that never materializes.

JJ Zachariason recommended scooping Justice Hill in the 16th round as a floor-stabilizer for zero-RB builds. He emphasized that Baltimore will not live in positive game scripts every week, and when the Ravens fall behind, Hill—not Keaton Mitchell—will dominate passing-down snaps. Zachariason highlighted Hill’s 46 targets last season, noting that Todd Monken repeatedly trusted him in two-minute drill work. Because those negative-script catches correlate with Lamar Jackson’s elevated drop-back totals, Hill can quietly rack up five-catch, 60-yard lines that meet best-ball lineup thresholds even without a touchdown.

JJ Zachariason pointed out that Jordan Love keeps falling a full round past ADP in many DraftKings rooms, something he called "bizarre" given how painless the Packers stack is. Love’s primary pass-catchers—Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, Tucker Kraft—are all available after the 12th round, and Doubs quietly commanded a 21% target share per game last season. With Christian Watson not expected back until at least November, Doubs and Wicks should open the year in two-wide sets, giving Love a stable floor of volume while retaining spike-week upside from the deep ball. Zachariason is loading up on Love at the tail end of QB2 territory, arguing that the exposure offers natural leverage against drafters who pay up for pricier stacks that require an early-round receiver.

JJ Zachariason explained that quarterback prices on DraftKings have compressed so much that Kyler Murray now goes only one to two rounds ahead of pure pocket passers like Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence and CJ Stroud—a delta that used to be four to five rounds earlier in the spring. With that discount in place, Murray’s dual-threat profile (career 6.7 rush attempts and 38 rushing yards per game) offers far more week-winning upside than the statues he is being drafted next to. Zachariason added that this same ADP crunch makes the entire tier of mobile passers—Justin Fields, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy—better values and even pushes elite options such as Lamar Jackson back onto the table. But Murray is the focal point of his exposure because he still has WR1 Trey McBride, Michael Wilson and late-round dart Luther Burden available for cheap back-stacks.

JJ Zachariason warned that George Kittle’s rising ADP into the mid-fourth round has erased his margin for error. Kittle’s weekly ceiling still hinges on touchdowns because the 49ers’ target tree caps him at roughly 4.5 catches per game even in a best-case scenario. Zachariason noted that a season of 11–12 scores might still not beat Trey McBride straight up in full-PPR, bonus-heavy DraftKings scoring. With Breece Hall, DeVonta Smith and other high-volume options available in the same pocket, Zachariason would rather pass on Kittle unless he falls back to the fifth where he was going a month ago.

JJ Zachariason argued that Trey McBride is underpriced by four to five picks even after climbing into the early third round on DraftKings’ full-PPR, bonus-heavy format. He’s currently holding roughly 20% exposure and still feels that’s justified because the opportunity cost of selecting McBride at that spot is materially lower than paying a second-round tag for Brock Bowers. Zachariason emphasized how McBride’s 2023 breakout featured elite volume—he averaged 8.2 targets per game after Week 8—and that Arizona’s offense projects to funnel underneath looks to him again. In a format where tight ends receive a full point per reception and 100-yard bonuses, Zachariason believes McBride’s combination of target share, route participation, and red-zone usage gives him legitimate difference-making upside that isn’t fully captured in his current ADP.

JJ Zachariason told drafters not to underestimate Aaron Rodgers, saying he "wouldn’t be shocked" if the 40-year-old outscores C.J. Stroud this season. Rodgers often falls two to three rounds past ADP once rooms fill their QB needs, creating an easy value pocket around pick 160. JJ pointed out that Rodgers still has elite deep-ball efficiency and now gets DK Metcalf to convert those moon-balls in Pittsburgh’s revamped passing attack. Because the opportunity cost is minimal compared to Stroud’s ninth-round sticker price, JJ views Rodgers as the perfect late stacking partner for Metcalf or Pat Freiermuth and a sneaky way to unlock 35-touchdown upside without paying the sophomore-hype tax.

JJ Zachariason argued that Sam LaPorta is being drafted far too early relative to T.J. Hockenson. He said the production gap between the two tight ends simply is not big enough to justify LaPorta’s ADP premium of almost two full rounds. Because Hockenson should be back from his ACL by November and historically commands a similar target share, JJ is passing on LaPorta in favor of cheaper elite-tier tight ends or even pivoting to Hockenson when the discount presents itself. The takeaway: fade LaPorta at his late-second/early-third price tag and capture comparable ceiling later.

JJ Zachariason highlighted Bo Nix as one of the rare quarterbacks who still reaches owners at or even below ADP because rooms rarely feel compelled to reach for him. JJ is perfectly happy drafting Nix "naked" thanks to the rookie’s rushing upside (multi-TD ground games in college) and the abundance of cheap pass-catcher options—Marvin Mims, Devaughn Vele, Courtland Sutton if he falls, or even late-round TE Evan Engram. With most QB2s inflating, any Nix slide becomes an outsized closing-line value that safeguards roster construction while still delivering spike-week legs. Zachariason urged drafters to pounce whenever Nix drifts, viewing him as a portfolio cornerstone for both two-QB and three-QB builds.

JJ Zachariason said drafters should willingly grab Kyler Murray a half-to-full round ahead of ADP in DraftKings best-ball rooms. Murray routinely lands in the 9-10 pocket where JJ believes the market inefficiency now lives: later QB2s like Jordan Love have already been pushed up, so Kyler’s relative points-per-game price is actually cheaper. He stressed that Murray can be stacked cheaply with Michael Wilson or even an undrafted Jaden Blue, giving you correlation without sacrificing premium picks. Pairing Murray with another QB from the same tier (Fields, Dak, Bow Nix, etc.) lets you stop at two quarterbacks or delay QB3 until the very end, freeing earlier capital for RB/WR upside plays. The takeaway: lean into the rushing floor/ceiling and late stacking options by deliberately overweighting Murray before the room forces his ADP higher.

JJ Zachariason said drafters should be taking Josh Reynolds more often in DraftKings Milly Maker rooms even though the veteran is "probably fourth in target share" on Detroit behind Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, and Jameson Williams. Reynolds routinely goes undrafted, which makes him an inexpensive way to complete Jared Goff stacks or run-backs for Lions game environments that project to shoot out in Week 17. Zachariason noted Reynolds has flashed usable spike weeks every season (three games of 15+ DK points in 2023) and is still trusted by the coaching staff to play full snaps in two-wide sets. At a near-zero opportunity cost, JJ views him as a perfect 18th-to-20th-round pick when you need late correlation or simply another body with downfield role upside.

Zachariason explained that once the QB run hits the Kyler Murray–Bo Nix tier, he actively passes on Jared Goff and similar pocket passers, arguing there is “so much more upside” in Nix. He is willing to take the rookie at or even slightly ahead of ADP because the entire eighth-through-tenth-round quarterback group gets squeezed together anyway, making the back of that cluster less valuable. Nix brings rushing ability and an easy late stack (Pat Surtain, Devon Velae, Greg Dulcich) at minimal opportunity cost, which Zachariason believes is exactly what tournament drafters should chase.

JJ Zachariason said Bryce Young is the perfect QB3 in DraftKings tournaments. Over the final 10 games of 2023—once he reclaimed the starting job—Young quietly averaged more than five fantasy points per game with his legs, a rushing baseline rarely found in the late rounds. Because Carolina pass-catchers like Jalen Coker and Jotavian Sanders come dirt cheap, Young can be stacked after the fact and still leave room for premium picks elsewhere. Zachariason has been hammering the former No. 1 overall pick whenever his room needs a third quarterback.

JJ Zachariason called the entire Packers offense "undervalued" in DraftKings best-ball rooms. He likes how easy it is to assemble full stacks because every piece is affordable: Jaden Reed and rookie Matthew Golden sit in the mid-rounds, Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft go in the double-digit rounds, and Romeo Doubs is “very, very cheap.” Jordan Love himself can usually be scooped at a turn, which lets drafters grab a second elite skill player before locking in the quarterback. Zachariason’s takeaway is that Green Bay gives you correlated ceiling without forcing reaches, so he has intentionally been adding exposure across his Milly Maker portfolio.

JJ Zachariason tempered expectations for Justin Herbert and the entire Chargers passing attack, stating he is "just not a Greg Roman guy." Zachariason noted that Roman’s historical offenses have been run-heavy and rarely finished near the top of the league in pass volume or efficiency. Although he still drafted Herbert at ADP to pair with rookie Ladd McConkey and Trey Harris, Zachariason said he would be "surprised" if Los Angeles becomes an elite fantasy passing offense that managers regret being underweight on. He advised best-ball players to view Herbert as a fine correlation piece rather than a quarterback to aggressively overweight, especially with the team telegraphing a commitment to the ground game through its offseason moves.

JJ Zachariason predicted Jordan Mason’s ADP "is just going to rise" over the summer but cautioned drafters not to chase it outside of specific best-ball bring-back situations. He expects Mason to handle goal-line and some early-down work in Minnesota, projecting roughly a 40% share of the ground game while Aaron Jones maintains the bulk of carries and, critically, the bulk of receiving snaps. Zachariason pointed to Mason’s dreadful yards-per-route-run numbers in the NFL and a thin collegiate receiving profile that was masked by sharing a backfield with Jahmyr Gibbs. Because Mason offers almost no pass-catching equity, Zachariason labeled him a "borderline void" in season-long formats and a player whose spike weeks will be almost entirely touchdown-dependent.

JJ Zachariason said he has been passing on Jordan Addison in DraftKings Milly Maker drafts because he believes a league-issued suspension is "probably coming." Zachariason explained that missing even a couple of early-season weeks is a big deal in best ball tournaments where advancing out of the regular-season pod requires immediate points. While he admitted Addison would have made his roster "unique," Zachariason thinks the wideout’s current price fails to account for the risk of lost games and the Vikings’ crowded target tree once Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson, and rookie Malik Nabers (whom Zachariason already drafted) are all active. In his view, the opportunity cost of taking Addison inside the top 80 picks is too steep until clarity on the suspension timeline arrives.

When drafting from the 1.01 with Ja'Marr Chase, JJ Zachariason prefers grabbing Joe Burrow around pick 5.02 rather than reaching for Jalen Hurts. Burrow frequently slips unstacked on DraftKings, offering top-five quarterback upside at a two-round discount. Zachariason believes Burrow can match Hurts’ production in 2024, so locking in the cheaper Bengal preserves earlier capital for another elite skill player while still completing a high-ceiling stack.

JJ Zachariason told listeners that Darren Waller is acceptable as a late-round best-ball dart but warned against projecting a Jonnu Smith-level role in Miami. He noted Mike McDaniel’s offenses were bottom-three in tight-end target share every year before last season’s 19.5% spike for Jonnu. Waller, coming off injuries and lacking Smith’s yards-after-catch juice, is unlikely to see comparable volume. Zachariason still sees a path to occasional red-zone spikes, which is all you need at TE20+, yet he cautioned drafters not to treat Waller as a reliable weekly starter.

JJ Zachariason said he intentionally selected Jahmyr Gibbs over Bijan Robinson at pick 1.04 in his 60-plus DraftKings Milly Maker best-ball draft because Gibbs offers superior spike-week potential. He acknowledged Robinson is probably the steadier season-long play, but argued Gibbs’ explosive receiving profile and the contingent upside if David Montgomery misses time give him a higher weekly ceiling—exactly what wins in best ball tournaments. Zachariason added that this pick helped balance his overall exposure, as he had been light on Gibbs shares to this point.