Musso kept Scottie Scheffler atop his rankings, arguing that world No. 1s do not stay No. 1 without a ruthless competitive edge. He expects Scheffler to channel Rory McIlroy’s Masters hype as motivation, noting Scheffler already leads the TOUR in SG: Tee-to-Green (+2.41) and ranks top-5 in driving efficiency on long par-4s—a critical stat at Quail Hollow. Musso framed Scheffler as the safest outright in the field and a ‘pay-what-it-costs’ anchor in DFS cash builds.

Musso slotted Collin Morikawa fourth and said the two-time major winner is ‘exactly what a PGA set-up asks of you.’ He pointed to Morikawa’s recent putter change—something he and Shane Bacon had loudly advocated for—and the fresh synergy with veteran caddie Joe Greiner. Ball-striking remains elite (top-10 in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds), so even a neutral week with the flat stick could yield a top-5 finish. Musso suggested buying top-10 tickets now before any positive signal at the preceding event shortens his odds.

Musso dropped Jason Day from his top-10 after learning—via Dan Rapoport—that Day’s withdrawal from the Truist event was due to a disc herniation in his neck. Musso said any outright or DFS exposure is now a ‘dream only’ scenario and advised removing Day from betting cards unless concrete medical updates show full recovery before the PGA at Quail Hollow.

Joe Musso slotted Jon Rahm all the way down at No. 11 and told listeners to stop treating him like a betting favorite. Musso argued that Rahm simply has not looked tournament-sharp since moving to LIV: the Spaniard has logged very few competitive reps in 2024, has yet to record a top-10 in a major or signature event this year, and is still being priced as if nothing has changed (he noted Rahm owns the third-shortest odds on most boards). Until Rahm returns to a schedule where ‘competitive reps are a regularity,’ Musso is willing to fade him in outright and placement markets, saying, “give me your money, I’ll burn it for you.”

Joe Musso predicted Jordan Spieth will win the Truist Championship, arguing that everything about Spieth’s body language at TPC Craig Ranch—highlighted by a closing-round 62—screams ‘heater incoming.’ Musso went full “man-alytics,” saying Spieth flashed his trademark grin all week, looked noticeably more relaxed while still peppering Michael Greller with detailed yardage chats, and appears to be riding the kind of confidence wave that often precedes his hot streaks. Musso advised bettors to buy before the number shortens, stressing that a feel-based player like Spieth often strings elite putting weeks together when he’s smiling instead of grinding.

Joe Musso warned bettors not to blindly chase Rory McIlroy at Quail Hollow, calling him "fat and fed" after the emotional Masters victory. Musso worries the whirlwind media tour between Augusta and Charlotte has yanked McIlroy out of his razor-sharp routine—exactly the type of disruption that can turn a normally surgical wedge player into a merely good one. With a condensed major calendar and countless off-course obligations, Musso expects distraction-driven variance and thinks the market is still pricing McIlroy as if nothing has changed. His play: sit out any outright number shorter than 8-1 and look to fade Rory in match-ups against similarly priced but better-prepped elites.

Joe Musso slotted Collin Morikawa fourth in his rankings, arguing that Quail Hollow rewards Morikawa’s elite tee-to-green precision. Musso pointed out that Morikawa finally made the long-awaited putter change and now has Joe Greiner—fresh off a win with Justin Thomas—on the bag, two tweaks he believes can tighten up Morikawa’s weakest links. Although the short game still needs to hold up, Musso views Morikawa’s combination of top-5 iron play (gaining 1.4 SG: Approach per round in his last four measured events) and elite fairway-finder accuracy as an ideal fit for the PGA setup. He recommended grabbing any number longer than 20-1 now and using Morikawa as a DFS core play while the market waits to see if the new flat stick cooperates.

Joe Musso downgraded Jason Day from seventh to off the board after news broke that Day withdrew from the Truist because of a herniated cervical disc. Musso noted that neck issues have derailed Day in the past and called the timing brutal with only a week to rehab before Quail Hollow. Even if Day tees it up, Musso expects limited practice reps and warns that one swing could send him back to the physio trailer. He advised tossing Day from outright cards and looking to fade him in head-to-head markets unless convincing reports of pain-free practice surface early in the week.

Joe Musso said he is ready to “close the book” on Jon Rahm as a short-number outright until the Spaniard proves he can contend without a steady diet of high-level reps. Musso slotted Rahm a shocking 11th in his personal power rankings, noting that books continue to hang the third-shortest odds despite Rahm’s lack of competitive rhythm since jumping to LIV. Musso stressed that bettors are still paying a premium for Rahm’s pre-LIV reputation even though he has not sniffed a major leaderboard in 2024 and has struggled whenever he is forced to find tournament sharpness on the fly. His advice: pivot to better-priced names in the same tier or attack Rahm in matchup fades until tangible form re-emerges.

Joe Musso said Scheffler deserves to be treated like the runaway MVP heading into the PGA Championship and is still worth betting even at very short prices. Musso pointed to Scheffler's eye-popping strokes-gained profile from last week that Rick Gamin called "historic," a repaired left-miss that Scheffler himself admitted had bothered him earlier in the season, and a string of double-digit SG: Tee-to-Green weeks that has produced blowout wins of 5, 5, 4 and now 8 shots since March. Musso stressed that Scheffler does not nurse leads—he extends them—citing the front-nine 30 he fired Sunday despite starting the day up six. Coupled with his year-long trend of gaining over 2 shots per round on approach and his tour-leading grinder-to-sprinter versatility, Musso believes any outright number longer than +400 is still value. He also recommended live-betting Scheffler if he grabs an opening-round lead because his track record shows he closes at a better than 80 percent clip when up multiple strokes after 36 holes.

Joe Musso pegged Viktor Hovland as his favorite first-time major winner bet. Hovland sat inside the top three on Sunday at each of the previous two PGAs before a bunker miscue at Oak Hill and a back-nine stall at Valhalla. Musso pointed out that Hovland still ranks top-10 in total driving and strokes-gained approach this season while quietly gaining 1.6 strokes around the green at Harbour Town after short-game tweaks with coach Joe Mayo. With the statistical profile finally complete and odds hovering around 25-1, Musso believes the Norwegian has the highest ceiling among non-major winners and is a must-click in outright markets and DFS GPP lineups.

Joe Musso declared that Bryson DeChambeau is about to steam-roll the PGA Championship, predicting a six-shot romp. Musso said Bryson just posted his best strokes-gained approach week on LIV since his Pinehurst U.S. Open win, confirming that the single-length irons are finally synced with the straightened driver. A rain-soaked Valhalla should play long and soft, which Musso believes turns the tournament into a pure power test—Bryson’s favorite environment. Because the market still prices Bryson outside the top tier, Musso urged bettors to hit outright tickets, top-5 props, and especially the juicy alt-margin lines (4+ or 6+ stroke victory) before they disappear.