Joe Pisapia said he was adding Joe Burrow at 50-1 to his futures card for Offensive Player of the Year. He reminded listeners that voters have repeatedly handed the same player both MVP and OPOY—Tom Brady in 2007, Patrick Mahomes in 2018, Matt Ryan in 2016, Cam Newton in 2015, even Peyton Manning and Adrian Peterson in their award seasons—so there is a clear historical path. With Cincinnati expected to post video-game passing numbers, Pisapia thinks the price is simply too long and worth a sprinkle.

Joe Pisapia fired on Ja'Marr Chase at +900 for Offensive Player of the Year, reasoning that a "big year for Burrow means a bigger year for Chase." He values the 9-1 payout on a receiver who already owns a 1,800-yard season and leads the league in end-zone targets. Pisapia framed it as a simple correlation bet—the Bengals’ MVP narrative will funnel production through Chase, and a $100 stake returns roughly $1,000 if it hits.

Joe Pisapia said Abdul Carter at +185 is a wager to pound for AP Defensive Rookie of the Year. Pisapia expects Carter to pile up sacks right away while lining up opposite Dexter Lawrence on a Giants front that already ranked sixth in pressure rate. He stressed that producing double-digit sacks in the nation’s largest media market will generate constant highlight clips and voter buzz. The only red flag Pisapia sees is the run of bad injury luck New York’s DL has endured, but if Carter stays on the field he believes the award is his to lose.

Joe Pisapia advised fading Brandon Aiyuk after the receiver’s major knee surgery. Pisapia expects a slow start that fantasy teams cannot afford, especially with George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, rookie Ricky Pearsall and a healthy Christian McCaffrey all competing for targets. With his explosiveness in question and no guarantee of high volume, Aiyuk carries both a low weekly floor and a capped ceiling—traits Pisapia views as disqualifying for a mid-round draft pick.

Joe Pisapia warned that Josh Jacobs is unlikely to replicate last year’s carry load now that Jordan Love’s ankle is healthy. Pisapia noted Green Bay leaned on 340 Jacobs rush attempts in 2024 because Love lacked his usual pocket mobility and was "never right the entire season." With Love moving fluidly again, Pisapia expects Matt LaFleur to unlock more play-action and designed rollouts, trimming Jacobs’ touches and exposing him to injury risk if the Packers stubbornly keep his workload in the high-20s per game. Drafters counting on another usage spike should downgrade Jacobs into the mid-RB2 range.

Joe Pisapia said fantasy managers in super-flex drafts should treat Michael Penix as an upside swing for their late second or ideally third quarterback slot. Pisapia acknowledged it is "a little suspect" that Raheem Morris has held the rookie out of every preseason snap, but he views that more as Atlanta protecting potential trade leverage with Kirk Cousins than an indictment of Penix’s ability. The lack of in-game reps could slow early chemistry with Drake London and Kyle Pitts, yet Pisapia still prefers stashing Penix over the veteran waiver assortment because Penix’s rushing component and deep-ball profile give him week-winning ceilings if Cousins is dealt or benched.

Joe Pisapia said DeMario Douglas is the cheapest way to profit from Josh McDaniels’ return to New England and expects him to slide straight into the high-volume slot role once owned by Julian Edelman and Wes Welker. Edelman and Welker used to reel in 120 catches a year; while Pisapia is not projecting that total, he sees Douglas’ quickness and underneath route savvy fitting the same mold and translating to steady full-PPR flex production. Because fantasy players are tired of Patriots wide-receiver misses, Douglas is virtually free at the end of drafts, but Pisapia believes he has a realistic top-40 finish in his range of outcomes.

Joe Pisapia urged drafters to exploit Ricky Pearsall’s mid-40s wide-receiver ADP, calling him a near-free lottery ticket to weekly WR-2 production. Pearsall missed most of last season after being shot but flashed down the stretch, and the 49ers’ depth chart is wide open with Brandon Aiyuk expected to start on the PUP and only journeyman Jauan Jennings behind him. Pisapia noted that sheer volume in a soft early schedule could push Pearsall to seven-plus targets a week, especially if Christian McCaffrey or George Kittle miss time. Given the negligible opportunity cost, he sees Pearsall as a "find-out fast" pick who could anchor lineups by October.

Joe Pisapia said Jordan Mason is a "sneaky, good pickup" and a better investment at current ADP than Aaron Jones. Pisapia pointed out that Kevin O'Connell has publicly stated he wants Mason as the "1B" in the Vikings backfield, giving him an immediate path to weekly touches. He argued the 49ers trading Mason was a mistake—especially with Garendo already hurt—because Mason flashed feature-back skills last year and proved he can handle a full workload. Pisapia added that Jones carries considerable mileage, making Mason the safer season-long target relative to cost.

Joe Pisapia argued Xavier Worthy’s draft price is "far too high" given the Chiefs’ murky receiver hierarchy and overall offensive transition. Worthy is being selected in the same range as proven commodities like George Pickens, yet Pisapia says we have only brief flashes and no guarantee Worthy commands significant target share—especially with the Rashee Rice situation unresolved. He does not expect Worthy to justify his ADP.

Joe Pisapia is fading Travis Kelce at his second-round ADP. He noted the 34-year-old "clearly lost a step" last season as yards-per-route and explosive plays declined. With Kansas City entering a transitional phase offensively, Pisapia prefers similarly priced tight ends Mark Andrews or Evan Engram, who are five-plus years younger and still ascending.

Joe Pisapia labeled Courtland Sutton a screaming value. Under Sean Payton, Sutton turned in 81 catches, 1,081 yards and eight touchdowns—good for WR13 last year—yet he is drafted as WR22 and often slips to WR3 territory. Pisapia expects a near copy-and-paste stat line thanks to Sutton’s chemistry with Bo Nix and his clear status as Denver’s top target. He would take Sutton over DK Metcalf in that draft pocket every time.

Joe Pisapia urged drafters to pass on Chris Olave at current cost. Olave suffered multiple concussions last season and now faces uncertain quarterback play from Tyler Shough or Spencer Rattler behind what Pisapia’s Blackbook grades as a bottom-of-the-barrel offensive line. That shaky ecosystem limits touchdown and volume upside, making it unlikely Olave returns value. Pisapia prefers similarly priced receivers such as Jamison Williams or Tet McMillan, who carry fewer red flags.

Joe Pisapia said Justin Herbert is "free" in single-QB leagues yet still owns elite ceiling. Herbert finished QB9 with a rookie passing record and QB2 with 5,000 yards in his next season. Even under Greg Roman’s run-heavy scheme he logged 332 attempts last year; Pisapia projects that to reach 400 with yards-after-catch threat Trey Harris now on the roster. After tossing just three regular-season interceptions, Herbert’s efficiency plus near-last-round ADP in both redraft and Superflex makes him a slam-dunk target.

Joe Pisapia advised steering clear of Najee Harris because there has been "no word anywhere" on Harris’ health or role coming out of Chargers camp. In an industry draft he monitored, that uncertainty pushed Harris to the 13th round. Pisapia said the silence this late in August is a red flag and recommended investing in backs with clearer information instead of gambling on Harris’ availability or workload.

Joe Pisapia hammered Brian Thomas’ regular-season receiving-yard prop, taking over 1,150.5 yards at –114 and projecting roughly 1,300. He reminded listeners that Thomas cracked 1,200 as a rookie despite sharing targets with Calvin Ridley. With Ridley gone and Travis Hunter drawing defensive attention, Thomas should reprise—and surpass—last year’s 25% target share. Pisapia trusts new play-caller Liam Cohn to "tweak things just enough" to keep Thomas in space while Hunter acts as the field-tilting decoy. In his view the market is anchoring to Hunter’s arrival without acknowledging Thomas’ Year-2 leap and Cohn’s Rams-style vertical concepts, making the over a "gimmick" line to exploit.

Joe Pisapia slammed the Jaguars’ 7.5-win total, noting they could realistically start 1-6 before the Week-8 bye thanks to a vicious gauntlet—Panthers, Bengals, Texans, 49ers, Chiefs, Seahawks, Rams. Six of those games are in Jacksonville, so dropping them buries playoff hopes and kills fan morale right away. Pisapia worries rookie head coach Liam Cohen will struggle to steady a locker room that has never proven it can win ugly. Even if Travis Hunter sparks the offense, the defense that ranked 31st in third-down conversion rate returns largely intact and still lacks pass-rush depth behind Josh Allen. After the bye things do not get easier: six of the final ten contests are on the road, leaving little wiggle room to claw back. Pisapia therefore advises taking the under 7.5 at –115 and sprinkling alt-unders once books post them, expecting another ‘same-old-Jags’ season.

Joe Pisapia backed the Texans to clear the alt win-total of 9.5 at plus money, projecting a 10–7 season that cashes AFC South futures. Pisapia highlighted how the schedule breaks perfectly down the stretch: five of Houston’s final seven games are at NRG Stadium and every one of those opponents missed last year’s playoffs. He argued the team has already banked consecutive 10-win campaigns despite brutal injury luck—2023 saw four starting linemen and both starting wideouts miss significant time—so merely average health gives C.J. Stroud more protection and continuity. With Stroud entering Year 3 in Bobby Slowik’s system and DeMeco Ryans fielding a top-10 pressure rate defense, Pisapia believes Houston can overcome a mid-season hiccup and rattle off wins in December. The combination of late-season cupcake opponents, a proven coaching edge, and an offense that should finally stay upright makes the over 9.5 his favorite plus-money bet in the division.

Joe Pisapia bet Aaron Jones under 750.5 regular-season rushing yards at –114. Pisapia expects Kevin O’Connell to lean on the younger, fresher Jordan Mason between the tackles and at the goal line, leaving Jones in a reduced change-of-pace role. He pointed out that the 29-year-old Jones has 1,400 NFL touches on his odometer and missed four games last year with knee and hamstring issues—wear and tear that makes a 750-yard threshold ambitious. With Mason siphoning early-down work and J.J. McCarthy likely adding designed QB runs, Pisapia sees a crowded backfield that caps Jones’ volume well below the posted prop.

Joe Pisapia labeled the Vikings the best value in the NFC North outright market at +290. He sees no clear favorite—every team has plus money—and believes bettors should side with the franchise that pairs an 11-win-average coach with a top-five defensive coordinator. Given Detroit’s schedule concerns and Green Bay’s volatility, Pisapia wants the longest price of the credible contenders and will live with any McCarthy growing pains, trusting O’Connell/Flores to navigate the division.

Joe Pisapia backed the Bears to clear 8.5 wins, arguing that Caleb Williams’ second-year leap gives Chicago the only ascending quarterback situation in a division where two clubs are likely to regress and another is breaking in a rookie signal-caller. Pisapia views Williams as the division’s highest-ceiling passer and noted that OC Ben Johnson’s scheme has historically produced fast starts for young quarterbacks. With the Lions and Packers both projected to take a step back, Pisapia sees an 9-10 win path for Chicago and is comfortable laying standard juice on the over.

Pisapia highlighted Xavier Edwards +240 to steal a base against Colorado as his favorite plus-money dart. Edwards is fresh off a 5-for-5 day and owns a 91% contact rate since returning from Triple-A, traits Pisapia said make him "perpetually on first." Colorado will start left-hander Austin Gomber, whose deliberate move to the plate (1.46-second average) has allowed 10 steals in his last six outings. Combine that with Rockies catcher Elias Diaz’s 15% caught-stealing rate and wind blowing out to right, and Pisapia sees multiple on-base chances for Edwards. At +240, he called the price “a juicy ROI for roto junkies chasing steals.”

Joe Pisapia told listeners to scoop up Devin Williams right now, speculating that Luke Weaver’s hamstring twinge could reopen Milwaukee’s ninth-inning door sooner than expected. Weaver was scheduled for high-leverage work but had to shut it down mid-warm-up, and Pisapia thinks even a brief IL stint would push Williams—already throwing bullpens—back into the closer’s seat. He reminded fantasy managers that Williams’ career 39 % strikeout rate and 1.84 ERA are elite when healthy, and that the Brewers have remained within three games of first place, meaning every save will matter. While Chris Welsh cautioned that this may not be the final hurdle, Pisapia argued the tiny FAAB cost today outweighs the premium you would pay once Craig Counsell officially reinstates Williams. He labeled Williams a must-add in any league where speculative saves matter.

Pisapia recommended betting Logan Webb 6-plus strikeouts at +138, arguing books are underrating Webb’s whiff surge. The Giants ace has cleared six punch-outs in four of his last five starts while posting a 31% CSW and leaning on a change-up that owns a 42% whiff rate this season. Webb now faces a lineup that chases outside the zone 33% of the time (4th-highest in MLB), giving him both volume and swing-and-miss upside. Pisapia emphasized that standard Webb K lines have sat at 5.5 with juice; the alternate band lets bettors keep the trend while grabbing plus money.

Joe Pisapia urged bettors to grab Juan Soto –115 to record a run tonight in L.A. He noted the Mets lineup finally woke up over the weekend and that Soto’s .419 OBP virtually guarantees multiple trips on base. Pisapia pointed out that the same prop is often –135 or worse when Soto is facing weaker pitching, so getting –115 against a Dodgers staff that has hemorrhaged a .340 OBP to left-handed hitters over the past two weeks is a discount. With Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso swinging well behind him, Pisapia expects at least one of Soto’s times on base to turn into a run and called the price “too good to pass up.”

Joe Pisapia urged fantasy managers to grab Ryan Yarbrough immediately while he is still available in nearly 70 % of CBS leagues (31 % rostered). Pisapia highlighted Yarbrough’s latest outing—six innings of one-run, four-hit ball against the powerful Dodgers lineup—as proof the southpaw’s ‘bulk reliever’ blueprint works in any matchup. Yarbrough has now logged quality starts in three of his last four turns and owns a 1.98 ERA over that span. Because he often follows an opener, he is in prime position for cheap wins without facing opposing lineups three times. Pisapia contrasted that with fantasy teams stubbornly starting struggling aces like Sandy Alcantara and argued Yarbrough’s efficiency and soft-contact profile (career 31 % hard-hit rate) make him a safer ratios play right now. His bottom line: add Yarbrough in all 12-team and deeper formats before the field catches on.

Joe Pisapia went back to the same matchup for his home-run call, backing Shohei Ohtani. Oakland still lists the starter as "TBD," and Pisapia joked "TBD gives up a lot of homers." If it is Jeffrey Springs making his first MLB appearance since surgery, Pisapia likes the spot even more because Ohtani owns a 1.089 OPS off lefties and sits in the 94th percentile for barrel rate. With friendly hitting conditions at Dodger Stadium, Pisapia expects Ohtani’s elite exit velocities to cash the HR prop.

Pisapia laid –126 on the Blue Jays because Jose Berrios has the form edge while Shane Baz is scuffling. Baz owns a 4.93 ERA and 1.33 WHIP across his last seven starts (38 IP) and his command has wavered, prompting Pisapia to say he’ll "keep attacking Baz until he turns it around." With Berrios working deeper into games and Toronto’s bullpen rested, Pisapia expects the Jays to control the matchup; he even suggested adding the Toronto team-total over for extra exposure.

Joe Pisapia said fantasy managers should be ready to jettison Jordan Walker after another 0-for-4, two-strikeout night dragged the 22-year-old’s slash line even lower. Pisapia expects St. Louis to option Walker before the weekend, noting it would be his third demotion in as many seasons. He argued the club can easily absorb the move because Brendan Donovan can shift to a corner spot while Lars Nootbaar, Victor Scott, and Alec Burleson all provide outfield depth. Pisapia added that Walker’s winter attempt to shorten his swing by bringing his hands inside has backfired—“everything is worse this year”—making a change of scenery or a “poop-for-poop” trade increasingly likely. In redraft leagues of 12 teams or fewer, Pisapia advised cutting Walker now rather than waiting for the inevitable transaction.

Joe Pisapia called "shenanigans" on the Brewers’ explanation that Brandon Woodruff’s additional rehab start is strictly due to ankle tendinitis. Pisapia is worried because Woodruff’s fastball sat just 90–91 mph in his last rehab appearance—well below his typical 95 mph—and he suspects a potential dead-arm period or lingering shoulder trouble. While acknowledging that an ankle issue could sap push-off power, Pisapia advised fantasy managers to keep Woodruff on the bench until the velocity returns, warning that investing heavily in injured pitchers always carries hidden risk.

Joe Pisapia grabbed Boston at –108 on the road, arguing the market is underrating how lopsided the pitching matchup is. Detroit rookie Jackson Jobe owns an ERA north of 5.00 and a .287 opponent average, whereas Tanner Houck has delivered quality starts in five of his last six with a 57% ground-ball rate. Pisapia also pointed out Rafael Devers’ recent heater (three homers, .390 OBP over his past seven games) and Boston’s top-10 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. He expects the Red Sox to chase Jobe early and let their rested bullpen protect a lead.

Pisapia pounced on Pittsburgh at +120 with Paul Skenes on the hill. Even after a shaky Cardinals start, Skenes still sports a 32% strikeout rate and the best Stuff+ among National League starters. Pisapia conceded the Mets lineup has been red-hot (121 wRC+ in May) but argued that whenever the league’s premier strikeout arm is an underdog, bettors should take the value. He trusts Skenes to outduel David Peterson and believes a middling New York bullpen (4.20 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) gives the Pirates paths to win even in a low-scoring game.

Pisapia also bet Rafael Devers to record a run at +145. He cited Devers’ 46% hard-hit rate over the last two weeks and Detroit’s bullpen ranking 26th in xFIP. With Jobe struggling to miss bats (16% whiff rate) and Houck likely keeping Boston in front, Pisapia expects Devers to bat at least five times and believes a single extra-base hit or walk will put him in scoring position against a relief corps allowing 1.32 HR/9.

Joe Pisapia warned managers to prepare for the possibility that Blake Snell never becomes a usable fantasy asset in 2024. Snell attempted to resume throwing but still felt discomfort, prompting the Dodgers to shut him back down. Pisapia noted Snell’s age, checkered injury history, and the club’s cushy division lead give Los Angeles every incentive to slow-roll or even shelve him entirely. With no bullpen sessions scheduled and no timeline for ramp-up, Pisapia advised anyone without an IL slot to consider cutting bait rather than burning a bench spot through midsummer hoping for a late-season cameo.

Joe Pisapia said it is perfectly reasonable to drop Nick Kurtz in 10-team formats after another 0-for-3 with a ninth-inning pinch-hitter. Kurtz owns a 39 % strike-out rate through his first two weeks, and the upcoming stretch (@Dodgers, @Giants, vs Angels, vs Phillies) does him no favors. Even though the rookie still sports a .269 average, Pisapia expects pitchers to keep exploiting his whiff problems with breaking and off-speed stuff. He added that Oakland could send Kurtz back down by Memorial Day if the punch-outs do not correct, so redraft managers protecting batting-average or OBP categories should move on unless they play in 12-plus-team leagues where upside bats are scarce.

Pisapia urged managers to trade for Alcantara now while the surface numbers still scare people. Alcantara fanned eight over 5.2 IP against the White Sox, and Chris Welsh highlighted a meaningful tweak: the change-up, normally his go-to, fell to only 15 % usage (fourth in his arsenal) with zero whiffs, while the fastball/curve combo generated every swing-and-miss. Welsh believes temporarily shelving the change-up could jump-start whiffs before re-introducing it later. The strikeout bounce, 107-pitch workload, and unchanged raw stuff suggest the ace version is close; the sky-high ERA keeps the buy window open another week or two.

Joe Pisapia said Wheeler’s price remains a bargain even after Sunday’s gem (8 K, 7 IP). Wheeler opened last week at 11-to-1, moved to 9-to-1 Sunday morning, and slid only to 7-to-1 after dominating again, signaling the market is still catching up. Pisapia noted the NL field is wide-open because Paul Skenes’ strikeout rate has dipped and voters have no runaway favorite. If Wheeler keeps piling up innings and whiffs on a first-place club, Pisapia expects those odds to keep crashing, making any ticket at 7-to-1 or longer an immediate buy for bettors hunting value.

Joe Pisapia upgraded his Tigers-Rockies same-game parlay by replacing Riley Greene’s RBI leg with a home-run prop, pushing the payout from 3-to-1 to 8.5-to-1. The bet is specifically for Game 2 of the Coors Field doubleheader, where Pisapia expects the altitude and Colorado’s patch-work bullpen (5.62 ERA, worst in MLB) to magnify every hard-hit ball. Greene may sit the early game, but his average exit velocity (91.4 mph) and 12 % barrel rate both eclipse last year’s marks, and he has already homered twice on the road trip. Pisapia views the switch as a classic risk-reward tweak: the Tigers’ leadoff man can still cash the parlay with one swing, while the wider odds compensate for the added variance.

Joe Pisapia urged deeper-league managers not to overlook Kyle Harrison, freshly summoned to the Giants’ bullpen. Harrison logged 10.2 K/9 with a 3.06 ERA at Triple-A Sacramento and, according to Joe, could leapfrog struggling incumbents in the next couple of weeks if San Francisco continues to search for rotation answers. Even in a relief role, the 22-year-old’s mid-90s fastball/slider combo plays up, but Pisapia’s real appeal lies in being first to market on a potential May starter who is still widely available. He suggested a small FAAB stash in 15-team mixed and NL-only formats before Harrison’s role expands.

Joe Pisapia pegged Camilo Doval as the top closer pickup of the week after Ryan Walker’s latest blown save. Doval has been “fantastic” when healthy and, in Joe’s view, owns a realistic shot to lock down the ninth for the rest of 2024 given Walker’s 5.15 ERA and declining strikeout rate. With only 50 % rostership, Doval should command the highest FAAB bid among speculative relievers, ahead of Shelby Miller and Porter Hodge.

Joe Pisapia reminded listeners that Jordan Beck is inexplicably available in roughly half of fantasy leagues and should be the priority add over Carter or Outman, especially with the Rockies at home this week. Beck has 5 homers, 4 steals and plays his home games in Coors, giving him an immediate park-factor boost. Although the rookie’s 28 strike-outs are concerning, Joe likes the power/speed combo for managers who just lost Yordan Alvarez or Teoscar Hernandez and need short-term outfield production that can also stick long term.

Joe Pisapia urged managers to skip Evan Carter altogether. Carter slashed just .212 in AAA, owns a career .263 OPS versus left-handed pitching, and—according to Joe—“might be nothing but a platoon guy who can’t hit anyone.” With so many blind spots in his profile, Pisapia called bidding on Carter a waste of free-agent budget and recommended focusing on more well-rounded options such as Jordan Beck.

Joe Pisapia said James Outman is a perfectly serviceable plug-and-play replacement for managers who just lost Teoscar Hernandez. Outman posted an .830 OPS with 8 homers in only 32 AAA games before the call-up and is rostered in barely 2–3 % of leagues, so the acquisition cost is next to nothing. Joe acknowledged the 35 % strike-out rate that doomed him last season, but noted that fantasy GMs can squeeze a week or two of cheap power while Teoscar sits and then simply toss Outman back on waivers when Hernandez is activated. The takeaway: spend zero or $1 FAAB for a short-term power lottery ticket and worry about the whiffs later.

Joe Pisapia took the over on Michael King’s 6.5 strikeout prop for Tuesday’s start against the Yankees. Pisapia noted that New York has the fourth-highest team strikeout total in baseball and routinely struggles to put the ball in play against right-handed sliders – King’s out pitch. The right-hander has recorded at least seven punch-outs in three of his last four outings while pushing his swinging-strike rate above 14 %. Pisapia added that King is facing his former organization and ‘wants to stick it to the Yankees,’ a narrative he thinks could keep Bob Melvin from giving King an early hook. He paired the K prop with the Padres money-line (-106) in a two-leg parlay that pays +219 but said the strikeout over is the priority bet.

Joe Pisapia urged fantasy managers not to let Devin Williams linger on waivers after a league-mate cut him. Even though the timeline for Williams’s return from his back injury remains vague, Pisapia argued the upside of a potential top-five closer is too great to ignore. He compared the stash decision to less-certain speculative arms like Cade Smith, pointing out that Milwaukee will hand Williams the ninth inning as soon as he’s healthy, whereas most stop-gap relievers have razor-thin job security. Pisapia added that Williams still sports elite career numbers—a 1.89 ERA and 40% strikeout rate—so a half-season of his saves could swing leagues that use limited IL spots.

Joe Pisapia singled out Brent Rooker as his favorite long-shot homer bet at +360. Pisapia noted that Seattle rookie Emerson Hancock brings a 6.00 ERA into tonight’s start and has already served up a blast to Rooker in their limited history (Rooker is 1-for-2 with a homer off him). The game will be played in one of the league’s smallest outfield footprints, a park Joe called “that tiny ballpark,” which should help Rooker’s pull-side power play even bigger. Pisapia trusts Rooker’s 15% barrel rate and 93 mph average exit velocity to punish Hancock’s middling four-seamer again and thinks the price is far too generous for a hitter who already has 13 bombs in 210 plate appearances. He framed the prop as both a straight bet and a DFS one-off tournament dart for owners chasing upside.

Joe Pisapia called Yordan Alvarez a prime trade target after the slugger landed on the 10-day IL with what the Astros labeled a minor oblique tweak. Pisapia stressed that Houston refused to back-date the move, signaling confidence Alvarez will return as soon as eligible and avoid a lengthy rehab assignment. He reminded listeners that Alvarez still ranks in the 98th percentile in hard-hit rate and expected slugging, so the underlying skills are unchanged. Because fantasy managers often panic over IL designations, Pisapia suggested opening with a 90-cent-on-the-dollar offer—think Juan Soto-lite bats such as Kyle Schwarber or J.D. Martinez—and emphasized that contending teams should pounce now before Alvarez starts a rehab stint and the discount evaporates.

Joe Pisapia took the over on Michael King’s 6.5 strikeout prop for Tuesday’s start against the Yankees. Pisapia noted that New York has the fourth-highest team strikeout total in baseball and routinely struggles to put the ball in play against right-handed sliders – King’s out pitch. The right-hander has recorded at least seven punch-outs in three of his last four outings while pushing his swinging-strike rate above 14 %. Pisapia added that King is facing his former organization and ‘wants to stick it to the Yankees,’ a narrative he thinks could keep Bob Melvin from giving King an early hook. He paired the K prop with the Padres money-line (-106) in a two-leg parlay that pays +219 but said the strikeout over is the priority bet.

Joe Pisapia urged managers to aim sky-high if they shop Garrett Crochet, insisting the left-hander’s breakout merits a return such as Fernando Tatis Jr. or Francisco Lindor. Pisapia framed Crochet as a top-five fantasy starter thanks to an elite strikeout rate (over 11.0 K/9) and strong team context. He warned against two-for-one offers like Brian Woo plus Carson Kelly, stressing that Crochet’s value is too high to settle for quantity over quality. The takeaway: treat Crochet like an ace and do not move him unless you secure a true difference-making hitter.

Joe Pisapia advised holding Ronald Acuna Jr., pointing out that the Braves’ superstar no longer needs a follow-up exam in Los Angeles and is still targeting an end-of-May return. Pisapia expects a rehab assignment to be announced soon and sees no reason to panic-sell or drop Acuna in leagues with limited IL spots. While he acknowledged some awkward vibes between Acuna and the Atlanta front office over the initial hamstring diagnosis, Pisapia emphasized that the medical update keeps the original, relatively short timetable intact, making Acuna worth stashing in every format.