Tansey labeled Jon Rahm a live long-shot at +1200. The Spaniard owns three top-15 finishes across this season’s first three majors, showing his game is peaking despite not lifting a major trophy since the 2023 Masters. Tansey thinks Rahm’s well-rounded skill set and trending form give him a better chance than the number implies, making him a worthwhile dart for outright or each-way tickets.

Tansey framed Scottie Scheffler as the safest way to attack the market, highlighting the Texan’s 10 straight top-10 finishes on tour and four top-10s in five career Open starts. While the +450 outright price is short, the consistency makes Scheffler an ideal top-10 or each-way play for bettors seeking a high floor rather than a lottery ticket.

Joe Tansey said Rory McIlroy is the most attractive outright wager at Royal Portrush even though DraftKings lists him behind Scottie Scheffler. Tansey pointed to McIlroy’s razor-sharp recent form—T6 at the Travelers and a T2 at last week’s Scottish Open, where he posted four rounds of 68 or better—and noted the Northern Irishman has logged only one round in the 70s since the U.S. Open. Add the emotional boost of playing a major in his home country and Tansey believes the +700 number understates his win probability, making McIlroy the top value on the board.

Joe Tansey recommended taking a plus-money stab on Ryan Fox to finish inside the top 30 at Oakmont. Fox is one of only two players—alongside Scottie Scheffler—with multiple PGA Tour wins since May, taking the Myrtle Beach Classic and edging Sam Burns in a Canadian Open playoff. While the New Zealander lacks a major top-10, he has made the cut in nine straight majors, proving he can hang on brutal setups. Listed at +10000 to win and showing plus odds in the top-30 market, Fox’s scorching recent form and cut-making consistency make him Tansey’s preferred longshot finishing-position prop. Tansey’s official prediction: Fox secures a top 30.

Joe Tansey labeled Harris English a value wager for a top-20 finish (+225) at Oakmont. English has quietly banked three U.S. Open top-10s since 2020—matching Scottie Scheffler in that span—and arrives fresh off a Sunday charge to solo 2nd at the PGA Championship and a T-12 at the Masters. He has six top-30s in his last eight PGA Tour starts and only two missed cuts in his past 10 majors, underscoring his weekend staying power. With finishing props of +150 for top-40 and +115 for top-30, Tansey sees English’s well-rounded game and major composure translating to a top-20 ticket cash.

Joe Tansey pushed Shane Lowry as a bettable top-10 option at Oakmont. Tansey highlighted Lowry’s steady major record—two top-10s and six top-20s since the start of 2023—and the Irishman’s course comfort after a T-2 here in the 2016 U.S. Open behind Dustin Johnson. Lowry has landed inside the top-20 at the last two U.S. Opens and owns five top-25s in his past six PGA Tour starts. DraftKings posts him at +130 for a top-20 and -140 for a top-30, both of which Tansey deemed playable, but he ultimately predicted Lowry cracks the top 10 given his mix of recent form, grinding skill set, and proven Oakmont success.