Joey P took Baker Mayfield over 3,825.5 regular-season passing yards at –114, calling the number "cake." Mayfield threw for 4,500 last season despite learning a new system and dealing with mid-year injuries to Chris Godwin. With Mike Evans re-signed and second-rounder Ricky Pearsall adding YAC ability, Joey believes Mayfield repeating 4K is the floor. Even mild regression would still clear the posted line by 175-plus yards, so he rated it his favorite NFC South player prop.