With Jacksonville trading away Evan Engram and Christian Kirk, Hansen flagged tight end Tyler Warren at 20/1 to be the Jaguars’ first-round surprise. He argued the market is ignoring Doug Pederson’s historical TE usage and Jacksonville’s depth chart void. Betting a position nobody is talking about gives Warren outs if the top receivers are gone, making the 20/1 a worthy dart throw for those seeking a longshot sweat late Thursday.

Hansen called “slam dunk” on the Vikings selecting a safety at pick 24 with a +200 price. Minnesota owns only four total picks, so they need an immediate defensive starter. After losing Camryn Bynum in free agency and already patching corner with bargain veterans, safety is the bigger hole. Drafting someone like Malachi Starks to learn next to Harrison Smith fills that void and maximizes limited draft capital, making the +200 safety market mis-priced versus cornerback.

Hansen tossed a small-stake flyer on Quinshon Judkins to be a first-round pick at +1800. He expects Sean Payton’s Broncos to consider a back at picks 20-21, arguing Judkins would pair better with Jaleel McLaughlin than TreVeyon Henderson. With several RB-hungry clubs and the narrative that "the running backs are back," Hansen thinks Judkins’ downhill style could make him the surprise third back to sneak into Thursday night, turning a modest bet into a big payout.

Hansen recommended the +200 prop that Jaxson Dart is drafted ahead of Shedeur Sanders, effectively making Dart the second quarterback off the board. He emphasized that DraftKings lists Dart –300 just to go in Round 1, and the over 2.5 total QBs in Round 1 is juiced to –135, showing books already expect Dart to crash the first round. With only Cam Ward lurking as another fringe option, Hansen gives Dart a 51-52% chance to leapfrog Sanders, calling the +200 price a rare mis-pricing given the Saints’ quiet interest and the overall scarcity of QB fits late in the first round.

John Hansen said to grab the +195 (was +190 earlier) price on Shedeur Sanders being selected by Pittsburgh. He pointed out the Steelers have the league’s worst quarterback room (Mason Rudolph and Skylar Thompson) after dropping their final five games, so QB is an urgent need. Pittsburgh’s culture and history of embracing legacy players meshes with Sanders’ high-profile background. Hansen noted that every other QB-needy team ahead of pick 21 — Cleveland, the Giants, Las Vegas — would have to reach, while trade-back candidates probably wait until later, leaving Sanders to Mike Tomlin. Combining need, organizational fit, and board dynamics, Hansen believes the market move toward the Steelers is justified and still bet-worthy at plus money.