John Lanfranca is taking Quang Le at +120 over Gaston Bolanos because the Peruvian striker’s 43 % takedown defense has allowed eight takedowns and 14 minutes of control time across just three UFC appearances. Lanfranca highlighted that even grappling-limited Brontaeus Romans twice took Bolanos’s back and threatened an armbar. He sees the striking as relatively even but expects Le’s heavier top pressure to bank at least two rounds and sway the judges. In what he calls a true coin-flip, Lanfranca prefers the dog with the clearer path to control and positional dominance.

John Lanfranca said the best way to attack the main event is to lay the chalk on Sandhagen to win in R4, R5 or by decision at ‑195 on FanDuel. He expects Sandhagen’s higher pace and superior cardio to grind down Figueiredo, noting that Figgy has looked slower and more methodical since moving to 135 and even had to lean on wrestling to survive Cody Garbrandt. Lanfranca doubts Figueiredo’s flyweight power has carried up and does not see a KO threat. Because the straight over 4.5 rounds is heavily juiced, the specific 4-5-Dec prop offers a cleaner price while still covering every outcome Lanfranca thinks is realistic for Sandhagen.

John Lanfranca said he would take Daniel Marcos’ moneyline if the Peruvian drifts to +120 or better, citing Marcos’ tendency to drag opponents into close three-round fights and Jackson’s reliance on early knockouts. Lanfranca thinks Marcos can survive the initial storm and turn the bout into a nip-and-tuck striking match where judges often reward activity over single big shots. Given Jackson’s sporadic schedule, brutal weight cut, and untested cardio at 33, Lanfranca prefers the plus money and feels Marcos cashes more than the implied 45-48 % at that number.

John Lanfranca is laying up to –140 on Miesha Tate, convinced the former champ’s takedown-heavy approach will overwhelm Yana Santos’ porous 43 % takedown defense. Lanfranca pointed to Tate’s last outing against Julia Avila, where she shot within the first 10 seconds of every round, and expects identical urgency here because Tate ‘doesn’t want damage at this stage of her career.’ Santos was grounded four times by Holly Holm and has struggled whenever opponents chain wrestle. With a clear path to top-control minutes and little fear of Santos’ striking, Lanfranca views the current price as a discount and would keep firing until it crosses –150.

John Lanfranca echoed the de Ridder money-line play at +275 but is also allocating a quarter unit to de Ridder by submission at +750. He expects Nickal to eventually initiate grappling—either to answer critics after the Paul Craig kickboxing snoozer or simply by instinct—and believes de Ridder’s pure-Jiu-Jitsu level is higher right now. Lanfranca noted de Ridder’s dual black belts, contrasted with Nickal’s freshly minted purple belt, and pointed out that Nickal was once quickly tapped by Gordon Ryan in a grappling match. Given Nickal’s declining performances and his voluntary exit from the rankings, Lanfranca views the fight as a toss-up and loves the big number on the more accomplished submission artist.