John Murray said sharp bettors immediately scooped up Las Vegas +3.5 for Week 1 at New England because he believes the opening number overrates the Patriots. Murray pointed to the growing buzz around Drake May, an aggressive free-agent spree, and the hiring of Mike Vrabel as narrative drivers that have already been fully priced into the market. With public perception likely pushing the Pats higher all summer, Murray expects New England to be an early-season ‘sell’ and views +3.5 as clear value, predicting the Raiders can keep the game inside a field goal or win outright.