John Murray reported respected money hitting Miami’s season-win total UNDER, a move he fully endorsed. He argued the AFC East is now the toughest it has been in years: Buffalo still boasts "the best player in the league" in Josh Allen, New England upgraded its roster and finally has a competent offensive staff, and the Jets come in with zero Aaron Rodgers circus and a defense good enough to keep them live most weeks. With three division opponents all projected to improve, Murray doubts the Dolphins can rack up easy wins, especially if Tua Tagovailoa’s durability again becomes an issue in the second half. Given the market opened as high as 10.5 wins in some shops, he believes the current nine-plus-juice numbers still haven’t fully captured how brutal Miami’s path is, making the UNDER the only sharp side.

John Murray advised betting Chicago to miss the playoffs, calling the Bears under 8.5 wins 'free money.' He said sharp action has already pushed the 'no playoffs' price to –160 but he expects a wave of hometown bettors to drive that number back down, at which point he plans to re-enter the market around –120. Murray is unconvinced that a revamped offensive line alone can fix Chicago’s long-standing issues and remains skeptical of rookie quarterback Caleb Williams translating immediately. He pointed out that similar offensive-line-first off-season plans failed for both Washington and Chicago in recent years and does not believe the roster upgrades materially close the gap on Detroit or Green Bay in the NFC North.

According to John Murray, sharp bettors were actively positioned on Bryson DeChambeau at -130 in his Masters matchup over Joaquin Niemann. This betting pattern suggests sharps believe DeChambeau's style and form suit Augusta better than Niemann—as bettors see enough edge to lay juice at -130. This sharp action is aimed at those considering matchup bets, identifying Niemann as a fade candidate.

John Murray reported targeted sharp action favoring Adam Scott at +130 in his head-to-head Masters matchup against Sergio Garcia. He implied sharp bettors saw value in Scott, driving this line preference as they likely considered Scott's track record at Augusta and recent play more appealing than Garcia's. This indicated an actionable, sharp-backed position on Scott for those considering matchups.

John Murray highlighted sharp betting action targeting Viktor Hovland at The Masters, specifically in his matchup against Jordan Spieth. Hovland, available at plus money (+115), attracted sharp bettors due to perceived value and potential outperforming expectations. Murray presented this as notable betting information, backing Hovland based on sharp funds flowing towards his side against Spieth.